The first poll in the post-budget avalanche is a Galaxy survey of 1006 respondents showing the Coalition leading 54-46 on two-party preferred, from primary votes of 34% for Labor, 46% for the Coalition and 10% for the Greens. While it shows a highly negative reaction to the budget in terms of effect on personal finances (14% expect to be better off against 48% worse off), support for abolition of the baby bonus is remarkably high (64% in favour, 22% opposed). Full tables courtesy of GhostWhoVotes. Nielsen, Newspoll, Essential Research and Morgan should all be joining the party over the coming days.
Boerwar..; “Pre-history involves the absence of words.”
Are you sure this statement is correct Boer’…’cause I read of so many climate deniers writing with a seeming familiarity of what went on 20, 30.000, even a million years ago in some “warming ice age” or other!?….just as if they had read it from bolt’s or monkton’s web-site!
[Psephos
I don’t know if you watched Insiders this morning but you might pass along to the tactics committee that, when pressed by Cassidy, Hockey could not say what the cost would be of the Liberals’ superannuantion would be to ordinary Australians. It was pretty clear that Hockey et al hadn’t bothered even considering the range of possible impacts on superannuants, of their decision.]
I don’t own a TV, as I think I’ve noted here several times. The PMO of course monitors everything the Oppo says in the media.
When there is polling aka reachtel 3 times in the last 4 weeks
on the northern tablelands by election and new england
the results must have come back not what the polling wanted which is support for the coalition
so they will not publish the results
[But Abbott had nothing to do with it. It was Pyne and Entsch. Leader or not he wasn’t involved in THIS matter. Fair shake.]
It’s the vibes!
Jack Hammer
Changing how pairing workd is Abbott’s decision. Abbott not publicly reprimanding and demoting those involved speaks volumes about his leadership abilities and how Abbott “does not get it”
confessions
poroti:
Why is WA’s debt so much? It’s not as if we have anything to show for it. Where’s the money gone?
Colon has just awarded his Media Manager an $84,000 per year pay rise because she ocassionally works on the weekend. Makes the penalty rates paid to others for working weekends look a bit sick.
I work for Govt, I am on 24/7 callout and get a company ,obile and $5,000 per year and have to pay for any personal calls I make even if it is to let my family know I am safe.
Despite record royalties, power bills up 60%, water up 57% eyc he has still driven WA into debt. Last year WaterCorp added $400million half their profit to Govt revenue, and he still ranst the price needs to go up to pay for operating costs, power providers are making profits -= its not about covering costs, its about making sure shareholders get a good return and the Board get their million dollar bonuses
Ru
We are in agreement on the point of there being no excuse for not granting a pair.
Pyne was caught out fibbing and should be made to apologies if he hadn’t already
No matter how much the pro coalition media hides their media driven polls
they will not be able to hide reality which is likely be the labor government retain
Marian Rumens @mrumens 1m
We will bring stability thunders #JoeHockey as Libs plan to put a levy on 3200 Co’s dismantle the carbon price & threaten a 2nd electionl
Listen, Jack Hammer…nobody here gives a rat’s who you vote for….just ask them!…HEY!…who gives a rat’s about Jack’s voting intention?….see! no-body…you could go scratch your nuts in the middle of Swanson St. peak hour and we still wouldn’t give a rat’s!
Jaundiced view – terrific post. I have voted Labor and Liberal in pretty much equal measure throughout my life, but can’t see voting Labor indefinitely now. They are much too tied to the unions. I don’t like the fact that unelected grubs like Howes can choose who the pM of our country is, and the masive influence that others have, like that one who threatened to withdeaw money if they ditched Gillard for Rudd.
I’m not sure exactly how Julia Gillard managed to engineer the opposition not granting a pair, but that’s just how devious she is!
ruawake 449
The issue is there was NO reason to deny a pair. Pyne lied about it as usual and the Liberal supporters are trying to talk their way out of the mess.
By blaming the mother. It was all her fault that the Liberals lead by Abbott refused the pair. Apparently they didn’t understand her letter – they didn’t understand what was meant in her letter – I want to care for my sick child….obviously an alien concept to the Liberals until it was explained to them very s.l.o.w.l.y
Of course that isn’t the only reason that I will not be voting Labor, but it’s a contributor.
