The fortnightly YouGov Sky News Pulse poll has what might be the most dispiriting poll result yet for the Coalition, showing them running a distant third behind One Nation even after the leadership change intended to staunch the flow. The Coalition is down three points on last fortnight to 19%, matching their worst result under Sussan Ley the fortnight before, while One Nation is at 26%, up two from last fortnight though still down two on the fortnight before. Labor is up a point to 30% and the Greens are steady on 13%. A Labor-versus-Coalition two-party preferred reading has Labor leading 55-45, out from 53-47 a fortnight ago.
Angus Taylor’s personal ratings are nonetheless little changed on a fortnight ago, up one on approval to 34% and steady on disapproval at 38%, while Anthony Albanese is down two to 38% and steady on 54%. Albanese’s lead on preferred prime minister is 45-33, out from 45-34. Asked how well Jim Chalmers’ policies had dealt with the cost of living, 16% responded very well or well compared with 53% for not very well or very badly and 31% for neither. The poll was conducted last Tuesday through to yesterday. The sample size is not provided, but would have been about 1500.
UPDATE: The sample size was 1425. Also included was a Labor-versus-One Nation two-party result, which also had Labor leading 55-45.
Also out yesterday was the weekly Roy Morgan poll, giving Labor its worst primary vote yet from this series at 26.5%. However, most of this seems to have been taken up by a three-point lift for the Greens to 14.5%. One Nation was up one-and-a-half to 23.5%, with the Coalition down one to 22.5%. Labor leads the Coalition 54.5-45.5 based on respondent-allocated preferences, out from 54-46, and 53-47 based on previous election preference flows, in from 53.5-46.5. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1532.
The first published poll for the Farrer by-election has emerged courtesy of progressive think tank the Australia Institute, conducted by uComms last Thursday and Friday from a sample of 1281. It featured questions inclusive of Labor and undecided component, and further questions asking how Labor voters would vote if there were no Labor candidate, as looks to be the case, and a forced response for the undecided. Working all these results together, I make it 31.6% for One Nation, 30.3% for independent Michelle Milthorpe, 22.0% for the Liberals, 7.6% for the Nationals and 5.8% for the Greens. Respondents were also asked who they would least like to win out of One Nation, Milthorpe, Liberal and the Nationals, with respective results of 37.1%, 29.5%, 22.2% and 11.2%.
Albo’s support for Trump is making it very difficult for Labor partisans.
There comes a time when you have to draw the line though, for your own sanity.
There is no doubt in my mind that we are fed propaganda about Iran. Note that I am not saying that the Mullahs are not arseholes, nor am I saying that women get a fair go. I reckon that despite the sanctions and mismanagement of things like their water supplies, the country is probably more diverse and harmonious than some would want us to believe.
Credible internet information suggests that they have a well developed education system with high levels of national literacy. Football is the most popular sport in Iran, while freestyle wrestling is traditionally considered the national sport, with a strong history of Olympic success in weightlifting and martial arts, so people are obviously free to pursue varying interests.
The reason for the intro; out of curiosity I used Google Maps to have a look at Kharg Island. There are oil tanks but no refinery as it is an export facility only. Therefore, obviously, the petroleum products are piped from elsewhere for export. Chump reckons it has been obliterated but before that he reckoned they would occupy and operate the facilities there. I wonder where he thought he would get petroleum products from to export. He is such a liar either or neither could be true. On the map I noticed a significant residential area with mosques and supermarkets. Of particular interest was a Nestorian Christian Church indicating to me that the population of Kharg Island is quite diverse. As Chump reckons the island has been obliterated I wonder what happened to the over 8000 people who live there?
“Spain is in the EU and NATO and can afford to make the stand they’re doing.”
Have to disagree on this; NATO is yet another security body that is heavily reliant on the US, so the idea that the Spanish are in a position to downplay US security assistance/face blowback like trade sanctions any less then Australia is questionable. Especially considering that the spanish faced blowback both from the US and from the EU and fellow NATO states when they first came out; Germany made it clear what the default NATO view of the spanish was.
between this, and the inevitable rate rise (completely out of the hands of Labor, but the RBA only has one tool available), this is going to kill Federal Labor in the polls over the next few months.
There will be money to be made in Iran once Trump quits bombing it.
Kharg a Largo has a certain ring to it.
Er, no, people are going to factor in all these following rate rises are due to Trump thus giving Labor a free pass.
Albury city councillor Raissa Butkowski has won Liberal preselection for the Farrer byelection.
Labor will take a hit if rates rise a few times.
So, what can we do then? Break out of ANZUS and AUKUS? Pretty sure that’d be painful.
