LIVE ELECTION BLOGGING. Entries should be added at every minute or two. You will need to hit “refresh” to see new entries.
12.10am. ABC computer had Swan as Liberal gain earlier tonight, but it’s tightened.
11.54pm. Forgot about Paterson: turned out a narrow Liberal win.
11.46pm. Macarthur’s 58-year reign as a bellwether is now over. It is now officially Eden-Monaro.
11.37pm. 5.2 per cent in Victoria could have yielded Labor nothing, so they should be pleased with Deakin and Corangamite.
11.36pm. ACT: with no Senate boilover, a boring result.
11.36pm. Swing to Liberal in Franklin a measure of Harry Quick’s popularity. I figured the Libs were in trouble when Nick Minchin started tooking it up.
11.35pm. Bass closer than expected, but Labor. Contrary to expectations, Braddon was an easier win for Labor.
11.34pm. Okay, live blogging of ABC call of the board.
11.29pm. I exaggerated about the Coalition blocking majority. The clear loss of SA and Tasmanian Senate seats will leave them one short. But if they take the final seat from the Greens in Victoria, they’ll be able to do it if they can woo Steve Fielding or Nick Xenophon, and will have an absolute majority in both. A long-winded way of saying the Greens most likely will not have the balance of power.
11.28pm. Not much doubt about 3 LIB, 2 ALP and 1 GRN in Western Australia.
11.27pm. Straightforward Tasmanian Senate result: 3 ALP, 2 LIB, 1 GRN.
11.24pm. Greens firming in SA Senate. Looks like 2 ALP, 2 LIB, 1 XEN and 1 GRN.
11.21pm. Greens falling behind in Victorian Senate. Looking more like Labor 3, Coalition 3. That leaves the Coalition with a blocking majority.
11.18pm. No surprises lurking in the NSW Senate count. A clear 3-3 for the majors, with Kerry Nettle losing her seat.
10.56pm. Straightforward contest between Labor and Greens for last Queensland seat, with Labor ahead. Most likely LNP 3, ALP 3; but possible LNP 3, ALP 2, GRN 1.
10.55pm. Pauline Hanson gets enough votes for public funding.
10.50pm. Libs home in Cowan.
10.47pm. Howard pretty much concedes Bennelong. And here I was buying Nick Minchin’s line about postal votes.
10.40pm. Still early Senate figures from Queensland point to a very tight race for the last seat between Labor and the Greens, with the Coalition clear on three. It is worth dwelling on the significance of the Coalition’s performance in the Senate: they will very likely win more seats than Labor, and will have a blocking majority when combined with Family First. There’s a good chance we’ll get a double dissolution during the coming term, if Labor has reason to feel bold.
10.26pm. Taking a step back, I believe we have a strong Senate result for the Coalition, who will only drop seats in South Australia and Tasmania.
10.23pm. Liberal ACT Senate vote fading a little, but not quite enough to trouble them.
10.21pm. Labor pulling further ahead in Hasluck, not going to win Stirling, probably gone in Swan, not quite dead yet in Cowan.
10.19pm. Lineball in Bowman. The Liberals might lose Mal Brough, and keep Andrew Laming. Great.
10.12pm. Big Liberal win in Swan, actually – over half counted, 0.1 per cent margin, 2.1 per cent swing.
10.12pm. ABC calls Swan for the Liberals.
10.10pm. ABC not yet calling Stirling for Liberal, but they probably should be: with over 50 per cent counted, the Liberals lead by 1.2 per cent. Slow count in Hasluck, but still lineball.
10.01pm. Another big loser from the evening: the tally room. Don’t think we’ll be seeing it again.
9.59pm. Greens Senate position in SA improving. They’re struggling to stay ahead of Labor at the second last exclusion. If they stay there they’ll get up on Labor prefs. Otherwise it will be ALP 3, LIB 2, XEN 1
9.55pm. Labor with a narrow lead in Solomon after half the vote counted.
9.54pm. Big Labor win in Flynn also: 10.7 per cent swing, 3.0 per cent margin.
