Newspoll quarterly breakdowns

No surprises in Newspoll’s latest quarterly breakdowns, which show uniform swings across the five states, and find Tony Abbott’s approval ratings down in equal measure across the full range of age and gender cohorts.

It’s likely to be a quiet week on the federal polling front, promising only the usual weekly Essential Research if the usual schedules are observed. However, The Australian is keeping us entertained with the regularly fortnightly Newspoll quarterly breakdowns, and may have more on its way in the shape of state voting intention results from New South Wales, Western Australia and South Australia. The breakdowns aggregate Newspoll’s results from April to June and provide separate results by state, gender, age and geography (specifically the five capitals versus the rest of Australia). It’s the results for the five mainland states that are of most interest, and apart from showing a higher anti-government swing in New South Wales at 54-46 in favour of Labor, they’re not far off the current BludgerTrack readings, with Labor leading 58-42 in Victoria and 55-45 in South Australia, trailing 51-49 in Western Australia, and breaking even in Queensland. The gender, age and geographic breakdowns tell their usual tale. Hat tip: GhostWhoVotes.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

792 comments on “Newspoll quarterly breakdowns”

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  2. [Why then does the same not apply when Abbott’s policies are found to be illegal? Double standards is breathtaking.]

    Yep, the Liberals are viewed as being better handlers of boat arrivals, and this is lapped up almost uncritically by our useless media.

  3. Kezza

    Have you not noticed that I’m happy to criticise the libs on stinking policy just as much as Labor… Hate me for not being a team labor player, I don’t care. I’m happy think think the GP Co payment is crap as much as I think doing something about climate change is crap.

  4. ‘Course not, Kezza.

    He will be in denial even as he works the climate change fire truck and whatever his real job is at age 69.

    As well as paying his children’s education fees.

  5. BREAKING:

    [The High Court has issued an interim injunction preventing the transfer to Sri Lanka of 153 asylum seekers who are missing on a boat bound for Australia.
    The injunction, granted late on Monday in Sydney, applies at least until a hearing resumes on Tuesday afternoon at 2.15pm.
    The asylum seekers are represented by Ron Merkel, QC, who argued to Justice Susan Crennan that the transfer was illegal because the asylum seekers had been deprived the ability to have their claims properly assessed.]

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/high-court-grants-injunction-over-asylum-seeker-boat-20140707-zszfk.html#ixzz36mYyHAdC

  7. Crikey

    [He will be in denial even as he works the climate change fire truck and whatever his real job is at age 69.]

    Is it a crime to be in denial when i’m still paying the climate tax or direct action?

  9. What a farquit this senator is .”I’m not a scientist. I have an open mind” . As for his bullshit waving about the UK Meteorological report as proof global warming has stopped he conveniently forgot to mention the following.

    [The first paper shows that a wide range of observed climate indicators continue to show changes that are consistent with a globally warming world, and our understanding of how the climate system works.

    The final paper shows that the recent pause in global surface temperature rise does not materially alter the risks of substantial warming of the Earth by the end of this century. Nor does it invalidate the fundamental physics of global warming, the scientific basis of climate models and their estimates of climate sensitivity.]

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/news/recent-pause-in-warming

  12. rummel

    I don’t hate you for not being team Labor, I have no time for hypocrisy therefore no time for you.

    You can jump up and down as much as you like about all the shit the LNP has tried to visit upon us, but you knew about it before September 2013.

    We told you. And you pretended to agree with us.

    No need to try to justify your idiocy now.

  13. Yep, Rummel.

    Your heart, your life, your hopes for your family should be in a better place.

    I am amazed that you can be so obtuse, when you risk your life fighting the ever increasing dangers you confront.

    For which I have full sympathy.

  14. [The final paper shows that the recent pause in global surface temperature ]

    but,but,but… I have been called lots of names for daring to say there was a pause on PB, by lots of poster. Now the Met Office is saying there is a pause, things must be dire in the Warmist world if the Met cant ignore it any more.

