It’s been a particularly busy few days on the poll front, with Newspoll’s three-week cycle coinciding with YouGov’s fortnightly cycle and Essential Research’s monthly cycle and RedBridge Group thrown in for good measure. The fortnightly Sky News Pulse poll by YouGov parts company with the others in finding One Nation continuing to rise, at the expense of the hapless Coalition rather than Labor. Labor is up three to 29% and One Nation two to 30%, the latter a new record for the party from YouGov. The Coalition is down four to 17%, two points below its previous nadir around the time of the February leadership change, while the Greens are steady on 13%. Anthony Albanese is up one on approval to 38% and down three on disapproval to 55%, while Angus Taylor is down one to 36% and steady on 47%. Albanese’s leads on preferred prime minister are out from 43-38 to 44-35 against Taylor, and from 48-41 to 49-40 against Pauline Hanson. The poll was conducted last Tuesday to this Tuesday from a sample of 1502.
The Guardian reports on the monthly Essential Research poll, with which the pollster’s data feature has been updated, though its full report with all its attitudinal questions will come later today. Inclusive of a steady uncommitted result of 5%, it has Labor up a point to 30%, One Nation down two to 26% and the Greens down one to 10%. The drop for One Nation might be thought especially significant coming from a monthly series, since the BludgerTrack trend measure records them gaining two-and-a-half points over this period.
The pollster’s 2PP+ continues to be unusually strong for the Coalition, who recover a 48-46 lead with the balance undecided, after Labor gained a 48-47 lead last month – my rough measure based on 2025 election flows has Labor ahead 51.3-48.7, out from 50.6-49.4. Anthony Albanese is up a point on approval to 38% and down three on disapproval to 51%. Contrary to other recent polling, Angus Taylor is up three on approval to 36% and steady on disapproval at 37%.
The Guardian report relates negative responses to various One Nation positions: 15% in favour of privatising the ABC, 11% for shutting down SBS, 20% for ending multiculturalism, 18% for withdrawing from the United Nations, 18% for revising workplace laws in favour of employers, and 25% for stopping the renewables transition and focusing on fossil fuels. Only 26% were in favour of the party’s position on banning abortion after 20 weeks, but results were somewhat more conservative than when the question was last posed in November 2024: the 72% supporting abortion being legal in some or all cases was down seven points, and the 28% holding it should be illegal in some or all cases was up seven. Fifty per cent said they were concerned about One Nation being backed by Gina Rinehart, and 45% were concerned the party would “turn Australians against each other”. The poll was presumably conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample that will have been a bit over 1000.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll has the biggest hit to One Nation of them all, down five-and-a-half points to 26%, with Labor up one to 28%, the Coalition up four to 21.5% and the Greens down half to 13%. Labor’s two-party lead over One Nation on a measure based on respondent-allocated preferences is out from 51-49 to 53-47, while its leads over the Coalition are in from 54-46 to 53.5-46.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and unchanged at 52.5-47.5 on previous election preference flows. The poll was conducted last Sunday to Monday from a sample of 1639.
I think the Koreas, Japan and Iceland are monocultures.
I heard Ireland and Argentina are the “whitest”
peg
Yes, Labor is a democratic party, which allows the media to report on its conferences, warts and all.
Meanwhile, nobody knows what goes on in Greens conferences, or even how their policy making process works..
@Landlubble ob thu Yoren at 7:11pm
I disagree. In 2015 under the Coalition I told my job provider that I wanted to get further qualifications and asked if I could do so. He said pretty much “tough shit, the taxpayer is paying you to find work, not study.” and kept on making me look for 20 jobs per month, and if I didn’t get anything, I had to attend stupid courses where basically all we did was watch TED Talks on youtube about pulling ourselves up by our bootstraps and crap like that.
Now in 2026 I said something similar and the job provider was much more supportive.
haha
Diog
I’m assured Japan isn’t a monoculture, but they’re certainly racist.
Friends of mine weren’t allowed in a restaurant because they were foreign.
Japan has over 4 million foreign nationals living inside the borders.
With a TFR of 1.2 they have two choices.
I am not sure how those 4 million are counted when it comes to ‘monoculturalism’.
I would hazard a guess that most of them would not be fluent in spoken or written japanese.
Kirsdarke
That is good.
The Age 04/07
Ask an Australian sporting follower whether they care about this World Cup, and they will invariably tell you they do, but cricket has not made it easy for them to follow it. The ICC’s 2023 rights deal to show all World Cups in Australia on Amazon Prime between 2024 and 2027 has severely reduced cut-through for these events, men’s and women’s.
In addition to their rights fee, Amazon have spent money on hiring the likes of Pat Cummins and Usman Khawaja as ambassadors, and also paid for numerous media members to fly to World Cups and to last year’s world Test championship final. But its actual coverage has been the bare-bones world feed, with no Australian studio coverage and nothing at all during rain delays.
_______________________
Trust those 2 lefties to be on the Amazon payroll.
As ambassadors they should be forced to come out and explain why the coverage is so shit.
Let them earn their money.
This has been the case for quite a while now. I’ve argued that the climate wars and anti gender equality (including anti LGBTQ equality) wars were (are) all steeped in entrenching white male hegemony and privilege.
What an extraordinary bit of utterly stupid drivel from the Axis of Anti-Labor Slaggers.
Labor has created 1.2 million jobs in less than five years.
Kirsdarke
Due to the vagaries of casual teaching, I’m back in the system again after about five years of having nothing to do with it.
Noticed lots of changes which have made the whole experience more humane.
Phone calls to the main line get answered within 10 minutes – but I’ve got a direct number for a Centrelink case manager, so that’s even easier.
I don’t have to have anything to do with a job provider if I don’t want to (as long as I’m working a certain number of hours…). Even when I had to, if I missed a call/appointment, the most that happened was a very polite “Could you ring us as soon as it’s convenient?” rather than “Sorry, don’t care what the reason was, you’re being penalised…”
Reporting is easier and based on what I’ve had put in the bank, rather than hoping the amount I’m going to be paid is what I think it is and guessing.
Moreover, I don’t automatically get cancelled after a period of earning over the limit (otherwise I’d be having to reapply if my present work tapers off).
I’ve been on and off Centrelink payments for something like 30 years – this is the best it’s been.
The Jutes settled in Kent. I always wanted to live in Kent and quite a few people have called me Kentish over the years.
Jutesque?
The founders of Tooths Brewery were from Kent. I wonder if they were Jutes?
Were you having to deal with Centrelink during the robodebt period? I can’t imagine what people went through having to deal with such inhumanity and impersonalness.
While primogeniture became the standard across the rest of England after the Norman Conquest, Kent retained Gavelkind. This survival was famously regarded as a concession extorted from William the Conqueror by the men of Kent…Gavelkind remained the default in Kent until it was entirely abolished in England and Wales by the Administration of Estates Act 1925
Nath:
I choose to believe that’s what people are calling me as well.
Their pronouciation is slightly off, but what can you do?
Whatever happened to the Utes?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ute_people
The Jutish heritage is famously tied to gavelkind, a land inheritance practice that decreed land be divided equally among all sons
Boerwarsays:
Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 7:34 pm
Whatever happened to the Utes?
_____________
Still hanging on
The Utes, with a historic homeland spanning Colorado, Utah, Wyoming, and New Mexico. Today, there are over 6,000 enrolled members across three federally recognized reservations: the Northern Ute (Utah), Southern Ute (Colorado), and Ute Mountain Ute (Colorado, Utah, and New Mexico)
nath
The Deni Ute Muster brings them all together.
Primogeniture meant that girl babies could not be born first. They had to wait until after the first boy baby was born.
Asha88says:
Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 7:34 pm
Nath:
quite a few people have called me Kentish over the years.
I choose to believe that’s what people are calling me as well.
_______________________
I’ve constantly had to tell people I have nothing to do with Cnut, Canute or Harthacanute.
Another good contribution from Brandis. He knows that having Abbott as president of the Liberal Party would never work. In recent days, he (Abbott) has been in London spruiking his views on immigration – this coming from a migrant is more than a bit rich. It’s obvious that he’s not content with an administrative role; he desires political power, having had it for three days short of two years. Like his hero Howard, he yearns for the good old days. Someone should tap him on his shoulder & tell him that the ship has sailed & is highly unlikely to return to port. Hastie should call a spill asap, and then inform the meddling Abbott to stick to his admin role & stop leaking to his conduits at Sky After Dark, principally his former boss Credlin.
As usual, everyone ignores the Ainu.
@Zoomster
Yeah, that’s the feeling I’m getting too.
I was so done with how the Job Provider system under the Coalition worked, it put me in some dark places from 2017-2022. I even tried to go back to university to “up-skill” as was the only option to get back onto Austudy in 2018, but I wasn’t up for it, and all I got was another $30,000 added to my HECS debts when I quit the course when it proved to be too much.
Then I got put back onto those stupid courses again in 2019, which were thankfully cancelled from 2019-2021, but when they were reinstated, it was rough.