9.53pm. Double-digit swings: Barker, Blair, Calwell, Dawson, Flynn, Forde, Groom, Holt, Leichhardt, Longman, Macarthur (yet not quite enough) and Petrie. Mal Brough conceding in Longman.
9.49pm. Raw AEC figures from Hasluck have Labor 1.25 per cent ahead from 31.6 per cent, ABC has it lineball from 12.6 per cent.
9.45pm. Labor behind in Swan and likely to lose Cowan, but likely to win Hasluck. Liberals looking good in Stirling.
9.43pm. Not much doubt about 3 ALP, 2 LIB, 1 GRN in Tasmania.
9.41pm. Three seats for Coalition in Victoria, two for Labor, close fight for final seat between Labor and Greens with Greens in front.
9.40pm. Not looking good for Kerry Nettle. Likely NSW Senate result 3 ALP, 3 LNP.
9.38pm. Senate result currently pointing to 2 LIB, 2 ALP and Xenophon, with a very close battle between the Liberals and Greens for the last seat.
9.33pm. Twenty-three Labor gains now from ABC, but the Liberals have probably gained Cowan and are ahead in Swan.
9.32pm. ABC computer now calls Flynn for Labor.
9.30pm. Liberals keeping their noses in front in Sturt.
9.29pm. Stirling count into the teens, Liberal ahead but it’s not over yet. Lineball in Hasluck and Swan. Liberals look likely to gain Cowan.
9.26pm. Scratch that on ACT Senate, I’m now told otherwise. Liberal member Gary Humphries to hold.
9.24pm. Close race for ACT Senate.
9.21pm. Labor ahead in Bowman now.
9.18pm. ABC calls Petrie for Labor, meaning big money for me from PortlandBet.
9.17pm. Smith not sounding at all confident about any of the four Perth marginals.
9.16pm. Not looking good for Labor in Stirling, too early to say in Hasluck. Stirling would have more new development/urban infill than Hasluck.
9.14pm. Quite well ahead, actually.
9.13pm. But Labor now ahead in Petrie.
9.12pm. ABC downgrades Dickson to ALP ahead.
9.10pm. I’m told that early indications for the Senate suggest 3 ALP, 3 LNP in NSW, so Kerry Nettle in trouble, and 3 LIB, 2 ALP, 1 GRN in Victoria.
9.09pm. WA no quicker at counting votes than Queensland. Perhaps it’s the heat.
9.06pm. Big result – ABC calls Forde for Labor. Very little of the vote counted though, as far as teh ABC website is concerned.
9.04pm. Labor probably enough ahead in Bennelong that they’re the favourite. Very tight in Petrie.
9.02pm. CLP 0.8 per cent ahead in Solomon with 15.1 per cent counted.
9.01pm. ABC calls for Dickson for Labor, too early I’d suggest: 0.2 per cent ahead, 14.5 per cent counted.
8.56pm. Very impressive Labor win in Leichhardt.
8.55pm. Very first results coming in from WA.
8.53pm. The ABC is explicitly calling 20 seats for Labor, but might be wrong about Bennelong and perhaps one other. The Coalition can still desperately hope for a scenario where everything else goes right and they can win Solomon, Cowan and Swan.
8.52pm. Labor now back ahead in back-and-forth battle for Flynn.
8.50pm. Narrow early CLP lead in Solomon. Labor out of trouble now in Lingiari.
8.50pm. Early, but looking very close in Forde.
8.46pm. ABC’s calls for Labor in Queensland: Blair, Bonner, Dawson, Leichhardt, Longman, Moreton. No significant figures from Herbert. Kerry O’Brien saying Dickson “in trouble”. Interesting early swing to CLP in Lingiari.
8.42pm. ABC calls Blair and Leichhardt for Labor and gives them back Bennelong.
8.40pm. Nationals have pulled ahead in Flynn.
8.34pm. Line-ball in Sturt, but the Liberals should get up in Boothby.
8.32pm. Labor 1.0 per cent ahead in Blair with 14.3 per cent. Still slow count in Queensland.
8.31pm. Ryan not living up to the hype on early figures.
