Galaxy: 52-48 to Labor in Victoria

A Galaxy poll suggests that law and order issues are a headache for Daniel Andrews’ Victorian government, which nonetheless maintains the modest lead that brought it to power two years ago.

The Herald-Sun today carries a Galaxy poll on Victorian state voting intention which suggests very little has changed since the November 2014 election result. The poll has Labor with 37% of the primary vote, compared with 38.1% at the election, with the Coalition unchanged at 42% and the Greens up half a point to 12%. Two-party preferred is likewise as it was at the election, going 52-48 to Labor. However, Daniel Andrews has a rather narrow lead over Matthew Guy as preferred premier, of 36-31. The Herald-Sun’s reportage leads with attitudinal questions courting discontent on law and order, with 64% saying the government wasn’t tough enough on youth crime compared with 20% who believed that it was; 44% saying Victoria had become less safe since Labor came to power compared with 15% for more safe; and 68% believing the authorities were not “winning the battle” against the Apex street gang, chiefly noted for disturbances at the Moomba festival in March, compared with only 10% who thought they were. No field work dates or sample size are provided, as far as I can see.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

One comment on “Galaxy: 52-48 to Labor in Victoria”

  1. William Bowe – you have overlooked a very large ReachTel poll from Tasmania commissioned by the Mercury, released last week. Kevin Bonham has the details on his blog.

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