There were no new federal polls this week, but we did get repackaged old ones in the form of quarterly state breakdowns from Newspoll and Ipsos. I only have full results from the former at this stage, but am hopeful of acquiring the latter next week. So all that’s happened in this week’s BludgerTrack update is that the new Newspoll data has been used to recalculate state breakdowns, with the national results exactly as they were last week.
As is often the case, the big hit of Newspoll state data has made little difference in the larger states, but quite a bit in the smaller ones, where samples are smaller and results less robust. This puts the Coalition solidly up in both Western Australia and South Australia, where they gain one seat apiece on the seat projections. While the changes in Victoria and Queensland are small, they have put the Coalition up a seat in Victoria and down one in Queensland. So the net effect of the changes is a two-seat gain to the Coalition, with Labor now projected to win 86 seats nationally to the Coalition’s 60.
Full results through the link below.
Just now on BBC iPlayer…
“Rosenstein has been a hero to date. The institution of law is holding up fairly well in no small part due to his tireless efforts.”
He has been holding up remarkably well for a Republican, I’m not sure the institutions of law are holding up at all well, the SCOTUS in particular has suffered massive probably irreparable damage. The FBI has suffered massive damage, the DoJ has suffered massive damage. We will see how they holdup.
Rosenstein hasn’t betrayed all honour and does appear to be doing a version of his job (not the version he’d wheel out for a dem in the same position as Trump though make no mistake, think of Comey and Hillary’s emails kind of difference). He may well finish the job and deserve to be called a hero, I just think it is way to early to call.
sorry…
Rosenstein briefed the key beneficiary and chief suspect of a criminal election rigging investigation, about the investigation just before the chief suspect was going to attend a meeting with the known criminal mastermind. I can’t see DoJ or the FBI ever extending that curtesy to a dem President, in the extraordinarily unlikely event the Dem president hadn’t been forced to stand aside or down long before now.
Kissinger has met with Trump several times. Could this be what is playing out ?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/global-opinions/wp/2016/12/14/45-years-ago-kissinger-envisioned-a-pivot-to-russia-will-trump-make-it-happen/?noredirect=on
Sceptic @ #183 Saturday, July 14th, 2018 – 6:50 pm
A reminder from ‘Fire & Fury’ about the background of Rosenstein as Deputy Attorney General to Sessions and the sacking of Comey –
Karma, in the background quietly putting lead in the boxing gloves.
Victoria @ #199 Saturday, July 14th, 2018 – 7:29 pm
The other aspect is – WHO can ever keep up with his lies and foulness.
After a while you just have to let it all just wash over you. Yuk.
Its down to US Voters to sort this, starting in November with the mid terms.
Mueller maybe further down the track.
Ven @ #190 Saturday, July 14th, 2018 – 7:05 pm
I think Turnbull believes that long campaigns drain Labor’s coffers, expose Bill Shorten to the voters for long periods which he thinks is a negative for Labor, and allow the Liberal Party to use their position as holders of government to roll out a carefully-orchestrated series of stunts, er, announcements.
“repeat a lie long enough, it becomes truth. If you repeat the lies over and over, people start believing it is the truth”
That was also Tony Abbott’s MO as well. It seems to work. In fact, it is standard operating procedure for right wing politicians with the support of powerful allies in the media and business.
Victoria
repeat a lie long enough, it becomes truth. If you repeat the lies over and over, people start believing it is the truth
The Chequers news conference was great, you could feel the undercurrent of mirth from the reporters.. Helsinki should be a dooser.
Can’t imagine the press putting up with anything.. unless all questions come from Fox & Breitart
C@tmomma
Given how much Turnbull had to tip into the kitty last time I would think the Libs would go for short and sweet.
poroti @ #211 Saturday, July 14th, 2018 – 7:49 pm
Petty cash. He can afford to do it again. It’s worth it to him to subject us to 8 weeks of Mal’s magnificence! 😀
Should have added this bit to #207 above –
The Washington Post has kept a pretty good record. Except you’ll have to wait for phoenixRed to link to it as I can never find the latest iteration.
http://thehill.com/homenews/media/396951-trump-and-putin-to-hold-joint-press-conference
“President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin will hold a joint press conference on Monday following their one-on-one meeting in Helsinki, the Finish government said Friday.
The White House announced late last month that Putin and Trump would be meeting on July 16 as the president seeks to improve relations with Moscow, but this is the first confirmation that the two will address the media together.”
Can see this being cancelled….
test…
C@tmomma
Yes, I suppose it would be petty cash for him 🙁
ok how do you post images?
Dave
Rosenstein is one of the good guys
30+ bad Newspolls
Right click on image ,Copy and paste the image address but make sure it is an https rather than just http . http mostly does not show. Also check that it ends in a normal image format .png .jpg etc.
Sceptic
The ball is in Trump’s Court. Is he loyal to the country he has given an oath to protect, or does he continue to do the bidding of the Kremlin?
In a nutshell…
Tea Pain
Tea Pain
@TeaPainUSA
·
13h
Ask yourself this simple question.
Q: Why did Mueller just go to the trouble of indictin’ 12 Russian intelligence officers that will never be extradited?
A: Cause there’s a whole boat-load of indictments comin’ for those that conspired with ’em.
Vic – I’d reckon trump will sack him if he ever can and get away with it.
it’s not working what do you use?
what tag sorry
Dave
No doubt Trump has previously tried, and will again attempt to be rid of Rosenstein and Mueller.
Won’t make a jot of difference. Justice is coming for him and his co conspirators.
