BludgerTrack: 53.4-46.6 to Labor

One Nation back inside single figures, in an otherwise uneventful reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

NOTE: Apologies for the ongoing situation with the formatting in comments. This is not intentional and the former state of affairs will be restored, hopefully soon.

This week’s BludgerTrack reading records a dip in support for One Nation that brings them back inside double figures, but is otherwise essentially unchanged since last week. However, I am not including Ipsos at this stage, as the peculiarities of its two results (extremely high results for the Greens, a radically different result on two-party preferred from one result to the next) are such that it’s just bringing noise to the model. However, it has been included for leadership ratings, which this week record a mild improvement for Malcolm Turnbull.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,051 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.4-46.6 to Labor”

Comments Page 19 of 22
1 … 18 19 20 … 22

  1. poroti
    phoenixRED
    Re Ivanka. An answer to a query about the Russian suffix “ka”.

    When used by grown-ups, it shows some childish disregard too,

    ***************************************

    Good One Poroti

    Can’t speak for mum, Ivana …… but the glaring obvious :

    Grown Up ( as if, petulant spoilt juvenile ) and Childish Disregard sums up her Father to a ‘T’ ( trump t and all )

  3. phoenixRED

    Australians living off the beaten track are getting broadband speeds to rival the cities, with 100 Mbps Fixed Wireless NBN services

    ‘Rival the cities’ – Who is getting 100 Mbps a second?

  4. CTar1
    phoenixRED

    “Australians living off the beaten track are getting broadband speeds to rival the cities, with 100 Mbps Fixed Wireless NBN services”

    ‘Rival the cities’ – Who is getting 100 Mbps a second?

    ***********************************
    Well Ctar1 – I am on (the get out clause) UP TO – 50Mbps Fixed Wireless at the moment. Some mornings at 5-6 am I can get into the 40ish speeds …… but during the day it sadly drops off dramatically hour by hour and when school time finishes onwards it is basically unusable beyond basic downloading stuff – music/movies – forget it …..

    I think those on the most direct fibre connection – FTTH – can get pretty reasonable and regularly constant speeds but the rest is a joke …… FRAUDBAND in name and delivery

  7. It is that he got the award at all the pleased you so much 😉 Personally I cannot stand his “nasal whine” singing voice.

  9. CTar1

    ‘Rival the cities’ – Who is getting 100 Mbps a second?

    ****************************************

    Australia’s internet speeds lag behind world, despite NBN

    According to the Akamai State of the Internet Report, our internet connection speeds are now slower than 50 other nations, including Thailand, Estonia, Bulgaria and Kenya.

    At the end of 2015, Australia was ranked 48th in the world. In the last quarter, we were down to 50th. Now, despite our average speeds increasing from 9.6Mbps to 10.1Mbps, we have dropped out of the Top 50 completely.

    http://www.forbesadvocate.com.au/story/4532293/australias-internet-speeds-lag-behind-world-despite-nbn/?cs=4096

  11. Slav G
    That is to say, Ka suffix is very common in Croatian or Serbian names and carries no special meaning

    IIRC Mrs Trump was Slovenian and Slovenia was part of the former Yugoslavia, in fact the first part to break away. I am not sure what language they used, but must surely have had some Croatian influence.

  13. 3.42pm AEST, Sunday, 2 Apr 2017

    Poroti,

    I think your comment should have been directed at Boerwar, lest we awaken the sleeping, bemused dragon.

  14. Slav G will correct me but I understand Serbian is the closest to Russian but diminutives may vary i.e. purpose understood but inflection not always.

  15. FBI experts have tested how the explosives can be hidden inside laptop battery compartments in a way that allows a computer still to be turned on.

    They were said to have found that the technique would be achievable using everyday equipment.

    The US Department of Homeland Security said in a statement: “Evaluated intelligence indicates that terrorist groups continue to target commercial aviation, to include smuggling explosive devices in electronics.
    …
    Manny Gomez, a former FBI special agent, said: “We had the shoe bomber, the underwear bomber, the printer cartridge attempt, now this is the next level. We need to be several steps ahead of them.”

    http://www.theage.com.au/world/british-nuclear-power-stations-on-terror-alert-20170401-gvbpla.html

  19. poroti

    It is that he got the award at all the pleased you so much – Personally I cannot stand his “nasal whine” singing voice.

