BludgerTrack this week splits the difference between two very different poll results – a dire one for the government from Ipsos, and a much better one from Essential Research – to record next to no change on two-party preferred, with Labor maintaining but not significantly improving on their very substantial gains over the last month. However, the state-level results have been favourable to Labor to the extent of adding two to the seat projection, namely one in New South Wales and one in Victoria. While Essential dampened any shift on voting intention this week, only Ipsos provided new numbers for the leadership ratings, which accordingly see a solid lift in Bill Shorten’s position, such that he has overtaken Tony Abbott on both net approval and preferred prime minister.
Fans of new content are advised to look carefully below this post, where they will find a belated account of the latest Tasmanian EMRS state poll, the regular Seat of the Week, and a reupholstered post on the all-important Canning by-election.
Looks like Galaxy asked about Fed voting intentions in QLD
@GhostWhoVotes: #Galaxy Poll QLD Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 41 (-3) ALP 37 (+1) GRN 10 (0) PUP 3 (+1) #auspol
Anyone’s guess on preferences?
The Guardian reports this swipe by Hastie at Matt Keogh:
He makes a perfect Liberal candidate. They all specialising in denying something at the very moment they are doing it.
http://www.news.com.au/national/queensland-voters-turn-on-prime-minister-tony-abbott-putting-his-government-in-election-losing-position/story-e6frfkp9-1227494534889
charts
Take a bow truthie –
….and drop ya strides!
Yuk !
The thing with the sort of wars we have now is that an irregular force (terrorists/freedom fighters/holy warriors/…) takes on a modern army – the USA and supporting allies, Nato, the USSR – on their (the irregulars’) home patch. Casualties might be 10 to 1 or much much more against the irregular force. The homeland of the irregular force is trashed. Civilian casualties are horrendous, even if the regular force (regarded as invaders by the irregulars) want to avoid or minimise harm to civilians.
In spite of this the irregulars keep on coming. The regular force can’t be defeated. But they can’t win. Even the Soviet forces in Afghanistan, who propably had little reservations about civilian casualties and damage, eventually lost. The irregulars game plan is to absorb casualties and damage and wear down the regulars until they give up – their home populations have little tolerance for casualties or the ongoing economic cost. In recent decades, it has worked.
‘Struggling to stick to the theme of jobs and growth’
Perhaps as the people have heard ‘jobs and growth’ from every politician since time immemorial, the issue is really that they don’t actually have a plan for it
So now it’s just the NSW bogan belt that’s holding out …
We’ll soon see whether a whiff of Abbott inspired unemployment changes their view.
Sandgropers first cab off therank.
Lets see how they jump…
Oh, they’ve already jumped, Dave.
You can buy a good range of jetskis, Holden utes and boats over here very cheaply.
You can even tell where they were previously parked from the dead grass patches near the for sale signs on the McMansions.
Canning!
Fulvio
The dreams come crashing down.
I have a very strong suspicion that a facetious self aggrandising young upstart from t’other side, who presumes to tell them how good they’ve got it, is in for a rude awakening.
Enough to cause him to gnaw his own arm off.
big ice scourge splash across the sunday news corp papers
Wasn’t Tony going to solve that with a new issue of fridge magnets?
The ALP should be working to ensure that Mr Hastie is asked where he stands on some of the nastier stuff which the government is still trying or hoping to push: co-payments, Commission of Audit report recommendations, etc.
The suggestion that he may have been too busy fighting for truth, justice and the American way to think about such things will only get him so far.
TPOF @ 1509
Yes, well, the military chap I mentioned was just an example of a fortunately rare type of authoritarian personality. I’m not sure I have the words to describe it,a subtly arrogant assumption that any opinion they may form of me will have consequences. For me. It seems to go across many professions but not everyone has it. I was friendly with a copper once who went far up the ranks & he was a good bloke.
And @1604 I read that Guardian article & our Mr Hastie comes across as a pretty abrasive type, also eager to play some sort of victim I’d think.
Labor Should just say a vote for Hastie is a vote for Abbott.
You might enjoy this Abbott playing Snakes and Lizards.
BSA Bob
Another classic trait of a Liberal politician.
BSA Bob 1619
No doubt your right.
The Libs picked him AS a “War Hero” who is being brought down by the Evil Labor party and the unions.
Canning is shaping up as a real test of Abbott’s war-making political strategy. It’s about the only thing he has left to try. If it works, he will look to run to a general election at the first opportunity. If it doesn’t, he’s finished.
The Liberal campaign is apparently going to be themed around national rather than local issues. The sub-text for the voters of Canning is that their everyday interests are not the first consideration for the Liberals. This would appear to be the exact opposite of the pastoral politics used by Randall.
Labor should focus on the issues that are really hurting the LNP – jobs, the economy, FTA’s-Workchoices-Wages, education, health, energy and climate, taxes, infrastructure, Abbott’s Captain’s Picks and his flawed judgment.
There is plenty of substance there for Labor…and very little for the Liberals.
It takes England 24 balls from Siddle to score 1 run at the moment
Happiness
It is obviously strange when considered only in terms of the self-serving view that conservatives have of themselves.
It is less strange when considered in terms of how left/liberals view conservatives.
how about…
1. Right = Nationalism (army = Nationalism)
2. Right = Fear/dislike of the foreign/other (army = be ready to kill foreign/other)
3. Right = Respect for traditional authority figures (army = respect for traditional authority figures)
briefly 1623
I agree and with that I say goodnight.
Totally lost it:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-08-22/mark-latham-appearance-disappointing-melbourne-writers-festival/6717484
New thread.