Victorian election live

10.55pm. I take it there will be no more updates from the ABC. My final thought for the time being is that this could be yet another cruel result for the Greens, who cannot be certainly of winning anything. The count for Melbourne has progressed a little further on the VEC site, and the 2PP count has Bronwyn Pike 1.9 per cent ahead, suggesting she is home and hosed. As for the upper house, at best they could get up in North Metro, East Metro and South Metro, but these seats are respectively at risk from the DLP, the Liberals and Labor. In fact, my own tip would be that they will only emerge with North Metro.

10.29pm. Slightly drunken note-taking from Antony Green’s call of the upper house board. Kerry O’Brien says “Labor strategists” believe Labor might win 20 or 21 seats and the Greens might not win anything. But on current information, the scoreboard reads: EAST VIC : 2 Liberal, 2 Labor, 1 Nationals. NORTH VIC: Labor 2, Liberal 2, Nationals 1. WEST VIC: 3 Labor, 2 Liberal. EAST METRO: 2 Labor, 2 Liberal, 1 Greens. Antony says, “strong chance of 3 Liberal, 2 Labor”. NORTH METRO: 3 Labor, 1 Liberal, 1 Greens. Antony didn’t mention the prospect of a DLP win. SOUTH-EAST METRO: 3 Labor, 2 Liberal. SOUTHERN METRO: 2 Liberal, 2 Labor, 1 Greens. But Antony tips that the Liberals will overtake the Greens. WEST METRO: 3 Labor, 1 Liberal, 1 Greens. I personally was not expecting the Greens to win a seat here. Antony says there is a “chance” of a fourth Labor seat at the Greens’ expense, which is what I had predicted.

10.21pm. Labor won Bellarine quite easily, slightly contrary to my expectations. The Libs won Benambra quite comfortably after an early fright. Swing against Labor of 8 per cent in Bendigo East, but Labor up-and-comer Jacinta Allan still wins quite easily. Somewhat smaller swing of 5 per cent in Bendigo West. Good win for Labor in Bentleigh. Greens vote slightly up in Brunswick, so they still ran second, but not enough to trouble Labor. Inadequate swing against Labor of 1.4 per cent in Burwood. Steve Herbert might even pick up a swing in Eltham, making me look like a dill because I tipped him to lose. Evelyn one of my few calls for a Liberal gain which have come good. Liberal still ahead by 0.3 per cent in Ferntree Gully. Small swing to Liberal in Frankston, but nowhere near enough. Gembrook still very close. Not much trouble for Craig Ingram in Gippsland East. Liberals should get over the line to gain Hastings. Family First has somehow scored 12.6 per cent in the Labor stronghold of Kororoit. Bronwyn Pike’s primary vote in Melbourne is 46.3 per cent, which you’d think would be enough. Labor just ahead in Morwell; I don’t think much has changed in the lower house count for a while. Antony says there has been ‘a lot of slow counts’. Mount Waverley in doubt, but I would expect Greens preferences to get Labor over the line. The big surprise for me (and indeed for John Brumby) is the clear Labor defeat in Narracan. Labor did it easy in Northcote over the Greens. The Libs won the primary vote in Prahran, but the Greens were on 19.7 and Labor are home. Disappointing result for the Greens in Richmond, with the Labor vote up to 48.3 per cent. Nothing became of the Liberal threat to the Nationals in Shepparton, or the Liberal threat to Labor in South Barwon. Denis Napthine did it quite easily in South West Coast.

10.20pm. Still only 53.5 per cent counted in Melbourne, but the tide is unmistakably towards Labor.

10.01pm. Anthony van der Craats, who was a lone voice in his apparently correct call that Labor would hold Melbourne earlier in the evening, still thinks the DLP are looking good for a seat in Northern Metropolitan.

9.49pm. Antony Green doing the call of the board – always my favourite bit. Will take notes as it goes and pump them out in a minute.

9.48pm. I’ve now drunk that one beer too many, but from what I can gather of what Antony Green just said, his guess for the upper house is Labor 19, Liberal 13, Nationals 3, Greens 4, People Power 1. I would be surprised if one Greens seat and the People Power did not fall away in later counting.

9.38pm. I suspect currently in-doubt lower house seats are likely to remain so for this evening. Will continue to follow the upper house count.

9.28pm. The ABC projection still has People Power’s Gabriela Byrne on track to win a seat in Eastern Victoria. But we’re talking about 32,854 votes here, scarcely 10 per cent of the total. Their vote is on 3 per cent – I suggest that this is from rural booths and will come down when the big centres come in.

