Newspoll: 50-50

Even stevens from Newspoll, which has a further poll finding Barnaby Joyce hanging on for dear life in New England.

With a fortnight to go, Newspoll finds two-party preferred steady at 50-50, from primary votes of Coalition 41% (up one), Labor 36% (up one) and Greens 10% (steady). We are also informed that the Nick Xenophon Team is at 29% in South Australia. On personal ratings, Malcolm Turnbull is down one on approval to 36% and steady on disapproval at 51%, while Bill Shorten is up two to 35% and down one to 51%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 45-30 to 46-31. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1805.

The Australian also has a Newspoll result showing Barnaby Joyce with a lead of just 51-49 in New England, from primary votes of 48%, 36% for independent Tony Windsor, 7% for Labor and 3% for the Greens. This was part of the same marginal seat polling that was mostly released on Saturday, being conducted Monday to Wednesday from a sample of 523.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,417 comments on “Newspoll: 50-50”

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  1. Shorter Turnbull: It won’t trickle down. It will piss down.

    And arrogantly says if it doesn’t work out this way for you, then chuck us out of govt.

    Seriously?

  2. Turnbull stutters and repeatedly points his hand at the questioner to cover his delay as he struggles for answers

  3. Guardian:
    The questioner persists.

    Q: There is no requirement on companies to invest in jobs. They could just pocket the windfall. So it seems to me to be an experiment at the expense of services that Australian taxpayers expect?

    Malcolm Turnbull says first up the tax cuts are for small firms. If you don’t like the results of the first three years of a re-elected Turnbull government, you can chuck me out, the prime minister says.

    Fucking hopeless

    I’m asking for a three year renewal of my government’s job, serving you.

  4. Compare the rapidity with which Shorten gets to the point of his answers compared to Turnbull’s struggle to even approach that point.

  5. Seriously, is it a good look to claim that suicide touches you closely because people kill themselves in your electorate?

  6. I find it a teensy bit hard to believe that the Libs are tracking to win Adelaide. I could believe a Xenophon insurgency, but I doubt many Labor voters who desert them for Nick X will preference the Liberals before Labor coming back.

    Not going to give Murdoch a click, even were it not paywalled, but I would suggest that you can only get to a Liberal with some creative NXT preference assumptions.

  7. Sunday Telegraph hammered Turnbull over cuts to Headspace & it’s importance in tackling youth suicide. He can emote as much as he likes about how much The Gap in his electorate moves him deeply, but he needs to saddle up more strongly on this one.

  8. zoomster @ #1176 Monday, June 20, 2016 at 10:23 pm

    Seriously, is it a good look to claim that suicide touches you closely because people kill themselves in your electorate?

    People in Sydney, especially in the Eastern Suburbs, grew up in the knowledge that the Gap was the prime suicide spot. Going on about it does not help anyone and does not give him any insight, just because it is in his electorate.

  9. Now he lectures us on “RUOK?” as if he can up with it! A bit gutless for him to duck Govt responsibility for addressing youth suicide by giving us a lecture on how “we’re all responsible” for reaching out to youth at risk …

  10. Something tells me that tomorrow Q&A will get a ton of harsh criticisms in the media, including calls to defund / sell / disband the ABC.

  11. Norwester
    Fair do’s tho. Truffles has been part of the 0.01% for a number of years. Before that he was merely in the 0.1-1% so zero chance he would have even the slightest idea about the lives of the peasantry.

  12. Confessions
    Having grown up in Sydney I have to say that saying someone went to the Gap was a euphemism for suicide. it was the suicide place. I rather thought thath Turnbull was about to speak about something very personal and changed his mind.

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