No change on voting intention from Essential Research this week, at all – Labor leads 54-46, from primary votes of Coalition 37%, Labor 38%, Greens 10% and One Nation 6%. Nonetheless, there is a net positive response for the budget, which records 41% approval and 33% disapproval, and for each of eight individual measures, ranging from 82-7 in favour of a levy on vacant properties owned by foreign investors to 49-39 for the Medicare levy increase. However, 56% felt the increase should be higher for high income earners, as per Labor policy, with 27% favouring a flat increase (though no allowance was made for those who didn’t think it should happen at all). For all the “Labor lite” talk, the Liberal Party’s reputation dies hard, with the budget rated best for “people who are well off” and “Australian business”, and worst for “you personally” and, suggesting at least some insight as to what the budget specifically contained, university students. On the question of preferred Treasurer, Scott Morrison (26%) and Chris Bowen (22%) ran a distant third behind “don’t know”.
Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor
Most post-budget opinion poll stasis, this time from Essential Research.
Two former Mossad bosses have publicly sunk the slipper into Trump over his stooopid behaviour with their hard-won intel.
End of story.
c@tmomma @ #1030 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 12:31 pm
Yet another Turnbull announceable that falls apart after 5 seconds of scrutiny. How surprisement. The Hollowmen would be proud (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Hollowmen).
Grimace
I think we may on different but somewhat parallel tracks.
Ultimately those organisations got away with serial rape of children because the state was negligent.
(This is quite apart from those state-owned institutions that are accountable for the serial rape of children.)
Humpty Trumpy sat on a wall
Humpty Trumpy liked to appall
All of Trump’s tweets
And all his yes men
Couldn’t get Trumpy elected again
G
So the free to airs (a) get a massive licence cut because they are going to get a cut to gambling revenue and (b) won’t get a cut to their gambling revenue.
They are so lucky they are not ex’s ex cats.
a r @ #1050 Friday, May 19th, 2017 – 2:14 pm
There was a report earlier that the leaker was a Trump staffer who having grown exasperated at Trump’s meandering style of Presidency wanted to teach him a lesson about consequences. So, that fits in with the intell not being critical.
victoria @ #1043 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 1:45 pm
Once the say they’ve done it ask for a copy of your Running Balance Account statement (individual) or Integrated Client Account statement if the problem relates to a BAS or IAS.
GG, the only party that could know whether the intel was critical or not was the Israelis, not a disgruntled staffer.
Once you know the city, for all any of us know of the world of spies, you know the ISIS group that was infiltrated. There are likely to only be a certain number of people who are plausible infiltrators and, as part of their cover, they are likely to have loved ones and other “assets” that would give comfort to ISIS that they were not spies.
But, as AR points out, it is the breach of trust that is important, not the consequences.
Thoughts of a former Coal Association Chairman
Ignorant and petulant politicians are leading us to climate disaster
http://reneweconomy.com.au/ignorant-petulant-politicians-leading-us-climate-disaster-12830/
Grimace
Cool. Will do
Greensborough Growler
I am not talking about “the administration” they would naturally want to “cover it up” . I am talking about the actions of whoever leaked ASAP to “the world” rather than go to what ever secret squirrel group covers such stuff so as to give them time to protect the asset and all sorts of other things that would need to be done.
‘Revelations’ about whatever Trump did can come after what needed to be done has been done.
Trog
One of Truffles’ mantras is:” if we don’t supply coal to Adani/India, they’ll just buy it from somewhere else.”
That’s not the bloody point, Mal.
Should note there was a protest group outside the Combank Branch I went past today regrding Adani. Solid conservative area but they where collecting a number of signatures. (Should also note there is a small but dedicated enviro grouping in the area)
http://www.smh.com.au/world/james-comey-is-said-to-have-become-unsettled-by-interactions-with-donald-trump-20170519-gw8m38.html
Who would not be unsettled by Donald Trump. Go Comey!
Forgot to mention most of the protestors signs were directed at Turnbull and being a sellout.
Lizzie
(Turnbull is using the drug traffickers defense.)
