The fortnightly YouGov poll, which is now branded News24 Pulse following Sky News’ name change, is little changed on last time: Labor is steady on 28%, One Nation down one to 24%, the Coalition steady on 22% and the Greens down one to 12%. Respondent-allocated two-party preferred results have Labor leading the Coalition 52-48, which is in from 53-47, and One Nation by 56-44, which is unchanged. Anthony Albanese is down one on approval to 36% and up two on disapproval to 57%, while Angus Taylor is up two to 35% and down three to 46%. Albanese holds a preferred prime minister lead of 42-38 over Angus Taylor, in from 43-37, and leads Pauline Hanson 51-38, in from 52-37. The poll was conducted Tuesday to Monday – the sample size remains to be seen, but would have been around 1500.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll has Labor down two points to 25.5%, their worst result for the term, but with the Coalition also down, by a point-and-a-half to 22%. One Nation is up two to 26%, while the Greens are up half to 15.5%, their equal best result for the term. Respondent-allocated two-party results have Labor leading both One Nation and the Coalition by 53-47, which is respectively in from 54-46 and out from 52-48, while Labor’s lead on previous election preferences narrows from 52.5-47.5 to 52-48. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1647.
Mostly Interestedsays:
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 3:43 pm
A friend I caught up with this weekend who works in AI unpacked a story with me.
He said that what is increasingly starting to happen is that EV user data is being sold to all sorts of companies. The example he gave was insurance, where the data of a driver showed he was on average driving 5 to 10km above the speed limit. The insurance company used the data to raise his insurance rates.
===========================================
Grok’s a snitch.
Opinium poll for the UK covering 12-14 August (compared to their last on 5-7 August)
Labour: 27% (=)
Reform: 25% (=)
Conservative: 18% (-1)
Green: 11% (-1)
Lib Dems: 10% (=)
SNP: 3% (+1)
Plaid Cymru: 1% (=)
Others: 5% (=)
Leadership approvals:
Andy Burnham: 35% Approve (-2), 24% Disapprove (+3), net +11 (-5)
Kemi Badenoch: 26% Approve (-1), 31% Disapprove (-1), net -5 (=)
Nigel Farage: 25% Approve (-1), 53% Disapprove (+2), net -28 (-3)
Ed Davey: 19% Approve (-1), 25% Disapprove (+1), net -6 (-2)
Zack Polanski: 18% Approve (-1), 42% Disapprove (=), net -24 (-1)
Nigel Farage: 25% Approve (-1), 53% Disapprove (+2), net -28 (-3)
=============================================
Nigel no mates might need to wear a bin to become more popular.
@Mostly Interested
Well there have been a few reports of surveillance pricing happening in the US. This is where your data on your income, preferences and spending habits is used to set differential prices base on what they think they can get away with. That way no two consumers prices are the same. If you order everything online you will never notice it happening.
The way the Melonheads were carrying on one might have been forgiven for thinking that we were going to get a re-run of WW2 against the Japanese. (The Titterati over at The Australian thought it was going to cost tens of billions of trade.)
They must be disappointed.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/16/japans-defence-minister-heads-to-australia-to-meet-marles-in-wake-of-melon-gate-controversy
Using data to make decisions isn’t new, AI just speeds things up. Kerry Packer saw how useful it could be and was moving that way before he died
Probably 15 years ago, maybe longer, I was in a training session where they talked about Coles analysing purchases to help determine insurance premiums i.e. higher premiums for those who purchased spirits on Friday nights
Steve777says:
A person in Sydney (or any large city) with 250 firearms is mad, bad or both.
____________________
or a musket collector.
Yep. I know a gun collector. He is a perfectly sane upstanding member of his community.
Dogs edging the navy blues at half time.
Space X is rapidly becoming the 21 century’s version of the East India Company.
The United States has transferred the value of space, through its financial system, to a small group of individuals backed by powerful shareholders. This has created an economic and political position for SpaceX so dominant that it has reshaped the political economy of space in ways that are increasingly at odds with democratic principles.
There should be probably a special licence with different requirements for collectors. Some sort of testing to see that they have genuine interest to their firearms as collectors’ items.
Kerry O’Keefe talking everyone who should be dropped back into the team with micro analysis of the MacKay pitch
“Those AI generated images of him in the catering cart are going to forever stay with him.”