9.27pm. Steve Bracks delivering his victory speech.

9.25pm. The ABC computer has Labor’s lead over the Greens in Melbourne down from 0.7 per cent to 0.2 per cent, but this is a contest where the computer is of less use as a guide than usual. The Liberal lead in Ferntree Gully has narrowed sharply, from 1.1 per cent to 0.3 per cent. Little change in Gembrook, where Labor holds a very fine lead.

9.17pm. Just having a look at Antony’s upper house projections – it appears that these are based on the actual upper house count, which is at a very early stage. At the moment: NORTH VIC, 2 Labor; 2 Liberal; 1 Nationals. EAST VIC, 2 Labor, 2 Liberal, 1 People Power. WEST VIC, 2 Labor, 2 Liberals, 1 Nationals. NORTH METRO, 3 Labor, 1 Liberal, 1 Greens. EAST METRO, 2 Liberal, 2 Labor, 1 Greens. SOUTH METRO, 2 Liberal, 2 Labor, 1 Greens. WEST METRO, 3 Labor, 1 Liberal, 1 Greens. SOUTH-EAST METRO. 3 Labor, 2 Liberal. A couple of Greens wins there that would surprise me.

9.10pm. Similarly, Hastings is still down as doubtful on the ABC site, but the Liberals’ 1.2 per cent lead will be hard to reel in.

9.09pm. Labor 1.1 per cent ahead in Forest Hill, which you’d think would be enough.

9.08pm. The ABC computer now has Labor ahead in Melbourne, by 0.7 per cent.

9.07pm. I earlier said the Liberals had fallen behind in Ferntree Gully, but I may have read it wrong – they are 1.1 per cent ahead, not behind. No change in Gembrook, Labor still 0.3 per cent ahead. Labor has hit the lead in Mount Waverley – behind 0.1 per cent last I checked, they now lead by 0.3 per cent, and the trend seems to be heading in their direction. Labor 0.5 per cent ahead in Kilsyth.

9.06pm. Baillieu boasts of a “very significant swing against the government, of around 2 per cent”. Ptuh.

9.03pm. Ted Baillieu conceding defeat. Has he done enough?

9.00pm. Antony Green has just dropped into comments to alert us to the ABC’s upper house results.

8.58pm. Another addition to the ABC doubtfuls list is Melbourne, which has gone from Greens gain to Greens ahead – possible props to Anthony van der Craats, who appeared out on a limb earlier with his talk of a Labor win.

8.57pm. Labor’s lead in Prahran has fallen, such that the ABC computer has switched it from Labor retain to Labor ahead.

8.55pm. Results like the high CEC vote in Broadmeadows make it harder to extrapolate the upper house outcome than I would have thought. A DLP upset is not out of the question, but a Greens win is more likely.

8.53pm. Still a very low count in Melbourne – and as Antony Green points out, we are less experienced at reading Labor versus Greens swings than Labor versus Liberal swings. The margin has narrowed considerably and Bronwyn Pike is not gone yet. John Brumby says his scrutineers paint a different picture from Antony’s projections and they are a strong chance.

8.52pm. 4.5 per cent for the Citizens Electoral Council in Broadmeadows.

8.47pm. On the lower house vote, the results in the Northern Metropolitan upper house region are about 55.7 per cent Labor, 21.8 per cent Liberal, 15.3 per cent Greens. I’m about to have a play with those figures at the calculator.

8.40pm. Click here if you want early upper house figures. If you can make any sense of them, drop me a line.

8.38pm. The Liberals have fallen behind in Ferntree Gully and Gembrook – they formerly lead by 0.1 per cent and 0.3 per cent, and now trail 0.7 per cent and 0.5 per cent. Their lead in Mount Waverley has narrowed from 0.3 per cent to 0.1 per cent.

8.34pm. Jessica in comments asks for details on South Barwon. The Liberals have picked up a disappointing 2.8 per cent swing and will not win the seat. Returned member Michael Crutchfield has just appeared on ABC TV, vowing swift vengeance upon his enemies.

8.33pm. Yes, the Nationals contested 17 last time and 20 this time.

8.32pm. Aggregate Nationals vote up from 4.3 per cent to 5.8 per cent, although they may have contested more this time.

