Time for a new thread. Here’s a chart showing state-level swings to Labor as recorded by Newspoll throughout the campaign. Note that the most recent result seems to indicate a mild Coalition recovery in Victoria being offset by worsening results elsewhere.
Author: William Bowe
William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.
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620 comments on “Newspoll state swings”
SMH Reports Liberal Lindsay Candidate’s husband says: “I was stupid.”
Candidate says: “I’m with stupid.”
It was said by Paul Bonjourno (spelling?) in his report on the Lindsay smear campaign
Labor would still win on 52-48, despite Nostra’s distress.
The other thing to note, is that if Galaxy is 52-48 it is likely they have rounded it down. So the actual Galaxy poll result would be somewhere in the range 52-52.49.
Yes nostro, and the coalition’s ’04 52.7 per cent was just down to the wire wasnt it.
Thank God all of this nervousness over polls will be over by saturday night!!
I love how the candidate and Kelly didn’t know anything about it, but the did know that the people who confronted the pamphlet deliverers were “unionists”… impeccable logic, would certainly hold up in court…
At 52-48 the coalition has about an 11% chance of victory, Nostra.
Try to keep up!
New thread up.
Sky news have an intriguing combination of headlines.
It’s just changed but it used to say:
“Asbestos campaigner Bernie Banton is thought to have only days to live.”
“TWO DAYS TO GO”
“Labor 52-48 Galaxy… Neilsen has Labor a lot further ahead”
From Ten News Adelaide: Paul Bongiorno’s piece reports the Galaxy Poll as 52/48.
Hope that helps.
Great results for the Libs. Another few results like that and they will be in opposition for 11 years..he..he
Sounds like Bongiorno changed his recording… the “48” was emphasised on the Adelaide broadcast. He also said that the ACN poll still to come has Labor “a LOT further” ahead.
thanks toby, the new thread is reporting 52/48 …….
5.30 ABC News Sydney referred to flyer problem in MENZIES? Helen Zerramis (sp?)
Can someone at the ABC please check facts.
Bongiorno can’t add up lol 52-46 WTF???
Toby, it was at the end of Paul Bonjiorno’s report. He says it fast.
And you wonder why we get annoyed at the ABC for midlessly repeating Howard!!!
Muchas Gracias, Toby.
Sportingbet and Centrebet still have Labor $1.22
and Coalition $4.15; $4.35 respectively