The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor steady on 31%, the Coalition steady on 21%, One Nation down two to 24% and the Greens up one to 13%, with no two-party preferred provided. Anthony Albanese is up one on approval to 40% and steady on disapproval at 57%, while Angus Taylor is down two to 33% and up four to 46%. Albanese’s lead on preferred prime minister is out from 44-36 to 46-37. Respondents were asked which of various revenue-raising measures would be acceptable, with a higher petroleum resources rent tax leading on 42% and increased income tax on individuals a distant last on 5%. The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1235.
The latest monthly Resolve Strategic poll for Nine Newspapers has Labor up three to 32%, the Coalition up one to 23%, One Nation down two to 22% and the Greens steady on 12%. The leader ratings are at odds with Newspoll in finding Angus Taylor up six on approval (or to be precise, very good or good performance in recent weeks), while keeping steady on 22% disapproval as respondents move out of the uncommitted column. Anthony Albanese is up one to 37% and steady on 52%, and retains a bare lead of 33-32 on preferred prime minister, in from 35-31. The poll was conducted Monday to Saturday from a sample of 1807.
Spectre Strategy, which has published two previous federal polls since the last election, has a result with Labor on 28%, the Coalition on 24%, One Nation on 26% and the Greens on 12%, with Labor leading the Coalition by 51-49 and One Nation by 52-48 on two-party preferred. Anthony Albanese is rated favourably by 31% and unfavourably by 52%; Angus Taylor favourably by 28% and unfavourably by 25%; Pauline Hanson favourably by 43% and unfavourably by 40%. Further questions explore voting intention by self-perceived social class and belief in the notion that “institutions and laws need to be completely rebuilt”, the latter taken to be a proxy for “populism”. The poll was conducted April 2 to 8 from a sample of 1002.
Frank Bongiorno: https://insidestory.org.au/stuck-in-the-middle-2/
Labor could get someone new to save the furniture in Victoria, but they are too stupid to consider even that. They are toast and they don’t even know it.
The Wombatsays:
Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 9:19 pm
So much for the One Nation plateau.
===================================
So one poll shows ON vote not falling while 4 others do and you choose to pick the rogue poll to make your point?
nadia @ #891 Tuesday, April 21st, 2026 – 9:11 pm
I was on the Harbour Bridge, in the rain, with my family, all ten of us, apart from those in Darwin.
Your “poll-related” dismissal of us, and the other 300,000 concerned anti-genocidal citizens who marched with us, was profoundly offensive, ignorant, ill-informed, devoid of empathy, and very, very, hurtful. Please stick to polls, otherwise I’m afraid your personal quirks may tend to outweigh your self control.
Cheers. Go well.
Working class says sky who is that in 2026?
Lots of those jobs are gone and are going.Geez it’s one poll but there is a lot of bad news coming for labor in the next few months and that’s with the best case scenario with war wrapping up quick.
Not convinced that Corio refinery is coming back when they say it is either.
Young Angus did the right thing last week.
“We are not there yet, but that doesn’t mean we won’t get there. The most significant electoral effect of the current fragmentation on the right is to entrench Labor’s power federally and in a majority of states and territories. We can be certain federal Labor strategists are already eyeing off further seats they might win at a future federal election.”
As wrong as wrong can be. The Coalition and One Nation have close to 5o% of the primary vote, and they are taking seats off Labor, rather than each other. Seats like Werribee which have been Labor’s for more than a century are going to One Nation. The Coalition and One Nation are a fusion of the well-educated and the lesser-educated who are opposed to the woke nonsense of Labor, Greens and the Teals, which represent only a tiny minority of mainstream Australian society.
The Albanese Government, at best, might scrape a minority and cling to power hanging by a thread. More likely, it will be the most conservative government in whatever form, a ON-LP-NP arrangement or an amalgamated right-wing party that will rule Victoria and Australia for generations and fundamentally change the cultural texture of the South Pacific.
You speak bullshit, Timmy.
“You speak bullshit, Timmy.”
You can’t provide a reasoned rebuttal so you resort to simple rhetoric.
Denial is the oldest defence mechanism in the book.
Anyway, in fifty years’ time, there will be more tuna mornay and less tuna sushi in this country.
Pity I won’t see it because I’ll be dead.
I choose not to provide a reasoned rebuttal because I don’t want to bathe in the bath of bullshit that you’re wallowing in.
yabba says:
Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 9:32 pm
nadia @ #891 Tuesday, April 21st, 2026 – 9:11 pm
yabba says:
Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 9:06 pm
nadia @ #795 Tuesday, April 21st, 2026 – 5:43 pm
It was a bit of a blooper my end. All over.
So. Obsessive, ill-informed and devoid of empathy. A greed.