8.25pm. Kilsyth looking interesting: Liberals ahead on the primary vote; Family First have done almost as well as the Greens on the primary vote, so they won’t close the gap on preferences as easily as they’re used to.

8.25pm. ABC computer now has Labor ahead in Morwell. So it would appear that the booths in towns like Traralgon have behaved very differently from the rural booths, and may be on their way to saving Brendan Jenkins.

8.23pm. Antony Green reckons Labor looks “pretty good” in Hastings, but that sounded like an overstatement at first – I now realise he meant only that they’re doing well to be in the hunt.

8.21pm. The ABC computer has downgraded Morwell from Liberal gain (which is wrong, because the Nationals are far ahead of them) to Liberal ahead; Forest Hill is now Labor ahead rather than Labor retain.

8.14pm. Self-flagellation time (because it’s all about me, you see). I was clearly wrong about Mildura (a Nationals gain), South Barwon and Eltham (retained by Labor), South West Coast (retained by Liberal), Morwell (won by the Nationals, although the ABC site says Liberals – presumably because it factored in a Labor versus Liberal two-party contest) and Rodney (which I said the Liberals would win from the Nationals, though I qualified it by saying it dependend on the Labor how-to-vote card, which I don’t know about). I picked the Liberals to win Ferntree Gully, Gembrook and Mount Waverley, but they are very slightly behind in each -by 0.1 per cent, 0.3 per cent and 0.3 per cent.

8.12pm. The raw figures in Melbourne look all right for Labor, but it’s obviously the apartment blocks that are coming in first because Antony’s swing calculation is 10.6 per cent to the Greens.

8.10pm. Labor “ahead” in Ferntree Gully – by 0.1 per cent.

8.09pm. Both Brunswick and Northcote are now down as Labor retain on the ABC site, so the Greens have not pulled rabbits out of the hat there.

8.07pm. Despite the apparent win in Melbourne, the Greens do not seem to be doing quite as well as expected on some measures. I was told to expect that they would run second in Albert Park, but that’s not the case at the moment. Still too early to say anything about the upper house.

8.05pm. Richmond still down as doubtful on the ABC computer, but my own information is that Labor should win.

8.04pm. Primary vote totals with about a third counted have Labor on about 42 per cent, Coalition 40 per cent, Greens 9 per cent, Family First 4 per cent – roughly what the polls said, except Greens slightly lower and Family First higher.

8.03pm. ABC computer now has Bayswater as a Liberal gain.

7.59pm. Family First polling very well, in the 4 per cent ballpark. Preferences should prohibit them from winning an upper house seat.

7.58pm. John Brumby says Narracan is “a serious problem for us”. He is surprised, and so am I. The ABC has it as Liberal gain, which I hadn’t noticed before. ABC also has Morwell down as a gain for the Nationals, meaning they have picked up from seven to nine and might even retain party status.

7.56pm. Looks like Russell Savage really has lost Mildura to the Nationals, who actually look poised to increase their number of seats, in the lower house at least.

7.55pm. ABC has changed Benambra from Liberal ahead to Liberal retain.

7.54pm. Lineball in Mount Waverley – both margin and swing are 2.3 per cent.

7.54pm. ABC TV says only a small Liberal swing in Frankston (margin a bit over 5 per cent), at which the Libs were throwing money like it was going out of fashion.

7.53pm. Labor looking good in Bentleigh but likely to lose Bayswater.

7.48pm. Antony has helpfully extrapolated total results for the upper house regions – the Greens are higher than I figured in South Metro and lower in North Metro, possibly even low enough in the latter to not win the seat. But this could be distorted – for example, the Docklands booth is in but a lot of the Fitzroy/Collingwood booths are not.

7.47pm. Labor reportedly untroubled in Prahran.

7.44pm. Still can’t find complete results from the ABC site, but the doubtful seats include Ferntree Gully, Hastings, Kilsyth and Mount Waverley (Liberal leading), and Gembrook (Labor leading). Also in the mix are the Liberal seats of Benambra and Box Hill.

7.43pm. Labor at least holding their ground in the similarly marginal Eltham, which I had picked as a Liberal gain.

7.41pm. Labor holding their ground in Mordialloc, which required a swing of about 4 per cent to lose.

7.38pm. ABC computer calling Melbourne for the Greens.

7.37pm. Liberals look to have retained South West Coast, contrary to my quirky prediction. Still a lot of talk about Morwell, which could go to the Nationals.

