BludgerTrack: 52.8-47.2 to Labor

Labor retains its solid lead on the latest reading of the national poll aggregate, although a Galaxy poll of federal voting intention in Queensland has taken some of the shine off Labor’s position on the seat projection.

The latest reading of BludgerTrack records next to no movement on national voting intention, the only new addition to the dataset being a status quo Essential Research result. However, the Coalition has picked up two in Queensland on the seat projection on the back of a relatively good set of numbers from the Queensland-only Galaxy poll published by the Courier-Mail yesterday. This found the Coalition at 39%, compared with 43.2% at the election; Labor at 30%, compared with 30.9%; the Greens on 8%, compared with 8.8%; and One Nation with 12%, compared with 5.5%. The poll was conducted Wednesday and Thursday of the week before last from a sample of 900. No new data on leadership ratings this week.

bt2019-2016-11-16

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

381 comments on “BludgerTrack: 52.8-47.2 to Labor”

Comments Page 8 of 8
1 … 7 8

  1. sprocket_ @ #350 Monday, November 21, 2016 at 9:40 pm

    Am hearing on good authority that Senator Roberts is inflexible, set in his beliefs, stubborn, won’t be swayed by any empirical evidence, cogent argumentbnor appeal to precautionary principle.
    Shocked? Yes, slightly. But this is what we are dealing with.

    Shirley, you jest?

  2. mari @ #653 Monday, November 21, 2016 at 8:19 pm

    Bemused I think you had better check David Rowe’s cartoon date it was today 21st November

    Oops.. I got the date wrong. It was actually 1st Sept.
    If you don’t believe me, here it is.
    http://www.afr.com/photogallery/news/politics/david-rowes-cartoons-20160901-gr6n1o?&utm_source=social&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=nc&eid=socialn:twi-14omn0055-optim-nnn:nonpaid-27/06/2014-social_traffic-all-organicpost-nnn-afr-o&campaign_code=nocode&promote_channel=social_twitter

  4. View From the Street:

    It’s the beginning of the final sitting fortnight of the year for the Australian Parliament, and it looks awfully like being fieldwork for a thesis entitled “The 2016 Double Dissolution: who thought that was a great idea?”

    The government of Malcolm Turnbull looks set to attempt to pass the pieces of legislation which acted as the triggers for the dissolution of parliament and the subsequent election, and two of the senators put in the upper house thanks to said election will not be participating for reasons that are a wee bit embarrassing.

    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/view-from-the-street/malcolm-turnbull-is-about-to-find-out-if-the-double-dissolution-election-was-worth-it-20161120-gsto5g.html

  6. Bludgers might like to consult this, especially if they can find an interpretation by Claudio Arrau. .

    Schubert Allegretto in C Minor D 925

  7. mari @ #705 Monday, November 21, 2016 at 9:59 pm

    .@roweafr’s latest cartoon. For more: https://t.co/c2WDggo9bj #auspol https://t.co/amTVcgrYjt
    Bemused please check or have your eyes tested this cartoon was tweeted at 5.40pm today 21st November 2016

    Tweeted by a twit who didn’t read the date on the AFR and obviously posted here by another twit who similarly did not read the date on the AFR.
    It was published in the AFR on Sep 1 2016 at 6:43 AM – copied off the page.

  10. It is not in the least bit consoling but, as Arrau noted, the piece has an unblemished chastity. Surely in this of all times, such a quality is to be held dear.

  11. Bemused

    I looked at your link. What I saw was a page dated September 2016, but a cartoon dated 22 November 2016. And the cartoon before is dated 21 November.

  13. p
    Wadhams has been doing a bit of over-enthusiastic forecasting of an ice free Arctic.
    That is ammo for the deniers, no more, no less.
    If this year is to be ice-free, then there is every point in letting it happen without jumping the gun on predicting it.
    If not, STFU about it being ice-free, IMO.
    The realities of the cryosphere are bad enough without getting Arctic sea-ice extent predictions wrong.
    IMO, self promotion with potentially destructive downside and no upside.

  15. Newspoll

    53-47 2PP to ALP

    Primaries: Coalition 38, Labor 38, Greens 10, Others 14
    Turnbull: Satisfied 34, Dissatisfied 54
    Shorten: Satisfied 36, Dissatisfied 51
    Better PM: Turnbull 43, Shorten 33

    Nov 17-20, 1846 sample

  16. Bemused for once admit you are wrong last word from me as can’t be bothered arguing with you as you are a complete idiot ,now know why people can’t be bothered talking to you,which will be me from now on too. I do not know how a tweet sent at 5. 40 pm today plus the answering tweets can be misconstrued but sure you will find a way.,with a bit of abuse as well

  17. Apparently Alec Baldwin will be inaugerated in 8 weeks.
    The real Trump will be sent off to a back room at Madame Tussaud’s, ready for exhibition when required.

  25. mari @ #716 Monday, November 21, 2016 at 10:13 pm

    Bemused for once admit you are wrong last word from me as can’t be bothered arguing with you as you are a complete idiot ,now know why people can’t be bothered talking to you,which will be me from now on too. I do not know how a tweet sent at 5. 40 pm today plus the answering tweets can be misconstrued but sure you will find a way.,with a bit of abuse as well

    What are your nickers in a twist about?

  26. Bemused I think you’ll find that while the gallery or container is dated 1 Sep and starts with the cartoon of 31 Aug the date it was last updated was today and so the last image is tomorrow’s cartoon, 22 Nov, and that is the one Mari tweeted. The 1 Sep date on the image gallery has throw you off the track.

Comments Page 8 of 8
1 … 7 8

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *