As I type, polling booths in South Australia are set to close at any tick of the clock. I do so from the studios of ABC Television in Adelaide, where I’ll be standing in for Antony Green, who spends the evening grappling with Tasmania’s high-maintenance electoral system. Obviously I won’t have much to offer in the way of live commentary on this site, but here’s a thread where you can call the toss as the results roll in.
Henry
There is a Port player Chad Wingard.
>>Additionally the Greens have managed to improve their vote slightly.
And Pseph wuz gunna go to bed a happy chappy.
Diogenes@295
He got an extra big dollop of entitlement, smugness and arrogance when they were handled out.
Haven’t seen much competence of any kind however.
But Mayo would almost elect a dead dog if it was tory ?
Even after ‘Dolly’.
FFS!
Have we had any SA speeches yet?
One thing the SA election coverage is saying to me is how un-multicultural the Tas society is compared with SA.
Marshall is speaking now.
Premature surely?
So, overall looks like the Coalition will be clearly pleased to take Tasmania, but the fact that the ALP could cling on in SA against expectations means overall honours for the night are largely shared
[And Pseph wuz gunna go to bed a happy chappy.]
I am full of benevolence tonight, Albertrot.
Just told wife it looks like Labor retained South Australia, reckons it was Abbott sowing up and not even being polite enough to invite premier to announcements.
So there you are; Liberals lost SA because Abbott is a rude prick.
52.5% to 47.5% apparently
The polls were OK, particularly Newspoll
[One thing the SA election coverage is saying to me is how un-multicultural the Tas society is compared with SA.]
There are two Dutch Libs in the lower house, Hidding and Petrousma.
Shorter Marshall: cross your fingers and toes for the prepolls.
>>I am full of benevolence tonight, Albertrot.
Still hot to trot after 65 years, comrade.
WOW
Maybe had Abbott campaigned a little more in SA, Labor would have hung on to victory LOL
Marshall talking about having 52.5% of the TPP and hoping the pre-polls will get them thru. Marshall is on drugs.
Elder looks like a Labor retain. Is there any figures as to whether prepoll and postal votes can change that?
Marshall sounding pretty pissweak now. His bubble certainly has burst. If he doesn’t become Premier after all this, his political career is over.
How many times does the liberals have to “wait for the pre-polls”?
Did they not do that in Griffith by-election?
Shorter Shorter Marshall: the regions rock! This sounds like a pitch to the independents for forming minority govt.
Steve Marshall starts with a bribe-a-thon for the Independents – at least he is short.
Liberals lost SA because Abbott is a
rudeprick.Fixed.
At least he was brief!!!!
[at least he is short.]
And ugly.
Carey M:
Did either leader have anything to say in the campaign about the possible event of minority govt?
[At least he was brief!!!!]
There is that.
Given that the Libs have won the majority of the vote, I think the Indies should give them the nod.
[Did either leader have anything to say in the campaign about the possible event of minority govt?]
“I’m not here to discuss hypotheticals, Michelle. We aim to win majority government and I’m confident we will.”
[Raaraa
Posted Saturday, March 15, 2014 at 10:28 pm | PERMALINK
Elder looks like a Labor retain. Is there any figures as to whether prepoll and postal votes can change that?]
I would be interested to know what they have done in the past….I can’t find it.
There were 20,344 votes cast in 2010 in Elder.
There is a 571 difference now after 16,001 votes counted so far.
So the Libs need 57% of the postals (probably unlikely given how the cast votes went)
[Did either leader have anything to say in the campaign about the possible event of minority govt?]
If they did, it would’ve been an evasion. Stuff like “We’ll deal with that if that happens. Best way to avoid a hung parliament is to vote…”
Nobody commits to anything related to minority government until the possibility occurs.
Would Isobel have done better?
If the Greens improved their vote slightly, it must mean that many voters did not want to vote Liberal or Labor.
I wonder how many Loon voters failed to preference Labor under their incomplete voting system of OPV?
HELLO, they have done a Fran and helped the conservatives.
@Centre
SA runs CPV, not OPV, so that is not ultimately an issue.
I wish during these post election speeches that the management would ban squealers. Why do people have to squeal during the speech.
Iwas one cranky parent when one of my kids squealed as a young child. Many a red sore bum in my tribe.
Isn’t SA full preferences, same as Federal? So any Green vote that didn’t have full preferences would be informal?
Also… should be noted how Newspoll’s exit poll performed. Again, got the headline numbers alright, but screwed up the seat-level expectations.
You gotta give it to the South Australians: they know how to keep their speeches short as compared to the Tasmanians.
If Labor win this, that will be four of the their last six electoral wins when they have lost the popular vote.
It’s like the Playmander in reverse.
It’s possible that the party winning the popular vote in SA has lost more often than they have won since the war.
GhostWhoVotes @GhostWhoVotes 1m
#savotes Upper House Seat Projection (49.5% counted): ALP 4 (0) LIB 4 (+1) XEN 1 (-1) FF 1 (0) GRN 1 (0)
For Liberals and their supporters in SA to be whining about the electoral system is, given the history of electoral manipulation under Playford, more than just a bit rich.
YIKES!
2.7% swing away from the LOTO’s own seat! That aint good when you are trying to win over government.
In Marshall’s seat he has had a 2.7% swing against him – only on a 2.2% margin now. He is gone as Opposition Leader – he is a muppet!
Looking at the ABC coverage of Weatherall giving his speech and, undecided or not, the smile is plain to see. Marshall looked pained.
Dio
It’s not how many votes you get, it’s where you get ’em. Not much point winning 10 seats by thousands if you lose 11 by a hundred.
AJ Canberra
NSW is the only State I’m sure about. Why? Because it is the most important 😀
Okay, okay, I get the message re the question about minority govt.
Weatherill has confirmed in his speech that Labor are in for negotiating with the indies to form govt in SA. So I guess it’s a moot point now.
Here is an interesting thing:
Since the method of electing senators and their short term replacements was changed in 1977 only 2 NSW Labor Senators have not been party officials/union heavies/ ministerial advisors. 1. Belinda Neal whose only apparent claim to public office was that she slept with someone from the inner party, 2. Deb o’Neill who mercifully brought the political career of 1. To an end.
Bob Carr could almost qualify but he did spend some time as an education officer of the Trades Council
dave
Mayo went down to the line in 1998. Dolly won by <2%
The more Briggs gets painted with the Abbott brush the less people will like him (his higher profile will hurt him IMO)
There was also a 2% swing to Labor in Bragg today.
Putting Marshall up there was a sign of hubris on the part of the Libs. The guy was an empty suit and they assumed that SA would fall the same way as QLD and NSW did… relying on a small-target strategy and the unpopularity of the government to drag them over the line.
When push came to shove, as the election got closer… there was no wave, there was no sense of momentum, it became a race. The big problem was that the Libs were cornered and Marshall was exposed as the inexperienced joke he was. Who’d have thunk the ALP would get swings TO them in ANY of their marginals…
[It’s like the Playmander in reverse.]
The Rednamyalp.
[Marshall looked pained.]
Marshall looked f*cked. I’m sorry, but there’s no other way to say it.
How does a LOTO go from being a sure frickin thing to being a feather duster in a matter of weeks? This election was the Liberals for their taking, and they messed it up.
If Labor form minority govt then Marshall is surely gone.