That said, Albo could take a leaf out of Mark Carney’s book and provide at least something. I notice Carney’s Liberals are going quite well in Canadian polling.
I don’t support Albo’s Labor doing absolutely nothing about this ridiculous war, but at the same time, I also don’t support the idea of damaging the US relationship. Trump won’t be around forever.
But if Trump takes that step over the Rubicon (Potomac) and cancels elections, that would be the point where I think it would be best to break things off.
Miskal, you had indicated Albo was supporting them at every opportunity, but I didn’t realise you were referring just to their very latest suite of actions
The only difference in crime electing a Liberal will do is that it stops being reported by the media.
Just like in the NT when the LNP won the election in 2024, there was a stabbing murder in 2025. Man on bail who stabbed a supermarket owner to death.
If that happened in Melbourne now it would be headline news every day until the election. The media would be screaming for even tougher bail laws. Calling for mandatory full life orders to put the guy away for 100 years with no parole. Demanding everyone in the Labor Party resign. The shock jocks would be apoplectic. The bot army would be going mental.
But it happened under the LNP’s watch so no-one ever heard about it except maybe the day it happened and then it was memory-holed never to be discussed again.
Ya got this in SA libs…
https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/the-shortest-priced-favourite-ever-in-an-australian-election-20260313-p5oa7b
Not!
One nation been cutting through past week.
Luigi Smithsays:
Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 4:08 pm
There will be money to be made in Iran once Trump quits bombing it.
Kharg a Largo has a certain ring to it.
– – – – – – – – – – –
Mar a Kharg-o?
Approximately two-thirds (65.9%) of Australian households have a “balanced” amount of off-street parking (typically meaning they have space for their vehicles), while around 20% are oversupplied and 14% are undersupplied.
australasiantransportresearchforum.org.au
australasiantransportresearchforum.org.au
While parking availability varies based on housing type and location (inner-city vs. suburbia), the following trends apply:
Detached Homes: Most houses built in the last 40 years, particularly in outer suburban areas, have 1, 2, or 3 garages/carports.
On-Street Users: Approximately 75% of regular on-street residential parking users actually have some form of off-street parking, but may not use it.
====================================================================
For anyone with off street parking buying an EV is a no brainer.
These figures strongly suggest that the TAM right now is huge.
More effort obviously needed to kill off the FUD.
PP: I will donate $100 to a charity of your choice if the ALP are not returned on Saturday.
PP, is One Nation “cutting through” to female voters? Do you think women want a ON Government that will ban abortion?
“I don’t support Albo’s Labor doing absolutely nothing about this ridiculous war, but at the same time, I also don’t support the idea of damaging the US relationship. Trump won’t be around forever.”
Half full vs half empty there; even if Trump was to kark over and die right now, the issues with the US go far beyond the orange blimp. I would argue Trump is simply a symptom, and the fact is that even the “good” presidents” like Obama engaged in very questionable geopolitical moves because thats just what America does.
The US will take generations of constant effort to get back to the culture of Bush Jnr, and yet that didnt stop them from launching into the Middle East, because the yanks have long been an Imperialist power that very rarely hesitated in swinging its LBJ around the world. And thats assuming they learn the right lessons from Trump, and dont double down (or assuming their already weak democracy continues).
Australian geopolitics needs to be more then ” I hope the yanks start being sane”, because that ship has sailed. What we need to do be doing is looking at engaging with our regional neighbours instead of expecting to be “rescued”, a lesson we should have learned in WW2 when the poms decided that their own concerns didnt match those of Australia.
The immediate export losses from a total ban like Spain just got from Trump is about the same as Australia would get: $30 billion a year. How many jobs gone?
With a total ban on Spanish imports, tariff settings are irrelevant. There is nothing to collect them on.
Spain is in an infinitely better security position than Australia.
It has NATO. France is offering a nuclear umbrella role for NATO.
There is no ANZUS shilly shallying about committing to talk to an ANZUS partner should one be invaded. NATO members must come to the defence of another member if it is attacked.
NATO’s conventional forces, even less the huge US contribution, are far, far more powerful than Australia’s conventional forces.
NATO has internal lines of communication.
NATO, including Spain itself, has far better defence equipment manufacturing capability than does Australia.
NATO has far better munitions supply chains than does Australia.
My view is that the axiomatically anti-defence posture of the Greens along with the the general security complacency of the Far Left is ludicrous in the current international security situation.
DPR, more likely to be Mar a Kharg-o shit, Chump is running the joint.
If all the oil on Kharg were to be burnt it would be one of the most toxic bits of land in the world.