8.30pm. Still lineball in Robertson.
8.29pm. Labor pulls slightly further ahead in Bennelong, but it will be very tight.
8.28pm. Julia Gillard calls it. ABC computer ticks over to 76 for Labor at that very moment.
8.26pm. Count finally building up in Bonner and Moreton, Labor swings of 7.2 per cent and 4.1 per cent.
8.26pm. Nationals looking good in Hinkler – not a huge surprise.
8.24pm. Big swing to Labor in Capricornia – unnecessary for them, but enforces the picture in Flynn and Dawson. Still nothing credible from Leichhardt.
8.23pm. Many crucial seats in Queensland counting agonisingly slowly.
8.19pm. ABC computer calls Bass for Labor.
8.18pm. Labor also hold narrow early lead in Flynn.
8.18pm. Very big early Labor swing in Longman.
8.14pm. Haven’t mentioned Sturt yet: lineball with a third of the vote counted.
8.13pm. ABC computer calls Wentworth for Turnbull.
8.13pm. Kingston now a Labor gain on ABC.
8.10pm. Early 4.0 per cent swing gives Labor a slight early lead in Moreton.
8.09pm. Very early 10.1 per cent swing to Labor in Leichhardt, 0.2 per cent short of the required swing.
8.07pm. Bob Hawke has called the election for Labor, just as he memorably did in 1993.
8.06pm. Big gain for Labor, according to the ABC: Dawson.
8.05pm. ABC has Macarthur as Liberal retain.
8.03pm. Bonner called for Labor, as expected.
8.02pm. Maddeningly slow count in most important Queensland seats.
8.01pm. Bennelong lead continues to narrow. Now line-ball.
8.01pm. Nick Minchin makes well-made but probably exaggerated point about postal votes in Bennelong.
7.59pm. Big early swing to Labor in Blair.
7.57pm. Finally, intelligence from Queensland. Dawson looking very interesting.
7.57pm. Only a slight early swing to Labor in Kingston, but enough for them to win if they maintain it.
7.56pm. Labor lead narrowing Bennelong.
7.55pm. Line-ball in Robertson. Labor back ahead in Bass.
7.50pm. Very slow count so far in Queensland.
7.49pm. Most of the booth vote counted in Bass, and it won’t be decided tonight.
7.45pm. Dobell down for Labor from ABC.
7.42pm. Not looking good for Labor in Boothby.
7.38pm. Sounds like the entire Poll Bludger readership is at the tally room. ABC computer still says “in doubt” in Bennelong, but surely Howard is gone.
7.40pm. Liberals back ahead in Bass.
7.38pm. Nine seats called for Labor by ABC computer so far.
7.37pm. ABC computer calls Eden-Monaro for Labor.
7.36pm. NEWS FLASH: ABC computer calls Bennelong for Labor.
7.35pm. Labor catching up but still behind in Cowper.
7.33pm. Labor now ahead in Bass.
7.32pm. Liberals doing very well in La Trobe and McMillan – areas which also went against Labor at the state election.
7.30pm. No big surprise here, but ABC computer gives Lindsay and Parramatta to Labor.
7.30pm. Couple of outer Sydney seats Liberals were getting excited about aren’t coming in: Hughes and Greenway, anyhow.
7.29pm. Deakin back to Labor gain.
7.28pm. More figures in from Bennelong and Labor lead still holding.
7.28pm. Early results in Sturt suggest it’s tight. Ditto Boothby, but they’re slightly behind.
7.27pm. Still only 6.3 per cent, Labor looking very good in Bennelong.
7.26pm. Very first figures from Queensland coming in.
7.25pm. Labor ahead in Eden-Monaro, but only just.
7.24pm. ALP computer has demoted Deakin from ALP gain to ALP ahead.
7.24pm. Labor now ahead in Robertson.
7.23pm. Have I said ABC computer calls Page for Labor?
7.22pm. Labor slowly catching up in Bass.
7.20pm. Big Labor swings being wasted in seats they already hold.
7.19pm. Early big swing in Lyne has moderated below 5 per cent.
7.18pm. Malcolm Turnbull looking good on the early Wentworth count.
7.17pm. Labor also falling just short in Robertson and Paterson. Let’s just say it will be interesting to see results from Queensland.
7.17pm. Liberals holding on in McMillan.
7.16pm. Swing in Macarthur also falling short at this stage.
7.16pm. No Labor coup in Hughes, by the look of it.
7.15pm. Nationals just slightly ahead in Cowper, but nothing in it. Lower than expected swing to Labor in Dobell.
7.14pm. ABC calls Braddon as Labor gain.
7.09pm. ABC computer calls Deakin for Labor.
7.09pm. ABC computer calls Page for Labor, Gippsland for Nationals.
7.07pm. Liberals pull further ahead in Bass. 10.5 per cent counted. Still close.
7.07pm. Labor swing perhaps picking up a little in Melbourne suburbs.
7.06pm. Corangamite a Labor gain, according to ABC computer.
7.04pm. Paterson count now in double digits, and Labor will need to do a bit better here.
7.04pm. Said McMillan then and meant McEwen. Corrected. Actually a small Liberal swing in McMillan.
7.02pm. Labor just ahead in Corangamite and McEwen, with almost significant number counted. Not looking like it will all be over before Queensland though.
7.01pm. Swing in Bennelong moderating – below 5 per cent now.
7.00pm. Still no sign of a big swing to Labor in Tasmania; they are slightly ahead in Braddon and slightly behind in Bass.
6.59pm. Double digit swing in Page holding up with 5.1 per cent counted.
6.57pm. Early 12.4 per cent swing to Labor in Macarthur.
6.57pm. Swings everywhere in New South Wales, but Tasmania looking a bit sticky.
6.56pm. Bass count starting to build up to almost interesting level of 6 per cent, and Labor swing surprisingly mild. Probably not from Launceston though.
6.55pm. Corangamite swing to Labor sticking at 6-7 per cent, 3.9 per cent counted.
6.48pm. Big early swing in Gilmore, as you all saw. I had a vague feeling about this one. But yeah, still too early to say.
6.46pm. The very early swing in Flinders caught my eye, but the next booth dampened it down. Still too few to mean anything though.
6.46pm. Tally room over-reaction to 0.2 per cent of the booth in Bennelong.
6.45pm. 15 per cent Labor swing in Page from 1.2 per cent counted.
6.45pm. Dean Jaensch observes 90 per cent of booths swings so far are to Labor.
6.44pm. All very small figures, but all seats with results from Victoria show very mild swings to Labor.
6.40pm. Also a big swing to Labor in Lyne – not enough to win, but significant to the Central Coast and North Coast generally. Throw Page and Cowper on that to-watch list.
6.37pm. Antony reckons he spots an 8 per cent swing on the Central Coast. We’ll be hearing a lot more about Dobell, Robertson and Paterson.
6.36pm. Less than 1 per cent counted in McMillan, only 1 per cent swing to Labor.
6.35pm. Overall swing to Labor of 1.2 per cent to Labor in Tasmania, but these are all small rural booths.
6.35pm. Five booths in from Braddon, only 1 per cent, but 4 per cent swing to Labor. These are the rural parts of the electorate.
6.33pm. Early 8.3 per cent swing to Labor in Robertson.
6.32pm. Antony Green says a 5.9 per cent swing to Labor in Eden-Monaro, regardless of what current figures say.
6.31pm. 6.6 per cent swing to Labor in Braddon from 488 votes.
6.20pm. First figures from rural New South Wales dribbling in. Slowly getting act together. Stay tuned.
Just remember Lefties, when the Coalition came to power back in 1996, it was with a primary vote of 46.9% compared to Labor’s 38.8%.
What was it last night? 43.5% to 42%? Hah! Pathetic.
Just got back from a great election night party – everyone was SO happy, lots of cheering and dancing. Just great. An historic night for sure.
So congratulations to all those wanting a change of government. And my commiserations to Glen, LTEP, and the others.
Thanks also to William for providing this very informative site.
It’s a new era, and the end of Howard, maybe even the loss of his seat. I’m sure there will be LOTS of analysis to come – how did it all go so horribly wrong for the Libs?
