BludgerTrack has been updated with the latest fortnightly Essential Research poll, together with the state breakdowns published earlier this week by Ipsos. This yields only the tiniest change on voting intention, and no change whatsoever on the seat projection.
I’ve also made my first effort to reactivate the leadership ratings, which have been dormant since Malcolm Turnbull’s because there has been insufficient data to generate a trend measure for Scott Morrison. This is still the case with his net approval ratings, for which there are only five data points, but there have been two extra points for the preferred prime minister question, which makes all the difference.
As such, the leadership ratings trends available through the full BludgerTrack display (click below) show separate trend measures on the preferred prime minister chart for the Turnbull-versus-Shorten and Morrison-versus-Shorten eras. This demonstrates that Morrison’s lead over Shorten is more or less the same as Turnbull’s was. I have also finally updated Bill Shorten’s net approval trend, which suggests a very slight improvement since the Liberal leadership change.
Albo in full mock mode.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1050514239859777536
If gay pupils shouldn’t be expelled because of their sexuality, then all laws that allow this to occur should be amended immediately.
Will the PM advocate and introduce such legislation?
I’m sure Labor and the Greens would support it. 🙂
The part of Alex Turnbull’s video that didn’t get reported but should have is that there is no ‘choice’ between clean energy and lower power prices and you can see his genuine bewilderment at those perpetuating the myth that the two are opposed. This is what the mefia should be doing. Correcting basic untruths.
Player One:
Friday, October 12, 2018 at 1:48 pm
—————————————
Not so much “not being aware”, as “deliberately looking away / burying their head in the sand”.
As you say, the better to keep their eye on the morsel they’re eating, and off the threat coming towards them across the plain.
For what it is worth those I associate with – and where Party politics is not a conversation – are expressing opinions on Borrison and his government
The most damming is reference to his “Big pineapple”, “Big Sheep”, “Big lobster” response
To say Borrison is considered a Village idiot is the concensus – without a dissenting voice noting also the presumed Liberal bias of probably the majority I associate with – being from the business world
So I don’t get Labor’s position on this:
I’m curious as to what the chances of NZ courts enforcing this are:
https://www.theguardian.com/music/2018/oct/12/israel-fines-new-zealand-teenagers-18000-for-urging-lorde-concert-boycott
I would hope that the answer is ‘zero’. Criminal extradition treaties are one thing, but enforcing civil penalties I would hope is a bridge too far, no?
If there was a civil case in NZ then surely they would need to run the actual case through the courts in NZ (which of course wouldn’t fly in this case), not just say “we got a ruling in Israel, now pay up!”.
Scary if it is successful though. Watch what you say!
How is the Government’s investigation into RobertGate going?
How is the Government’s Royal Commission into the torture and death of aged Australians going?
@JoshBBornstein tweets
this is my first tweet in my capacity as inaugural president of the:
Secular Freedom Assembly
How is the Government’s investigation into the life trade mass sheep death going?
How is the Government’s investigation into religious freedoms going?
Observer @ #255 Friday, October 12th, 2018 – 1:59 pm
Morrison operates on the strategy that too much ScoMo bloviating directly to camera is never enough! ScoMo even has on designer HiViz jacket. In the US, even Fox are cutting back on telecasting Trump rallies because it’s the same show every night with the same jokes and wind ups that people are starting to find his act boring.
shiftaling @ #259 Friday, October 12th, 2018 – 9:59 am
She’s saying that Labor will not use up any political capital at the moment on this issue.
Is there any evidence at all that anyone in the Government has read the IPCC Report?
Why has Hunt, who for five years as a minister in anti-union and anti-workplace conditions spend five years trying to whittle down OH&S in the work place, suddenly tried to recreate himself as the Silicosis Warrior?
Boerwar @ #268 Friday, October 12th, 2018 – 10:05 am
I’m Senators O’Sullivan and MacDonald have…
n’t!!!!! 🙂
Barney
Given the Marriage Equality Survey result I don’t think you can talk about spending political capital. Its the opposite. Gaining political capital for authentically standing up for people’s equality.
Don’t forget it means women who are pregnant can be expelled too. Thus that being mentioned in recommendation 8
Boerwar @ #265 Friday, October 12th, 2018 – 2:05 pm
The Government are actually running a silent campaign against obesity by refusing to read the IPCC Report because it ate too many words.
Enforcing judgments in a foreign jurisdiction confronts all sorts of barriers.
One issue is whether the action giving rise to the judgment is recognised in the jurisdiction in which enforcement is sought.
So Labor and Libs both disagree with schools being able to expel gay kids, a law which they passed with bipartisan support, but neither are going to change it.
And people wonder why we are cynical about politicians.
If it was a climate sceptic report the Libs would be all over it saying it was the greatest report on climate change they had ever seen.
‘Greensborough Growler says:
Friday, October 12, 2018 at 1:55 pm
Albo in full mock mode.’
I keep waiting for a half-awake journalist asking Morrison the obvious question:
‘If you can’t explain why the Liberals ejected Turnbull and put you in instead, could you please explain to any Australian voters who might be interested in stability why the same mysterious event could not happen again at any time?’