PP is like Pauline like Donald. They are a conga line of charity haters. ‘Charity’ begins in the home and it stays right there.
BW, last time I checked, Australia didnt have an actively hostile nuclear power on the same continent; for reference Madrid to the Russian border is about half the distance of Sydney to the Chinese border, and thats not counting the issues with ocean born logistics.
The backbone of NATO is the US, not sure why theres any attempt to downplay that.
I would put money down that if push comes to shove NATO will choose when and if it comes to the rescue based on pragmatic criteria.
All your saying is that Australia needs to be focused on becoming self sufficient when it comes to the defence industry. I wonder what parties might have policies supporting this…
Trump is insane. This is now. He is a traitor who is ignoring active Russian support for the people who are trying to kill US troops.
@Miskal at 4:27pm
Thankfully Albo’s government (and Penny Wong in particular) seems to have been doing exactly that in regards to our Pacific neighbours.
And a pretty fine job she’s been doing with that compared to her predecessor, was it Marise Payne?
Of particular importance is keeping good with Indonesia. We seem to be getting along well with them lately. Especially important since China wants to make inroads in our area.
The Greens never saw a defence equipment acquisition that they didn’t hate, undermine, criticize or piss on from a great moral height.
It is a lesson we should have learned at least once a decade since.
But we are a weak and cowardly country that doesn’t even believe we are capable of providing our own head of state. And there is nothing weaker or more cowardly than abandoning your principles and the Country’s reputation for the orange felon.
If he is gone tomorrow and takes all the Israel leadership with him we are still a country that was ok with both genocide and an unlawful war of aggression. We don’t get our reputation back, China and every other country on earth is entitled to look at us as both weak and a bad faith actor.
The whole kiss the ring until it is over is a weak tactic and will not help any of the leaders who capitualted to evil.
She beat off an ex-Ley staffer. Hey ho. Out with the old. And, after the election, out with the new as well.
Going on WWP, HBG, M and Peg, the Greens’ defence and security policy is:
Shout Loud in People’s Faces and Carry a Weenie Stick.
Kirdarke, MP is a horrible bar to judge any foreign minister.
“Of particular importance is keeping good with Indonesia. We seem to be getting along well with them lately. Especially important since China wants to make inroads in our area.”
I am not sure that mood will continue given Australias views on Iran vs the Indonesians, plus the general upswing in Islamophobic attitudes at home.
The Indonesians vs the Australian responses to Iran could not have beenmore different, and thats ignoring that early attempts by the Indonesian government to court Trump are not popular at home given, again, the Muslim factor.
“Thankfully Albo’s government (and Penny Wong in particular) seems to have been doing exactly that in regards to our Pacific neighbours.”
Excluding climate change of course
Boerwar
OMG not the weenie stick.
That will have despots quaking in their boots.
As I said earlier Collins Group are very keen to put KFCs into Iran if the regime falls. They already have locations selected.
Being a brave country that didn’t become subservient to the US, that engaged with our region and didn’t blindly support some of the foulest crimes known to humanity just because Israel and the USA were committing them would probably mean we had a bigger military footprint / capability rather than less. We might well have left the NNP treaty and become a nuclear state. We definitely should have.
And on the other hand what are we currently getting for our money, even under the greens policy we certainly wouldn’t be burning billions and billions of dollar to not ever get a submarine it isn’t even clear would be of actual use to us as opposed to the USA.
So you’ve currently got the cost of a good military, but without actually getting the hardware. I don’t think even the genius brain trust here could come up with a worse outcome.
Incumbant governments typically recieve the praise or blame for the present state of the economy regardless of whether they had anything to do with it. Its not fair, but that’s politics.
I fully expect the Albanese government to take a hit on account of Trump’s moronic war, likely to the benefit of One Nation, the Greens, and the generic “Others” vote. The government’s support of the Trump administration’s actions here is unlikely to work in their favour, and I suspect that that the Liberals’ significantly more intense cheerleading for the madness happening in the Middle East will mean they struggle to get much out of it either. (I will note that Canavan, by contrast, seems to be on a bit of a unity ticket with the Greens on this one.)
But with over two years until the next election, as long as the government can demonstrate that they are taking real action here and succeed in cushioning Australia from the worst that this totally avoidable chaos is likely to bring (and hopefully start negotiating alternate international trade and defence arrangements that allow Australia to put more distance between us and the lunatics in the White House), there’s no reason they can’t win another comfortable victory in 2028.
Yeah, whatever the options, I still don’t agree that Albo and Wong being ambivalent about the Iran War is just a big a sin as though our military joins in the “fun” over there and kills innocent people in war crimes.
