The latest Essential Research survey has the Coalition gaining a point on two-party preferred, their lead now at 57-43, with both major parties steady on the primary vote (49% for the Coalition and 31% for Labor) and the Greens down one to 10%. The poll also includes Essential’s monthly leader approval ratings, which have Tony Abbott gaining three points on approval to 35% and down one on disapproval to 53%, with Julia Gillard steady on approval at 32% and up two on disapproval to 58%. Abbott has also nudged ahead on preferred prime minister, gaining from 37-37 to 38-37.
Further questions find broad hostility to the Greens, whose “performance in federal parliament” is rated as good by 17% and poor by 47%, with 53% rating their policies “too extreme” and 26% “representing the views of many voters”. There are two questions on Julian Assange which seem to suggest sympathy for him has declined since March: 28% now believe the support he has received from the government has been appropriate, compared with 22% in March, while those who think otherwise (though this could potentially include those who think it has provided too much support) is down from 36% to 33%.
Preselection stuff:
• The WA Liberals have confirmed the preselection of Christian Porter in Pearce, ahead of 24-year-old trademark lawyer Alex Butterworth and local party members Rod Henderson and Bill Crabtree. Gary Adshead of The West Australian reports the winning margin was 39 to 15, which I take to refer to Porter’s and Butterworth’s totals in the first and final round. UPDATE: The Australian reports Porter and Butterworth were the only two candidates, another two who had been mentioned having withdrawn.
• The Sunshine Coast Daily reports a field of nine candidates has nominated for the LNP preselection for Fisher on July 29: “Stephen Ainscough, Mr Brough, Richard Bruinsma, James McGrath, Graeme Mickelberg, Alan Nielsen, Daniel Purdie, Peta Simpson and Andrew Wallace”.
• The Nationals have preselected Matthew Fraser, owner of two Hungry Jacks stores in the Tweed Heads are, as their candidate for the north coast NSW seat of Richmond. Fraser won a preselection vote over Alan Hunter, a Myocum beef farmer and the candidate in 2010, Scott Cooper, a university lecturer, and John McMahon, a Tweed Heads newsagency owner.
• The Cessnock Advertiser reports the Nationals have preselected Michael Johnsen, Scone businessman and former mayor of Upper Hunter, to run against Joel Fitzgibbon in Hunter (margin 12.5%). Johnsen also ran in the seat in 1996 and 2010.
• Bevan Shields of the Illawarra Mercury reports five union leaders have publicly endorsed Stephen Jones, Labor’s member for Throsby, as Right forces led by state Wollongong MP Noreen Hay marshall forces for a preselection challenge. The unions concerned include the Right faction Australian Workers Union, together with the Left faction Australian Manufacturing Workers Union, Australian Services Union, Maritime Union of Australia and United Services Union.
bemused, really who do you think you are, you act as thought your in caucus,
but you are just a labor member , i sometimes wonder about that to.
i. i am curious does your member encourage you to do this here. the one you represent. may be some one in Melbourne should ask the other branch members it would be interesting to know what they actully think. may be they would not be amused
you talking about what rudd should do ect. No one want to work with him,
may be you should apply to be his manager,
the gravartar thingo makes us pass by you , you have done more to disrupt this blogg than any liberal i have ever come across.
Morning All
Just a quick drop in for now – will come back later to watch the by-election unfold, GO GREENS 🙂
For you Labor folk looking for a scapegoat for all your woes, can I suggest you look a little closer to home – the party is a mess. You can blame the Greens and the media all you like but they aren’t the issue.
Welcome back Kezza, wasn’t as big a shake as last time but still a bit to it – what’s going on down your way!!!
Have a great day All
my say @ 5351
Glad you like my gravatar and quite obviously you don’t just scroll past.
I look forward to reading your posts when Kevin Rudd is back as leader and Prime Minister.
😀
[5249
confessions
lizzie:
Yep, active destabilisation.]
confessions, JG is actively self-destabilizing. She cannot help it. She is just not up to the office and every time she ventures into public this is obvious to every observer.
One thing Labor has done well is to pass bills. But this not only illustrates that politics is about more than legislation, it demonstrates the political infirmity of the PM. In spite of all the legislative achievement and the strength of the economy, the public are overwhelmingly hostile to JG and Labor. The source of Labor’s unpopularity is the PM. if she won’t resign, she should be removed.
Good morning Bludgers.
I see it’s groundhog day again here. Logging on I was rather hoping to see my fellow Labor types here towelling the Tories for a change. Silly me.
It’s wall to wall Ruddstoration and Geeens bashing. Meh.
The more things change…..
C@tmomma @ 5344
My sentiments exactly.
But I can’t be bothered with the dogfight about it.
And have too much housework to catch up on!
Catch you all later on when this latest outbreak dies down.
It’s a troll! Run for your lives!
c atooma
then bemused turns it around on you he did that to me. but i agree and have told julie collins as much.
we need to again write to these idiots. phes did say rudd would try again, he is truluy over the top. we dont want the man 70 said no i say by now its 80
\just becauce the press say othere wise does not mean its so.
these stupid members i hope in the future none of them have a career they actully should be disindorsed.
[Logging on I was rather hoping to see my fellow Labor types here towelling the Tories for a change. Silly me.]
For some so called labor types it is more important to talk of change the leader than promote labor policies and achievements and highlight the tory shortcomings.
[I look forward to reading your posts when Kevin Rudd is back as leader and Prime Minister.]
I sincerely doubt any of us will live that long.
This little black duck
Posted Saturday, July 21, 2012 at 10:52 am | Permalink
It’s a troll! Run for your lives!
why not, lets leave amused bemused to talk to him self,. and kev on his mobile.
really i love to see that only one person his here suppose the three them would have good day.
sorry to be narky this morning but. people who talk about rudd are NO friend of the labor party and should be ask to leave their branc.
loyalty to the elctected leader is the only things that should be.
in fact they should have to sign that when becoming members.
the media have always disliked the left, mostly so when they want something we should do the opposite
its like big business if they want something it cannot be good for us folks
remeber my father saying that.
also vote labor they will look after you.
those days there was NOt to many rich people in the party.
rich people have no idea about the ordinary person. thats why julia is such a gem for speaks for us.
briefly @ 5354
That is all sadly true.
There is more to government than simply passing bills and I just shake my head in disbelief when this is trotted out as a measure of the governments success. Most bills are routine and uncontroversial. They pass without opposition.
The true measure of success in that sphere has been the ability to get a few key pieces of legislation through both houses in the face of fierce opposition.
A political leader needs to be perceived as just that, a leader, someone with a vision who is worth following. Someone who can persuade the majority of the electorate to trust them and accept their vision.
This is where Julia Gillard has failed.
That does not make her a bad person or not a good minister. It just means that somehow or other she has not been able to inspire the electorate. It is her personal tragedy.
And all the adulation on PB makes not a jot of difference out there in the electorate where it matters.
gees bemused i see the artifical grin, just as i see my name i sail past even quicker
briefly
[She is just not up to the office and every time she ventures into public this is obvious to every observer.]
Er, what? Someone who can swing 20% of an audience around in a couple of hours is clearly ‘up to the office’.
Someone who clearly is held in respect by world leaders is clearly ‘up to the office’.
Someone who keeps fighting when the chips are down is clearly ‘up to the office’.
Someone who not only forms a minority government but holds it together so well that it’s still standing two years later and has passed some hugely controversial bills in that time is clearly ‘up to the office’.
any news on the dinner last night with the union members loved to have been a fly on the wall as they decide to fight the tories re workchoices.
Julia is amazing at that, rudd never lifted a finger in that area from memory
It was her work and will be again
have not had time to look at links this morning.
[The source of Labor’s unpopularity is the PM. if she won’t resign, she should be removed.]
Apart from the obvious nonsense, she should be removed by whom?
Noone has the cojones or the nous to do it, least of all the Ruddster. JG removed his with the 71 – 31 and by his own admission, he won’t be challenging.
No cojones is why. Gone.
my say @ 5363
You really seem obsessed with my avatar.
Would you like one similar to it?
smithe
Posted Saturday, July 21, 2012 at 10:51 am | Permalink
Good morning Bludgers.
smithe well its now up to us to promise each other to ignore them but
they do drive you insane dont they. suppose thats what they want.
gee its fun on my big computer .
my tablet is sticking has any one ever had that problem.,
If we all ignored it it would go……
so whats the latest on monday any links in the paper are the media taking any interest as yet. does some one out there want a walkley award.
I had a feeling brefley was an alien as well gees i can pick them
Anyhow, Boat has a dry bottom and winter whiting beckon.
Later, peeps, enjoy Episode CVXXVVCCXV111 of Ruddstoration.
I read the list of pro union achievements that Gillard quoted – I guess to NSW conference . It WAS impressive.
Why at least can this not be sold? It is NOT OK to say blame the media – there ARE otherways – full page adds, tweets, facebook, radio.
every ones gone but bemused
i just checked
o there s d tt how strange do you call each other on the phone.
BB at 5290,
Excellent post brother. You have caught the failures of many here beautifully.
They’re dancing to News Ltd’s tune and plugging it’s Get Gillard agenda with nary a second thought.
Talk about being sucked-in.
my say @ 5372 & 5373
Are you as stupid as those posts of yours?
[I remember Howard being jeered at the cricket .Even some libs I know are now deriding the wasted opportunities when he was in.]
One of the wasted opportunities is the regret they did not go far enough with Work Choices.
From the Mike Carlton article:
[It is true that Rudd’s return to the leadership would convulse the party. Some of its most senior ministers – those who rushed to bucket Rudd as a wacko control freak – would have no choice but to resign. It would mean the loss of such talent as Gillard herself, Wayne Swan, Nicola Roxon and Stephen Conroy, for starters. But that may be the only way of saving the Labor furniture and, more importantly, of saving the country from the divisive and regressive horrors of an Abbott prime ministership.
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/pm-must-go-or-the-party-will-be-over-20120720-22fcl.html#ixzz21DB5ida%5D
bemused
[Are you as stupid as those posts of yours?\
Honestly, how is this necessary? Or useful?
Why be nasty just for the sake of it?
[Are you as stupid as those posts of yours]
far more intelligent and read worthy than some embittered old I cooda been
[But that may be the only way of saving the Labor furniture ]
Or….it may not.
zoomster @ 5378
[From the Mike Carlton article:]
i read that as Carlton being tongue in cheek for the article, ie save some seats by getting rid of the talent and thus trashing the legacy of the labor government.
And you get some who agree with him, go figure.
MySay
I try not to comment on your posts by and large
However you get a lot of sympathy here form many, many posters but very often you are just plain rude.
Like it or not Bemused and myself have as much right to post here as any others. Calling for others to go and boycott etc is just plain rude.
I feel sure if you went visiting to a party held by Bilbo you would not rock up to other guests and tell them to leave.
Think about it. You are Bilbo’s guest on this site. If someone is offensive to you then by all means take it up with Bilbo and I am sure he will act. Otherwise perhaps think that you are a guest on the site just like the rest of us.
bemused
Well, if you think you’re on a higher plane than mysay, demonstrate that by some adult behaviour.
[They’re dancing to News Ltd’s tune and plugging it’s Get Gillard agenda with nary a second thought.]
Yeah and no-one gives a second thought to Tone being relaxed and comfortable about a young girl being bullied into suicide in the work place.
[meher baba
Posted Saturday, July 21, 2012 at 9:44 am | Permalink
BTW, I think many posters on here are delusional. I think the NSW are moving quickly towards getting rid of Gillard. Not doing this would be wildly inconsistent with ]
o dear i thought this fellow tasmanian had class
It is always interesting when rational people trying to deal with narcissist/socipathic individuals. The rational people keep trying to be reasonable and sensible.
Australia has two narcissist/sociopaths: Rudd and Abbott.
The nation is at the mercy of a couple of nutters. The normal rules of reason, sense, judgement, emotion, values and principles do not apply.
thats ok… i m normal grass rootes person
badge of honour thank you bemused.
Bushfire Bill@5290,
This is the only antidote to the poison spewing from bemused here.
And the alternative treasurer does not understand how the federal government and taxation works.
[Mr Hockey said the obvious point was that the GST is a tax collected on behalf of the states and it would be up to the states to convince the public to support any change.]
In previous years we had people called journalists who would call out politicians on these sort of statements, like they did with Joh and separation of powers.
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/well-act-to-keep-pm-in-her-job-says-union-20120720-22fle.html
Boerwar@5387,
What to do? Especially considering the only reasonable alternative, The Greens, is not capable of rational, reasonable or pragmatic thought processes either.
narcissist/socipathic
Boerwar i lived with one for 21 years and then had to put with the same on till i was 60
never had a rational thought very often but you dont know it when your a child you think its normal.
the only way she would ration out things was to refuse to speak to you. becauce she was always the one who new best alway right. told lies about people and
those around her,
but out in the public every one adored her especially at MASS .. now thats funny
at danced where she had the best smile the best dress and told every one so.
primadonna belle of the ball. alwasy there for othere people .. but behind their backs
talked about them
so the story goes on but you get the picture i sure.;
I recognise these traits in people very quickly having lived with it.
when she went i got peace. my children say mum you are so different i simply say its in the gene.s.
castle @ 5382
Simple! Some, like you, read into it what they want to read.
The message really could not be clearer.
You’re right Bemused. I must be a simpleton.
I believe those who are paid to weild piosonous and vitriolic pens should be subject to daylight…..they are not.
those who formulate and finance the agenda should be subject to daylight…..they are not.
they lurk in the shadows, they plot in the shadows…( Ashby has proved that) and they don’t seem accountable to anyone.
they don’t prey on the weak and vain. The weak and vain have offered themselves up.
Earlier, BB posted this;
[ The one glaring reason for keeping Gillard (apart from all the other glaring reasons, that is) is this: anyone who can stand up to the total shitstorm that has been thrown at her, get things done as she has (as opposed to “making nice” but doing little, like her predecessor), and who can bring together a fractious collection of independents, whacked out Greens and disaffected Liberals into the makings of a record-breakingly functional parliament, is the person I’d want to have next to me in the trenches when the howitzers are firing in my direction.
The reasons, the reasonings, the viciousness – and the total failure of her enemies to get her to budge from the top job – are proof in themselves that she is up to the job. ]
I am simple enough in my beliefs to agree with every word BB has written, as I think many here would.
As I, in my simpleton way, have confidence that those who come to this site, read, never comment yet, perhaps quietly, consider how evil can and does control the agenda in this country. It is to these I speak, as do many others who post here. Believe me, bemused, when I say ” this isn’t about you ” because it most assuredly is not.
So you’re probably right, Bemused.
‘Only a simpleton can believe that strength, courage, staying the course and shining light into dark places…..( read media enquiry) can defeat evil…..fool that I am.
i have a bet with you i bet the media laws are on their wayl
lol
rudd would squib that too i suppose,
C@tmomma
We’re mug punters. I believe that most of Mr Rudd’s colleagues have got him sorted. He just keeps on going. That is what narcissist/scoiopaths do, after all. Mr Abbott’s colleagues are keeping mum, though. He has been the most destructive LOTO in our history. They will live to regret letting him off the leash.
zoomster @ 5384
Like lucid posts in English?
This intense anti-Gillard meme from the media, the Green-Conservatives and the treasonous internal minority will rage on for a few more months yet unfortunately.
Those focused on policy (as opposed to politics) should get used to the scroll function.
The PM’s google hangout session is a fantastic initiative that isn’t subject to the distortive media filter – more of these please.
Gillard live answering questions at Deakin Uni
Got to go out so helpful if we get a summarry.
But interesting top three questions to her
Gay marriage
School chaplains
Veteran pensions