============
yabba,
This site is geared towards polling and policy stuff.
I drop polls. That is what i’m interested in.
You drop crap on this site, though I don’t mind some of the pictures you post on your evening walks.
Maybe go and set up a facebook page devoted to yourself, and get off my back.
I don’t bother others here, so get off my back. Maybe contribute something here…like a poll or two.
Remember, the site is geared towards polls and policy and chit chat, and not you!
I was on the Harbour Bridge, in the rain, with my family, all ten of us, apart from those in Darwin.
Your “poll-related” dismissal of us, and the other 300,000 concerned anti-genocidal citizens who marched with us, was profoundly offensive, ignorant, ill-informed, devoid of empathy, and very, very, hurtful. Please stick to polls, otherwise I’m afraid your personal quirks may tend to outweigh your self control.
Cheers. Go well.
==========
You go well too yabba, and keep your personal attacks on me for somewhere else please.
I don’t know who you think you are, but I don’t make personal and derogatory comments about you or other posters here. What you said about me this morning was “over the top” and quite frankly offensive, given the site is geared toward polls.
If you wish to have a dig at me again in the future, you can expect a response.
I guess we conclude “today’s thing”, closed.
The EU is ebullient over the prospects of real progress in supporting Ukraine and strangling Russia, now Putin’s Mouse, Loser Orbán, has left the scene:
“Ministers express relief after Orbán’s defeat in Hungary as they hope to progress Ukraine loan, sanctions against Russia”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2026/apr/21/eu-foreign-ministers-meet-to-discuss-ukraine-russia-and-the-middle-east-europe-live?page=with%3Ablock-69e73acf8f08b6bcfa47a64c&filterKeyEvents=false#liveblog-navigation
It is astonishing the degree to which the ‘mood music’ has changed in Europe for the better, with just this one election result. Democracy in action!
@SL says: Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 9:20 pm
“The Nats must be out of funds: https://theconversation.com/view-from-the-hill-its-a-chilly-campaign-for-matt-canavan-in-farrer-280583
Includes uComms poll.”
Poll has a sample size of 1116 people and a margin of error of 3%
Primary votes:
ONP: 30.9%
Milthorpe: 30%
LIB: 16.1%
NAT: 7.1%
GRN: 3.8%
FFP: 1.2%
SAP: 0.1%
OTH: 2.9%
Undecided: 7.9%
“One Nation leads Milthorpe in the estimated two-candidate preferred vote 52.7-47.3%, based on respondents’ preferences.”
As Kevin Bonham states in his article on the Farrer by-election: “Single-seat polling is unreliable.” But assuming this poll is indicative of the final result, ONP’s Farley does have a somewhat comfortable lead over Milthorpe in 2pp. It may strengthen because the Nationals and other minor right wing parties are now formally directing preferences to ONP. It’s still up in the air on whether ONP has hit their polling plateau, but it seems like Farley is the favourite to win Farrer.
Bearing in mind Ukraine is simultaneously striving to fight of a cruel invasion and occupation by a determined and powerful foe, this is a great credit to them:
“Ukraine second only to Moldova in reform speed, top EU official says”
https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-second-only-to-moldova-in-reform-speed-says-eu-membership-chief/
Pied Piper
Your mate Angus is another Liberal dud struggling for any relevance.
An interesting chapter of WWII:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qneKVKnURk4
A conman, a pedophile and a convicted felon walk into a bar.
Bartender says “Here by yourself today, Mr President?”
Mavis, that is an episode of WW2 I was completely unaware of. Thank you.
The preference deal in Farrer is predictable. The Coalition is undergoing a death by a thousand cuts. Many of their own making.
Knowing how YouGov accurately predicted the trend in the 2025 election and was the most accurate pollster for the SA election, their recent polling showing Labor and ONP tied on 27 primary vote should be cause for concern for Labor even though they are still winning comfortably in 2pp margins against the Coalition (53-47) and ONP (52-48).
Bludgeoned Westie at 7.39 and 10.35 pm
Note this comment from Dr Bonham:
“All kinds of modelling and calculations may be entered into as to what might occur here but in a rural electorate and with this being a by-election and not a general, I suspect a lot of it will be about candidate quality and the outcome could therefore be quite different from any modelling attempt.”
https://kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2026/02/farrer-by-election-2026.html
Ms Milthorpe is the one hopeful candidate who ran in 2025, so she is well recognised.
For the prediction by Mr Mackerras see the blog on Thur 16 April at 11.41 pm including:
“The article is typical M. Mackerras. Never short of an opinion but rather short of facts. Much of the article concerns his pet electoral subjects, with little discussion of Farrer.”
Various others observed that Mackerras is rarely right with predictions, as distinct from his political leaning.