“Yeah, whatever the options, I still don’t agree that Albo and Wong being ambivalent about the Iran War is just a big a sin as though our military joins in the “fun” over there and kills innocent people in war crimes.”
Define joins though? Theres no question we are providing intelligence support, theres no question we are providing global diplomatic support in favor of their current little war. We are providing material support through our current arms agreements. At what point does Australia “officially” cross the line and join the US and Israel; is it boots on the ground? Because I would figure providing material, intelligence and diplomatic support is hardly nothing.
@Miskal at 5:03pm
I think that line would be crossed if Australia’s military is used in direct attacks against Iran.
LIke Pine Gap is every day you mean?
@WWP
Okay, let’s isolate/bomb Pine Gap then, see what happens then.
PP obviously doesnt know SA well….Australia is one of the most urbanized countries on Earth, and SA is the most cenralised and urbanized states in the country…there is Adelaide and then there is….Not a lot of bumpkins to be prized off of a moribund National Party….oh, there is no National Party here to speak of..To be fair to ON this is the hardest possible first up tests of there new rise to prominence.
Isnt that the point though Kirsdarke? Australian foreign policy doesnt exist outside of extreme US influence, and the sooner we distance ourselves the better, because its completely one sided. We are “protected” as long as the yanks view it as worthwhile, while we give up any real option in establishing a truly independent and regional foreign policy because the US will threaten in withdrawing their protection…
I’m not sure I understand. It is a joint facility there is no way it isn’t being used, and it is very unlikely it hasn’t been used to support the genocide in Palestine, ie Australia’s military being used to support / in the execution of war crimes. I get a sense of tone that doesn’t count to your test somehow, but I don’t understand why it wouldn’t?
@Miskal
On that I agree, we need to wean ourselves out of the US military alliance and aim for more of an “Armed Neutrality” arrangement.
As mentioned before I reckon if Dutton won the election last year he’d be halfway toward preparing for a Gallipoli II using Australian forces to secure the Strait of Hormuz.
But with things as they are, soft steps are preferable to hard steps that would break us off from all post-WW2 alliances and leave us with nothing in the ways of allies.
One nation outpolling pathetic labor federally in outer suburbs of Australia aka mortgage belt ville.Yougov poll.
Tues interest rate rise will help one nation even more as libs candidate is still putting on her lippy.
@WWP
Well, what do you propose we do about Pine Gap then?
Then we agree on the destination, we just disagree on whether we are even heading in that direction (and agree that the Libs would have run of the cliff in how eager they would be in sending bodies to the beaches).
Well the best that could be hoped for from a stronger PM would be a strong statement in early in the genocide in Palestine and early in the Iran war crimes that the base cannot and will not be used to support the actions of Israel or the USA in any circumstances and that the USA as a strong and trusted Ally understands full and will fully respect our wishes.
I understand fully it would have been used any way, but I don’t think we could have just closed it down, and if anyone is to bomb it, it will probably be China, and I could not oppose that any more strongly, notwithstanding with the destruction of international law there isn’t any real reason for them not to it they think it is a good idea.
“…told the network that its military may hit site “a few more times just for fun”. He is a small vicious child who gleefully burns ants with a magnifying glass until he’s bored then proceeds to stomp all over the nest before going off to find other things to hurt. Of course PP would see it all as Donald winning.
“…It will bring the World together toward Harmony, Security, and Everlasting Peace!””
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/14/us-kharg-island-oil-export-hub
I’ve got to say that was a little bit disappointing WWP. After all the moralising, your suggestion is ‘do a show announcement’. I was hoping for a captain planet mission to sneak in and cut the cables or something.
@WWP
While admirable, that would have made the “more stronger PM” look weak when Trump’s USA would likely respond “Lol, go fuck yourself, Aussies, Pine Gap is ours.” and then work toward installing a conservative Coalition government that would thus be all-in on their Iran adventure.
Sounds like some prefer the “Spanish solution”, making a big song and dance up front, then have to defend a whole bunch of awkward questions about why you are sending a warship into the fray:
https://www.ekathimerini.com/politics/foreign-policy/1297249/spains-pm-defends-deployment-of-frigate-to-cyprus/#:~:text=Spain's%20PM%20defends%20deployment%20of,member%20state%2C%E2%80%9D%20he%20said.
Australia’s opening statement was a clear stance that we won’t bow to Iranian belligerence, and will unashamedly stand with other countries who are the victims of Iran’s hostility.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-15/uae-minister-describes-iran-attacks-as-almost-unhinged-/106456626
Though I totally support the Spanish stepping up in this way – the UK failed Cyprus like the US failed the UAE.