Especially when that evil Michaelia Cash did her whole routine in opening the “dob-in-a-dole-bludger” hotline.
Boerwar
The British royals no longer place boys ahead of girls in the line of succession.
Tony and Moira
Go together like a horse and carriage.
LoTY
Typical. As soon as it makes no difference they give the girls a fair go.
Boerwarsays:
Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 7:39 pm
nath
The Deni Ute Muster brings them all together.
________________
I’ve got an online gaming mate who is a Ute. He sent us a video of him doing a Bear Dance at a festival wearing a bear skin. Pretty awesome.
On the “Left” and the “Right”:
These have always been extremely subjective terms that can mean incredibly different things in terms of context, location, and time period, and it gets even more nebulous once you start adding qualifiers like centre, far, soft, hard, etc, to them.
When talking in an Australian context, I’ve always considered the broad “left” to be those who (either enthusiastically or reluctantly) would support the election or relection of Labor governments when push comes to shove: so the ALP themselves, the Greens, probably most of the Teal independents, and so fourth. The “right” are those who (again, either enthusiastically or reluctantly) support the election of the side of politics that isn’t Labor: the Liberals, Nationals, One Nation, Katter (most of the time), various right-leaning independents, etc.
Of course, within both of those very diverse groupings are a myriad mix of people with views on a bunch of different issues which range from left or right from person to person.
And that isn’t even getting into the weeds of what we may consider left or right when it comes to various areas of public policy.
Best just not to overthink it.
But was he a Paiute dressed in bear’s clothing?
Ven, Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 1:57 pm:
1. Russia is not a Western country at all in geopolitical terms or in terms of its political culture. It is also, as a member of BRICS, not a Western country economically.
2. ‘The West’ certainly punished Nazi Germany to the hilt in WW2! Also, ‘the West’ punished Serbia in 1999 for what it was doing to the Muslims in Kosovo.
WeWantPaul, Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 2:10 pm:
Sting in his song Russians eloquently articulates why I am 100% certain Russia will not use a nuke against anyone in any way, no matter how aggressively the West confronts them to oppose their invasion of Ukraine. As long as everyone else sticks to conventional weapons.
Landlord of the Year @ #1227 Sunday, July 5th, 2026 – 7:13 pm
Only for those born after the 2013 Succession Act. Of Elizabeth II’s children, Andrew and Edward (and the descendants thereof) are still ahead of Anne, despite the fact that Anne is older than both (and yes, Andrew is still in the line of succession.)
However, of William’s children, his daughter (and middle child), Charlotte is ahead of his youngest son, Louis, because she was born after the Act.
No one needs to worry about Nuclear.
When big business and environmental movements align, they create an almost unstoppable political and economic momentum. In the past, these two groups were constantly at war.
Today, they have found a perfect mutual win.
The Environmentalists get the zero-emission generation they want to fight climate change.
The Corporations get a highly lucrative, continuous business model. Wind turbines, solar panels, and large-scale batteries have a relatively short lifespan of 20 to 25 years; they represent a permanent cycle of manufacture, installation, decommissioning, and replacement. For developers, manufacturers, and banks, this shorter lifecycle is fantastic for business because it guarantees a massive, multi-billion-dollar contract renewal every few decades.
By contrast, a single nuclear plant is an absolute nightmare for modern corporate timelines. It requires a staggering amount of money upfront, takes over a decade of complex legal and physical construction before making a single cent, and then sits on the grid for 60 to 80 years. Most private companies and political cycles simply do not operate on a half-century horizon. They prefer the faster, repeatable cycles of renewable rollouts.
Given the general rise of insane “Jews run the world” conspiracy theories and of deplorable anti-semitic abuse and violence being dished out to innocent Jews by dipshits who blame them for war crimes carried out under the orders monstrous political leaders, I’m not sure how anyone can seriously argue that Jewish people are not presently suffering “collective punishment” as a result of the Netanyahu administration’s psychopathic actions.
As usual Ven’s prism and focus is hopelessly distorted with a fanatic’s desire to piss all over the West.
Many, if not most, western countries have some sordid or squalid collective punishment event of pattern of events in their history and down to this very day.
I called out the Israel deployment of collective punishment very early in the piece.
That said:
India has a huge, squalid, sordid and ongoing history of collective punishment.
Iran has a huge history and ongoing practice of collective punishment.
Hamas, Heshbollah, the Houthis all practice collective punishment.
No collective punishment can possibly serve as the rationale for another collective punishment.
