Federal polls: DemosAU and Roy Morgan (open thread)

One poll has the Coalition gaining at One Nation’s expense, another has the opposite.

The monthly DemosAU poll for Capital Brief is notable for recording a five-point drop for One Nation to 24%, with the Coalition up four to 25%, Labor steady on 26% and the Greens down two to 12%. A three-way preferred prime minister question has Anthony Albanese steady on 35%, Angus Taylor up one to 23% and Pauline Hanson down four to 22%, while head-to-head results have Albanese leading Taylor 38-36 after a 38-38 tie last time, and Albanese’s lead over Hanson out from 42-37 to 43-32. Albanese is up three on his positive rating to 28%, down two on neutral to 25% and down one on negative to 47%; Taylor is down one to 23%, up one to 50% and steady on 27%; and Hanson is down four to 30%, steady on 23% and up four to 47%. The poll was conducted Tuesday to Thursday from a sample of 1532.

The weekly Roy Morgan poll records movement in the opposite directions, with One Nation up two to 27% and the Coalition down two-and-a-half to 21%, while Labor drops one-and-a-half to 27% and the Greens gain two to 14%. Labor holds an unchanged 53-47 lead over One Nation on respondent-allocated two-party preferred, while its leads over the Coalition are unchanged at 52-48 on respondent-allocated preferences and 52.5-47.5, out from 51.5-48.5, on previous election preference flows. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1508.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

411 thoughts on “Federal polls: DemosAU and Roy Morgan (open thread)”

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  1. Leroysays:
    Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 7:45 pm
    Louise Clegg is Angus Taylor’s wife. I recall she an op-ed in The Australian a while ago saying Welcome to Country ceremonies should he used more sparingly. I don’t know enough about whatever happened re Scots College to say what should be done, but so far there are no mentions of alcohol being involved.
    ========================================

    Angus’s wife who was once a Sydney mayoral candidate. At the same time a fake document appeared to discredit the sitting mayor. Which no law enforcement agency could get to the bottom of. Though there was some suggestion they may not have tried to hard.

    “No one can say for sure whether Energy Minister Angus Taylor or someone in his office falsified a document designed to paint Sydney’s lord mayor Clover Moore as a climate change hypocrite. But one thing is clear: they may as well have. And it may yet happen again. Because this whole unseemly affair goes to show that, if you want to do something like this, you can absolutely get away with it.”
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/angus-taylor-fake-document-affair-shows-how-much-you-can-get-away-with-in-politics-20200207-p53ytd.html

  2. William Bowesays:
    Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 10:24 pm
    Angus’s wife who was once a Sydney mayoral candidate.

    Not true.
    =============================================

    Sorry I read that wrongly and have now found the retraction.

    “On January 24 and February 13, 2020, the Herald published articles suggesting Louise Clegg intended to run as a candidate in upcoming Lord Mayoral elections.”

    “The Herald also acknowledges Ms Clegg has never intended to seek office for Lord Mayor of Sydney. The Herald apologises for any harm to Ms Clegg’s personal and professional reputation.”
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/apology-20200517-p54tpr.html

  3. Cartoons Europe

    Matt

    Banx

    Patrick Blower

    Peter Brookes

    Ella Baron

    Chris Riddell

    Mac

    Morten Morland

    Christian Adams

    Harry Burton

    Martyn Turner

    Tjeerd Royaards

    Guy Venables (The King is on a new coin.)

    Private Eye

    Jonsey

    Tom Gauld

  4. The timeline suggests that the Parole Authority took 5 months to decide whether Farhat should be released at the end of the non-parole period which was 7 months less than his full sentence.

    They then said no two months before the end of his full sentence.


  5. Taylormade says:
    Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 3:58 pm

    Herald Sun 25/08
    Ben Carroll’s former mentor Stephen Conroy has branded the Suburban Rail Loop a “dog of a project”, the savage spray from the Labor luminary coming as the new Premier rejected calls to dump it.
    _______________________
    Says it all really.
    Bloody hopeless.

    Just as there was opposition to deepening the harbor and sky rail and whatever, it will be opposed until it is done. One thing you can say about the Liberals, they do lack imagination.

  6. Being an infrequent contributer and/or reader of PB blogs, reading this morning news about Albo possibly using Fed powers to deal with both Qld and NTs intransigence towards using renewable energy to power data centres provoked me to respond to that.
    This is blatant ideology at work from these two LNP/ Liberal governments. As a Qlder, I see it as simply a way to justify putting more Gov dollars into coal- fired powered stations ( and describing it as energy technology ” agnosticism”.
    I presume the NT government will use this excuse to justify more gas exploration and investment up there to fight against renewables development.
    Unfortunately for them , their stubborn attitudes blind them not only to the massive increase in power needs but also the cost of providing that energy through inefficient, old, expensive and breakdown – prone coal power stations. Also, in a drying climate, the water demands of data centres away from the coast impacts on water sources both atmospheric and ground .
    And there’s the crunch. Farmers who rely on both sources don’t want guzzling data centres taking both power and water resources, and the inevitable cost increases. The LNP/ coalition governments will be biting the metaphorical hand that feeds them.
    Data centres create huge energy and water demands. The growth in their numbers is inevitable.
    But blind ideological reaction to both in an extreme parochial way, especially with the LNP in Qld, attempts to defeat or impede a national program to deal with data centres is only prolonging national consensus.
    I would rather national consensus, however it is developed or proposed, to provide sound planning for a future populated by data centre growth. With ideological dinosaurs in charge, this consensus can only be delayed and frustrated.
    Their attitude on this issue can only be compared with their attitudes towards nuclear power. In both cases, the drawbacks absolutely detract from their ideological beliefs but blindness and stubbornness and parochialism prevail.

  7. @ Rocket Rocket Tues1015pm
    Interesting to read your comments about the AfD in some States of Germany.
    One of my neighbours is a German girl in her mid-20s with an Australian partner. She comes from Hannover and both are working here to buy a home and she wants to become a citizen.
    She returns at Xmas to visit her parents and family/ friends.
    Her English is very good after 5 years here but she learnt English at school and travelled as an interchange student to England, so we often have a yarn out walking our respective “hunds”.
    Recently, I asked her about politics in Germany. She noted the rise of AfD in the north of Germany where her family is, and said that AfD has support amongst older citizens and in some younger age cohorts.
    Amongst her age group, many travelled around Europe as students and were very disappointed with Brexit shutting down both employment and student school tours and interchanges.
    There are many ” gast-arbeiters” ( guest- workers from other countries) in Germany. She noted how many football players were first generation after their parent gastarbeiters became citizens.
    She said the impacts on workers employed under EC laws after Brexit in the UK were noted by her generation. Amongst her age cohort there is little support for AfD and its anti – immigration
    policies as they have experienced the benefits of having G-As and an open EC travel and employment opportunities.
    So your comment about AfD and its general anti- immigration policies perhaps leading to issues of employment, if elected, may be problematic for the AfD if her age cohort, increasingly numerous as the Boomer generation passes on, and with their education and travel experience plays an increased role in voting numbers. It can be relatable to whats happening here with the Boomers declining numbers, ON with its support amongst older cohorts and certain sub- groups of other age cohorts.
    She feels AfD may gain States in the north of Germany but central and southern Germany has traditionally been far more liberal in politics, so she keeps up to date watching DeutscheWelle tv and online media. DW tv is available in English here on SBS if one wants to learn more about contemporary Germany.
    Tschuss!

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