Jack Hammer
Why would the ALP being close to the unions now be a problem when they have always been the party of the unions?
Worry not PBers.
Abbott banked everything on a set-piece campaign, with him and his media mates controllin the agenda, planned to the last comma and full-stop.
Already, in the last few weeks, he’s abandoned billions of dollars worth of pledges, blood oaths, absolute promises, rolled-gold guarantees and over-his-dead-body statements about all kinds of things. And there’s still four months to go!
He doesn’t know it yet, but the government isn’t going to play to his rules, or to the media’s rules, either.
They can all sit around on the Insiders set and reassure each other that Labor is so sure to lose they may as well hand over right now.
They can ensconce themseves in the Sky New studios and stack their panels with nodding heads, all interviewing each other and agreeing that Gillard’s gone.
They can chortle about how inept the government is at politics (a government that has lasted longer than the careers of several of its major critics in the media) and how bad politics equals unfitness for office.
But the race isn’t over until the finish line is reached and there’s a while to go until that happens.
Abbott last week showed how close he was to choking within sight of victory. He was nervous, panicky and hesitant.
He had to get wankers like Sam Maiden and Chris Uhlmann to write him up as a genius, he’s so terrified of losing.
If he and his urgers were at all confident, they wouldn’t have to publicly spruik their (alleged) confidence so often and so loudly.
Same goes for the right wing supporters here.
If you’re going to win, why keep crowing about it?
Short answer: you’re not confident of winning, not really confident.
Abbott’s biggest enemy is himself, and making unforced errors, and worse, making forced errors like the ones he made last week and the week before with the NDIS.
The journos can call him the Friend Of The Disabled all he likes, but the public knows who’s their REAL friend, and it ain’t Tony Abbott. If he thinks going on a Polly-Pedal is the equivalent of running a department, nutting out details, organizing finance, consulting, writing white papers, implementing recommendations of inquiries, checking and cross-checking and finally, turning up to parliament and legislating a new law through – when you don’t even have a majority – then he’s dreaming, off in Cloud-Cuckoo Land.
Gillards strategy is to muck up Abbott’s set-piece doddle into office. She’s already had some very encouraging rssults. She’ll be hungry for more.
And eventually, so will the voters.
‘Beemer… “Pyne was caught out fibbing…” It would be a greater shock to the body politic if Pyne was caught out telling the truth!
jack hammer
Posted Sunday, May 19, 2013 at 4:05 pm | PERMALINK
But Abbott had nothing to do with it. It was Pyne and Entsch. Leader or not he wasn’t involved in THIS matter. Fair shake
———
How can you be so certain , i wouldnt be surprise if his chief of staff credlin knew
jack hammer
You must have missed it. Gillard went to the last election and was able to form government on the result.
Joe what is up your’s?
briefly:
We’ve also seen significant federal capital investment during The Emperor’s tenure, and it comes at a time of massive hikes in the cost of utilities. I don’t think the WA govt has any excuse for driving up our debt as much as they have.
Jack hammer
Must like supporting an party and its leader who are liars and in bed with and more corrupt identity as news ltd
Given her care for the poor and disadvantaged I’m convinced Liberals would see Mother Theresa as a left wing socialist bleeding heart
Jack hammer
Lets not forget Abbott is the leader of an party which some of its members were found in an political plot against its former and the elected speaker of the house of reps
Labor has never been this close to the unions, mexican beemer. And display namem, yes, but obviously In am talking about June 2010.
[I’m not sure exactly how Julia Gillard managed to engineer the opposition not granting a pair, but that’s just how devious she is!]
It’s Liberal spin. As I said earlier not only did Team Abbott kick an own goal by denying Rowland a pair, but compounded their idiocy further by trying to blame Rowland, thereby alienating working parents even more.
If they are now trying to pin the blame on the Prime Minister, or bizarrely claim that the LOTO had nothing to do with it just shows how desperate they are to deflect away from what was essentially blowing off their feet with a canon.
