Reuters poll trend: 55.3-44.7

Reuters has released a new Poll Trend result, a weighted aggregate of the past week’s Newspoll, Morgan and ACNielsen polls. It shows the first increase in Labor support since the campaign began, to 55.3-44.7 from 55.0-45.0 last week. Both parties are down on the primary vote, Labor from 47.4 per cent to 46.9 per cent and the Coalition from 40.8 per cent to 39.9 per cent.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

760 comments on “Reuters poll trend: 55.3-44.7”

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  1. 139 They are everywhere taking their parting shots before they retire to under the bridge for a decade.

    The coalition are gone….I tell yous!!

  2. BV, Paul is a blatant liberal stooge following the new party line of disillusioned labor voters/MP’s. It stinks, its low, and its exactly what we all expected from a party that has destroyed this countries integrity, equity, and international prestige, I could go on (and on…). Paul, words fail me on this moderated sight, use your limited imagination.

  3. **CANNING UPDATE**

    Looking forward to the newspoll state cumulative tonight/tomorrow, especially as it relates to WA.

    I have now seen several TV ads for Don Randal Lib member from Canning. There’s one thing I know about the Libs it’s that they don’t waste money in seats where it is not needed.

    Canning is over 9% Lib held in their stronghold state of WA

    Even the Betting odds look closer than you would think for some reason.

  4. This makes me very happy. I am a Liberal voter. Always have been, thought I always would be. I can not stand John Howard and his troupe of wannabes. I know that the rest of the country seems to agree with me, and I will be working for the swing come election night. (Though, quite how I’m supposed to ‘work’ for the swing on election night… after the polls have closed… is quite beyond me, oh well, I’ll wait for orders…)

  5. [If your implication that the opposing left wing agenda is better, then you are misguided.]

    What are you doing on the internet? You should be studying for your tort exam.

  6. No 156

    Please let me in on the international prestige Australia had before 1996?

    Alexander Downer is one of Australia’s most respected political figures on the world stage.

  7. [Alexander Downer is one of Australia’s most respected political figures on the world stage.]

    The only problem is everyone in Australia thinks he’s a f@#$ing joke.

  8. Can we please stop this Shanahanian “16 seats is a big ask” rubbish? Much bigger landslides have been recorded at state and federal level since federation.

    Recently: SA, Qld and Vic landslides. Even the poor old WA ALP won a net 14 seats in a malapportioned parliament of 57 to clinch govt in 2001.

    Federally, Beazely won a net of 18 seats in 1998. Howard won a net 25 seats in 1996 and Hawke won 24 in a parliament of 120 back in 1983. Further back Fraser won in 1975 with god knows how many, but the coalition had over 90 seats in the parliament in total after the poll.

    When the push is on, the push is on!

  9. Generic Person

    [‘Alexander Downer is one of Australia’s most respected political figures on the world stage.’]

    You Liberal trolls crack me up.

  10. [Seems you’ve run out of ideas ShowsOn. I’ve heard the same retort a number of times now.]

    The problem with you is you’ve never had any ideas.

  11. No 166

    You can’t handle the truth it seems. The unions are bullies and their monopoly over the ALP preselection process is a joke.

  12. No 171

    Judging from your recent record, I’ve heard nothing but the usual gushing support for Labor. You’re no different to me, or anyone else here for that matter.

  13. [You can’t handle the truth it seems. The unions are bullies and their monopoly over the ALP preselection process is a joke.]

    Only in your brain does 50% equal a monopoly.

  14. ooohhh, the trolls are busy on here today, must have given up campaigning as a waste of time. 🙂

    Our new PM Rudd’s launch was great today. Easy to tell how effective it was from Howard & Costello’s frantic and desperate attempts to downplay it. They can see it’s all over.

    Can’t wait for the 24th and Antony to call the landslide to ALP, now think my 85 seat prediction may fall by 7:00 pm, could well be 90 by 8:00pm.