Gillard will remain deputy…it is a plus. People will get familiar with her.
Time to break.
PAUL KEATING’S 1993 VICTORY SPEECH WAS WRONG !!!!
Paul said “this was the sweetest victory of all”
No Paul , the Rodent’s 2007 humiliating defeat IS the sweetest victory of all !!!
Why ?
well not only did the Rodent lose BUT FOR EVER MORE
Howard will be remembered as the PM who ALSO lost his own seat
frank don’t worry. You will win big time.
Arghhh!!! My other half has logged on to Pollbludger and is giving me heaps. Must be more polite in the future.
Glad the LNP got a caning though!!!
Willam – cheers for beers for the site. Well done mate.
WOW! WOW WOW WOW!!!
WHAT A NIGHT!
I watched the ABC and got depressed after promising exit polls. The early figures Antony Green brought up were shite. I thought here we go another disaster. But then we decided enough of this crap. We changed to Ch7 and got a better labor asap with the tower of power. And then we switched to Ch9 and there they had the countdown to 6 more seats to Labor for win. We cheered we cried we laughed and we finally relaxed and enjoyed the night. CH9 was right on the pulse of the night and ABC was far too cautious. So every time the seats when down to 6-5-4-3-2-1 we cheered.
If you change the govt you change the country. TOO BLOODY RIGHT YOU DO!!!!
HOWARD GONE IN THE SUNSET OF LIFE!!! RUDD IS THE FUTURE.
BYE BYE LIBS YOU PRICKS!!! GOOD BLOODY RIDDANCE!!!!
DIE AND ROT IN HELL!!! YOU DESERVE IT!!!
THE FUTURE IS HERE NOW! GET OUT OF THE WAY OF THE FUTURE!!!
NEW BEGINNING STARTING NOW!!!
[Just remember Lefties, when the Coalition came to power back in 1996, it was with a primary vote of 46.9% compared to Labor’s 38.8%.]
And today the Liberals polled worse than Latham Labor.
What happened to the Greens? I thought people on this site were saying they were going to take over from the Libs and become the new Opposition.
As for “smirk” (Peter Costello :
well he aid in opening his speech he would not comment on the overall election result and then proceeded to effectively concede defeat
No Government has ever been a ONE TERM government in last 80 years
Guess what “smirk” , you can never been PM !
Good Night All.
Maybe now the ALP can tell its economic story.
That It was the party that delivered the floating dollar
That it was the parrty that deregulated the banks
That it was the party who removed the tariff wall
That it was the party that decentralised wage fixing
That it was the party that introduced competition policy
And that the Tories sat on their bums for 11 years and reaped the rewards.
[I watched the ABC and got depressed after promising exit polls. The early figures Antony Green brought up were shite. I thought here we go another disaster.]
No they weren’t. They were tiny rural and regional booths that were showing 3% swings to Labor and against Liberal / National on primaries. That was a sure fire sign that the swing in more urban areas was going to be much higher.
Looking forward to seeing Dolly on Insider’s tomorrow!!
Enjoy the honey moon period folks.
There has to be some tough calls made in the immediate future.
This will test their mettle.
I await.
Thanks to William Bill Bowe for your wonderful site which kept me sane. I love you man. I really really love you man. And I am not even gay. So all the best to the ball boys the ball girls, the linesmen and women and the referee. This is a victory for the true believers!!!
Steven Kaye
I find great satisfaction in your loss.
George Lilly @ 755
thank you 🙂
Returned half way through KrRs speech from an evening with Shortis and Simpson. Canberrans amongst you will know who they are. For others, they are a comedy duo (+1) who specialize in satirising the pollies. Tonight they even had a sketch on the Overington’s slap – that’s quick work.
My highlights from the election are:
!. we won
2. el rodente lost his seat
3. the bigot Deanne Kelly lost her seat
4. the bastard Brough lost his seat.
I’m celebrating with the better half of a 5-litre cask of Berri Fresh Dry White (fairly low alcohol, can drink longer, no headache).
