Sky News has the first in what promises to be fortnightly polling series by YouGov, and its report includes a display with a useful range of breakdowns. Interestingly, it also has a chart showing results from three previous polls going back to November, none of which were published to my knowledge. The latest result has Labor on 31%, up one on a poll conducted shortly before Christmas; One Nation on 25%, up five; the “former Coalition parties” on 20%, down four; and the Greens on 12%, down one. The page also features video from Paul Murray Live which shows a Labor two-party lead of 55-45 over the Coalition and 57-43 over One Nation. Anthony Albanese is on 39% approval and 55% disapproval and holds a 47-29 lead on preferred prime minister over Sussan Ley, who is on 26% approval and 57% disapproval. The poll was conducted last Tuesday through to Monday from a sample of 1500.
The YouGov results are all but precisely matched in a new poll from DemosAU for Capital Brief, which has Labor on 30%, up one on a poll earlier in the month; One Nation on 24%, up one; what I will continue to refer to as the Coalition on 21%, down two; and the Greens on 13%, up one. The accompanying report has extensive breakdowns, most tellingly in relation to current voting intention by vote at last year’s election. A three-way preferred prime minister question has Anthony Albanese on 39%, Pauline Hanson on 26% and Sussan Ley on 16%. Albanese is viewed positively by 27% (down two), neutrally by 32% (up two) and negatively by 41% (steady); Sussan Ley positively by 15% (down two), neutrally by 52% (down three) and negatively by 33% (up five). Hanson scores 35% positive, 25% neutral and 40% negative. A seat projection has Labor in a range from 87 to 95, One Nation from 29 to 38, and the Coalition from 10 to 22. The poll was conducted January 13 to 21 from a sample of 1933. The pollster also has an explanatory note on its approach to the problem of two-party preferred with a Coalition fracturing and running third.
Roy Morgan has a third successive weekly result, though I’m told this will not necessarily be a consistent arrangement. It has Labor up two points to 30.5%, the former Coalition parties down one-and-a-half to 22.5% (breaking them out for the first time to Liberal 20% and Nationals 2.5%, which presumably means it folds Queensland’s Liberal National Party into the Liberal vote), One Nation up one-and-a-half to 22.5% and the Greens down half to 13%. Labor leads 56.5-43.5 on respondent-allocated preferences, out from 53.5-46.5, and 54.5-45.5 on previous election preferences, out from 53-47. The poll was conducted last Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1653.
The Guardian also brings us voting intention results from Essential Research, which will presumably have a full report later today. It has Labor on 31%, down three on last month’s result, which was conducted a week before the Bondi shootings; the Liberals and Nationals on 25%, down one; One Nation on 22%, up five; and the Greens on 9%, down one. Anthony Albanese is down four on approval to 39% and up eight on disapproval to 55%, while Sussan Ley is down four to 30% and up four to 47%. Albanese is deemed to have handled Bondi well by 36% and not well by 55%. The poll was conducted last Tuesday to Friday from a sample of 1022.
Nine Newspapers also reports last week’s Resolve Strategic poll found an ongoing decline in support for changing the date of Australia Day, with 68% now opposed and 16% in favour, down from 61% and 24% last year and 47% and 39% in 2023. A Freshwater Strategy poll found 70% support for January 26, with only 12% opposed.
Landlubber says:
Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 7:02 am
The combined ON and Coalition primary is now close to 50% meaning that….’
==============
fanbois and fangirls of deranged dirty donny @ 13, including you, abound.
Like Dementia Donny’s turkeys they will go gobble, gobble, gobble when the prime minister Hanson starts shafting them.
Oh. And around a half of what is left of the Liberal voters will go to the Teals. Which will give sane Australians around 60% of the primary vote.
