The Essential Research fortnight rolling average records a one-point shift to the Coalition on two-party preferred for the second week in a row, which reflects an unusually strong result for them in last week’s sample. Labor’s lead is now at 52-48, with both parties up a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 39% and Labor to 37%, the Greens down one to 10%, and One Nation up one to 6%.
Presumably in response to the Margaret Court episode, there are a number of questions on same-sex marriage, which records 60% support and 26% opposition compared with a 62-27 split in August last year. Sixty-one per cent support of the matter being determined by a plebiscite, with 27% favouring a vote by parliament. This compares with 59-25 in August, although Kevin Bonham notes Newspoll had it at 48-39 for a vote in parliament last September. Thirty-four per cent say they would be more likely to vote for a party or candidate who supported same-sex marriage, compared with 19% for less likely.
The poll finds 41% saying jobs on the Great Barrier Reef should be prioritised in a trade-off with jobs in the coal industry, compared with 12% for vice-versa and 21% denying such a trade-off was real. Apropos the Uluru statement, the poll records solid pluralities in favour even of of the more radical of its proposals. The poll also records 41% saying too much is spent on foreign aid compared with 16% for too little, although it also found the median respondent believed foreign aid accounted for around 2% of the budget, compared with a true figure of less than 1%.
We’re also now getting weekly attitudinal polling from YouGov for Fifty Acres, which will in due course expand to voting intention results. Its findings published on Friday recorded 45% support for a new verse for the national anthem recognising the indigenous as the first peoples, with 30% opposed; 53% opposed to a proposed increase in the refugee settlement program to 10,000 a year (no result for in favour was provided); and 52% support for same-sex marriage (no result for opposed was provided).
Its pretty sad to see the Chief Scientist being asked to put his name to a report that isn’t scientific, isn’t “best of class” and relies upon out of date figures from elsewhere.
The other thing P1 doesn’t get is this. If someone comes out with a report based on a specific carbon reduction and then says “to get to this point, we need X amount of renewables” this does NOT prove that if you wanted a higher reduction that renewables with storage won’t or can’t get you there. P1 has leapt to this conclusion several times, and not just with Finkel.
Just garbage logic, and frankly dishonest.
AR in a way its a good thing that the Trump scandal will drag on and on.
The more it prevents the Republicans from “getting the job done” and the more it pisses off decent people, the better chance there is that the Republicans can be blocked by mid term.
The campaigning for mid terms starts when?
Question,
May sounding more and more like Turnbull.
That is EXACTLY what I thought! They both act as if they are commanding huge majorities in parliament and are streets ahead in popularity with the electorate! Probably thinking that if they keep on acting that way eventually the electorate will come around to their way of thinking!
Plus, this belief, as evidenced also by Finkel today, that if they just look like they are, ‘getting on with the job’, the electorate will forget how they just voted and acknowledge that they are, indeed, the best ones to be doing the job of Prime Minister. Plus approve of whatever jerry-built policy they place before them.
🙄
player one @ #1131 Friday, June 9, 2017 at 10:46 pm
The CSIRO, like all our public institutions, to the detriment of our society, is a shadow of the great institution it once was.
Years of politicisation, stacking of management positions with stooges of the incumbent government and the cumulative impact of budget cuts and “efficiency” dividends has crippled an institution that was once much greater than the current CSIRO.
The current CEO represents a plague that has overcome many of our universities, one that infects research institutions with the focus only on fields of endeavour which are judged to be likely to result in a payday in the near term or are considered politically desirable (like CCS).
So, yes P1, sadly our politicians have directed the CSIRO to compromise itself by the requirement to pursue commercial returns. The example of this which sprung to mind when I first read your post was a high profile diet book that the CSIRO allowed itself to be associated with a few years back.
https://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2017/06/07/essential-research-52-48-labor-8/comment-page-23/#comment-2595092
That is a rather negative characterisation of the Major Government. They started with a majority that was closely fought, not nearly universally predicted and certain leadership.
This gets to the heart of it:
TTFAB,
That is a rather negative characterisation of the Major Government. They started with a majority that was closely fought, not nearly universally predicted and certain leadership.
…And then they promptly started falling apart. That is what the commentator was alluding to.
So much to read… night all!
In 1992 the Tories had a majority of 10 (Australian definition: number more than half) and then 13 Unionists (9UUP who they dealt with after loosing their majority).