William, thanks so much for the entertainment.
JHIAC,
I think we all know this is better than 1993. Everyone is hoping for a better future (I am not 100% optimistic, but still hopeful). I know I am biased, but who really prefers Howard??!!
Excuse my lack of knowledge on the Senate. But does a double dissolution mean we have to have another federal election to deal with the Senate or is it just a senate election, not a House of Representatives election.
High irony that Asians will cost Howard his seat.
First there is a small matter I would like all Lefties who attacked the Australian people after the 2004 election to offer an apology for the people quite rightly rejecting Latham.
I wish to congratulate Kevin Rudd and the ALP for winning today’s Election, they out campaign the Liberals all year with a better set of policies and a clearer positive message.
Interesting night, maybe it was me but the three networks appeared to have problems with their coverage, the people in the telly room were a pain with there cheering and while I understand the ALP people loving the slight of Howard losing Bennenlong, there needed to be better crowd control, the count appears at times to very rather slow.
But it was good having three networks cover the results although in saying this the ALP guy on Channel 7 with Beattie was painful, and Michael Kroger wasn’t a happy chappy, I felt Senator Ray was quite kind to him.
Now for the results, it would appear the ALP have fallen short of my prediction of 93 seats but not by much when you consider how close the ALP came in McEwen, La Trobe, MacCarthur, Bowman, Flynn and Sturt.
All up no real surprises with the expectation of Dawson and I see Tuckey might lose to a Nat, but all up I’m a little surprised that the ALP scored 43% considering the trend of high 40s while the Liberals polled around what the polls have been reporting, I would be interested to see were that 5% went.
A Double Dissolution means BOTH houses of Parliament go to the polls and the whole Senate not just half as happens at most elections.
Eddie at 747 thereabouts:
The interest rate relationship is a cumulative relationship – statistically it *starts* to come out the third Newspoll after the rate rise, where the polls are two weeks apart. So ordinarily we’d expect it to *start* to show up next week or the week after.
I just modelled the data, using Newspoll. Newspoll seemingly was out by a few percentage points upwards on the ALP vote (until they changed their sample structure for the last poll via the regional cohort) , as a result so was the TPP forecast based on the Newspoll figures.
You might also have noticed though, that my actual seat prediction was 89, based on the fact that the big swings weren’t enough- even at 55.15 (my Newspoll model) to deliver the 94 seats that would be expected, and stated clearly from September that 89 seats was the likely result. Currently the ALP seems to have 85 in the bag with 6 undecided.Split that 3/3 and it becomes 88.
That’s 1 off.
What’s your excuse?
Very interesting night inside the National Tally Room- most exciting since 1983. Congrats to Mumble and Malcolm for a perfect prediction.
Senate simulations
Senate count still being added to, looks like GRN in WA, TAS, SA. Margins at the final cut-up in VIC and QLD are less than 0.01 of a Quota. GRN could win both. NSW very unlikely, ACT now probably impossible.
[ What’s your excuse? ]
Eddie has left the building. Gone beddy byes.
Hey Y’all…
Phew.
Phew.Phew Phew…
Significant I think that in Lyons, Bass, and Denison the Greens were the only major party to receive a swing TO them. ALP was down…
But – the point of this little post is to thank William. Although I don’t pop my head up much on the Bludger, just thanks so much for facilitating a read which is one half erudite, one half rambunctious.
Friggin’ legend.
Cheers – Stu in Bass
Glenn Milne dumps on Howard for perhaps the last time:
http://www.news.com.au/couriermail/story/0,23739,22815622-5012477,00.html
What about LaTrobe? Are labor still in with a chance there? Never saw it mentioned all night.
[But it was good having three networks cover the results although in saying this the ALP guy on Channel 7 with Beattie was painful, and Michael Kroger wasn’t a happy chappy, I felt Senator Ray was quite kind to him.]
I would’ve loved to hear what Senator Ray had to say, but I couldn’t stand listening to Michael Kroger.
I mean has Kroger even conceded that Rudd is in with a chance of winning yet?
ND, you have hit the nail on the head.