Shh tip time – Santa Ana Lane in the Everest.
I heard it from the mouth of someone who gets near the horse’s mouth
‘Shellbell says:
Friday, October 12, 2018 at 2:11 pm
Enforcing judgments in a foreign jurisdiction confronts all sorts of barriers.
One issue is whether the action giving rise to the judgment is recognised in the jurisdiction in which enforcement is sought.’
It would be wise for the bad Kiwis to avoid travel to Israel.
And now they are saying they will repeal the legislation if there is bipartisan support! How many policy changes can these people come up with in a week? The funny thing is it wouldn’t have been an issue if not for the Ruddock report which was meant to safeguard religious freedoms but is going to have the opposite effect by showing how obnoxious they are.
“Bill Shorten has offered Scott Morrison Labor’s support to repeal discrimination law exemptions that allow religious schools to turn away and expel gay students.”
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/oct/12/labor-offers-support-if-morrison-acts-to-stop-schools-from-expelling-gay-students
Is there any evidence that even if members of the Coalition had read the IPCC report, they would understand a word of it?
How about the horses arse?
Scheduled to be next cab off the ranks after Morrison implements Di Natalie’s UBI.
Could someone tell Chris Bowen not to gabble his words so fast please. He is hardly comprehensible.
Annoys me that yet again Labor supports a Liberal tax gimmick/handout.
Thats another several billion that cant be spent on high speed rail.
How is the Government’s investigation into CashGate going?
How is the Government’s investigation into the anti-Qaedvlieg leaks going?
How is the Government’s investigation into serial mass wage theft by a raft of employers going?
How is the Government’s investigation into massive water theft by cotton barons going?
guytaur @ #271 Friday, October 12th, 2018 – 10:09 am
The ME postal thingy was not something they wanted or advocated for and as the results showed some marginal Labor electorates were the against it.
The one thing the result of the postal thingy seemed to do is remove any political consequences.
If Labor was to take the lead on this issue then they own it politically and while they would be supported by progressive voters, more conservative voters may be turned off and if those more conservative voters are grouped in a marginal electorate then it potentially becomes a seat losing issue.
The other point here is that these laws seem to be State laws, so how much power does the federal Parliament have to legislate on these matters?
Hello? Anybody in the Coalition awake, already?
https://phys.org/news/2015-09-blankets-swiss-glacier-vain-effort.html
Barney
The survey was clear. Labor would gain more votes than they would lose. Remember even George Christensen’s seat had a majority yes vote.
When its over 60% marginal seats don’t come into it.
“I got it from the horse’s mouth.”
Equine dentists must make a fortune at the TAB.
Boerwar @ #278 Friday, October 12th, 2018 – 10:14 am
I entered the Dead Sea once, but had little desire to float westward. 🙂
Aunt M@10:16am
I was surprised when he said what he said about gay kids. As one liberal MP said I thought he had blind spot for that. He is very clear about what he said. Later he cannot say that he was taken out of context.
BTW in the same interview he called Sharma ‘David Sharna’. He is not David Sharma. He is Devendra Sharma. ‘Davendra’ means ‘King of Gods’in Hinduism.
David is something totally different. Just saying.
Not just racist.
Boerwar @ #285 Friday, October 12th, 2018 – 10:22 am
They know exactly what happened, it’s the feds that we’re waiting for.
guytaur @ #291 Friday, October 12th, 2018 – 10:27 am
It’s not a simple sum, it comes down to where those votes are.
BiGD
‘I entered the Dead Sea once…’
What were you doing in the Liberal Party Room?
Diogenes,
I can understand your frustration.
However, I believe this is a issue that requires both major parties to agree on change. Unless there is a bipartisan approach then I think any push by labor to amend the legislation would result in a divisive campaign by some within the coalition, the media and other right wing groups and individuals. A campaign that would further marginalise and hurt young people struggling with coming to terms with their sexuality. It could have the potential of being much much worse than the recent SSM debate and plebiscite campaign.
It may well suit the agenda of the greens and some cross benchers to demand change but that serves no purpose other than raise the profile of those making demands. No long term good, just short term media headlines with a definite probability of young Australians being inflicted ongoing abuse and good and caring teachers personal lives being dragged out into the spotlight.
Any change needs both major parties federally and state and territory governments to join together for the common good.
It does not need individual grandstanding or labor going it alone.
Consequences need to be considered.
Just my opinion anyway.
Cheers and a great day to you.
Barney
Yes and many many more votes to be gained than lost. Especially in Queensland where Labor needs to win votes
Has anyone in the CPG bothered to ask Turnbull Snr whether Morrison is telling the truth?
Boerwar says:
Friday, October 12, 2018 at 2:24 pm
How is the Government’s investigation into serial mass wage theft by a raft of employers going?
—————————————
There’s one we all missed.
I’m still waiting on this Government’s report into the effect decades of tax treatment favouring property investors over home owners has had on the price of the average family home relative to the average wage.
Gasp.
Morrison finally tells a complete truth: Alex Turnbull is “his own person”.