  15. Rummel

    [I much prefer large scale sola farms like the ACT one then the Middle/top class welfare that was solar subsidies.]

    There are pros and cons to both.

    I, for one, would agree that a centralised solar generation facility that produces multi-megawatt amount of solar energy would be heaps more efficient than separate roof solar panels because:

    1) dedicated facilities have correct angles and direction for maximum solar capture, and
    2) energy storage facilities are more efficient in bulk for low baseload power during non-generational period

    But,

    and I emphasise with big BUT,

    1) Most states are over-reliant on coal and gas burning power generation and are more willing to provide subsidies for that, rather than large-scale solar,
    2) It doesn’t eliminate the issue of the “gold-plating” of poles and wires, where the electricity is still delivered through such infrastructure, and we’re well aware that we’re paying most of our household energy cost to this, and
    3) More than anything, rooftop solar has brought the democratisation of power generation, i.e. we as consumers are directly responsibility for reducing the cost of power generation by taking the power plants home. Depending on how much investment we want to put into home power generation, we sort of adjust the price we’re willing to pay, rather than the fixed cost of buying power supply off power retailers (ok, some variation due to competition).

  19. I swore I would never watch stupid Q&A again. Switched on but my original decision was right.

    Tonight it’s the Judith Sloane show!!!

    What a waste of talent in not using the other three!!!

  20. Raaraa @415

    Agree. Also, the ACT bulk solar will also be subject to proper maintenance and cleaning unlike residential solar unit.

  21. swamprat:

    It’s Qanda. You shoulda known the show would lean to conflict and that of all the panelists Sloan would feed that need for conflict.

  23. [zoidlord
    Posted Monday, July 7, 2014 at 10:01 pm | PERMALINK
    @rummel/414

    So you are agreeing with UK Tory policy on climate change ? lol.]

    If the UK Tory’s believe in reducing our exposure to foreign energy (oil) cartels through renewable energy, then yes.

  25. To be fair Joseph Stiglitz and Ross Garnaut counters sloan and makes this one not too bad. Just filter Sloan out.

  27. [410
    rummel

    Just dumb.

    I can live with that.]

    When it comes to the dishonest, there are three varieties: liars, damned liars and climate change deniers.

  29. Rummel, you really are a low rent, thick headed troll.

    Why don’t you just disappear, and leave the Abbott cheering to halfwits like Mod Lib, who are infinitely better equipped.

  34. They asked Christine what China would think and obviously she said that China would not bat an eyelid due to its own violations.

    However, I wouldn’t be surprised if China would play this card if Australia were to highlight China’s atrocity and would remind us how we failed to keep our ethics in order.

  35. I have also been called lots of names for not following the party line that there will be an el nino this year… it will be neutral to La nada!

  36. Will Scott Morrison be Australia’s first fascist PM. If the economy goes seriously bad with high unemployment and a middle class that has lost much of their assets, how robust is Australian Democracy. Not that much I suspect. Scott Morrison as our Adam Suttler (as in “V”).

  37. How can the High Court issue an interim injunction to stop the transfer of 153 AS to Sri Lanka when it has already occurred?

    Or is that an injunction for Scotty the Dog Whistler to explain his actions?

  41. No wonder Abbott is attacking the ABC. Another two hours of tv very bad for the LNP.

    Three Cheers for our legal system with that High Court Injunction

  45. The other night I posted a link to a site called “Intelligent Jokes”

    These jokes are essentially a play on words. Don’t know if any of you linked to it.

    But I really liked this one (#10):

    [Mahatma Gandhi, as you know, walked barefoot most of the time, which produced an impressive set of calluses on his feet.

    He also ate very little, which made him rather frail and, with his odd diet, he suffered from bad breath….

    This made him a super calloused fragile mystic hexed by halitosis.]

    Quite brought a smile to the dial.

    For the others, see http://www.viralnova.com/intelligent-jokes/

    Nos 5 & 12 kept me thinking, until youngest son arrived. No 20 still has me puzzled. Any ideas?

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