    *****************************************

    I am like you Poroti – I am not a Dylan SINGING fan – but when you go and look at some of the wonderful songs he has written – and best sung by other people/groups – then the man is a genius in the musical sense for his writing ….

  28. CTar1
    phoenixRED

    “Australia’s internet speeds lag behind world, despite NBN”

    “despite”?

    “because”.

    *****************************************
    Remember that sage Tony Windsor – Do it ONCE and do it RIGHT ……. pity we have a joke of a PM that is so busy looking after his own arse that he cares so little about the rest of Australia and its population wrt Internet and its potential – we are behind 50 other nations, including Thailand, Estonia, Bulgaria and Kenya …… FMD

  29. Phoenix Red,
    I had said I read somewhere that in the name Ivanka Trump : there is IVAN – KA to go along with a Russian connotation with Dad’s allegedly ones – I am sure she is a lovely person however ….

    And there I was thinking that Ivanka got her name as a tribute by Donald to the only real love of his life, besides himself, Ivana, with the ‘k’ added as a tweak.

  30. C@tmomma
    Phoenix Red,
    I had said I read somewhere that in the name Ivanka Trump : there is IVAN – KA to go along with a Russian connotation with Dad’s allegedly ones – I am sure she is a lovely person however ….

    And there I was thinking that Ivanka got her name as a tribute by Donald to the only real love of his life, besides himself ……………

    *******************************************
    Like our present PM , Donald is a self made man ( apart from the millions he got from dads demise ) and is in love with his creator ……

    Not sure how much his wives love that same image he has of himself but Melania’s FROWN at his Inauguration, did not not look like a love made in heaven

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yrmC4wng77M

  31. 4.38pm AEST, Sunday, 2 Apr 2017

    This is pathetic, and I don’t care how many BB’s call me a Labor-loving pontificating leftie.

    Fix the damn thing.

    It’s impossible to follow a conversation, let alone, dog forfend a flame war, or indeed an examination of electricity generation.

  32. 4.42pm AEST, Sunday, 2 Apr 2017

    And who gives a rats about Ian vanka bloody KA tag.

    That’s about all we can see. Spare me.

  33. From this morning:

    Asked if Labor will tear up the company tax cuts, Leigh repeatedly refused to rule the option out.

    He said Labor will decide whether to roll back the tax cuts before the next election, adding it would consider the impact on Australia’s Triple A credit rating which he said was a “bigger concern to a lot of businesses than a company tax cut”.

    …Leigh told Sky that Labor’s productivity plan was to invest in education, infrastructure and broadband.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/apr/02/labor-wont-rule-out-clawing-back-company-tax-cuts?utm_source=esp&utm_medium=Email&utm_campaign=GU+Today+AUS+v1+-+AUS+morning+mail+callout&utm_term=219986&subid=22688624&CMP=ema_632

  34. And there I was thinking that Ivanka got her name as a tribute by Donald to the only real love of his life, besides himself, Ivana, with the ‘k’ added as a tweak.

    I don’t think the Russian name connection holds water, esp as we’ve been shown by various news outlets that Trump’s love of Putin and Russia didn’t start until midway through the campaign.

  35. WRT Labor keeping the company tax cuts their line should be ‘with the profligate waste of taxpayers money this government is responsible for, Labor will have to wait to see the true state of Australia’s finances that these economic vandals will burden future generations with’, or words to that effect.

  37. It is rather difficult to follow conversations, compared to the old format.

    This new one is built along the lines of every other blog and article in Crikey and how their comments unfold. However, Pollbludger is different. We have discussions that can go on for days or weeks about various things and so it is important that we can go back and forth easily within each thread. Also, if you have been out of the loop for any reason you can read yourself into the conversation by going through the pages until you get up to speed.

    No more.

    Now you just want to tear your hair out in frustration as you try and get the gist of the day’s contributions, and it’s virtually impossible anyway because (and even though it may not still be for others), when you press ‘Load More’, all you get is the posts you have already read plus a few older ones. Not good enough!

    As I said before, Pollbludger is different to the other blogs and articles. They have a short lifespan and usually people put in their comment, and that’s that. Very rarely do they reply to another commenter, or start a conversation.

    So, Crikey, please take all this into account. Don’t bland Pollbludger out. Don’t take away it’s life force by making it like all the other pages of Crikey. You will be committing Bludger Butchery! And I will have you up on charges!