30+
Copy and paste the image, then append:
#image.jpg
With no spaces
“President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin will hold a joint press conference on Monday following their one-on-one meeting in Helsinki, the Finish government said Friday.
I wonder if they’ll be holding hands?
test…
dave @ #223 Saturday, July 14th, 2018 – 6:33 pm
My view too.
What’s worrying is this trashing of institutions like the DoJ and FBI began with Trump, and yet his Republican colleagues who previously claimed to be law and order establishment types under President Obama, locked and loaded behind Trump’s conspiratorial batshit crazy rhetoric against the agencies he is sworn to uphold. To the extent we saw the questioning of FBI officer Strzok the other day. WTF?
thanks
It would also mean party members in both Jagajaga and Macnamara, who have not voted in preselections since the 1990s, would again miss out on open ballots to choose their candidates.
One senior figure from the party’s right said it might be a price worth paying for internal stability.
“People would be unhappy if the preselections were called in from the point of view of local democracy,” the source said. “But they would accept it, for the sake of peace.”
Have preselections in the ALP gone the way of the dodo.
Fess
The trashing of institutions is a deliberate ploy to undermine trust in them.
Fox News together with Trump’s enablers in the GOP are aiding and abetting. Disgusting to say the least
poroti @ #204 Saturday, July 14th, 2018 – 7:40 pm
Poroti
Yes I think so. It will not work
As i said A day or so ago I posted a list of three options which faced USA in dealing with the other two major powers. It gave poor old prog Higgins a bit of a brain overload and accused me of DTTsplaining”” – – I think that is another term for providing information and analysis that is a bit too complex for the prof.)
Anyway given that anyone who gives it a moments thought will understand that militarily there are now three very strong powers USA, Russia and China, with a series of middle range power that may or may not provide support. The Kissinger doctrine was clear – never let China and Russia join together because that would be dangerous for the USA.
OK so far this is not controversial (except maybe for odd ball denialists). I identified THREE approaches.I cannot really see many others but happy for others to suggest them.
1. USA braves it out and decides to take on both Russia and China. To do this it is first necessary to weaken them by stripping away allies and destroying economies
2.USA befriends either Russia or China with the long term aim of weakening one of them sufficiently to enable them the defang it. They could then move on the defang the other when the time was right.
3. USA accepts that it is only one of three or eventually more “great powers”and withdraws to its own borders.backing out of its world policeman role. Emphasis would obviously be of Defence rather than Offence.
I suspect that it is now a bit too late to heed Kissinger’s advice (it may always have been). I suspect that the ONLY time when it might have been possible for the USA to preserve its world dominance was in the GWB era when Russia was very weak and China while ramping up was also much weaker than the USA. I suspect in 100 years historians examining all this stuff will identify the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq and the wrong turns for the USA. They should have gone after China.
By the way I am not supporting this position on moral grounds but identifying it as the obvious strategic move.
My big fear is that the military types and the rest of the elites”just will not accept that USA cannot regain its world dominance that it has in the 1990s and indeed have had since 1945.”
Vic:
The trashing of institutions began with Trump but has become mainstream among Republicans and Trump’s enablers.
This is not good. In a two party system you can’t expect good outcomes at a governing level when one of those parties is batshit crazy and mired in ideological conspiracies.
Confessions @ #235 Saturday, July 14th, 2018 – 9:14 pm
Speaking of which:
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/07/13/house-republicans-rod-rosenstein-impeachment-719816
They are seemingly intent on establishing a lawless State.
Have preselections in the ALP gone the way of the dodo.
Nope.
The Catholic Education Fix will be formalized next week, I presume. Malcolm will then meet with their combined holinesses and stitch up a deal involving largesse worth how much? Hundreds of millions? Or billions.
Isn’t is sad this is all the Liberals have.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/jul/13/albanese-sends-another-signal-hes-ready-and-willing-for-the-top-job
@frednk
If media stop spreading nonsense….
Jon Snow
Verified account @jonsnowC4
Jul 13
Tower of secrets: the Russian money behind a Donald Trump skyscraper – An amazing 10 month long FT investigation – Trump/Russian money/and the mob. https://www.ft.com/content/157a64a6-8492-11e8-96dd-fa565ec55929 … via @financialtimes
frednk @ #239 Saturday, July 14th, 2018 – 9:35 pm
The Right have the numbers in Caucus. He’s got no chance.
“The Right have the numbers in Caucus. He’s got no chance.”
Bill has the party membership these days as well.
Albo for leader is just a LNP-CPG leadershit distraction. A variation on #killbill.
Only one they can control.
Maggie Haberman
Verified account @maggieNYT
14h14 hours ago
“The nation’s top intelligence officer said on Friday that the persistent danger of Russian cyberattacks today was akin to the warnings the United States had of stepped-up terror threats ahead of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.”
Before I call it a night…
(A candidate for Congress asked Russian hackers to provide documents on their campaign’s opponent before the 2016 US election, a charging document says)
This tweet from Donald Trump tells me this is the guy. You know it makes sense.
Donald J. Trump
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
·
Jul 13
Congressman Matt Gaetz of Florida is one of the finest and most talented people in Congress. Strong on Crime, the Border, Illegal Immigration, the 2nd Amendment, our great Military & Vets, Matt worked tirelessly on helping to get our Massive Tax Cuts. He has my Full Endorsement!
I’m not a tennis fan anymore but having to watch the crap of GWS v Richmond coach pressers instead of Joko v Rafa in a Wimbledon semi is a fucking disgrace. Channel 7 should hang their heads in shame.
Dio
Tennis on another channel in Perth
GOP takedown
https://mobile.twitter.com/HuffPostPol/status/1017555455189700608/video/1