Via Robert Merkel at Larvatus Prodeo, figures from a Benambra electorate poll in the Border Mail which do not appear to be available online: Liberal 45 per cent, Labor 31 per cent, Nationals 17 per cent, Greens 4.5 per cent. This strongly goes against my earlier suggestion that the seat might be an outside chance of an upset Labor win; no idea of the sample size though (UPDATE: Zoom in comments says it was just over 300). For more on late polling, see two entries below.
UPDATE (25/11/06): Newspoll paints the rosiest picture for Labor of any of the polling agencies, with a two-party lead of 56-44. It is interesting to see how this has shaped The Australian’s coverage, which reaches markedly more negative conclusions about the Liberal campaign than The Age, where an ACNielsen poll has Labor’s lead at 53-47. More details forthcoming as hard copies come to hand.