7.36pm. Looking like a big swing against Labor in their very marginal seat of Kilsyth.

7.33pm. To those alarmed by the alleged Family First gain in Caulfield, Antony has confirmed it is a computer error.

7.33pm. Is it my imagination, or have the seat-by-seat results on the ABC site disappeared? Someone give me a link if they can help.

7.31pm. Fairly solid swing to the Libs in Gembrook, which they should gain.

7.28pm. Antony says an overall swing against Labor of 3 per cent, slightly at the lower end of market expectations. Bit over 10 per cent counted.

7.27pm. Antony’s computer has Evelyn as a Liberal gain.

7.26pm. According to Ian in comments, Jenny Macklin says it’s looking very good for Labor in Richmond.

7.25pm. More encouraging for Labor in Richmond – the Greens vote is down 5.5 per cent in the Richmond South booth, worth about 2 per cent of the total.

7.24pm. Hotham Hill booth in Melbourne, worth about 4 per cent of the total, also showing strong enough results for the Greens to win them the seat.

7.20pm. Bit more than 10 per cent counted in Forest Hill – Libs ahead on raw figures, but Antony calculates an inadequate 3.7 per cent swing. The margin is a bit over 5 per cent.

7.20pm. Antony Green pretty much calling the election for Labor.

7.19pm. Ian in comments says Russell Savage has conceded Mildura, suggesting it might not be such a bad night for the Nationals after all. I would have held off a bit longer if I were Russell.

7.18pm. Antony’s computer calling Rodney for the Nationals – this was the one seat where Labor was directing preferences against them, unless I’m much mistaken.

7.16pm. ABC looking at Benambra, tipped by some as a possible upset Labor win. There is in fact a swing to the Liberals. No chance of Bill Baxter winning the seat for the Nationals.

7.16pm. Early results in South Barwon show a smaller swing against Labor than I anticipated.

7.13pm. Big swing to the Liberals in Caulfield, where they seemed to be campaigning harder than they needed to be. At least that’s what Antony Green says – Robert Doyle says he hears the opposite. My money’s on Antony.

7.12pm. The large-ish Docklands booth in Melbourne is in, but it’s new and can’t be compared with an old result. Liberal 39.5, Labor 35.1, Greens 23.0 – remembering this is a very different area from the rest of the seat.

7.10pm. Uneven results in Mount Waverley – small swing to Labor in a smallish booth, big swing to Liberal in a bigger one.

7.07pm. Similar swing in the similarly marginal Kilsyth, off slightly fewer votes.

7.05pm. One booth in from Ferntree Gully (worth 1.6 per cent); Antony calculates the swing at 2.3 per cent, making it very close.

7.05pm. A quite large booth in Hastings has Family First on an impressive 6.6 per cent; Labor down 1.1 per cent, Liberals down 4.4 per cent, Greens down 2.5 per cent.

7.03pm. First booth in from Bayswater looks promising for the Liberals.

7.00pm. John Brumby sounding slightly more optimistic about Evelyn than I indicated.

6.58pm. Big early swing to Ted Baillieu in Hawthorn.

6.58pm. 4.7 per cent counted in Evelyn, 3.2 per cent swing to the Liberals – enough to win them the seat.

6.58pm. And now Savage says “the trends are” that he will lose.

6.57pm. Still early days, but indications Russell Savage is far from home and hosed in Mildura.

6.56pm. 3 per cent counted in Macedon, Labor holding firm.

6.55pm. Narracan up to 4.0 per cent counted, almost enough to be interesting, shows a 10 per cent swings to the Liberals – but these would be regional booths, with Labor’s strong area of Moe still to come.

6.54pm. John Brumby also notes strong Greens performance in Mount Waverley.

6.53pm. First booth in from Melbourne, worth about 200 votes, has Labor down 6.5 per cent and the Greens up 2.2 per cent, confirming that Bronwyn Pike is in trouble.

6.50pm. Less than 2 per cent counted in Ripon, swing to the Liberals just under 2 per cent.

6.43pm. By my reckoning the first booth in Mount Waverley has Labor steady on the primary vote and as much as 4 per cent on two-party. But we’re talking about 1 per cent of the vote here.

6.41pm. Ditto John Brumby’s call of a fall in the Liberal primary vote.

6.41pm. Robert Doyle speaking of early results flowing against Russell Savage, sounding a little too cocky a little too early for my money.

6.40pm. Very early Seymour results (1.0 per cent), Antony’s computer calls a 6.2 per cent swing to Labor. There are three booths here.