    (*sarcasm alert*)

  38. Since I posted the original comments by Dr Gannon about the job losses from Hazelwood shut-down, I feel I must also post the rebuttal by other doctors, who consider that health should be the first consideration of the medicos.

    Members of the Australian Medical Association have threatened to quit over comments by the national president, Dr Michael Gannon, that the impact of job losses from Victoria’s Hazelwood power plant closure should be considered as well as the health benefits.

    Gannon has been accused of contradicting clear AMA policy on clean air and going back on his pledge to be less political than his predecessor, but the head of Australia’s peak medical body has denied both accusations.

    The AMA’s former vice president Dr Stephen Parnis told the Doctors for the Environment Australia conference on Sunday that Gannon’s comments were “a wilful distortion of AMA policy”.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/apr/02/doctors-reject-ama-chiefs-stance-on-hazelwood-closure-and-health?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

  39. C@t

    So, Crikey, please take all this into account. Don’t bland Pollbludger out. Don’t take away it’s life force by making it like all the other pages of Crikey. You will be committing Bludger Butchery!

    I agree 1000 times with your whole post. I cannot understand what ‘improvements’ they wanted to make and now some bludgers are welcoming the new distortions as if they were intended and not mistakes.

  40. C@t:

    Musrum was able to mitigate the changes Crikey made to PB the last time, so maybe he can create some workaround solutions for these changes.

  41. On the business tax cuts passed by Xenophon et al:

    Mr Morrison would not say what the impact of the measures passed on Friday would be.
    “We are committed to getting the full dividend of the full plan,” he said.

    Mr Bowen said the fact the treasurer did not answer the question was telling.
    “You would need to find a microscope to find the economic dividend,” he told reporters in Sydney.
    “It just goes to show that this government’s slogan of jobs and growth is just that.

    http://www.news.com.au/national/breaking-news/get-microscope-to-see-tax-cut-benefit-alp/news-story/fa0369964386988850d075dd2a0a8ac9

  42. confessions,
    We shouldn’t have to rely on Musrum, should we?

    Though I do wonder where he has got to lately? 🙂

  43. I reckon Pollbludger is being subsumed into the Crikey borg. Unless William finds a new home for his blog quickly, he is going to lose both his uniqueness and many of his regulars. This may not matter much to either of them, of course.

    As it is, most of the PB old-timers know to go ‘over the road’ to get BKs morning news service. I guess more and more of us will just end up not coming back.

  45. http://www.news.com.au/national/breaking-news/get-microscope-to-see-tax-cut-benefit-alp/news-story/fa0369964386988850d075dd2a0a8ac9

    When I think about those Tax Cuts, I’m sure the political dividend for the Coalition was just as important to their thinking as the actual ‘Jobs and Growth’ dividend.

    You could see it in the interview with Morrison this morning on Insiders. He used the success of it to launch, yet another, attack on Labor, as much as to praise it’s effectiveness as a policy. Maybe moreso to use it to facilitate an attack on Labor.

    Such that, in the end, all it ends up achieving is more jiggery pokery that the Coalition can engage in against Labor.

    No wonder the electorate is pining for the good old days when governments got things done for the benefit of the nation rather than the benefit of their side of the political aisle.

  46. Player One

    I have tasted the wares across the road and although there are some lovely people posting there whom I used to know, the blog is (I think deliberately) more slow moving and doesn’t suit me, as I’m a bit of a chatterbox.

  49. lizzie

    I agree 1000 times with your whole post. I cannot understand what ‘improvements’ they wanted to make and now some bludgers are welcoming the new distortions as if they were intended and not mistakes.

    Agreed. The new format will be popular with the hit-and-run style posters we get here these days. But it does not encourage the long (sometimes too long!) in-depth discussion that has been one of the features of PB.

    I can see a PhD paper being written on how the formatting/interaction model of a blog encourages or discourages particular political leanings. You could make a fairly good argument that the old style encouraged ‘lefties’ who prefer to argue policy and facts, and that the new style will encourage those on the right who prefer to rely on press releases and factoids.

  50. MTBW

    You’re not very bright, are you? Our sympathies are entirely with William and his excellent work on PB. He’s not the one making changes.

Comments Page 19 of 22
1 … 18 19 20 … 22

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *