The Courier-Mail has published another of its roughly-monthly 800-sample Galaxy polls of Queensland state voting intention, and it maintains an established trend in giving the LNP a 54-46 two-party lead. On the primary vote, the LNP holds a commanding lead of 43 per cent to 34 per cent. The poll provides all sorts of bad news for Anna Bligh personally, with 53 per cent saying she should stand aside as leader – although she remains well ahead of any potential rivals on the question of preferred Labor leader. Bligh’s disapproval rating is at a disastrous 62 per cent, with only 32 per cent approving. She is also placed last in an interesting question on who has been the best out of the state’s past four premiers, which has Peter Beattie on 39 per cent, Wayne Goss on 35 per cent, Rob Borbidge on 9 per cent and Bligh on 6 per cent. Both Bligh and Opposition Leader John-Paul Langbroek are up a point on preferred premier, with Bligh maintaining a one-point lead of 41-40.
Could be worse I suppose, but still pretty bad. Still a long way off to the next election however, plenty of time for Bligh and Labor to regroup, she does maintain preferred premier after all.
Dumping her in favor of someone else at this time would be a bad move, it’s always indicative of governments about to get the flick. The best they can do is repair trust with voters slowly but surely, with Bligh as leader.
They’ve had a good run. Now would be the time to start thinking about setting themselves up for a return to government. Reinstate the upper house with a proper electoral system (note, do not look at WA). Also enhance ways of obtaining information from the government of the day.
54%, but not to the ALP? Must be a rogue along with all the others. The LNP cannot win because Labor hackery folklore says so.
😉
Labor’s long run may be coming to an end – excluding the Brobidge “interregnum” Queensland has had three very long one-party runs. The problem for the LNP is when they actually get near an election, and lib-nat infighting begins.
I just think it’s very brave to try call an election this far out.
[Reinstate the upper house]
Ah ha ha ha ha ha! HA HA HA HA! Ah ha ha ha ha ha ha ha!
Thanks, I needed that.
#2
You don’t think it would look just a fraction cynical, having governed with no checks and balances for the best part of 20 years, to suddenly demand an Upper House when your opponents are likely to get in?
Just a little….?
Queensland 2009 = NSW 2007
Prove again old government who relies on spin to stays too long, who prove time and again they cannot provide infrastructure and services will get thrown out badly by the public
[Queensland 2009 = NSW 2007
Prove again old government who relies on spin to stays too long, who prove time and again they cannot provide infrastructure and services will get thrown out badly by the public]
Except for the bit about the public not throwing out the NSW Government in 2007.
[You don’t think it would look just a fraction cynical, having governed with no checks and balances for the best part of 20 years, to suddenly demand an Upper House when your opponents are likely to get in?]
Perhaps. But since it is official LNP policy to reinstate the Upper House they will also look ‘a fraction cynical’ if they oppose it.
Governments have a life span. Nuff said.
How bad is corruption under the Bligh Labor government? Very bad indeed! When I spoke out about a high level political cover-up involving Robert Wensley QC, the brother of Queensland Governor Penelope Wensley and three other judges, Premier Bligh laughed in Parliament. The Attorney General remains incommunicado on the issue of judicial corruption and my local MP, John Mickel, the Speaker of the House continues to deny me electoral representation and had me ejected from Parliament. Courier Mail journalist Rosemary Odgers recently raised the allegations by police officer Steven Isles against the CMC. Yet Ms Odgers interviewed me outside Parliament on 23 April 2009 after my violent ejection on what my allegations were, but the whole matter was hushed up. Coverage and further details:
Armed Police Eject Mother From Queensland Parliament http://bit.ly/2WpSxG
Bullied schoolboy wants Anna Bligh to address judicial corruption http://bit.ly/2IxKDp
Parliamentary Crime and Misconduct Committee a disgrace http://bit.ly/3eGiBO
QLD Governor Silent on Judicial Corruption Claims Against Brother http://bit.ly/IBi4k
4BC radio call with Chuck Brooks http://bit.ly/148blL
http://bit.ly/2nLXaq 4BC Radio Blog comment Jennifer Nash Tuesday 24 Nov 2009 – 5:45 AM
http://bit.ly/5c4V1X 4BC Radio Blog comment Jennifer Nash Sat 21 Nov 2009 – 3:27 AM
http://bit.ly/5YBUgz Blog comment Jennifer Nash 1st December 2009, 4.02pm
“Queensland 2009 = NSW 2007”
So predicting a win for Labor…
And The Greens vote is……??
[Governments have a life span. Nuff said.]
Every government that is in office now, both in this country and in every other country, will one day no longer be in office.
But that generalisation alone tells us absolutely nothing about when.
#9, 12
I think you missed the point of dovif’s post. Labor was re-elected in Qld in 2009, as it was in NSW 2007.
The implication being that Qld 2011/2012 = NSW 2011.
J-D
Qld 09 = NSW 07 means that Qld is 2 year behind NSW, it is not going to get better, because if it can get better, it would have by now
Qld is 2 year behind NSW, NSW will get thrown out in 2 year, Qld in 3
MDMConnell is correct
re: Dovif @ 8
You exaggerate a little!
In the last 60 years in NSW, all of the governments that “cannot provide infrastructure and services” were defeated by only one seat (1976 & 1995).
On both occasions, they were defeated badly at the 2 subsequent elections (1978, 1981 and 1999, 2003).
In that case, dovif, neither government has yet been thrown out, so nothing has yet been ‘proved’. It will be time enough to use the word ‘proved’ if your predictions come true.
[And The Greens vote is]
Almost entirely irrelevant.
Langbroek will be the first Liberal Premier, the unnoticed revolution in Qld poltics has been the end of conservative exceptionalism. yet we have Joyce and the old National/Country rump banging on as though they actually represent something when the last 20 years have been a tale of total collapse for their politics.
[Governments have a life span. Nuff said.]
Menzies? Playford? Joh?
J-D
The NSW Labor is the Deadest government in the history of mankind, the NSW people will be using baseball bats
You must live in a hole
dovif
You may well be right. But you said ‘proved’. And it isn’t ‘proved’ until after it happens.
More hype from the CM and Galaxy. Lets just wait untl March 2011.
We don’t even know who will be leading the LNP … it won’t be JPL.
If the economy is booming again by March 2011, the ALP will win again. They are much better organised than the LNP and have more cash. The LNP will be skint from the federal election in 2010.
After the bizarre 1998 election, I have thought Labor could have lost each successive election, but the Libs and Nats always stuff up.
2001 – Mike Kaiser et al resign over electoral shenanigans, One Nation on wane, but…
2004 – Coalition ascendant federally, but…
2006 – Jayant Patel and Health Scandals, but…
2009 – Health Scandals, Qld economy in trouble from GFC, but…
so while I expect the LNP to have a real chance next time (2012?), as things get closer they seem to always run into problems, essentially relating to Queensland being our most de-centralised State (in fact I think the only one where a majority don’t live in the Capital)
The REAL story here is the Green vote. The Courier-piece-of-shit-Mail did not publish the primaries of the Greens and Independents, but can be seen here: http://www.galaxyresearch.com.au/
The Greens are, for the second poll in a row, polling 15%, up from 8.4% at the election. The LNP primary is pretty much the same, as for Independents. So the polls are telling us that ALP voters are moving (or at least parking) in their droves to the Greens.
The Courier Mail has yet again missed the real story, and seemingly deliberately so … why would they not publish the primaries of the Greens? Bizarre.
Itep@20 – I’d say you couldn’t be more wrong, given they are polling 15% and the LNP has improved sweet (SNIP: See article 2 of comment moderation guidelines – The Management) all.
[Menzies? Playford? Joh?]
Governments, not leaders DBrain
They all fell. What is your point.
[Every government that is in office now, both in this country and in every other country, will one day no longer be in office.
But that generalisation alone tells us absolutely nothing about when.]
Wasn’t meant to. What is your point? Governments have a lifespan. No government democratically elected stays in power forever.
I wonder if the CM would be running regular polls if the government was popular. I’m thinking not. They are running an anti Bligh agenda without a doubt.
Has Miranda Devine ever had anything good to say about Labor?
Sorry, wrong thread.
[The REAL story here is the Green vote. The Courier-piece-of-shit-Mail did not publish the primaries of the Greens and Independents, but can be seen here: http://www.galaxyresearch.com.au/
The Greens are, for the second poll in a row, polling 15%, up from 8.4% at the election. The LNP primary is pretty much the same, as for Independents. So the polls are telling us that ALP voters are moving (or at least parking) in their droves to the Greens.]
The Courier Mail has yet again missed the real story, and seemingly deliberately so … why would they not publish the primaries of the Greens? Bizarre.
Thanks Clara,
Just as I suspected, the pattern of ignoring The Green vote is so perverse in the media it’s just a joke.
The increase in their vote is the story of the decade in Australian politics.
Those that ignore the facts just look unprofessional and stupid.
Now IF I was into conspiracies this would be a good place to start looking for one!
[What is your point? Governments have a lifespan. No government democratically elected stays in power forever.]
My point was that I couldn’t see what your point was. Nothing lasts forever. Democratic governments don’t and neither do undemocratic governments. They all come to an end. Every one of us will die, and so will every living thing. All things are devoured by time. The universal wisdom is ‘This too shall pass’. And precisely because of the universal nature of this truth, it doesn’t have a special relevance to the Queensland government now that it doesn’t have to every government all the time. So what was your point?
marg 34
Thanks for the link to the Galaxy numbers.
On those numbers Labor would be in big trouble because of Optional Preferential Voting. This would be somewhat ironic as its introduction was certainly very favorable to Labor by “exhausting” many Liberal and National ballots, one of the reasons they eventually had their “shotgun marriage”.
Re – long stints in office – I have started to appreciate the “neatness” of the four or eight year term that a US President can have since they changed the rules after FDR.
Sorry, Clara 27 – another late night!
Yes, if they were Federal Full Preferential numbers Labor would look OK.
But at an equivalent time in the last cycle (next election due first half of 2012), Labor polled 50-51 primary in Newspoll from April 2007 to March 2008, with the Greens on 5-8 for “notional” TPPs of 59-61.