6.39pm. 0.9 per cent counted in Mildura. Obviously a strong Nationals booth – they strongly lead independent member Russell Savage, who I do not expect to be troubled.

6.39pm. Don’t listen to me – Antony Green’s computer shows a swing to the Nats. The figures are much too small to be meaningful.

6.36pm. Very early, very small number of votes in Lowan (one of the few safe Nationals seats) suggest a drop in the Nationals vote.

6.30pm. Votes are in from the Mount Buller booth in Benalla – all 28 of them. Just thought I’d mention it.

6.28pm. Seven booths allegedly in from quite a few places – obviously a test of some sort. Looking like the VEC site will not be providing booth results, unless I’m missing something.

6.16pm. Front page of the VEC results page says seven booths are in from Scoresby and Bayswater, which sounds a bit unlikely. In any case, no results are up.

6.02pm. Welcome to the Poll Bludger’s Victorian election night coverage, live from the salubrious Richmond Hill Hotel (three stars, budget rooms from $45 a night). Polls are now closed, and the very first results should be online in about half an hour.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

259 comments on “Victorian election live”

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  1. Hopefully the ABC will be publishing full distributions for the LC. Unfortunately, it relies on me running the data through my laptop and then e-mailing to Brisbane for publication. So, with my on-air committments, the publication might be a bit intermittent.

  2. Question is why is the VEC not providing polling booth break-down for the legislative council.. I will also be pumping teh resulst thourgh my database and will be happy to submit the results for publication .

    Question do you want to include all the below the line votes and treat them as above tyeh line votes (In most cases they will be locked in) or should we exlude them and just use the above the line data for the first pass???

    below the line data can not be processed until the VEC provides detailed preference data. but juding by Mr Tullys recent statements it looks as though he is not prepared to open and transparent system.

  3. William, I admire your dedication once again in this election!

    I’ll be keeping an eye on your blog throughout the night.

    Always of interest, so keep up the good work.

  4. Antony o you know how and where the e-Voting data will show up. Is it considered as pr-polling data or ordinary votes. I have just realised that they are not seperated? In theory this information should be the first available? Any information?

  5. Why aren’t the ABC providing seat-by-seat results as they come in on the website, as they’ve done for all elections in recent memory? The alphabetical list is next to useless, especially as it hasn’t been updated yet.

  6. Russell Savage on 774 (via ABC News Radio) has conceded MIldura. He says that he has one result from a both which has “been a bit of a litmus test” in the past and his vote is down from 50% to 25% on primaries. Vote has gone mainly to Nats some to Libs who will pref Nats and some to ALP who will pref him.

  7. I have noticed a delay in the booth reulst the summary says x booths and x electortaes recorded but only one has details… There is some kind of delay in the processing. Upoperhouse votes comming in slower as expected.

  8. Has anyone noticed that the ABC is calling Caulfield as a win for the Family First candidate, who seems to be leading on primaries with quite a bit counted? What on earth is going on out there?

  9. Electoral commissionbhas a different view of Caufield with 20% counted

    SHARDEY, Helen Liberal 3475 49.76%
    LABONNE, Eric FAMILY FIRST 116 1.66%
    CUSWORTH, Steve ALP 2250 32.22%
    JOB, Peter Greens 1142 16.35%

  10. Red faces at ABC Radio 774 – Caulfield to Family First
    Jon Faine rang the Lib member for Caulfield on the assumption that she losing the seat to Family First but, whilst on the phone, new figures come in:

    15% vote counted: 17% Green vote; 49% Lib;
    Lib member says, yes but large pre-Poll blah blah

    Faine confesses that his early figures had her losing the seat to Family First but latest figures more like last time.

    Lib says, “I wondered why you had called.”

  11. Lupton is doing well in Prahran The inner city dump is not on. Great news. Question is what will happen to in the upperhouse. Voters may be inclined not to vote Green in the lower but might in the upper

  12. Richard Di Natale Greens candidate for Melbourne interviewed on ABC 774

    Jenny Macklin says ALP scrutineers report 4 booths
    ALP 1400 to Greens 1100

    Di Natale says his scrutineers report 5.5% swing to Greens

  13. ABC – I’m looking at

    Current state is:

    [This is the print version of story

    Changing Seats
    Electorates where the sitting member is likely to be defeated.

