UPDATE (Essential Research and Morgan): Essential Research is still at 50-50, although Labor has been up three points on the primary vote over the past fortnight, the most recent move being one point to 39%. The Coalition, Greens and Palmer United are steady at 43%, 8% and 3%. There are also personal ratings and further questions which you can read about at the bottom of the post. Morgan has the Labor lead narrowing from 53-47 to 52-48 on respondent-allocated preferences, and from 52.5-47.5 to 51-49 on previous election preferences. On the primary vote, the Coalition is up a point to 40.5%, Labor steady on 37%, the Greens down one to 10.5% and Palmer United up 1.5% to 4.5%.
GhostWhoVotes reports the first Newspoll for the year has Labor leading 51-49, compared with 52-48 in the final poll of last year, which was conducted from December 6-8. Labor has dropped three points on the primary vote to 35%, but the slack is taken up by the Greens, who are up three to 12%, with the Coalition up by one point to 41%. The results also support Essential Research’s finding that a good deal of air went out of Bill Shorten’s honeymoon balloon over the break, his approval rating down five points to 35%. More to follow.
UPDATE: James J in comments serves up the personal ratings, which have Tony Abbott perfectly unchanged at 40% approval and 45% disapproval, Bill Shorten respectively down nine to 35% and up eight to 35%, and preferred prime minister effectively unchanged at 41-33 in favour of Abbott, compared with 41-34 last time.
UPDATE 2: Dennis Shanahan’s report on the results for The Oz.
UPDATE 3: Questions on ABC bias produce similar results to the recent ReachTEL poll, with most considering its news “fair and balanced”, but Coalition supporters more likely to feel aggrieved than Labor ones. Eighteen per cent felt the ABC biased to Labor versus 7% biased against, which naturally enough produced a mirror image when the question was framed in terms of Coalition bias (7% biased in favour, 19% biased against). Results for the Greens were hardly different than for Labor, with 15% thinking it biased in favour, 8% biased against, and 48% balanced. Tables showing breakdowns by party support here.
UPDATE 4: Essential Research’s monthly personal ratings have both leaders heading south, with Tony Abbott down six on approval to 41% and up four on disapproval to 47%, and Bill Shorten down five to 30% and up two to 34%. Better prime minister is little changed at 40-30 in favour of Abbott, compared with 42-31 a month ago. As is usually the case when a party’s position improves in the polls, Labor has improved across the board on the question of party most trusted to handle various issues, the biggest changes being a drop in the deficit on “political leadership” from 23% to 13% and economic management from 26% to 19%. A question on various types of industry assistance finds strong support for drought relief, private health rebates and tourism development grants, but strong opposition to fuel rebates for the mining industry. Interestingly, automotive production subsidies score a net rating of minus 11%.
[Everything
Posted Tuesday, February 11, 2014 at 12:18 am | PERMALINK
There is no reason why a blind person cannot work.]
And . . .
[mexicanbeemer
Posted Tuesday, February 11, 2014 at 12:19 am | PERMALINK
Everything
I use to work with a blind lady, she was in the call centre, she used a braille keyboard and had a guide dog, a real passive lovely dog who would sit in the busy call centre and never bark.]
And . . .
[Everything
Posted Tuesday, February 11, 2014 at 12:20 am | PERMALINK
mexicanbeemer.
Bingo!]
And what about the blind lady? Did she bark? Was she passive?
Or did she do her job well?
And, working in a call centre has to be the most fulfilling job. So intellectually challenging, especially if you have a well-behaved dog.
Do you people even think about what you are proscribing for others? Patronising fucks.
@Mod Lib/148
QLD election not till 2015?
101 Griffith was an exception, Rudd had a personal vote and was the sitting PM, Glasson had high hopes of taking the seat
kEZZA2
She was a lovely lady, well regarded member of the call centre team with many years experience, was part of a very busy term and considering the business the calls would have been varied.
Her guide dog was the passive one never barking or running around.
[kezza2
…..And what about the blind lady? Did she bark? Was she passive?
Or did she do her job well?
And, working in a call centre has to be the most fulfilling job. So intellectually challenging, especially if you have a well-behaved dog.