Anyone who thinks Labor is going to disaffiliate itself from the unions is kidding themself. Maybe that means that in the long run Labor will die as a political force. That would leave the country divided between a conservative hegemony polling 75% of the vote and a radical Greens opposition polling 25%. Maybe that is indeed the future of politics in Australia, probably one of the most conservative countries in the world. The only thing that can prevent that is a party that can make an economic appeal to socially-conservative low-income voters, who are the decisive swing voting block in this country.
joe Carli
‘Boerwar..; “Pre-history involves the absence of words.”
Are you sure this statement is correct Boer’…’cause I read of so many climate deniers writing with a seeming familiarity of what went on 20, 30.000, even a million years ago in some “warming ice age” or other!?….just as if they had read it from bolt’s or monkton’s web-site!’
Ah. Not to confuse human history from all other forms of history.
jack hammer
Unions are more representative of the Australian public than Peter Reith and the IPA combined,
I am a swinging voter. However I can tell you I will never vote for a party that has Abbott as its leader.
Extremists tea party types shown by policies they are following.
[…like that one who threatened to withdeaw money if they ditched Gillard for Rudd.]
Come on now, tell us. Who was the nasty person? Or did you hear it on Ray’s show?
I’m reasonably certain that Labor has been closer to unions in the past.
Jack Hammer
I will invite Psephos to prove the history lesson response but the ALP was formed to be the voice in parliament to represent the aspirations of the union moment and working class Australians.
Most notable the AMWU now headed by Paul Howes
I can’t see the ALP severing ties to the union movement in any meaningful way.
Sadly I think that means the ALP is structurally headed for minority party status and possibly oblivion.
Nature abhors a vacuum. Something else will spring up in the centre.
It’s just going to be a messy process leaving the LNP dominant for some long period of time.
And I’m not counting the ALP out just yet. There is potentially life in the party yet.
[New data released today reveals the benefit to schools across the country – by sector and state – under the Gillard Government’s National Plan for School Improvement.
Under the current broken school funding model introduced by the Howard Government, federal school funding will go backwards by a staggering $16.2 billion over the next six years. This is because of falling indexation and the Opposition’s refusal to guarantee the extra investment provided for schools in this year’s Budget will be delivered.
If the National Plan for School Improvement does not proceed, every school, in every state and territory and in every sector, will be worse off.]
http://www.pm.gov.au/press-office/new-data-fairer-funding-plan-australian-schools
Do Liberal voters have kids?
The only issue the ALP can talk about without it transforming into Liberal Party comms material is the NBN. Can’t even talk about education anymore thanks to the University cuts. It’s very disturbing
Jack Hammer at 406…”Jaundiced view – as a swing voter, I will be relieved to see the back of this minority government. I will be voting Liberal this election, and hopefully they get a big majority. Labor needs to start all over to get my vote back ever again.”
Don’t come the raw prawn with me JH. your pompous promise and petulant piffle just makes you look like an amateur poster on a sophisticated blog site!
Again…we couldn’t give a rat’s who you vote for!
P A P A @tnsprofpunter 20s
What happened last time the Liberals promised to maintain super increases http://tinyurl.com/alynt56 non-core promises anyone??? #auspol
[420
womble
Briefly – sounds like you would need a whole department to administer it ;)]
Non-polluters could “earn” credits for non-polluting kilowatts. Polluters would attract “debits” for polluting kilowatts, which could be cancelled by the purchase of “credits”. This would imply cash transfers (subsidies) from polluters to non-polluters, or between plants within the same firm, and could create very strong incentives to do both expand non-polluting technologies and reduce polluting technologies at the same time.
If polluters were unable to buy credits, they could be compelled to settle them for cash with the Government, or maybe could allow them to accumulate on their balance sheets until they were able to build new, non-polluting plant, when they could be redeemed from future non-polluting generation.
Maybe the Government could permit accumulated debits to be included in the capital cost of new plant and then be written off under depreciation rules. This would enable the cost of scrapping “environmentally obsolete” plant and replacing it with new plant to be paid for by revenue accruing to environmentally-friendly plant.
The rate of exchange between polluting and non-polluting units would have to be struck by regulation, at least at first.