For an example of a by-election he got wrong see the 2022 Bega by-election in NSW, called by the resignation of A. Constance in his failed attempt to shift to Canberra. Mackerras predicted a Liberal hold. Labor won with a 12% swing.
In April 2023 Mackerras got one prediction right, the date of the Voice referendum.
But he thought Yes would win:
https://switzer.com.au/the-voice-referendum-will-be-carried/
Bludgeoned Westie at 10.35 pm
It’s not just the Nats supporting the Hanson cult in Farrer; the Libs have jumped in too:
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/apr/21/farrer-byelection-liberal-national-one-nation-pauline-hanson-preference-ntwnfb
‘Speaking to Guardian Australia before the Liberal how-to-vote card was released, Milthorpe questioned the logic of preferencing One Nation ahead of her.
“I find it fascinating that the Liberal party would choose to preference a party that seemingly wants to take them out,” Milthorpe said. “If that’s what they think they need to do, they’ve got to think about what that means for their future.”’
The Libs are so desperate for attention they have misunderstood what “take them out” means in practice.
Leunig once had a very funny cartoon over 20 years ago on the meaning of “taken out”.
Wife says to husband – “Do you think Bin {Garbage} laden should be taken out?”
Husband replies: “Seems a bit heavy to me.” {picture of over-full garbage bin}
Wife responds: “Should have been taken out last time.”
Timmysays:
Anyway, in fifty years’ time, there will be more tuna mornay and less tuna sushi in this country.
Pity I won’t see it because I’ll be dead.
________________________
Is this some kind of racist code?
T… T… T… Timmehhh!!!
Timmy at 10.04pm
“You can’t provide a reasoned rebuttal so you resort to simple rhetoric.”
I can rebut claims that Hanson is gaining support. .
Hanson gets support from people who once would be described as working class. Everytime the Government has introduced legislation to improve working conditions, One Nation has voted against it. Organisations like Getup and the Union Movement are making sure workers in the Farrer electorate are well aware of that. Peak Hanson has passed.
@GrannyAnny says: Wednesday, April 22, 2026 at 12:21 am
“Peak Hanson has passed.”
Tbh I’d be more cautious after that recent YouGov poll showing ONP and ALP tied at 27% of primary vote even though ALP is still in a comfortable 52-48 lead in 2pp.
Let this be on the record that I’m saying this as a reminder for people to slow down and wait for more similar polls to come, not in support of the dude who’s afraid of Japanese people (lol, lmao, even)
That the LNP would preference ON before Milthorpe shows their embrace of racism and division.
I had to put up with tuna mornay as a kid – must’ve been in one of those Women’s Weekly or Margaret Fulton cookbooks everyone’s mum had in the 90s. Apricot chicken too, the only use for those dusty tins of apricot nectar on the ankle-level shelf at Woolies. Horrible stuff, put me off apricots until I was 30.
“If the Japs had won we’d all be eating sushi today!” grumbles someone’s druncle every year at Christmas lunch. Guess they must’ve won, I had a tempura prawn roll for lunch today. Yum.
New thread.
nadia @ #910 Tuesday, April 21st, 2026 – 10:09 pm
Methinks the lady doth protest too much. Stick to polls. 🙂 🙂
Penny Wong human rights sellout and hyprocrite out and about today…The Oz now.
‘Penny Wong urges a return to negotiations, laments Trump’s wrecking of rules-based order’.
This is Wongs rules based order below and no wonder Trump is in twice and One nation vote through the roof!
https://unwatch.org/outrage-at-un-democracies-enable-iran-china-cuba-to-oversee-human-rights-bodies/
I had Bill Shorten marked as no good the day he politically knifed PMJG.
Labor wasted 6yrs with him as leader and more with him as a minister.
His AWU faction had a lot of factional power given its participation in the fossil fuel industry and its industry Super alignment with AustralianSuper.
One take away from the White House Correspondents’ Dinner incident is…
the Washington Hilton hotel function room is ultra tacky & devoid of any design merit whatsoever.
42 billion Malcolm in a muddles legacy….
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=TAWEB_MRE170_a_GGL&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theaustralian.com.au%2Fbusiness%2Fsnowy-hydro-20-cost-spirals-to-42bn-sparking-calls-for-royal-commission%2Fnews-story%2F009ad060aa7ad71ecc1adab8b5a4bcbc&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&v21=ULTRALOW-Segment-2-SCORE&V21spcbehaviour=append
That’s getting towards NDIS territory.
Started off at 2 billion.Missed it by that much!
Gillard knifed herself because she was incompetent.
The LNP wrecked the NBN and Snowy Hydro 2 was born wrecked.
But don’t worry, Angus will build a trillion dollars of Nuclear Reactors without issue.