    Go Kev07

  15. Why do the Libs attack Rudd? Don’t they realise he is the preferred PM? Keep it up you wallies.

    The electorate are having an affair with a new exciting girl/boy friend, but cranky old Granpa is not having a bit of it.

    Good on you Loughnane you are a real dill.

  16. 172

    Yeah i reckon you get much better experience representing working families as a merchant banker or corporate lawyer, thats why Libs are so in touch and so far ahead in the polls.

    Do you actually realise that the Libs have made sure everyone knows about the 70% Union content of the ALP and they will win in a landslide? The Libs are only encouraging a mandate mentality.

  17. GP,

    I don’t usually write posts like this, but here goes…

    I don’t think you’re a moron – i just find you f****** annoying!

    The reason why is that you spout stupid 1 lines about the Coalition without the humour of Tabitha and you don’t seem to back up your arguments at all (unlike Glen or ESJ).

    So – feel free to bring up conservative views – just bloody back them up occasionally…

  18. [If that was the case then please explain the large number of union candidates that always happen to win these preselections.]

    Why do so many lawyers win Liberal pre-selection?

    I initially thought you were smarter than Glen, but like him, it seems you have absolutely no idea about any Australian political history.

  19. No 181

    The working class has been voting for Howard for over a decade. It seems they believe the union bosses have been quite unrepresentative.

  20. why do liberal trolls like GP always wanna make it personal, always attacking the man, and never the argument… ahh, it breaks me heart it does…

  21. No 184

    See, when you’re amidst a swarm of gushing gah-gah Labor supporters, it makes little sense to bother with reasoned argument.

  22. “You can’t handle the truth it seems. The unions are bullies and their monopoly over the ALP preselection process is a joke.”

    Oh, GP, give it up. Sure, unions have quite a lot of influence. You’re not wrong there. But to suggest that unions are bullies or making the usual Howard-like assumption that unions are bad and evil is just ridiculous. And you know it. You’re just getting desperate. You can’t think of anything else to say.

  23. No 187

    So when Kevin personally attacks the PM for being allegedly out of touch, old fashioned and being a luddite, that’s ok.

    It seems the ALP trolls love their double standards.

  24. [The working class has been voting for Howard for over a decade. It seems they believe the union bosses have been quite unrepresentative.]

    Working class!!!??? WTF are you going on about? Should we call you Marx or Engels?

    The worse Howard does, the weirder Liberal hacks starting behaving.

  25. No 188

    There is a long track record of union standover bully tactics. It’s not desperation, it’s plain fact.

    Indeed, it is desperate of you to try and hide such fact.

  26. No 193

    You know as well as I do, that NSW is where it matters. And Howard has held strong for than a decade. Victoria has always been traditionally Labor, just as QLD is traditionally Coalition heartland.

  27. 186

    And now Libs have shown their true colours thatnks to the Senate being unable to moderate their laws- the working families of Australia realise the truth- as will be evidenced on election day.

    You can’t make the whole election about Union control of ALP and Unions being bad for the ecconomy, lose in a landslide and say it is was for some other reason.

    Rudd has been using the word workchoices in every seccond sentnce for a week now and Howard/Costello have been warning about Unions at the same pace.

    This election has now become significantly about who the “working class” as you call them think has thier best interest at heart and they will make that decision in full knowledge of the composition of the ALP (thanks to your fear campaign).

    Just because less than a quarter of the workforc belong to unions doesn’t mean the other 75+% think they are a bad thing. You are about to learn the lesson the hard way.

  28. No 196

    I’m accused of personal attacks, and yet here you all are labelling me from a pr*ck, d***head and so forth.

    Double standards galore.

  29. Personal is all there is. That, and stooping to the ‘i used to be a rusted on’ bs. Oh and unions will eat your children, and Rudd is a communist, and Howards version if interest rates history (just dont mention the war, or ’04). What else??? Ah yes, the dark glasses! Now thats a vote changer!!! ‘Did you know, that Julia Gillard wears dark glasses??? We put her in black and white, and put danger music over it, because she is evil!’ What else is in your steaming pile of s–t GP&Co? The class is listening attentively.

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