This week’s big result for the Coalition from Ipsos has had a solid impact on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, which shifts a further 0.9% on two-party preferred and four seats on the seat projection, including one each in New South Wales, Victoria, Western Australia and South Australia. The two other pollsters to report this week were essentially stable, but both are being downweighted by the model owing to their idiosyncrasies: Morgan for having the Coalition several points higher than the rest of the pack, and Essential Research for its characteristically sedate reading of the recent Coalition surge. New leadership ratings from Ipsos push Bill Shorten’s personal rating to a new low with no sign of the downward trend abating, whereas Malcolm Turnbull now appears to have reached his equilibrium point.
Other news from around the place:
• Sharon Bird, Labor’s member for the safe seat of Cunningham in the Illawarra region, faces a preselection challenge from Misha Zelinsky, described by Nick McLaren of the ABC as “an official with the Australian Workers Union, former NSW government policy advisor and criminal defence lawyer”.
• The Liberal National Party has preselected Nic Monsour, managing director of a consultancy and brother-in-law of Campbell Newman, as its candidate for the southern Brisbane seat of Moreton, which Graham Perrett gained for Labor in 2007 and did well to retain in 2013.
• The Nationals have preselected Marty Corboy, a manager at a Wangaratta stockfeed business, as its candidate for the seat of northern Victorian seat of Indi, which independent Cathy McGowan won from Liberal member Sophie Mirabella, who will also be a candidate again.
• Georgie Burgess of the Launceston Examiner reports that the Liberals’ Tasmanian Senate preselection is pitting incumbents Eric Abetz and Stephen Parry against Sally Chandler, a trade expert who was pipped at the post by Jacqui Lambie as the Liberals’ number three candidate in 2013, and Jonathon Duniam, deputy chief-of-staff to Will Hodgman.
• Roy Morgan had one of its occasional polls on the biggest issues facing the country and the world. Terrorism and war came back to life late last year after a long quiet spell, though more as an international than a local issue. The economy is on a long upward trend at local level, but the terrorism and war resurgence looks to have taken the edge off it in the international result. The results are from a phone poll of 647 respondents conducted a month ago.
Climate Council presser now.
“@MayneReport: @rupertmurdoch must be furious Chris Mitchell has signed with Melbourne University Press to produce two books, rather than Harper Collins.”
TPOF – I agree: I would be surprised if they didn’t have a senior lawyer (maybe even a silk) vet the potential charges before they served a search warrant on a federal minister. That means … it’s popcorn time.
Guytaur – Sounds like a big win for Harper Collins, to me. Don’t they realise that only latte-sipping lefties read books anymore. Good luck, Chris.
BB at 1
Agree, it was always for show, an understandable display of anger.
Were we honestly to believe that these locations were new & targeted only now or that they were long known & just waiting for such an event to occur to make them worthy of bombing?
All good bombing practice in any case (as long as there was no collateral damage).
The more interesting element I think is the Russian admission of their plane being destroyes by a bomb. Either ISIS are biting off more than they can chew or Russia is being dragged into a quagmire.
@ABCTV: Following the final episode of #HittingHome, join us for a special edition of #QandA on domestic violence next Wednesday, 9.30pm
Maybe I’m just in an overly cynical mood, but it seems that the more ugly, divisive and unfair the Government’s policies get (cuts to medicare and education funding, GST increases, lip service to climate change, green “lawfare” bans etc), the more that voters believe that Turnbull is the only one who can save them.
Because, you know, he is actually an insurgent who doesn’t really WANT any of these things and all of his apparent actions to the contrary are simply part of a cunning strategy to defeat the Coalition.
*sigh*
Gary Johns in Rupert’s nasty little rag.
[Two charities, among many, purposely set out to harm other Australians. The Australian Conservation Foundation has vowed to take Adani to court to prevent its Carmichael coalmine from proceeding, thus denying any and all users of coal its considerable benefits. Lock the Gate Alliance has set out to deny Australians access to gas from fracking sources, thus denying any and all users its considerable benefits. How organisations that deliberately set out to harm others are charitable, and are granted the privilege of charitable status, is beyond me.
The respective charities’ propositions about coal and climate change, and fracking gas and water pollution, are highly contestable. Yet governments grant charitable status to organisations that campaign for one point of view, views that many Australians would reject vehemently.
