It’s been a quiet week for polling, with the major pollsters holding their fire ahead of the budget and leaving the field vacant for the regularly weekly Essential Research and Morgan. With each adhering closely to the trend, there are only minor shifts in this week’s aggregated poll result on voting intention (as displayed on the sidebar). The seat projection has nudged two seats in Labor’s favour, one of which it owes to a 3.1% two-party preferred adjustment that was made to the Tasmanian result last week. That left Labor just shy of a second Tasmanian seat, which a 0.3% shift this week on the national result has helped push them over. The other Labor gain comes off the New South Wales total.
BludgerTrack: 54.9-45.1 to Coalition
Nothing doing in this week’s pre-budget poll aggregate, which maintains a holding pattern established in early February.
morning
Dont they need a majority of 76 for a motion to succeed?
This is what we say we think
Paid parental leave is an important and necessary social and economic reform.
Without strong families, Australia will not have a strong future.
The Coalition’s Paid Parental Leave scheme will enhance child and maternal wellbeing by providing working mothers with real time and real money during the important period following childbirth.
This is what we really think
http://www.news.com.au/national-news/nsw-act/opposition-blocks-bid-to-be-with-sick-baby/story-fndo4bst-1226643689970
Morning All
Will be a sensible move for Abbott to embrace all the savings suggested by Labor and to blame the pain on them – Labor would do exactly the same thing if they were in his shoes.
In saying that, it’s probably only half of what he actually needs to fund what he wants to do – I’d be very surprised if he announces where any of the balance is coming from other than reinforcing his slashing of the public service. In an interview yesterday he seemed to be hinting the numbers could be higher than 12,000
http://www.cutshurt.com.au
Hunt is repeating the “tax cuts without a carbon tax” line so they are obviously planning to do something on that front.
Refusing the pair is petty, Morrison suggested that a Labor member who was given a pair yesterday turned up to vote – can anyone confirm if that’s true???
Jon Faine – asking the question if Julia’s tears yesterday were sincere, I have little doubt that there was genuine emotion. Congratulations to Labor on locking in a nation changing reform.
Off to work, have a great day all
mb, Abbott is nervous because his standard political strategy – adamant opposition in all things – is coming apart. He had to jump on board the NDIS. He cannot afford to oppose the budget. Even his plan to ditch the carbon tax now appears fiscally rash.
His PPL is also in trouble, both politically and fiscally. He can’t afford it, but it is his sole claim to policy fame and he must be loathe to ditch it.
This is what we say we think
OPPOSITION Leader Tony Abbott has offered bipartisan support for a National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) in response to Prime Minister Julia Gillard’s announcement of funding in this year’s Budget.
This is what we really think
The best description of the Missing LNP from the NDIS legislation.
http://yathink.com.au/article-display/an-epic-r_chirgwin-twitter-rant-in-disgust-at-coalition-ndis-no-show,71
mb
yesterday u made excuses for abbott and his no show
why change to day
——————-
so the last two lines of todays post,
what sort of seed are you planting.
=======================
I do realy try to fathom out your posts???
victoria
Posted Thursday, May 16, 2013 at 8:28 am | PERMALINK
morning
Dont they need a majority of 76 for a motion to succeed?
—————————
Yes it wont happen
How is abbott going to call one , if the coward agrees with labor in the budget cuts
Yes, they’d need 76 votes. They could get them with no pairs and enough help from the cross-benchers, but there’s no sign of that. I don’t think there’s anything to worry about. Their position on Rowland is just the coalition and Abbott acting in their natural, cold way without considering a possible backlash.
[David Lipson @lipporocks
Here’s the letter that shows Coalition knew Michelle Rowland had a sick child when it denied a pair.. http://tinyurl.com/bvjqqsz ]
triton
Thomson has already stated he would not support a motion. Cant see Bandt, Windsor, Oakie, and even Katter supporting one. Also not sure if Slipper would help out Abbott this time around.
The coalition cant just rely on Wilkie and Crook. Unless of course, they have some Labor MPs on their side. 😀
David Lipson @lipporocks 5m
Here’s the letter that shows Coalition knew Michelle Rowland had a sick child when it denied a pair.. http://tinyurl.com/bvjqqsz
Is David Lipson a journo on Sky?
Sorry triton 🙂
the most votes abbott will get is 72/73
Rowland now with Fran. This thing is blowing up.
yes he is victoria,
Thanks henry
And Chris Pyne just lied on Sky that they didn’t know it was a sick child.
Pyne – how dare her baby not get sick in accordance with protocol, dim whit.
No problem, lizzie. 🙂
Morning all.
What is happening? The opps have had two bad days in QT, have been wrong-footed on the budget, had their tactic of avoiding the PM present the NDIS levy bills to the House backfire, and now this business with Ms Rowland’s sick baby.
[The blunt refusal risks undermining Mr Abbott’s attempts to paint himself as woman-friendly and appears to contradict the principles of his paid parental leave scheme and industrial relations policy.]
Clearly the opps don’t think Ms Rowland is a woman of calibre. This will not go well. Expect the opps to start lying that they didn’t know the baby was sick like they tried to lie that they didn’t know the bills were being presented yesterday morning.
[And Chris Pyne just lied on Sky that they didn’t know it was a sick child.]
Well, that took less time than I thought!