This is not exactly the same as an ETS, though both credits and debits should be marketable. If it was designed properly such a system might propel the very rapid installation of new generation technologies, which is the whole point of the exercise.
“Do Liberal voters have kids”….yes, but they don’t know who their fathers are!
I don’t think the ALP needs to stop being aligned with the union movement.
I think the ALP just need to be less envy driven considering it created the modern economy.
Mark Latham is right on the modern Western Sydney and that can be looked after and grown without ending the historical relationship with the ALP.
[ruawake
Posted Sunday, May 19, 2013 at 3:50 pm | PERMALINK
jack hammer
What are you swinging about. A mother wanted to catch the last plane out of Canberra, it was refused for no reason by a sad lot who were spitting the dummy cos Albo got an absolute majority in the HoR.
If you are a swinging voter I have 3 dicks.]
Am glad JH isn’t a swinging voter, otherwise might have been have been a bit uncomfortable Rue 😀
beemer @ 490
Wrong IMO. Here is one example why
“@AlboMP: Budget committed $500m to Perth urban public transport – on top of our $236m investment in City Link – Abbott says no to any Fed inv in PT”
Mod Lib, you asked earlier: ‘How does voting for the LNP help Murdoch?’
By voting LNP, you will (if Abbott does as he say) have a NBN which will consist of fibre to the node and fibre to some houses who elect to have it and pay for it. It will take a long time to have a critical number of households with super fast Internet connections, which is required for certain services to be economical.
The Internet as it is now made a number of businesses less profitable or in some cases destroyed them. These businesses were ‘broker’ types of businesses whose services are now unnecessary as people could ‘do it themselves’. Things like money transfers, trade shares, book flights and accommodation buy things directly from the service provider, get insurance, advertise goods for sale.
Murdoch suffered because his newspaper business could not compete, however his more profitable cable business was immune from competition because the Internet could not provide sufficient speed to provide the variety it could.
However, with a critical mass of high speed NBN consumers he looses that protection. Sporting bodies could by pass his business and go directly to their supporters, the movie produces likewise. Murdoch will be left out in the cold.
That is why Murdoch is supporting the LNP, he knows their NBN will support his business where as the Labor party’s NBN will harm it.
I hope that makes it clear.
Mod Lib, you asked earlier: ‘How does voting for the LNP help Murdoch?’
By voting LNP, you will (if Abbott does as he say) have a NBN which will consist of fibre to the node and fibre to some houses who elect to have it and pay for it. It will take a long time to have a critical number of households with super fast Internet connections, which is required for certain services to be economical.
The Internet as it is now made a number of businesses less profitable or in some cases destroyed them. These businesses were ‘broker’ types of businesses whose services are now unnecessary as people could ‘do it themselves’. Things like money transfers, trade shares, book flights and accommodation buy things directly from the service provider, get insurance, advertise goods for sale.
Murdoch suffered because his newspaper business could not compete, however his more profitable cable business was immune from competition because the Internet could not provide sufficient speed to provide the variety it could.
However, with a critical mass of high speed NBN consumers he looses that protection. Sporting bodies could by pass his business and go directly to their supporters, the movie produces likewise. Murdoch will be left out in the cold.
That is why Murdoch is supporting the LNP, he knows their NBN will support his business where as the Labor party’s NBN will harm it.
I hope that makes it clear.
Guytaur 792
Please excuse my slow moment but i don’t see a connection
mexican
[I think the ALP just need to be less envy driven considering it created the modern economy.]
Could you explain “envy-driven” please?
beemer
Then you do not understand how important railways are in Western Sydney. A vital part of modern Western Sydney
Melbourne only 7 points down at half time. Better than expected. I will keep the radio on.
Just what the hell is wrong with unions?…most working people living today would be scraping coal from the mine face with their fingernails and being forced into a chorus-line for the entertainment of the Liberals and Gina after finishing their twenty-five hour continuous shift for the day if it wasn’t for the unions!
Get off their backs and get off the grass!
“@ABCtech: By far the best MSM piece on the #NBN yet http://t.co/wybeuOEohP @sunriseon7 #sun7”