They won’t buy it from somewhere else, they are cutting out coal imports altogether. Turnbull needs to listen to the Indian government. All we end up with is an unremediated hole in the ground, and to the extent that coal is exported in the interim, flood the market and push the price down for existing coal miners.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/apr/11/malcolm-turnbull-talks-up-coal-delhi-india-stop-imports
boerwar @ #1053 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 2:21 pm
Yes, agree we seem to have got on slightly different tracks and we are in agreement.
The state was negligent in its duty to step in to protect the victims and the relevant institutions need to be held accountable for that failure.
I do not want to see the parent entities of those institutions using that fact to reduce any liability they may otherwise face in the same way that contributory negligence reduces the liability of a negligent party: the victims get 100% of the damages payable as a result of the criminal and tortious behaviour of the relevant institution, then get another 100% bite at the state institutions that failed them.
Trump is heading to Saudi Arabia today. What could possibly go wrong.
lizzie @ #1062 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 2:56 pm
Well if that’s how Brian Trumble sees things then I’m going to manufacture some crystal meth and sell it outside the local high school. When I eventually get busted my defence is going to be “it’s actually ok for me to be doing this officer, you see, if I didn’t sell crystal meth to these school children then someone else would have done it”.
Perhaps Mal could represent me in court, I can’t see that defence going down too well with the magistrate if it only comes from me.
“Trump is heading to Saudi Arabia today. What could possibly go wrong”
Perhaps he’ll grope one (or more) of the King’s wives.
trog sorrenson @ #1066 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 3:08 pm
That may be Labor’s end game here, get the coal miners to draw themselves into a death spiral. The market gets flooded with coal, substantially dropping the price, resulting in a number of coal mines going out of business, never to return from voluntary administration due to falling demanded and a poor long term outlook.
In the scheme of things, one more unrehabilitated mine is a drop in the ocean of that problem and is for the greater good.
Trump’s media statement while in Saudi.
” I love Muslims. Ever since I saw Peter O’Toole as a Muslim I knew they were good.
Lots of oil here. Lots of great oil.
I know you get criticised for cutting off heads sometimes. But I know how you feel. Sometimes it’s better to just to end things quickly. I would like to have cut off Comey’s head! But no. I am joking.
Do you know I am the most persecuted President in American History? Very bad. Very sad.”
For the record, I wish to state Ms P’s and Queensland Labor’s actions in relation to Carmichael are utterly despicable.
trog sorrenson @ #1059 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 2:43 pm
Tim Dunlop now gets it … even if he was one of those responsible …
player one @ #1074 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 3:46 pm
Oops! Should of course have been Ian Dunlop. Tim is a whole ‘nother person!
P1 @3:46. I am amusing that you are taking about 4-5, not 4-50, but 5 is bad enough.
The commenters are getting stuck into Kat Murphy over at the Guardian again. Perhaps Lenore will eventually realise that getting rid of Murpharoo might bring some subscriptions, although they don’t seem too bright over at the Grauniad.
For the record BW, I do not think a bludger has come on site to defend her. Nor for the record does her environment minister, who says no cabinet decision been made. Finally, for the record, nor do I think there is a plausible defence to Premier P’s suggestion as a matter of policy.
Briefly’s post that it was explicable as meaningless political theatre in circumstances where P does not want to be blamed for the loss when Adani does not go ahead is the only thing that makes any sensel.
sohar @ #1077 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 4:05 pm
I suspect most of those commenters would simply be blinkered party shills.
GA is a fine publication worthy of support support.
steve777 @ #1076 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 3:59 pm
That’s a copy& paste error – it is supposed to be 4-5 (degree symbol) C! Same for the other temperatures. The really worrying bit is that a planet 4-5 degrees warmer may only be able to support around 1 billion people. That’s 1/8 of the people alive today.
Player One @ #1079 Friday, May 19th, 2017 – 4:11 pm
Yes, and the 7/8ths that die will mainly be from the ranks of the world’s poorest. Which is perhaps why the wealth-favoring parties of the world are so deliberately oblivious to the subject.
A day too late Albo. This sort of BS from the likes of Massola needs to be addressed early. If Albo had called it fake news to begin with then there’d be fewer news outlets prepared to run with it.