Was Natalie Harp in the cart too?
UK Labour being back on top is a really good sign that they made the right choice of leader.
Resolve Poll is up.
* ALP 28 (nc)
* ON 26 (nc)
* LNP 23 (nc)
* GRN 12 (nc)
* Ind/Oth 11 (nc)
There you go. No change from a month ago, unless there has been an error somewhere!
Link: https://www.smh.com.au/national/resolve-political-monitor-20210322-p57cvx.html
Nowcast:
Looks like a decent boost for the ALP out of NSW.
{Comparison with the 12-Jul poll, and these are Fed figures out of NSW, not state}
* ALP 30 (+3)
* ON 26 (-5)
* LNP 20 (-3)
* GRN 13 (+3)
* Oth/Ind 11 (+2)
Looks like NSW is leading the charge for the Federal ALP.
Although Minns’ comments today about One Nation and guns won’t be factored into this poll, I’m guessing he has access to his own internal figures hence his confidence taking on O.N.
Regardless, these are NSW Federal Vote figures (ie: Albo, not Minns)
Yes, Chris Minns, who is much derided by many regulars in this group, will probably win majority government for NSW Labor in March 2026. BTW, the mighty Simon Earl is back for another go at politics, Labor’s endorsed candidate for the state seat of Miranda.
Federal figures coming out of Victoria are less glamourous however for the ALP.
{Once again, comparison with the 12-Jul Fed Resolve poll}
* ALP 24 (-3). This is shite given Fed Labor holds alot of divisions in Victoria.
* LNP 28 (+3)
* ON 23 (-1)
* GRN 13 (nc)
* Oth/Ind 12 (+1)
Democracy Sausage says:
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 5:37 pm
Yes, Chris Minns, who is much derided by many regulars in this group, will probably win majority government for NSW Labor in March 2026. BTW, the mighty Simon Earl is back for another go at politics, Labor’s endorsed candidate for the state seat of Miranda.
=============
I, too, struggle to understand the “Prem Minns hate” which comes from some on this site.
I think he’s OK.
As a politician, he’s well on top of his game.
nadiasays:
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 5:29 pm
Resolve Poll is up.
* ALP 28 (nc)
* ON 26 (nc)
* LNP 23 (nc)
* GRN 12 (nc)
* Ind/Oth 11 (nc)
=====================================
Recycling is not only good for the environment but saves money too. Well done Resolve.
Well that’s a bit of a fizzer with so many NC’s Nadia
Although with the movement in NSW there must be movement in the other direction elsewhere
I wonder if ICAC is impacting the Liberals here? Good to see the One Nation number falling
Bring on the weekly Morgan tomorrow
Edit. There it is, movement the other way in Victoria
The Federal ALP will be comfortable with state ALP losing and stop the drag on the Federal party.
We can also see how the infighting Libs and loony toon ON go in Government with 18 months until the next Federal election.
Victoria – surely Jess Wilson will win in November and there’ll be a Liberal/National Party Government, maybe with One Nation support.
They changed Premiers way too late, they should have dumped Jacinta Allen 6 months ago.
Doesn’t make a lot of sense for the NSW component to change to that degree but the total poll hasn’t moved at all?
Kelly Sloan’s 2 problems in NSW – 1. ICAC, 2. One Nation.
And she’s barely laying a glove on Minns, despite her supposed media credentials, she’s hardly ever on 2GB for example, which is a pro Liberal radio station, the Premier appears on Ben Fordham’s program far more than she does, and the Daily Telegraph when it comes to state politics is quite neutral.
Minns majority in March, probably a small one, but still a majority government, the Nationals will lose a heap of seats to Pauline
I understand that gun collectors have to have their weapons altered so the they are permanently inoperable – plugging the muzzle or similar.
Basically, there should be very few guns outside the police and military, certainly in urban areas. The person with 250 guns is probably not a collector of antique weapons.
The sale and ownership of guns needs to be restricted for the same reason that we restrict the sale and ownership of high explosives, toxic chemicals radioactive substances and so forth. These have legitimate uses in construction, industry, agriculture, medicine and so forth but they have no place in a suburban home.
If those are the numbers for Victoria in October then that’s when I’ll admit that yes, it’ll be over for Labor here.