Do you people even think about what you are proscribing for others? Patronising fucks.]
Actually, it is you that is patronising her, not me, by telling her that working in a call centre is demeaning.
Mod Lib @148
10% 2PP swing since the last election. This is before you take into consideration what Palmer will do on the Sunshine Coast and other LNP strongholds.
I reckon we might be looking at a hung parliament north of the rio tweed when the next state election comes along
Mod @ 116
[If there is no problem, what is the problem with examining the sector? DSP is a cohort which currently has more people in it than the unemployment cohort.]
The government claims to have identified a problem. They’re not examining the sector to figure out if there’s a problem or not, they’re examining the sector with the view to fixing the problem they claim they’ve identified.
The argument here is over the nature of that problem.
[spur212
….I reckon we might be looking at a hung parliament north of the rio tweed when the next state election comes along]
Lets see.
Anyhow, enough naughtiness for tonight. One needs one’s beauty sleep, after all.
Gooten narcht.
[It makes a lot of sense.
LNP up 1% – Boats
Greens up 3% – Boats
Absolutely correct. The return of boats as an issue has helped both the Libs and the Greens at the expense of Labor.]
I’m not going to disagree with the above, but it is a pretty sad comment on the stupidity of Australians.
Nothing
Whatever floats your boat, Bingo.
Oh MB, to continue our debate other night on Basics Card, here is the truth and a parody version of it:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5tCdGv4KbD4
(Warning: Swearing).
Mod
[I am actually amazed at that Qld result: amazed at how good it is.]
[….could it be that the Bludgers are wrong?]
The above quoted line of your would imply that you were also wrong.
Abbott is completely farqed.
Kezza2
Well you did come off as having a chip on your shoulder that a disabled person was able to successfully carrying out a job, surely that should be celebrated rather than mocked.
Queensland Galaxy poll thread:
http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2014/02/11/galaxy-53-37-to-lnp-in-queensland/
*clicks invisible link*
I am with Kezza you lot of patronising b’tards.
Usually the business owners big and small, won’t pay the extra for the equipment or training to employ people with disabilities.
Rightwing F’wits won’t pay for accessible public transport so they can get to work without a car, or provide accessible facilities or the assistance needed to get ready for work (because it takes so much longer, so without help people with disabilities may need to get up at 4am to get to work at 9am), oh and what happens when your personal care plan only gives you two showers a week when you are urine incontinent in a wheelchair.
Bugger off, you supercilious ignorant mob of pricks.
Ooh, William gets to edit his comments. Either that or there was a bug where only half his comment loaded for me.
Or a network glitch.
It is wonderful that one person successfully had a full-time job (btw, was it in the public service, which does employ people with disabilities because they have active EEO policies and will spend the money to supply the accessible equipment and training).
What about the rest of the people on DSP or workcover who want jobs and have buckleys of ever even getting an interview?
[Are you able to tell me how many elections the coalition have won when their pv on polling day was 41% or less?]
The only one I can think of is the 1998 federal election, at which it was 39.5%. But between OPV and an apparently mounting minor party vote, they could very easily do it in Queensland.
Puffy
Take a chill pill, without naming the business, they actually did provide both a special computer and phone equipment to allow this blind lady to work in the busy call centre team.
Many workplaces do provide equipment.
I will ignore the rest of your rant as William doesn’t need the tone for his blog lowered as much as i think you might deserve it on this occasion.
Don’t talk to me about placing people with disabilities into work. It is so fkn rare we give employers awards for it.
An interesting result.
Slight bounce but LNP still trailing but it is not end of the world stuff.
ALP maintains lead so must be happy – especially considering the Boats situation. Shift to the Greens hardly a concern.
Startling drop in Shorten’s approval but he’s been off on a European Holiday and out of the spot light – I’m sure it’ll recover over the next few weeks.
I really don’t see much change happening in the next few quarters depending on the direction of the economy.
Puffy
To answer your second comment
It was a state government owned enterprise so you could call it a public service.
I do think the PS and larger business are more able to accommodate the disabled, small business often are unable or unwilling.
[mexicanbeemer
Posted Tuesday, February 11, 2014 at 12:36 am | PERMALINK
Kezza2
Well you did come off as having a chip on your shoulder that a disabled person was able to successfully carrying out a job, surely that should be celebrated rather than mocked.]