As Bjorn Lomborg pointed out in The Weekend Australian, the difference in the world’s temperature in 2100 between a do-nothing scenario and the Paris promises, which may include switching from coal, is 0.05C.]
It’s great to see these climate change denying losers twisting and turning as their bosses centralised cash cows go down the gurgler. As if Lomborg had any credibility…
BOB – Hopefully, by the next election, the voters will realise old Malcolm is a triple-agent. At the moment, they’ve tuned out. Wait till they re-engage.
[“Mal Brough now under investigation for a serious offence, officially. Cops have raided his home.”]
HORSE RADISH.
Why post lies?
He was visited by AFP. Uno… like when someone knocks on your door and says “can I please come in and have a chat?”.
Anyways Brough has happily supplied any documentation
[“@MayneReport: @rupertmurdoch must be furious Chris Mitchell has signed with Melbourne University Press to produce two books, rather than Harper Collins.”]
well, if you sack someone you can’t expect them to sign with you can you?
I hope one of the books is all about Manning Clarke’s Order of Lenin and the stalinist communist conspiracy still at large in Australia (& the ABC and Greens in particular). The other will either be about: saving the world from the pinko global warming plot; the need for indigenous people to just get over it, become white and sell their land to miners asap; or why decades of systematic child abuse and cover up in the catholic church is not nearly as bad as when child abuse due to drugs, alcohol and inter-generational displacement and despair happens in some remote indigenous communities.
MUP risk becoming Connor Court or some other RWNJ publishing house and I hope they lose a lot of dough on this.
Trog,
I gave Telstra the flick a long time ago but in your circumstances you don’t really have a choice do you?
Of course, the discrimination by Telstra re electronic bills and electronic communication is not limited to that organisation.
A while ago I was unable to open an internet-based business bank account on behalf of a NFP organisation at one of the major banks because I didn’t have a mobile phone. The customer service officer wouldn’t sanction sending initial password by email to my PC. Suffice to say I went elsewhere to a customer-focused bank that had no such barrier and have enjoyed ongoing professional service responsive to my organisation’s needs.
Poor people being slugged with extra charges to access basic services simply because they are too poor to own the information technology as dictated by some corporations is a bugbear of mine!
Yet again, poor people bearing the brunt of filling the coffers of corporations so they can maintain their obscene profits and pay unconscionable salaries to amoral executive and distribute dividends to more fortunate shareholders.
Malcolm Turnbull has effectively the same policies as Abbott, the only difference is the media fawn over Turnbull whereas with Abbott they wanted to attack him mercilessly over complete non-stories.
Because Turnbull doesn’t sound like he’s the living walking embodiment of stupidity
https://newmatilda.com/2015/11/19/countries-with-significant-muslim-populations-have-overwhelmingly-unfavourable-view-of-islamic-state-poll-finds/
[Islamic State is comprehensively failing to capture the hearts and minds of Muslims around the world. Max Chalmers reports.
New data from 11 countries with significant Muslim populations has revealed a consistently negative view of the so-called ‘Islamic State’ group, according to the company that undertook the research.
Polling by the respected US-based Pew Research Centre conducted in April and May this year found that in every one of the countries bar one the overwhelming majority of the population had an unfavourable view of the group.]
From the same article:
[The only country in which an overwhelmingly unfavourable impression was not recorded was Pakistan, where 62 per cent of respondents said they did not know, or would not respond to the question. Pakistan has been heavily targeted by the United State’s drone campaign which, according to independent investigations and reports, has resulted in a staggeringly high rate of civilian casualties. Separate Pew Research polling has shown the US is viewed in unfavourable terms in the country, and that close to seven out of 10 people living in Pakistan think drone strikes kill too many innocent people.]
Gary Johns is a rolled gold fool. Where does Labor get these people from?
On second thoughts, no answer necessary.
I have been out and about and surprised to hear ABC radio reporting that Mal Brough had a visit from the AFP re the stolen diaries.
Is Turnbull going to come back to Oz anytime soon. Surely he will need to be asked whether Brough should be sitting on the front bench at present
TrueBlueAussie@110
Rather than just digging stuff out of the ground, Australia should look at burying stuff… specifically nuclear waste.
While people have nervous nellies about Nuclear Waste it is going back to where it’s home is.. underground. Yes it is much more concentrated but these nuclear isotopes occur naturally in nature.