There’s still time remaining for things to play out. For instance Hughesy might be more of a nuisance for Jess Wilson’s lot than first thought.
The “Minns Hate” is from pro-terrorist Greens Political Party supporters because he rightly judged the mood of the state/Sydney to shut down the Muslim Voice/Greens Party’s post-Bondi massacre marches.
Hard to believe Victoria has become the Coalition’s strongest state.
davidwh says:
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 5:44 pm
Doesn’t make a lot of sense for the NSW component to change to that degree but the total poll hasn’t moved at all?
===========
There are no sample numbers yet. I’m guessing the NSW sample will be around 750, and Victoria around 600.
Usually Resolve does a Federal sample of around 1800.
There is no article, as yet, in the Sydney Morning Herald or The Age, where the journo’s provide the sample.
Perhaps the Resolve “DEI Hire” accidently pressed the enter button and dropped the poll before the journo’s could do their write-up. WB will sort it out overnight, but I guess the Federal sample will be around the 1800 mark (bit higher than what Morgan samples)
davidwh says:
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 6:01 pm
Hard to believe Victoria has become the Coalition’s strongest state.
==========
There may be a bit of State drag in Victoria.
It would appear that the state ALP is basically hated, and that this is flowing onto the Federal figures.
There has been some chit chat on the side Vic thread about todays Demos poll (ie: Labor at 23%)
Probably would be best that Mr Albanese keeps away from Victoria over the next few months & let Mr Carroll deal with whatever is coming.
If the Resolve poll has a balanced sample of about 1,800 voters, about 580 will be from NSW and 450 from Victoria.
Looks like Jess Wilson should campaign on Gough’s “It’s Time” slogan in Victoria.
On the cricket, I just caught up with today’s highlights of Bangladesh’s first test victory on Australian soil. Before debating which Aussie batters should retire, I have to say, well played Bangladesh. Their batting was careful, bowling was tight and fielding was excellent, especially catching. They were the better team over four days.
nadia
It’s mostly the lefty/greens types who bag him on here. Oh, and also Earlwood, who has some sort of personal grudge against Minns dating back a way.. Which is fair enough: there are people in this world that most people like but against whom I hold a personal grudge.
Personally, I think Minns comes across as a little vain, but also pretty damn impressive: something of a throwback to the days when the NSW Right exercised powerful and effective leadership over the party. Before they got too involved with people like Tripodi and Obeid and started making strange choices of leaders like KK and then, bizarrely, Luke Foley, who wasn’t even from their faction. A choice which very much ended in tears.
Spartacus Olsson’s series “Death of Democracy” covering the leadup to the Nazis starting WW2 has been completed.
https://www.youtube.com/show/VLPLVEQYfI15dkw?sbp=KgtueXdvZmpTMnptNEAB
Ghost Of Whitlam says:
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 5:59 pm
The “Minns Hate” is from pro-terrorist Greens Political Party supporters because he rightly judged the mood of the state/Sydney to shut down the Muslim Voice/Greens Party’s post-Bondi massacre marches.
==============
Per the Minns hate – even c@tmomma and Confessions had had enough of the endless demonstrations in Sydney late last year. I think Mr Minns, in enacting that protest legislation just before Christmas, managed to calm Sydney down over Summer, and for that he should be applauded.
The legislation had a six month expiration window, which I believe concluded on/around 21-Jun this year. His Police Commissioner blocked most demonstrations, but allowed a few : being the Iran Embassy demo in January, Australia/Invasion Day in late Jan and the Mardi Gras (which is barely a political event these days).
I think people in NSW are lucky to have a Premier like Mr Minns running the show.
I agree with Democracy Sausage – Minns will probably get an outright majority next NSW state election. I think he’s OK.
New thread.
– SMH
I think “condemned” is too strong a word. Besides, there’ll probably be an announcement by Labor on immigration this week, which was delayed due
to Albanese being on vacation in Tassie last week. Hanson has upped the ante by proposing a blanket ban on those from countries that DFAT has listed as “Do Not Travel”, including Lebanon, Russia, Iran, Iraq, Sudan & Somalia.
As usual, very interesting. Why did Japan and the US join up to spend over $80 billion to prop up the Yen. Will it work. And why does it matter?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yh18YXKMk3g