The weekly federal poll from Roy Morgan has maintained its recent volatile form with respect to One Nation, who return to the 22.5% they recorded a fortnight ago before spiking to 26% last week. The beneficiaries on this occasion are the Coalition, up three to 23%, while Labor is steady on 27.5% and the Greens are up a point-and-a-half to 14%. Labor’s respondent-allocated two-party lead over One Nation is out from 52.5-47.5 to 55-45. Against the Coalition, Labor’s lead is out from 54-46 to 56-44 on respondent-allocated preferences and from 52.5-47.5 to 53-47 on previous election preferences. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1679.
Morgan: Labor 27.5, Coalition 23, One Nation 22.5 (open thread)
Roy Morgan maintains the mixed picture of recent polling for One Nation, reversing their strong gain of a week ago.
I bought a box set of ‘The Goodies’ when my sons were at secondary school.
This quickly did the rounds of their friendship group, most of whom had never heard of the show before.
The powerful heads of the Australian Council of Trade Unions, Sally McManus and Michele O’Neil, have announced their resignations. Both women have held their roles in the peak body for the better part of a decade.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-07-27/actu-leaders-sally-mcmanus-michele-o-neil-resign/106964206
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-07-27/actu-leaders-sally-mcmanus-michele-o-neil-resign/106964206
The powerful heads of the Australian Council of Trade Unions (ACTU), Sally McManus and Michele O’Neil, have announced their resignations to ”make way for a new generation”.
Ms McManus has been the peak body’s secretary since 2017 and Ms O’Neil its president since 2018.
Ms McManus will finish in the role at the end of August and Ms O’Neil will depart before the end of the year, in order to ”assist with the leadership transition”.
https://bsky.app/profile/australianunions.bsky.social/post/3mrmq652ynk2l
They recoded a short video you can see above
https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/business/workplace/actu-leaders-to-go-by-year-s-end-after-covid-cfmeu-saga-20260727-p60ivb.html
more here
Republican candidates are being advised by Donald Trump’s own allies to break with the president when talking about the Iran war in order to give the GOP a better chance in the midterms.
During Sunday’s episode of Alex Witt Reports, MS NOW White House correspondent Jake Traylor said that GOP strategists are secretly telling Republican incumbents and challengers to “put some distance and space” between how they talk about the Middle East conflict and how Trump does.
The reported advice came after another damning poll was published on Sunday showing just how deeply unpopular the Iran war is with Americans ahead of November’s crucial midterm elections, where Republicans are desperate to maintain control of the House and Senate.
A CBS News/YouGov survey found that 65 percent disapprove of the Iran war, while 66 percent believe the nearly five-month conflict is going “somewhat” or “very” badly. More than two-thirds (67 percent) also think the war should end now, while 60 percent believe Trump is trying to make things sound better than they really are” with regard to the conflict.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-allies-secretly-urge-republicans-to-break-with-him-as-midterms-loom/
Holdenhillbilly says:
Monday, July 27, 2026 at 9:05 pm
https://www.scmp.com/tech/tech-trends/article/3362002/profits-chinas-chipmaking-sector-soar-2500-first-half-amid-ai-boom
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So three points:
1) thats nice
2) were that an Australian headline, there would be reams of paper and commentary about the super-triple uber neoliberals ripping off workers and we need to tax them to oblivion or break them up.
3) Socialist wonderland China publishes only profits by industry:
https://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfbhjd/202607/t20260727_1964194.html
Neoliberal hellscape that is Australia publishes both profits and wages:
https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/business-indicators/business-indicators-australia/latest-release
I doubt there’ll be any polling on Tuesday, so I assume we’ll get some next week. I don’t remember if it’s Newspoll or YouGov.
I want to ask something: will next week’s federal polling factor in the news about the leadership spill in VIC?
I want to see what effect Pauline Hanson’s comments on White Australia and Domestic Violence have on federal voting intentions but I’m not sure how realiable next week’s poll numbers will be if it is affected by the news of Allen’s downfall… Not that I think it’ll save VIC Labor in November, but it’s effects in federal polling is something that I want to see separate from Hanson’s comments.
Catching up with the news today I can understand why I got my alarm this afternoon.
Victorian Labor seems committed to a suicidal prolonged leadership tussle months out from a difficult election. Surely sense will prevail? One must stand aside.
NSW Liberals alleged use of the Catholic education system to support its own branch stacking seems designed to defraud either Commonwealth education funding or catholic parents school fees or developers bribes or is it all three?
And in all this Pauline Hanson stands tall as a proud beacon of racism and greed.
No wonder I got the alarm.
A new poll shows Labour is now ahead of Reform UK: Via @Moreincommon_2,061 people, 24-27 July
LAB: 28% (+4)
➡️ RFM: 24% (-2)
CON: 22% (=)
LIB: 12% (+1)
GRN: 8% (-3)
SNP: 3% (=)
When the Greens fad fades away that’ll get even bigger.
I read that as:
Right-Far Right: 46%
Left-Centre: 51%
Someone Else 3% (mostly Welsh and Northern Irish doing their own thing?)
The UK needs to introduce preferential voting.
Burnham and Binface off to a good start it appears. Excellent.
@Bizzcan – China is not socialist. To quote Sir Humphrey in a line that remains as true today as 40 years ago, “like all People’s Democratic Republics it is a communist dictatorship”. Although communist dictatorship is just a tautology. Communism hasn’t genuinely meant any kind of Marxist structure since Mao and Stalin.
NSW Liberals alleged use of the Catholic education system to support its own branch stacking seems designed to defraud either Commonwealth education funding or catholic parents school fees or developers bribes or is it all three?
__________________________________
What if it isn’t confined to NSW?
Socratessays:
Monday, July 27, 2026 at 9:55 pm
Catching up with the news today I can understand why I got my alarm this afternoon.
Victorian Labor seems committed to a suicidal prolonged leadership tussle months out from a difficult election. Surely sense will prevail? One must stand aside.
_______________________
Don’t know.
Carroll has the momentum, but Allan appears terrified on what a Royal Commission might uncover that she could decide to fight to the bitter end.
Sounds like things got very heated in the cabinet room when she tried to ram through the new Organised Crime Command in lieu of a Royal Commission. Senior Ministers weren’t having a bar of it.
Not taking action years ago on the corruption taking place on the Big Build despite numerous warnings has come back to bite her.
Kirsdarke might be right when he keeps saying she is reactive.
Anyway 10am tomorrow for the spill motion unless she resigns beforehand.
RIP Bill Oddie.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q3sG-J3AuhM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iAmx_XdQky8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6PlLVqrGlRg
Herald Sun 27/07
40 Carroll
25 Allan
4 Undecided
“Carroll has the momentum, but Allan appears terrified on what a Royal Commission might uncover that she could decide to fight to the bitter end”
So you admit there’s nothing there except vague assertions out there right now?
Yay! UK Labour are finally back in the lead.
“Celebrate good times. Come On!” – Kool & the Gang, 1980
New thread.