I’m a day late in reporting on this one, but the latest quarterly EMRS survey of voting intention in Tasmania is the softest result for the Liberals since March 2010, crediting them with a primary vote of 40% down from 46% in the May poll (although this followed successive result of 42%), and 51.2% at the March 2014 election. However, this hasn’t done any direct good for Labor, who are steady at 29%. The Greens, who tend to do excessively well in EMRS polls, are up two to 21%, with independents up three to 9%. Reflecting voting intention, both leaders are down three points on preferred premier at the expense of uncommitted, leaving Will Hodgman on 49% and Bryan Green on 21%. The poll was conducted from 1000 respondents over a week from last Saturday to Friday.
A new Tasmanian state poll has the Liberal primary vote at its lowest level in over five years, but still has Labor failing to break 30%.