The first Newspoll of the year, courtesy of The Australian, has Labor with a lead of 54-46, compared with 52-48 in the final poll last year, from primary votes of Coalition 35% (down four), Labor 36% (steady), Greens 10% (steady) – and, impliedly, One Nation rather a lot. Notwithstanding his newly elevated international profile, Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings are all but unchanged, with approval up one to 33% and disapproval down one to 54%, while Bill Shorten is down two to 32% and up three to 54%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 42-30, little different from the 41-32 result last time. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1734. Hat tip to the always reliable James J.
UPDATE: One Nation is said to be on 8%, and from what I can gather, this is related in The Australian’s report and not in the tables. This is important, because it suggests that Newspoll’s opening question continues to limit response options to the major parties, the Greens and others, with those opting for the latter prompted to be more specific. This would, if anything, tend to result in their support being underestimated. By contrast, the Western Australian state poll published on Friday included One Nation up front.
JR
😆
Steven Colbert in absolutely cracking form.
http://www.slate.com/blogs/browbeat/2017/02/07/stephen_colbert_is_a_bowling_green_massacre_truther.html?wpsrc=sh_all_dt_tw_top
Oooh boy. Them’s fighting words from the Speaker in the Commons about the prospect of Trump addressing the House:
https://www.facebook.com/nytimes/videos/1816230631927784/
Monica Lynagh
I outlined an exit path which may afford some honour. Whether a former Sydney property speculator, Golden Sacks Bankster, Investment Bankster and notorious Cayman Fanboi could be interested in honour is another thing 🙂
,.,
ctar1 @ #1301 Tuesday, February 7, 2017 at 8:14 pm
Sorry, fully booked. Mowing tomorrow plus a little more fence panel adjusting.
Thanks for the thought.
Goodnight all. ♡☚
Poroti,
Laura Keat is a well known enemy agent that chatters against the national interest.
The biggest bang for buck that any terrorist could have in Australia is to do what pastoralists have been doing for two centuries: importing weed bombs.
A handful of seeds in your muesli bar and you’re off!
Even less detectable would be propagules of various diseases of crop and stock.
Easy as.
So no one bothered to watch Leigh Sales tummy rub of Scott Morrison on 7.30 then? 😉
Boer
Biggest act of terrorism in Australia would be a match on a day of high fire danger.
Boerwar
What’s that ‘imported’ grass up the NT ? Grows way high and burns like Kfluck ?
P
Mission grass?
Z
Too much competition.
Around 40% of wildfires are lit by kiddies on their way home from school, nutters, and fire brigade members.
Poroti,
Marijuana?
C
Yesterday I offered the view that Morrison has had voice training over the holidays: improved modulation, phrasing, tone, timing… it was all there. There was the occasional emergence of the real Scomo but mostly he remembered his pees and queues.
Today we were back to total spit-flecked word war.
He lost it all in just 24 hours.
Mission grass
https://nt.gov.au/environment/weeds/list-of-declared-weeds-in-the-nt/mission-grass
Boerwar
No but you reminded me . Gamba Grass. The flame intensity stuffs things right up.
You can imagine how this stuff goes up in smoke !
Looks a bit like this.
P
Nice little extinction drivers.
‘So no one bothered to watch Leigh Sales tummy rub of Scott Morrison on 7.30 then?’
Or the subsequent promotional piece on a RWNJ anti-islam group.
I could have sworn at one point in the Morrison interview that Morrison was doing a little “bop” like “oh yeah Scott, you’re nailing this one”.
jacol,
He’s dreaming. The transition is being set up for Dutton.
Why do you think that GG?
You sound surprised. Sales is back, ergo…..
Dear media: I realise it’s the line the government’s given you – which is all the more reason why you shouldn’t use it – but the number of votes Bernardi received below the line has no significance whatsoever. *
Your job should be to point this out, not keep hammering away as if the number meant something.
*He was number one on the Liberal ticket. Putting a 1 above the line elected him just as effectively as putting a one below it.
Sales made a gallant attempt to get ScoMo to answer the actual question she was asking.
Z – he was 2nd because it was a DD – I was surprised when someone pointed this out because Bernardi’s always been firmly in first place at every half Senate election, but clearly the SA libs weren’t completely delusional and Birmingham had the top spot in the last election.
zoom:
Bernardi was No. 2 on the Lib ticket last election. Birmingham was No. 1
Boomy,
Dutton hits all the buttons for the disaffected and probably has the grudging respect of the Lib moderates.
zoomster
Tuesday, February 7, 2017 at 9:14 pm
Sales made a gallant attempt to get ScoMo to answer the actual question she was asking.
She did; but new tricks is what we watch(decision by others); why waste time listening to a waste of space? A reasonable view I suppose.
Jackol
Thanks for the correction, but it really doesn’t alter the point. (If that sounds snarky, it isn’t meant to be, but I can’t work out how to word it so it doesn’t…)
zoom:
Dutton, Mutton, Button, can’t see it myself. He’s just dull. Is that what they think Australians want?
Boomy,,
Joh was the compromise candidate when he ascended power.
Just because you don’t like it, doesn’t mean it’s not going to happen.
I’m not claiming Bernardi is at all appealing, just criticising the media reporting!
Boomy1
“. Is that what they think Australians want?”
.No, it is what the RWNJ wing of the party want and they have the support of the 2GB demographic. It will not end well for them. How sad too bad.
…and then there’s the report on cats which seems to be simply confirming stuff everyone knew anyway, which is to be followed up by another research project into stuff everyone knows about cats anyway…
I’m only assuming that you don’t like it either, and so it may not happen. If it does hell in a handbasket is looking good.
Boomy1,
Yes.
But if Turnbull is toppled he’s just as likely take a coterie of moderates and form a coalition Government with Labor.
Arguably Trump’s most controversial pick to date in terms of how the congressional vote has gone.
GG
Labor wouldn’t be interested. In that scenario, they’d push for an election.
Zoomster:
And you’re right about the media reporting. Bernardi is no Aus Trump, far from it. I expect him to disappear into the ether now he’s cut himself free from the Libs. To be honest I’m still shocked he was stupid enough to do this – I never expected he’d leave the security of a safe Senate seat for life.
Why would Labor be up for this? Turnbull has repeatedly shown himself to be no friend of workers or any of the people Labor defends in its policies.
If Turnbull is toppled I can’t see him fighting anything or anyone. He’ll just go and spend his money. Anyway, you could count a coterie of moderates in this Liberal party on one hand. Last time I looked Pyne was a moderate. Can’t imagine him doing anything with Labor.
z,
Probably, but with Shorten as PM!
Boomy,
You’re in a parliament with a 1 seat majority. If 2 or 3 went with Turnbull it’s good night nurse.
Well, I’m shell-shocked. Just watched the first episode of Ice Wars. I think I’ll hug my kids a little closer tonight.
after Windsor and Oakeshott I cannot begin to imagine that any of this crop of Libs would have the ticker for it. They are all as weak as piss. Already
(didn’t finish)
Already they are eating themselves.
Boomy,
So you thinks it’s going to be a “never ending Cory”?
I think he’s flown too close to the sun GG, I’m looking forward to the landing.