It’s been a quiet week for polling, with the major pollsters holding their fire ahead of the budget and leaving the field vacant for the regularly weekly Essential Research and Morgan. With each adhering closely to the trend, there are only minor shifts in this week’s aggregated poll result on voting intention (as displayed on the sidebar). The seat projection has nudged two seats in Labor’s favour, one of which it owes to a 3.1% two-party preferred adjustment that was made to the Tasmanian result last week. That left Labor just shy of a second Tasmanian seat, which a 0.3% shift this week on the national result has helped push them over. The other Labor gain comes off the New South Wales total.
BludgerTrack: 54.9-45.1 to Coalition
Nothing doing in this week’s pre-budget poll aggregate, which maintains a holding pattern established in early February.
Morning all,
Booby traps everywhere today ,play safe.
It seems Johnny is lamenting not taxing food. He recons the Labour party and democrats ignored the mandate of the people in the 1998 election.
If the 98 election result was as mandate for the libs to tax then he’s a tad disillusioned.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
PB’s briefly’s comment last night briefly@2376 on Essential Research 55-45, Morgan 56-44 | The Poll Bludger
was en very good summary of the Opposition;s prediciament. Now, if only the media would be as forensic.
I wonder how this will pan out.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-05-16/thomson-quits-labor-party/4692608
I wouldn’t hold your breath.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-05-16/abbott-expected-to-address-tax-cuts-in-budget-reply/4692566
Wong and Swan are starting to use the “gutless” tag on Abbott.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/abbott-dodges-booby-trap-20130515-2jmtu.html
At last something positive for Labor in NSW.
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/nsw-could-lose-school-cash-under-pm-abbott-20130515-2jmu4.html
Andrew Dyson on the Baby Bonus.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/andrew-dyson-20090819-epqv.html
David Pope is having extreme fun with the Skywhale!
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/david-pope-20120214-1t3j0.html
Yuk!! David Rowe has a shocker on the Budget reply.
http://www.afr.com/p/national/cartoon_gallery_david_rowe_1g8WHy9urgOIQrWQ0IrkdO
And have a look at this illusionist.
http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=sKns1uatyNg&vq=medium
” I can’t, in all good conscience, contest this election as a Labor Party candidate”
Thomson speaks code for I would have SFA chance at pre- selection.
how sick is the Abbott coalition
http://www.news.com.au/national-news/nsw-act/opposition-blocks-bid-to-be-with-sick-baby/story-fndo4bst-1226643689970
the gillard government will be win by default
lol shellbell
B K
Swan and Wong are doing the right thing , Abbott is nothing but a gutless coward
And from the Land of the Free –
Some cartoons on tax audits for the Tea Party.
http://thepoliticalcarnival.net/2013/05/15/cartoons-of-the-day-irs-and-the-tea-party/
Lawrence O’Donnell on the same subject.
http://crooksandliars.com/karoli/about-those-little-tea-party-groups
Another infant gun incident.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/05/15/-jarvan-jackson-11-year-old-shot-_n_3278506.html
[how sick is the Abbott coalition]
http://www.news.com.au/national-news/nsw-act/opposition-blocks-bid-to-be-with-sick-baby/story-fndo4bst-1226643689970
It is part of Abbotts PPL, the mother gets six month leave with her baby but to offset this carers leave is to be abolished.
http://www.news.com.au/national-news/nsw-act/opposition-blocks-bid-to-be-with-sick-baby/story-fndo4bst-1226643689970
Oh wow Abbott – that’s low, even for you.
Let us hope that this is the big gaffe we’ve all been waiting for that sends his ratings down the toilet – at the very least, it should rightly trash his approval rating amongst women.
[Let us hope that this is the big gaffe we’ve all been waiting for that sends his ratings down the toilet – at the very least, it should rightly trash his approval rating amongst women.]
It is not a gaffe, it is a trade off for his PPL.
It is well known in sections of the business community that paid careers leave will be abolished to offset the cost and inconvenience of PPL. Mothers will still be able to access carers leave but they will have to purchase it or use annual leave. Business has long complained about the fact they have to pay a mothers wage just because the child s ill.
Abbott deliberately used the pairing refusal to send a signal to business that he can be tough on mothers and their babies.
Which is him playing politics with the need of a mother to care for her sick child – a rather massive gaffe that I hope the Labor party and the media rightly beat him into the ground for.
[It seems Johnny is lamenting not taxing food. He recons the Labour party and democrats ignored the mandate of the people in the 1998 election.
If the 98 election result was as mandate for the libs to tax then he’s a tad disillusioned]
Howard likes to ignore the mandates from that election.