Did I?
I drew attention to the fact the ensembled quotes about the blind person at a call centre appreciated the behaviour of the dog, not the job done.
[. . .a disabled person was able to successfully carrying out a job, surely that should be celebrated rather than mocked.]
Now, that’s patronising. But you probably wouldn’t understand why.
CC, where have you been!
Bugger the ‘tone of the blog’. I would rather say it like it is about equitable access to work and being able to climb out of the abject poverty the majority of pwd live in, than worry about ‘lowered tones’ on PB.
Working
Kezza2
Silly me merged two sentences into one, her dog was lovely.
Second comment which you think is mocking is aimed at you appearing most likely unfairly to mock a disabled person having a job.
@MB/175
Larger businesses & Multinationals tend to go down the drain.
Say for example, Sony is loosing lots of money & cutting large amounts of workforce.
Telstra is another one, cutting it’s workforce over the years.
[Also, it is not that those jobs are gone and never to return. Its just that the jobs change into other jobs. Ones that actually produce things that have a sustainable market.]
It’s magic! Hey presto, we all have better and more productive jobs! Thanks!
That’s a normal kind of answer ;).
Beemer,
All businesses should be doing this and consumers should be paying more for goods and services for this to happen. This gives consumers an equitable society to live in, which would be a lot better than everyone.
Puffy
There is a big difference between just giving the disabled a job and a career which would allow them to move around professionally socially and financially.
puff, as good little consumers we’re supposed to think selfishly, have businesses compete to charge us as little as possible and not worry about all that complicated stuff.
Zoidy which is why the existing flexibility of DSP needs to be maintained
Beemer,
People with disabilities would love a career, but a job would be a damned good start.
goodnight all.
Puffy is right but customers and in the case of the PS taxpayers don’t think about the workers, they just see numbers and cost.
GhostWhoVotes @GhostWhoVotes
#Newspoll Is ABC biased for/against L/NP: pro-L/NP 7 Fair & balanced 48 anti-L/NP 19 #auspol
GhostWhoVotes @GhostWhoVotes
#Newspoll Is ABC biased for/against ALP: pro-ALP 18 Fair & balanced 49 anti-ALP 7 #auspol
William, is there a reason why the answers to those two questions might not complement each other – and they do, roughly – that they had to ask both?
Ok, I’m just outsourcing my thinking because I’m too tired to figure it out myself.
mexicanbeemer
[Second comment which you think is mocking is aimed at you appearing most likely unfairly to mock a disabled person having a job.]
Stop projecting. You claimed mocking, not me.
I said you and Nothing were patronising in your attitude. If I misunderstood your inability to talk about the aptitude of the blind woman because you concentrated on the dog, that’s your problem, not mine.
@MB/187
I wish it was that simple, but now with LNP gov, not sure if that’s going to happen any time soon, the so called flexibility that LNP provides is something entirely different to what it means.
Kezza2 Goodnight, i think you have misunderstood the two points have nothing to do with each other as the lovely lady and the dog are two different entities.
Zoidy
I don’t expect commonsense from Merit, after all Merit has been minister previously and he doesn’t appear to have learnt from last time.
Maybe “be dual to” rather than “complement” would make more sense.
Or “mirror” is even better. Ok, I’m going to zzz. Night.
[mexicanbeemer
Posted Tuesday, February 11, 2014 at 1:01 am | PERMALINK
Kezza2 Goodnight, i think you have misunderstood the two points have nothing to do with each other as the lovely lady and the dog are two different entities.]
Patronising to the end, eh mex?
Until you blokes like you start reflecting, I know we’ll never have anything in common.
Kezza2
I actually thought it was a positive example of a highly successful disabled person who had been able to not only gain employment but excel in a job to become a well respected and well regarded member of a very busy team.
Yep i added that i loved her guide dog and mentioned how quiet it was and how it sat at her side right though the working day.
Yet you reckon that is patronising.
You came in and had a tanty about o was she only good enough to work in a call centre hardly a challenging job or words to those effects.
She has actually held other jobs in the business so she is very talented.