William B. , thank you for a wonderful and informative site. You have bought democracy to everyones eyes and fingertips. Democracy spoke tonight and we liked what we heard.
Isn’t it funny, this morning we woke up with a Howard govt, and many feared the axis of evil would win again…
And yet tonight we are living in a new era, the old regime has been swept away, expelled to the political wilderness…
A sweet sweet victory, I bet many of here will sleep well tonight. Sweet dreams everyone! Tomorrow we awake to a new world!:)
What will be Milne’s excuse if Costello loses the next election?
Has anyone seen any sign of Tabitha and Isabella. It would be interesting to know how cocky they are feeling now.
Good to see that Glen, Steven Kaye and ESJ fronted up. Says a lot for them I think, Although I’m having trouble understanding Steven’s point regarding Labor’s primary vote. Who cares if it was “only” 43.5%. It won us the bloody election and a very handsome majority.
Too many Scotches, too many beers, fell sleep and just woke up with Late Nigh Ledends on from 1974 NRL GF (Gough was PM).
What a night.
Coalition swept from power.
Howard the lying rodent loses his seat
Who could ask for anthing more/
Well tune into Insiders 9.00 tomorrow and watch Dolly have a hissy.
To see Howard the extremist, frog marched out of power is something I wil never forget.
Never again will the extremist right attempt to enslave the working man and woman with their 19th century IR laws
WE’RE COMING BACK!!!!!!
Be afraid you tory c###s.
La Trobe
http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2007/guide/ltro.htm
….and, oh yes- Morgan hit the nail on the head as well. Now everyone will have to put him in their trend lines.
[What will be Milne’s excuse if Costello loses the next election?]
Probably that Howard tainted his character.
Bugger, we needed 5.9. Thats taken the edge off for me!
Newspoll out tomorrow – tpp3-47 ish.
Rud PPM by shit loads to not many.
Howard to lose bennelong.
Burt coalition still preferred economic managers and of course this is absolutely vita- even more than who people are voting for.
F*ck newspoll,
f*ck Shanahan (where to from here?)
and miost of all f*ck Costello in the leadership in the future – workchpoices willbe an albatross around their neck for ages junless malcolm gets a go.
so p*ssed right now (obvious).
Have a good one all. looking forward to monay’s galaxy with oalition ahead 51-49.
LIFE IS GOOD!
My faith in the Australian people as a good and decent people is restored. I guess the people always do get it right after all.
Have to admit, that was a gracious concession speech from Howard. Love him or loathe him, he is no coward.
I wish him well in retirement and hope that he sees enough years to see Rudd prove that he too can oversee a prosperous economy.
Also, look out state Labor – you will be next on the chopping block (assuming the Libs can come up with decent alternatives).
Its going to be such a pleasure watching Costello’s dignity (whatever is left)being flayed from him slowly. The press will see him as damaged goods and roast him alive. Turnball will white ant him mercilessly when it becomes apparent that Costello’s popularity score doesn’t pick up.
In the words on Keating, “I want to do you slowly”.
Can’t see Costello taking the leadership long term. I think he’ll do a Jim Kennan (Vic State Opp Leader) and lose heart after six months or so. In fact, there may well a whole string of Lib retirements/by-elections on the offing.
seen my last poll for a while thank you.
today is 24.12 ?! Xmas come early! 🙂
Just read an article about how President Bush will give Kevin Rudd the cold shoulder. LOL! He’s gone January 2009, like Rudd gives a damn what that Texan idiot thinks. He’ll get on fine with Clinton or Guiliani, but Bush – ha! get over yourself. Your mate Howard is gone! Australia just gave you the finger.
Wonder how many by-election in the next 12 months?
A selfish old man denied his loyal colleagues and chance at renewal. That same selfish old man had achieved all that he had wanted to in his long career and yet he wanted more.
I never supported John Howard but my attitude turned to real hostility when he took my country to war on a lie, invaded a country that had not threatened us and with his foolish allies made an appalling mess of the whole thing.
Many have expressed respect for his service and sympathy for his defeat. I do not share that sentiment.
Good riddance selfish old warmionger.