😆
So the husband is looking after the child but the MP needs to rush back also ? What a pathetic bunch of hypocrites. Are you suggesting the father is incapable of looking after the child ? How often do mothers and fathers both rush back from work to look after a sick child ? Some serious reverse sexism trolling through here.
I guess when the ALP drones are desperate they will spew any hatred they can get their hands on.
vic
see email
Confessions
I did not see Sky news, but Pyne told Kieran Gilbert that they did not know the baby was sick, but apparently letter shown that the coalition knew
The Rowland Affair is an example of what I was arguing the other day: the Liberals will simply revert to their mean when in government.
This is also another example of Abbott’s inner prick hanging out for all to see.
It is not as if there is a shortage of useless drones in the Shadow Cabinet who could have been paired with Rowland.
ABC reports that a pair has been granted.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-05-16/opposition-blocks-labor-mps-bid-to-be-with-sick-baby/4692814
victoria:
Shorter Liberal party: Michelle Rowland wouldn’t be in this position if she’d stayed home in the kitchen where she belongs.
But other than the assertion in the first paragraph the whole article is about the denying of the pair. Nothing on who changed their mind and why.
briefly @ 2482
Gauss, the origin of the economic collapse in the UK was indeed a collapse in credit extended to households so they could speculate in property. The deterioration in public finance is a consequence of this, not a cause.
Briefly I’m not arguing that the origin of the crisis was not the speculative property bubble and it’s causes. What I and others are arguing is that the excessive fiscal response to it and the GFC, by Gordon Brown’s Government, (11.5 % of GDP in 2009 is like Australia running a yearly deficit today of $170 Billion) only aggravated the crisis because eventually the piper has to be paid.
I guess we will have to agree to disagree.
The DT publishes the Entsch letter.
http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opposition-blocks-bid-to-be-with-sick-baby/story-fni0cx4q-1226643689970
peeps
looking on not posting
abbot agrees with our budget
ndis
and soon will have no Parental leave platform
business not happy
soo why change your vote
the country is running along on some great well oiled
tracks why derail with has been`s
no policies and
a front shadow bench that is the same as howards
==================
the shallow hollow lnp
have nothing to offer
And on the NDIS, were ALL the ALP members there ? The ALP side looked mighty thinned out also. Of doesn’t the master allow criticism of their own side ?
briefly again @ 2482
Then for example what do you mean by the bolded words in your reply to CC here on 30 Apr @ 11.04 pm
My Say
Abbott has clearly shown the coalition are incompetent to be in government
after all the propaganda that labor is no good, Abbott is keeping majority of what labor implemented
Are people going to be that gullible
I think the ABC is using Pyne’s “More importantly we would have said why would you wait until 5.00 Thursday to go home. You need to go home today,” as the granting of the pair. I don’t think so, but with Pyne saying that I don’t think the coalition can continue to refuse.
Another day, another broken promise from The Emperor.
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/newshome/17166557/barnett-breaks-another-promise/
confessions
And what does SEN sports radio report in its news break? Pyne repeating his lie on Sky news. What a frickin joke. The letter confirms they knew pairing was sought due to an unwell child.
I want answer your question but other side will
=========================================
last month baby not well
daughter was working her one day
oh was home with other child,
NO car as he had a flat
she had to tear home
things happen
it was urgent she go,,
her employee say, go
and tony abbott want woman to have more children
and has this hollow ppl
any lib who thinks the mp should not have gone home
is as a big disgrace as him the hollow lotto
Pyne has moved an SSSO in parly. Anyone catch what it was about? I was slow off the mark.
Pyne is an even more accomplished liar than Abbott. He can embroider
[“It could have been a cousin, it could have been a parent, it could have been an uncle,” he said.
“But if we’d known it had been Michelle Rowland’s child we would have given her a pair.]
confessions
[And Chris Pyne just lied on Sky that they didn’t know it was a sick child.
Well, that took less time than I thought!
😆
]
Just heard him with Fran making the same claim. But how low can a Pyne go ? Low enough to try and lay blame on Michelle Rowland. He asked that if she had a sick baby “Why would you wait until 5:00 pm on Thursday ?” . The “bad” mother should have left immediately.
Barnaby reaches a new low in trying to link Windsor with the NSW ICAC stuff.
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/newshome/17166411/joyce-turns-heat-on-windsor/
TheFinnigans天地有道人无道 @Thefinnigans 6m
Prissy Pyne did a SSO to force Craig Thomson to make an explanation to the House. Division for gagging Prissy now
poroti:
The Liberal party obviously think that Ms Rowland is to blame. After all, if she’d stayed at home in the kitchen where she belongs this would never have happened.
Anyone know what this is? Is it Hunt saying Treasury official told him the budget figures were all lies?
RubyRainbow @ColouredView 7m
Now it’s the #abc running Greg Hunt repeating corridor gossip as a credible news story? This is #qualityjournalism?
when the letter denying the pair says “due to her child being unwell” in what language does that equal maybe a cousin or an uncle
confessions @ 93
Barnaby knows he wont win new england
This is far more important
http://www.csiro.au/Portals/Media/Printing-Australias-largest-solar-cells.aspx
[when the letter denying the pair says “due to her child being unwell” in what language does that equal maybe a cousin or an uncle]
In Pyne Land the facts can be whatever you want them to be.