The poll that launched a million headlines, the 51-49 result from Ipsos (here’s my paywalled effort in Crikey), has had only a modest effect on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, on which Labor’s two-party lead is down half a point to 53.3-46.7. The Coalition has recovered all of one seat on the seat projection, that being in Queensland. Despite the voting intention result, the Ipsos poll has actually led to a slight softening in Scott Morrison’s net approval and preferred prime minister trend readings, while Bill Shorten’s net approval result is all but unchanged.
Please note there is a thread below this one for all your Brexit discussion needs.
2,560 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.3-46.7 to Labor”
Can BB, C@t and anyone else tangled up in the whole thing please move on.
Except for Piers Akermann. That packet of chips was full.
Bushfire Bill @ #2487 Sunday, February 24th, 2019 – 8:15 pm
Okay. This is the entirety of the conversation( needs to be read from bottom to top):
Thus, the hullabaloo that has been created about my comment is simply because I questioned whether two men should comment about a woman journalist’s appearance on Insiders today, including her mode of dress. That’s it. But somehow that has got lost in translation and it has been blown up into the letter that started World War 1!
Sheesh! Over it.
Starting from now.
Did Annabel Crabb actually refer to Tony Abbott as “her favourite politician” though?
The Liberati are the blame for this latest blow out on PB.
If Morrison or Turnbull for that matter, gone early to an election and not dragged the politically active through this snake’s eye of a chance the LNP will be re-elected, the focus of PB would not be an under card match between C@t and BB.
I’d rather throw Nath back into an on-going cage fight versus the world than this.
I actually appreciate the contributions of C@t and BB on William’s blog and on that basis politely request a pause!
Hey a r how come I don’t get the Edit / Delete options with your plugin 🙁
Our friend, markjs, has reported Georgina Downer and her rubber cheque to the AEC!
WB, in the past I have often seen Crabb refer to Abbott in an annoyingly eye fluttering way. She is at the banal end when it comes to political analysis and she probably meant it as a joke.
She could have meant ‘favourite’ as in the guy supplies so many headlines and crazy stories. More lols and loads of material for a journo. The cartoonists must have loved him.
Question, in the past, I have often seen PB commenters – the ones at the banal end — make total wankers of themselves by employing terms like “eye-fluttering” in reference to female journalists.
Who paid for Ms Downer’s big cheque?
If it was the taxpayer and not the Liberal Party, that’s fraud.
That is my recollection, but from years back now. I tried to find a link but couldn’t. The recollection is pretty definite in a strong “wtte” kind of way.
I’ll try again.
That was the way she was trying to present it WB. An episode of Gruen comes particularly to mind.
Lots of bowling clubs have less than 100 members. They’re closing like crazy.
Don’t bother, BB. It’s bullshit, and very obviously so.
Simon² Katich® @ #2497 Sunday, February 24th, 2019 – 7:23 pm
I Am Jealous!
I’ve just read a lot of articles of Crabb’s about Abbott:
There’s also a Crabb/Abbott half hour interview on You Tube:
And it may have been said there, but my considered opinion is, kinda sorta, it’s hard to say! She’s an obscurantist!
sprocket_ @ #2516 Sunday, February 24th, 2019 – 8:49 pm
Judith Ireland upgrades the status of the Lib’s ‘Wimmin’ problem.
The Liberals no longer have a woman problem – they have a catastrophe
by Judith Ireland
sprocket_ @ #2520 Sunday, February 24th, 2019 – 7:49 pm
Sadly, I must close the guessing game for Newspoll.
Not official, but Denis Atkins of the CM has been tweeting 53/47 to dozens of his followers – weird
Is that a bona fide result? If so, then thank the stars above we finally have a poll to comment on!!
Not sure about “favourite politician” — but most of the press gallery regarded Abbott fondly, possibly thanks to his “colour and movement” and his own history as a journo — “one of them”, as it were.
But Annabell Crabb did claim to “like” both Abbott and Gillard. I suppose that makes her “balanced”.
She is generally regarded as rude to others, so I am not fond of her.
I for one have no appreciation of the journalistic “abilities” of the media personality Crabb
I was thankful when my wife lost interest in each of the programmes featuring Crabb
[‘…I have often seen PB commenters – the ones at the banal end — make total wankers of themselves by employing terms like “eye-fluttering” in reference to female journalists…’]
Cruel – do you really need to(?). As I’ve opined previously, admonish privately, despite it being “your” site.
The coalition needs to lose bigly if it is to fix some of its structural and policy deficits. Including the fact that the party is a wasteland when it comes to gender diversity.
53/47 is the new 54/46
Perhaps Denis Atkins has been hacked? Let’s wait until GhostWhoVotes for something credible.
If its 53-47 that means that PBers were all right again on the average guess.
Mark Dreyfus has written to the Auditor General about Georgina Downer.
Don’t worry MS,
I will survive. The fact is that Crabb is not only a journo, she often works for the laughs, such as the recent show she did with Pickering. Her eye fluttering was probably meant as a joke.
I don’t know why Dennis would tweet the results an hour or so early, can’t totally rule out some prank. Surely that’s not the done thing within the company? I’m not game to 100% say that’s the result yet. On the other hand, he had a previous freak out on twitter when he thought he’d been dropped from Insiders, so maybe he’s a bit more erratic than he seems.
“53/47 is the new 54/46”
The new owner-management has had this weird preferences distribution which seems to suppress the Labor 2PP vote by about 1% … so 53 is really 54 … but we shall wait and see the primary votes to see whether that still holds.
Its 53-47 no change
It looks like he’s gone to PVO’s reply feed and spammed dozens of them with those numbers.
Fozzie Logic @ #2508 Sunday, February 24th, 2019 – 7:05 pm
If you have the plugin then you also need to be logged into your PB account for the Edit function to show up.
At least, I do.
Kenny has just said the news is there is no news regarding Newspoll!
If its 53-47 then boats are dead in the water.
#ChrisKennywatch .Drops hint Talking of Newspoll result coming up — “My tip there might not be much news”
can all people please advoid personal attacks…… discuss policy…. disagree about some one’s opinion…. but pls be polite
sprocket – yes, and he’s still backing it up as a no change result. Must be true. He must have reached some sort of breaking point regarding PvO Wow / fake results / fevered speculation. Thinking “to hell with it just get the result out there and shut them up”
WB has new thread already.
Apropos of nothing I seem to have noticed Dennis Atkins progressive beliefs, attitude, credentials and heritage coming to the fore in recent times.
I’m not accepting anything until Williams says so but it’s all over the place now 53/47.