(Presuming they loose Kensington, which apparently they are going to) They have a minority of 8 (But only 4 in the 99.999999%certain even that the 7 Sinn Fein MPs-elect don`t take their seats), 10 DUP and a single independent Unionist. That is only 8 by-elections (they can survive but not legislate if they loose 7) (4 without Sinn Fein) between them nd having to negitiate with the LibDems (second Brexit referendum fun).
Tom F&B
The independent unionist, Lady Hermon, is no particular friend of the Tories actually
I wonder if the ‘strong and stable leadership’ line actually worked on anyone and if they regret their vote now.
https://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2017/06/07/essential-research-52-48-labor-8/comment-page-24/#comment-2595110
All the better. 6-7 seats from needing to negotiate with the LibDems. That`s only 3 if (all be it a rather massive if) Sinn Fein turn up.
What are the chances of close results being challenged?
But they have all made sure they know where the life boats are located –
LOL –
“Reality Winner” (only in the USA):
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-06-09/reality-winner-pleads-not-guilty-to-leaking-nsa-document/8604448
New thread.
Here’s How Trump Made His Problems Worse By Taking Legal Action Against Comey
Moments after it was reported that President Trump’s personal lawyer Marc Kasowitz is going to file a complaint against former FBI Director James Comey, Norm Eisen of CREW announced “This is an abuse of process and we will be filing a defense of Comey.”
But what has Trump done with this lawsuit? He’s officially declared war on the FBI. Like an idiot who still thinks he’s in control and still thinks the real problem is he’s not leaning on people hard enough.
http://www.politicususa.com/2017/06/09/trump-problems-worse-legal-action-comey.html
Well, there goes peace in Northern Ireland. Very hard to separate May and Turnbull for incompetence and all-round uselessness.
https://twitter.com/EL4JC/status/873188501990371330
The Climate Council is not impressed with the Finkel report:
“Dear Mark,
The long awaited Finkel Review into Australia’s electricity market has launched today.
And it’s a mixed bag.
Australians across the board are desperate for a policy solution, which can address climate change and tackle emissions from our ageing, inefficient and polluting electricity sector. Ultimately, it was hoped that the Finkel Review would seriously address these issues.
But disappointingly – the Finkel plan does not pass the climate test. Ultimately if the scheme goes ahead emission reductions must be much stronger.
What does the Finkel Review recommend?
The Review’s “blueprint” sets out to reduce emissions in the electricity sector – 28% emissions reduction below 2005 levels by 2030. We need to slash emissions further and faster. Other sectors such as building, agriculture and transport, will need to do more if the electricity sector does less. (my emphasis)
The Review also proposes introducing a Clean Energy Target between 2020 to 2030, to encourage new power plants to be built. The target would be similar to the current Renewable Energy Target, except that it would allow a broader range of power plants to qualify including renewable energy, gas, and coal with carbon capture and storage.
Additionally, the review confirms that Australia has huge opportunities in renewable power, as renewables are now our cheapest source of new power. It also highlights the importance of coupling solar and wind with battery storage and other storage technologies.
What’s the bottom line?
Our emissions and electricity prices are going up due to a long term vacuum in Australia’s climate policy. What Finkel has proposed will need to be significantly strengthened to meet the demands of climate science.
Want to hear more? Tune in to Q&A on Monday night where I’ll be appearing as a panelist alongside Alan Finkel, Australia’s Chief Scientist and author of the Finkel Review, and Federal Environment & Energy Minister Josh Frydenberg. It’s sure to be an interesting discussion.
Kind regards,
Amanda McKenzie
Climate Council CEO
Hi C@..
He’s still alive… hes’s just been encased in Corbynite!
🙂
A Bernie Sanders supporter shot and killed police in Baton Rouge.
A Bernie Sanders supporter tried to grab a cops gun at a Trump rally.
A Bernie Sanders supporter stabbed and killed people in Portland.
A Bernie Sanders supporter shot Republican politicians in Alexandria.
Let me guess. It’s Trumps fault?
Thankfully that nasty bitter old goose will never hold a position of power.
Unfortunately his race-baiting, anti-police, anti-establishment (from a fraud who has spent his adult life sucking off the public teat) rhetoric is seeing people die.
His lame press release is in stark contrast to the histrionics we saw when one of his supporters was punched by a Trump supporter during the presidential campaign.
The regressive left acting like hypocrites.
Who would of guessed?
Watch and contrast these hypocrites reaction to the shooting of Gabby Giffords to this recent shooting.
I don’t know if people here realise the tinder box atmosphere currently in the US.
It is dangerously toxic and BOTH sides of politics are responsible.
BOTH sides need to pull their bloody heads in because more people are going to be hurt and killed.