There is potentially billions of dollars of profit available
I also have some working titles for Mitchell’s books:
“Sockpuppet: my life with Rupert”
“News Limited: spinning Newspoll for 25 years”
“Howard and I” (this is a coffee table photography book shot in the style of Rupert Mapplethorpe – not for the faint hearted!)
“Losing profit but winning the war – how to own a government for $30 million per year”
Is it any wonder that Chris Mitchell got the sack. It’s not the stupidity or slant of their columnists, it’s the fact that they pump out the same endless boring garbage day after day. Even their RWNJ readers must struggle.
The Oz report on Brough indicates Slipper is pushing investigation
[months ago after Mr Slipper surprised the AFP with a renewed call for action and a formal complaint about the copying of his dairies, which emerged during the sexual harassment case.
Sources said computer hard drives, mobile phones and diaries had been seized.
Federal police yesterday refused to comment on the investigation after confirming on Tuesday that a number of search warrants had been executed: “As these warrants relate to an ongoing investigation, it is not appropriate to comment further.’’
According to a search warrant, Mr Ashby is alleged to have “accessed restricted data’’ without authorisation and communicated the material to a third party between March 23 and April 12, 2012.]
[Gary Johns is a rolled gold fool. Where does Labor get these people from?]
i think he grew up in a mining town – probably right on or next to the heavy metals tailings pile. Lead is nasty on brain development.
Pegasus
[Yet again, poor people bearing the brunt of filling the coffers of corporations so they can maintain their obscene profits and pay unconscionable salaries to amoral executive and distribute dividends to more fortunate shareholders.]
Which is why there should be a royal commission into the big 4 banks. The banks massive rip offs make the unions pathetic little rorts totally trivial by comparison.
The big dirty energy polluting sorporations are about to come a cropper when most of their assets get left in the ground.
Distributed renewable generation of energy is essentially democratic, as the power (no pun intended) is no longer vested in large corporations. This a major reason, not often expressed, that ‘big capital’ centralised power generation such as nuclear should be opposed.
Link to the Oz report, which strangely has been more detailed in reporting this matter than other media
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/mal-broughs-home-raided-bynbspafp-for-slipper-inquiry/story-fn59niix-1227614503984
I understand that Mitchell resigned so that he could start a career in journalism.
Victoria… Paywalled
Other news cites are saying he was simply visited by AFP and handed over documents.
TotallyBigotedArsehat
[ Yes it is much more concentrated but these nuclear isotopes occur naturally in nature. ]
Many only occur in trace amounts, and some not at all. Don’t you do any research before posting your nonsense?
[ TrueBlueAussie
Posted Thursday, November 19, 2015 at 11:46 am | Permalink
Malcolm Turnbull has effectively the same policies as Abbott, the only difference is the media fawn over Turnbull whereas with Abbott they wanted to attack him mercilessly over complete non-stories.
]
…. Abbott’s fluffer makes another valiant attempt to prop up his hero
As long as Malcolm continues to fart rainbows and sprinkle pixie dust all over us and the world, there ain’t no hope for bovverboy’s return soon ….
From being a minister in the Keating government until it was defeated in 1996 and he lost his seat, Gary Johns then began a new career as a senior fellow at the IPA from 1997 to 2006.
Make of that what you will.
Good one K07. He probably needs some training.
[Rather than just digging stuff out of the ground, Australia should look at burying stuff… specifically nuclear waste.
While people have nervous nellies about Nuclear Waste it is going back to where it’s home is.. underground. Yes it is much more concentrated but these nuclear isotopes occur naturally in nature.
There is potentially billions of dollars of profit available]
so you are Ok for it to be in your backyard?
I happen to agree with you – if we sell uranium we should take back all the wastes. not for profit, but to be more responsible.
I don’t think we should be selling uranium to most of the countries that we do because of the potential and eventual inevitability of failure and thousands of years of pollution.
I would not have too many problems with australia developing nuclear power facilities at appropriate locations here, but there’s no need because there are better forms of base-load power with much lower risk. Nuclear power only makes sense if you discount future costs, and in the case of radioactivity it is ethically bankrupt to discount these costs – basically saying ‘we’ll have 40 years of cheapish power so you can have 100,000s of years of dealing with our wastes’. same story with coal.
MTBW from yesterday..
I am sure I am not a better man 🙂
In Adelaide I have learnt it’s poor form to complain about the heat in November.