Now, having said that what about this for a gob smacking comment from two people who call themselves journalists.
You represent the media you farkwits! You’ve been told (belatedly) that it’s fake news. What a sad and sorry state the ABC has become.
“GA is a fine publication worthy of support support”
It has a few good bits (specialist writers, cartoonists), but overall it is as shallow as the Fairfax fluff. The Guardian has long been a faux lefty rag, but scratch beneath the surface.
I subscribed to the NYT yesterday. So long as Trump is providing great damage to the USA and the world generally I need a source that’s prepared to tell it straight.
I wouldn’t subscribe to Fairfax or News Corp rags and now I have lost the taste for The Guardian. I don’t trust any of them to tell it straight.
a r @ #1081 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 4:14 pm
I know. But we will not be immune. Wars, crop failures, famine, disease, fresh water shortages, climatic disasters and mass migrations will take a toll in even on the wealthiest nations. Being an island continent we will probably not lose 7/8, but it is easy to foresee scenarios where we could lose 1/4 or even 1/2.
tom hawkins @ #1082 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 4:15 pm
Albo is a frustrated man… and who could blame him !
Shorten and Palaszczuk are dirtying the ALP brand.
sohar @ #1083 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 4:15 pm
GA concentrates far more on policy substance in an unbiased fashion than Fairfax/News. The latter are simply gossip/opinion columns.
Rex
Albo is a frustrated man… and who could blame him !
I agree with you.
+1
Bowen at 22% is damning assessment from respondents.
Tom Hawkins
“You represent the media you farkwits! You’ve been told (belatedly) that it’s fake news. What a sad and sorry state the ABC has become.”
Who was the reporter?
Sabra Lane interviewed Andrew Leigh this morning, and although most of the interview lacked the usual govt talking points/gotchas, of course she had to ask about leadershit speculation.
Tough luck Albo. There are millions of Australians who are frustrated and they are doing it far harder without the support of a shadow ministers salary.
tom hawkins @ #1089 Friday, May 19, 2017 at 4:27 pm
Reluctantly, I have to agree. At first I thought they were just playing ‘chicken’ to see who would back down first. But it seems no-one is going to back down, so now it just looks utterly insane.
By political reporters Jane Norman and Caitlyn Gribbin
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-05-19/albaneses-speech-on-shorten-utterly-confusing-labor-mp/8542082
Grimace, being abused by 6 posters on a blog is not evidence of the truth or otherwise of anything, merely evidence of the tenor of any particular blog and the personal views of the protagonists. Such a failure of logic – i’m surprised it went unremarked!
It comes with the excuses he’s made in the past i.e. “I voted that way because it’s Labor tradition” or “I’m only standing for leader because otherwise no ballot would be required”.
I am not convinced about the bruited population consequences of an increase of 4-5%.
There will be severe opportunity costs involved in avoiding mass starvation but, on balance, we should probably be able to avoid mass starvation.
The reasons are manifold.
They seem to underestimate the massive adaptive potential of agriculture systems.
GMOs have given humans a rapid crop genetic response capacity that has never before existed.
There is huge spare capacity in ag systems.
Globally, all ag commodities are in glut right now.
Just getting rid of meat protein alone gives us a buffer of a billion people fed.
Getting rid of global food waste from the paddock, through storage, to preparation and eating – probably another half a billion people could be fed.
Population increase is predicted to finish by the middle of the century – another consideration.
The huge nutrient pulse as lowlands are flooded is likely to bring with it a massive huge seafood pulse.
Closed systems become more, not less possible with a five per cent increase.
Eg:
http://reneweconomy.com.au/world-first-solar-tower-powered-tomato-farm-opens-port-augusta-41643/
We may also have to get ready for ugh food grown using GM bacteria/plant associations. The more free heat the better, in general.
Tom H
Albo corrected the record within hours. I posted the transcript of his presser here yesterday.
The Plutus tax scam is getting whiffy, how did they get 9 government agencies signed up. How many government contracts did they have to cream off $165 million in one financial year.
I suspect Albo is just a stalking horse for a fresh new ALP leader being prepped for 2019….