    26.1% counted.
    Last updated Sat Nov 25 07:45PM
    Time Count
    % Electorate Seat
    Held By Margin 2PP
    % Swing Predict
    19:28 11.6 Melbourne ALP 1.9 53.7 5.6% to GRN GRN GAIN
    19:29 23.5 Bayswater ALP 2.7 55.5 8.2% to LIB LIB GAIN
    19:36 54.6 Evelyn ALP 0.3 53.9 4.2% to LIB LIB GAIN
    19:17 19.2 Ferntree Gully ALP 2.3 50.7 3.0% to LIB LIB AHEAD
    19:36 18.0 Gembrook ALP 1.6 50.4 2.0% to LIB LIB AHEAD
    19:28 14.9 Hastings ALP 0.9 50.8 1.7% to LIB LIB AHEAD
    19:28 27.3 Kilsyth ALP 2.1 50.8 2.9% to LIB LIB AHEAD
    19:29 35.7 Mount Waverley ALP 2.3 50.0 2.3% to LIB LIB AHEAD
    19:37 13.6 Narracan ALP 6.8 54.3 11.1% to LIB LIB GAIN
    19:35 38.7 Mildura OTH 18.4 56.2 24.6% to NAT NAT GAIN
    19:35 24.3 Morwell ALP 4.9 52.9 7.8% from ALP NAT GAIN

    © 2006 Australian Broadcasting Corporation

  14. ABC cuts to reporter at Liberal Party party.
    She says Ted Ballyhoo looked in earlier and went back to his electorate to await the verdict. Did say that there would be no singing and dancing tonight – this is the serious end of the campaign!

  15. Morwell

    ABC Radio rings Nat candidate who says he is “pleasantly surprised” by his vote.

    Latest ABC figures seem to suggest that ALP is in trouble but the swing is to the Lib not the Nat.

    Seems the published figures are from strong Nat areas and the booth-to-booth comparison favours Libs.

  16. Quite a respectable result for the Liberals,.

    The nationals good result surprised me, they gained MIldura from Russel Savage, retained Rodney and I think they gained Morwell as well.

  17. William maybe we should start a new thread. Melbourne is a safer win for teh ALP, also is Richmond and Prahran looks safe. Unfortuneatly nI can not look at polling place results the VEC web site is not that good.

    No surprises in the Upper-house. Although Family First is polling wel the expected results will not change Greens 2 (South and North Metro) In the North Metro ALP 3 Lib 1 Green 1, Southeren ALP 2 Lib 2 Green 1

    Western Merto and Western Vic to hard to tell
    All other seats Victoria ALP2 Lib 2 NP 1 (I would guess NP in West Vict also)

    South Eastern ALP 3 Liberal 2.

    Eastern Lib 3 ALP 2. Newspoll is about right.

  18. Robert Doyle (sound feed from ABC to ABC Radio) “not particularly happy” with results. I didn’t get out so that we could do about the same as last time. Too many concentrating on their own pre-selections and “protecting their own bums”.

  19. Popping in to say hello to all at this pre-eminent of election websites. Many congratulations to William on a magnificent effort this Vic election.

    Anyone watching the ABC coverage has heard Robert Doyle go ballistic about shadow ministers who did a total of ten hours policy work over four years and say the Libs won’t win in 2010 and should be looking at 2014.

    It seems the biggest surprise in the election might be the lack of surprises, with not as big a swing as the so-called experts at The Age predicted.

    I won’t replicate William’s magnificent efforts over at the OC but will pop in with tidbits when I hear them.

    One interesting thing is the booth in state seat of Melbourne, Docklands, full of apartment dwellers, where the Libs got 40%.

    Also, in Northcote I hear that the Greens challenge has failed, with Labor winning on primaries.

    Will come back through the evening.

    Good on you William,

  20. The Dockland booth doesn’t surprise me, if anything its looking like a new Southbank booth which favors the Liberals.

    I think Pike might survive in Melbourne

    The ALP should be delighted with the result in Prahran, Bentleigh and Mordiallioc.

  21. bmwofoz,
    Praharan, Bentleigh & Mordialloc all had strongl Liberal members last time, and their personal vote is now lost. But so did Ferntree Gully & I’m suprised the Libs have come so close there. They seem to be doing ok in the outer east.

  22. I’m interested to know the results for South Barwon and I can’t seem to find there much of a swing against Michael Crutchfield? ABC has it down as a Labor retain, and I expected a large swing against him, but I’m hearing this isn’t the case?

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