With El Niño the duderino I may need to reconsider plans to attend Womad. Last time the duderino was in da house, womad was in the middle of 13days of 35+ Degs. Shocker.
a 50deg day in an Aus capital this season?
Player One,
Artificially created isotopes generally have very short half lifes and turn into other elements.
The issue here is finding a safe place to store all the worlds nuclear waste… it can be either insecurely stored somewhere else, OR stored in the safest location in the world in central Australia. It will also help lift the local Aboriginal owners out of poverty.
Pegasus at 115
“Islamic State is comprehensively failing to capture the hearts and minds of Muslims around the world. Max Chalmers reports.”
Yes, not at all surprising. I have known many muslims in many countries & none have ever suggested anything but horror at ISIS & its affiliates & their actions.
TBA
As Mentioned, the Oz report suggests that It was Slipper who had made a renewed call for the investigation into the stolen diaries. In any case, the AFP dont get approval for search warrants unless there is reasonable cause.
Brough should stand down as minister whilst this investigation is taking place
https://theconversation.com/ultimate-responsibility-for-samarco-dam-disaster-will-haunt-bhp-50924
[With 11 Brazilian villagers confirmed dead and reports of up to 15 still missing – presumably buried under an avalanche of red mud – principles and profit at BHP Billiton have come into harsh collision with each another.
It is hard not to be left with the feeling that the BHP Billiton Annual General Meeting in Perth will mainly be about well-paid, smooth talking, business types in very expensive suits trying to provide the best possible spin on a terrible mining disaster.
This is not the first time in recent history BHP Billiton has had to defend its safety record.
Whatever the pecuniary outcome of the Samarco incident on Australian-based BHP executives, it is likely to be relatively insignificant in view of the size of the remuneration packages involved. But when people lie dead in the mud it may be principles that matter the most.]
[“so you are Ok for it to be in your backyard?”]
If the Government was paying me a huge sum of money, sure why not?
You do know that some of the areas designated for nuclear storage already have the Aboriginal land owners blessing right?
So the question you and Greens types will need to argue is that you don’t want it to be in someones backyard who wants it.
Sustainable future
An excellent set of “best sellers”.
[From being a minister in the Keating government until it was defeated in 1996 and he lost his seat, Gary Johns then began a new career as a senior fellow at the IPA from 1997 to 2006.]
The media just loves former labor people like Johns, Graham Richardson and Michael Costa when they take pot shots at the ALP
Don’t know much about Johns but the other two have a bit in their back story that disqualifies them as credible commentators
TotallyBigotedArsehat
[ Artificially created isotopes generally have very short half lifes and turn into other elements. ]
Yeah. Like plutonium 239. Half life of 24,000 years, and not enough occurs naturally to blow your brains out. Even a very small brain like yours.
Simon Katich
30 degrees in Sydney today and 40 degrees tomorrow I lock myself in the house on days like this I can’t stand it.
I assume Turnbull was asked about Brough
[BuzzFeedOz Politics – Verified account @BuzzFeedOzPol
ASHBYGATE KLAXON
Turnbull: “The answer is yes, I do have confidence in Mal Brough”
5:07 PM – 18 Nov 2015
6 RETWEETS4 LIKES]
vic,
Brough, like everyone is entitled to the presumption of innocence.
At this stage, I’m not sure if he is a person of interest or a material witness. I am aware there are allegations about his role. However, this is speculative.
Were he to be charged or the police reveal him as a person of interest, then yes, he should stand aside from his Ministry for the the duration of the proceedings.
GG
Brough had already admitted to seeking the diaries, receiving them and passing them on. He admitted it on national tv. According to the search warrant, this is a crime. Sinodinos was stood aside for simply being a so called witness at ICAC. Brough should do the same
Adam Majendie @majenterprise 44m44 minutes ago
The Monster #ElNino and why this is the hottest year ever recorded: http://bloom.bg/1NDD1jP #climatechange
I think Brough should be afforded the same treatment as Slipper by the media…….oh wait a minute.
GG
This is what Turnbull said at the time Slipper was accused of harrassment
https://mobile.twitter.com/MalSplaining/status/667147876980555776/photo/1
vic,
I know it’s splitting hairs. But, the Sinodinis situation is different in that specific aspects of his role were being investigated in the Water Holdings matter by ICAC. ICAC is more a court where sworn evidence is being taken.
Brough could just be someone assisting the police in their inquiries. But, that could change. However, to me, at this stage, there is no need to stand aside.