Essential Research state polling

Quarterly state polling finds the Coaltion’s lead narrowing in New South Wales, Labor taking the lead in Western Australia, and the Nick Xenophon Team on the rise in South Australia.

Essential Research has released results of polling on state voting intention compiled from its polling conducted from April through to June:

New South Wales: the Coalition leads 52-48, down from 56-44 the previous quarter, from primary votes of Coalition 44% (down three), Labor 37% (up three) and Greens 9% (down one). Sample: 3769.

Victoria: Labor’s lead is steady at 53-47, from primary votes of Labor 38% (steady), Coalition 41% (steady), Greens 12% (down one). Sample: 2803.

Queensland: Labor’s lead is down from 52-48 to 51-49, from primary votes of Labor 37% (down three), LNP 40% (steady), Greens 8% (down one). Sample: 2251.

Western Australia: Labor leads 51-49 after trailing 52-48 last time, from primary votes of Labor 39% (up five), Liberal-Nationals 42% (down two), Greens 10% (down two). Sample: 1105.

South Australia: Labor’s lead is down from 54-46 to 51-49, from primary votes of Labor 34% (down three), Liberal 30% (down one), Nick Xenophon Team 20% (up five), Greens 7% (down two). Sample: 912.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

One comment on “Essential Research state polling”

  1. Pretty good effort for Andrews mid-term. He’s avoided the Liberal approach of doing stuff-all until the shadow of an election. Currently he’s taking a bit of heat for various infrastructure projects but, at election time, with those ventures well progressed and a healthy budget surplus he’s looking like most secure premier.

    Having a clown show in Canberra probably helps as well.

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