Kirsdarke
I used to have to go to Job Provider interviews where the ‘provider’ knew he couldn’t do anything for me – the most he ever did was suggest I apply for a job which was four hours away, on the basis that it came up under “Victorian High Country” on Seek – so instead he would keep me there for the full time and tell me incredibly boring stories about Prince Harry at the Disabled Olympics.
Today’s equivalent is a phone call that goes for about two minutes – “Are you okay? Anything I can do to help you?” “Yeah, nah.” “All right, I’ll book in another interview for two weeks time…”
The changes in succession had to pass all six state parliaments and the federal parliament here, as well as every other commonwealth realms (Canada, NZ, Jamacia, PNG, Tuvala, etc.).
AORTA tell the Coalition and ON about your post. At the moment all they are doing is increasing sovereign risk and financial risk with their general anti-renewables stupidity.
That said, I understand that some group in the US is pressing ahead with the aim of constructing the world’s first fusion generator. If they manage that, then I imagine the current set of ‘rules’ will be turfed out the window quicksmart.
Germany didn’t too well after WWI either.
Possibly a controversial opinion on my part, but I reckon ol’ Billy Hughes deserves at least a tinsy portion of blame for the genesis of Nazi Germany on account of the sheer severity of the reperations that he played a substantial role in pushing for at Versailles.
Asha
Billy is also fingered when it comes to Japanese aggression.
Neither the US or Britain wanted Japan to be part of the League of Nations, while Japan very much wanted to be.
Rather than come out and say that themselves (which would have upset Japan) they delegated the task of opposing Japan’s entrance to Australia, and to Hughes in particular.
As a result, Japan had a bit of a grudge against us at the start of WWII.
Steelydansays:
The Corporations get a highly lucrative, continuous business model. Wind turbines, solar panels, and large-scale batteries have a relatively short lifespan of 20 to 25 years
_________________________________
From what I understand this ‘lifespan’ is only at full efficiency. They will continue to generate 90%, 80% etc for decades after. Be insane to replace them.
nath
I assume that in your kentish youf you would have learned a geometry OH&S lesson about not confusing the Angle of the Dangle with the Dangle of the Angle?
One Nation Leader Pauline Hanson will meet Reform UK leader Nigel Farage and attend a conservative political action conference in London this month as both parties enjoy a surge in voter support that could sweep them to power.
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/pauline-hanson-heads-to-london-for-cpac-and-nigel-farage-meeting-20260705-p60cpl
There was an excellent program on RN this afternoon, which plotted
Puntin’s rise. Yeltsin was looking like being charged by Russia’s top prosecutor for graft. To ingratiate himself with Yeltsin, a one-hour-long sex video was published, showing the prosecutor having it off with two women, the upshot of which was that Yeltsin was most impressed with his prime minister (Putin), who at the time was almost unknown to the Russian people, and who was thought to be behind the publication of the video. By this time, poor old Boris was way past his prime & headed off somewhere into the sunset, leaving Putin as acting president until an election could be held. Putin won the election. The rest is history. The eventual fate of the Prosecutor was not revealed.
‘More than 50% of American adults read below the equivalent of a sixth-grade reading level…’
https://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/2025/12/01/more-than-half-american-adults-read-below-sixth-grade-level/
This is the reason America is where it is now.
Education costs money, which comes from taxes. If you put lower taxes ahead of all other considerations, you have to slash services taxes provide.
America has saved heaps of money by not educating its native born and relying on imported brainpower instead.
The trouble with imported brainpower is that, when you’re no longer an attractive option for it, it can both cease coming and go back to where it came from.
(ON is also supported by the under educated. Ironically, a lot of these were considered very well educated in the days when your HSC was all you needed…)
@Zoomster
Yeah, that’s what it’s like for me too these days.
Honestly I’ve been wanting to settle myself down enough to start a Certificate III/IV Course in Education Support so I can maybe get a job as a Teacher Assistant or something like that. I think I could really do that as a job.
I’ve been thinking about it for a long time, possibly becoming a Teacher, but my grandpa who was a Primary School principal for most of his career advised me against it, and others did too, mainly saying that “Teaching sucks, and you’re a bloke so it’ll suck even more”. But even if I’ve failed to become a CSIRO research scientist as I initially wanted, mainly thanks to Abbott, which is one of the reasons I hate that fucking bastard, maybe I can get a job that way.
There is a near universal history rule in the thousands upon thousands of wars waged by humankind that, when it comes to collective punishment, it is wise never to choose to go into a war and, should a war be forced upon you, never ever ever ever lose a war.
The nearest and most obvious case in point is over two centuries’ worth of collective punishments inflicted on indigenous people in Australia.