Abbott certainly made a mockery of his “care” for mothers and their children. This is just evidence that his PPL is not about women having children but just simple politics.
Good morning
Wayne Swan presser in 20 minutes.
The IA contributors and followers who have over empathised with Thomson may pause given this treacherous observation
[”This won’t please some of my colleagues when I say it … but people including Labor party members may greatly fear Tony Abbott as prime minister but there are great reservations about the leadership of the Labor party,” he said.]
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/thomson-to-stand-as-independent-20130516-2jneo.html#ixzz2TOocmpd7
Abbott refusing to pair will show voters again that the LOTO has no empathy and is just mean and nasty.
Wonder how bad Warren feels being required to implement what is simply misogynistic bullying from Abbott, there were comments last night that we were too anti-Abbott, the problem is we are not anti-Abbott enough. He is a total disgrace.
..
Leader of the Opposition Tony Abbott and shadow treasurer Joe Hockey. Picture: Dan Himbrechts Source: The Daily Telegraph
“TONY Abbott is expected to back $43 billion of Labor’s deep spending cuts when he tonight charts the path he plans to take to the prime ministership.
The Opposition Leader will use his Budget reply speech to map out a “better way” forward for Australia than the Labor vision outlined by the Treasurer on Tuesday night.”
After refusing to allow a Mother to return home to care for her child…he needs a new “chart” to get himself elected
[ who have over empathised with Thomson]
Guilty or not Thomson has undergone an absolutely disgraceful political prosecution, and when legal investigations run their course the liberals demand they be restarted and they are. I don’t really care if Thonson is guilty or not, the political interference in the justice system is unacceptable and very objectionable.
I don’t think it is necessary to feel for Thomson at all.
Where are the talking heads on News 24 over pairing scandal?
well Is john
Suggesting to abbott and his mean spirited disciples
that gst go up with it FOOD
yes that would the go tony and take 200 fortnight off the pension,
cabbage bin food will be looking good,
not only that the coalition
Last night the Opposition was accused of lying about one of its own MPs. Alex Somlyay – reportedly absent from Parliament due to an illness – was seen in the parliamentary corridors before a vote.
Thomson has arguably benefitted from a very slow investigation of alleged criminal activity. He also had some very unwisely incurred legal bills paid for by his former party, enabling him to stay in parliament.
Does anyone know how contesting the election affects his parliamentary super? I presume that is his motive. As an indy he has no chance of victory.
Its no surprise Newsltd went into bed with the coalition
none of them can tell the ounce of truth or facts
Just on Thomsons resignation from the ALP and #newcorpse, the Daily ToiletPaper has it as an EXCLUSIVE whilst the OO simply reports the fact, as does Fairfax.
Paul Whittaker certainly treats his lemming readers with contempt. As do I.
Guytar..
Perhaps a few tweets to the Talkin Heads at ABC24 might stir the possum.
Who are our resident tweeters.
WWP – Hardly a ringing endorsement (mandate)
The government was re-elected with 49.02% of the two-party-preferred vote, compared to 50.98% for the Australian Labor Party
State of the parties
House of Representatives 1996 1998
LP* 75 64
NP 18 16
CLP 1 –
ALP 49 67
IND 5 1
Total 148 148
Senate 3 October Election Full Senate
LP 15 31
NP 1 3
CLP 1 1
ALP 17 29
DEM 4 9
HAR 1 1
HAN 1 1
GRN – 1
Total 40 76
Wayne Swan on 24 now
[Where are the talking heads on News 24 over pairing scandal?]
Like most ABC ‘journalists’ they will be following the partisan antigovernment line dictated by News Limited, like lemmings only not as cute.
Everyone on my tweetstream is repeating the link to Libs refusing a pair to Michelle Rowland.
Is TA’s speech so important that it must be watched in HOR?
Rubbish!
[WWP – Hardly a ringing endorsement (mandate)]
No mandate at all an honest person would say.
o
so may be the chat go with his minders went
==================================
gosh it is such a good budget
=================================================,,
now as they don’t have any polices ]
did he say. [great I will just say how good it is]
============================
hahahahah tony that’s exactly what we hoped you would
do
why would any one want to change gov, if you think the budget is good and you have nothing to offer
\=========================
hahahaha
emmmmmmemmemm wel well folk that’s dash good budget
sits down
====================================
now jwh thinks we are great
so now abbott does to,
if he is endorsing our budget
why would any one vote for change
when both he and jwh thinks we are doing very well
why change to them
——————–
there was great comedy on english tv that surrounded a hotel owner ship]
reminds me of that
Morrison on 24
The best description of the Missing LNP from the NDIS legislation.
A must read
http://yathink.com.au/article-display/an-epic-r_chirgwin-twitter-rant-in-disgust-at-coalition-ndis-no-show,71
http://www.newsflip.org/2013/05/the-lnp-lethal-negative-pointless.html
The LNP – Lethal. Negative. Pointless.
The LNP is the principal threat to progress and equality in Australia
Now ABC picks it up
@abcnews: Opposition blocks MP’s bid to be with sick child http://t.co/hftGwBc0B7
Warren Entsch
[“If they want pairs in the future they are going to have to be able to produce a darn sight more evidence in relation to the validity of what they are trying to apply,” he said.
“People’s obligation in the first instance is to be in this parliament.”]
What do they want? The sick child carted into Parliament to prove it? A doctor’s certificate?
Morning all – the Grub on radio National making excuses about yesterdays LNP no show.
http://www.businessspectator.com.au/news/2013/5/16/federal-budget/budget-2013-hockey-suggests-coalition-budget-support-likely?utm_source=exact&utm_medium=email&utm_content=292724&utm_campaign=am&modapt=
The LNP know they are running to catch up with Labor on fiscal policy. They will concede to Labor on the budget and offer nothing of their own. What a feeble bunch they are. There are a dozen things they could propose that would improve the fiscal outlook and the economy, but not one single idea will be forthcoming. Not one. They are the most intellectually barren opposition I can recollect. They are a total political wasteland.
Gee, two big stuff-ups in a single day: the no show at the Introduction of the Disability legislation and now the Michelle Rowland thing (with, if it’s true, the bizarre sub plot involving Somylay).
And Abbott seeming somewhat rattled in his media performances yesterday.
What’s going on? Abbott’s brains trust has been near-faultless up to now. Is it Peta’s baby brain? Is it a symptom of some strange internal rumblings?
I still think Abbott is thinking of pulling some sort of SSO stunt today or tonight. But they are agitated about it for some reason. Perhaps they have secured the support of a couple of cross-benchers and are really on the verge of bringing down the Government. It seems highly unlikely, but stranger things have happened.
And it would explain the refusal of a pair to Rowland.
@MrDenmore: The New York Times says the USA needs to take lessons from Australia in building a retirement savings system http://t.co/4hRrBLfsya
[And it would explain the refusal of a pair to Rowland.]
If you had the numbers and could procedurally move a motion of no confidence, doing it where you are supposed to have the budget reply speech would be a very good time to do it.
C’mon Arrnea..; “Let us hope that this is the big gaffe we’ve all been waiting for that sends his ratings down the toilet – at the very least, it should rightly trash his approval rating amongst women.”
Some of those sick OM. journo’s would SELL their babies rather than lay shite on the LOTO!
a poster
mentioned that this picture, re parliament. was shown on the drum.
but I have not seen it on other news outlets
if it wasn’t shown we should all be emailing the
media channels and asking why
=========================
after all people with disabilities watch tv
and see adds
it is the only way to get response remember the
myer petition
that at least got the cause publcity
==============
the media have no right to ignore this picture
its a very good news story for lots of people
not for others
but we watch the channels and see the same adds
I am fed up with being treated with indifference because
we vote the way we want to vote
========================================
meher baba
[I still think Abbott is thinking of pulling some sort of SSO stunt today or tonight. But they are agitated about it for some reason. Perhaps they have secured the support of a couple of cross-benchers and are really on the verge of bringing down the Government. It seems highly unlikely, but stranger things have happened.
And it would explain the refusal of a pair to Rowland.]
Then I wonder just what WILL be in Abbott’s reply to the Budget. I don’t recall much of last year’s post-budget rant, but doubt it had much reality.
The LNP are such an insipid bunch of time-wasters. They have an almost unprecedented ascendancy, and yet they are unable to come up with anything resembling even one meaningful, practical, well-constructed policy of any kind. They have nothing at all to show the electorate – or at least nothing they are prepared to put up for scrutiny, nothing they might have to defend. What a cowardly squad of shonks they will turn out to be.
Morning all.
Abbott is getting a ton of bad publicity over Michelle Rowland. Twitter has lit up a fair bit on it. Fran has brought it up twice. She gave Tanya P. a free kick, but Scott Morrison wouldn’t go near it.
Apart from the bad look on his treatment of women vs. his parental leave scheme, it also looks like hubris that he thinks his budget reply speech is important enough to deny a mother being with her sick child.
I’ll be very surprised if Abbott doesn’t change his mind.
If Abbott the coward e agrees to the government cuts, then there is no chance of any no confidence motion
Then Honestly how can any one thing of supporting the coalition when they are not going to offer any alternative
Labor wins by default
how can any one think of supporting