Good Morning! Here’s Your Daily News and Views Roundup
Anthony Albanese is travelling to Timor-Leste today for his first official visit as prime minister.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-01-28/federal-politics-live/106275490
Guardian Essential poll: One Nation’s primary vote soars to record high amid Coalition chaos
Pauline Hanson’s party polls a primary vote of 22%, while Labor’s response to the Bondi terror attack wins widespread support
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/jan/28/guardian-essential-poll-one-nation-coalition-liberal-national-labor-anthony-albanese-bondi-attack-ntwnfb
Tamworth was once the National Party’s heartland but with Barnaby Joyce’s move, support for One Nation is taking hold
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-01-27/tamworth-national-party-pivot-to-one-nation/106270810
March for Australia claims its Gold Coast organiser was bashed by a group of Middle Eastern men the day before Australia Day. The posts fuelled hateful comments directed towards those of Middle Eastern descent on the organisation’s social media. But Queensland Police say none of those involved in the altercation were of Middle Eastern descent.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-01-28/vfy-march-for-australia-bashing-claim-alternates/106275558
Trumpism, but make it Australian: One Nation’s migration fantasy. By Abul Rizvi
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/trumpism-but-make-it-australian-one-nations-migration-fantasy,20609
Former PM, Malcolm Turnbull, says Labor must stop ‘pretending nothing has changed’ and should outline how Australia will deal with the United States going forward
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/jan/27/turnbull-albanese-australia-trump-global-political-reality
‘The opposition is in La-La land’: Malcolm Turnbull on the Coalition split – Full Story podcast
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/audio/2026/jan/27/the-opposition-is-in-la-la-land-malcolm-turnbull-on-the-coalition-split-full-story-podcast
Sussan Ley has two factors working in her favour as rumours of a Liberal leadership mutiny swirl
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/jan/28/sussan-ley-liberal-leadership-two-factors-working-in-her-favour
Liberal sources say the right faction must first settle on a single challenger before a spill is launched against Ms Ley.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-01-25/liberals-hastie-taylor-likely-challengers-sussan-ley-leadership/106265762
View from The Hill: Dysfunctional federal opposition is in gridlock.
https://theconversation.com/view-from-the-hill-dysfunctional-federal-opposition-is-in-gridlock-274028
Sussan Ley to announce Liberal-only frontbench as allies increasingly confident she won’t face spill
One senior MP says party’s credibility would be ‘in tatters’ if it removed first female leader at Nationals’ behest
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/jan/27/sussan-ley-leadership-spill-frontbench-allies-confident
Kevin07 for UNSG! Former prime minister Kevin Rudd’s potential pathway to achieve his longtime goal of becoming the United Nations’ top official is complicated by the fact that the organisation has stressed it would like a woman to take up the role and that a Latin American is favoured to claim the position.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/kevin-rudd-tried-before-for-the-un-s-top-job-two-obstacles-stand-in-the-way-of-another-go-20260127-p5nxeb.html
‘I was simply luckier’: Holocaust survivors warn against forgetting Nazi atrocities
People urged to stand up against populism and antisemitism as the world marks International Holocaust Memorial Day
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jan/27/i-was-simply-luckier-holocaust-survivors-warn-against-forgetting-nazi-atrocities
The ultimate Labor insider, former SA Premier Jay Weatherill, stepping into London’s hot seat
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/the-ultimate-labor-insider-stepping-into-london-s-hot-seat-20260127-p5nx6g.html
Tim Wilson compares David Littleproud gamble to Joyce lying on Canberra footpath
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/wilson-compares-littleproud-gamble-to-joyce-lying-on-canberra-footpath-20260127-p5nx83.html
‘Not even in with a look’: Nationals face Senate wipeout if Liberal split continues
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/not-even-in-with-a-look-nationals-face-senate-wipeout-if-liberal-split-continues-20260127-p5nxdp.html
RAFF Base Tindal in the NT has been upgraded with purpose-built hangars and an improved runway.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-01-28/government-completes-upgrade-raaf-base-tindal/106275670
By failing to invest enough in housing, we have ended up with a housing market that is weighing down our productivity (and for which opportunists disproportionately blame immigrants).
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/higher-immigration-is-an-economic-fix-but-it-s-not-a-panacea-20260127-p5nxci.html
A new company tax mix has been proposed. We need to be careful how we assess it.
https://theconversation.com/a-new-company-tax-mix-has-been-proposed-we-need-to-be-careful-how-we-assess-it-273892
Mental health checks for gun owners will be considered among reforms to be introduced to Queensland parliament when MPs return in a fortnight. “And if people harbour antisemitic thoughts, and if they’ve got links with terrorists and terrorist views, they shouldn’t have one gun, not two or three or four – they should have zero.”
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/queensland/gun-law-reforms-to-address-calls-for-mental-health-checks-minister-says-20260127-p5nxb4.html
Adult men’s faces can verify teen girls’ Snapchat accounts in major loophole.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/adult-men-s-faces-can-verify-teen-girls-snapchat-accounts-in-major-loophole-20260122-p5nw2v.html
There are mounting concerns that Snapchat’s enforcement of Australia’s world-first under-16 social media restrictions is failing vulnerable teenagers, as users complain it is stonewalling reports of under-age users.
https://www.smh.com.au/technology/snapchat-accused-of-reinstating-banned-teen-accounts-stonewalling-complaints-20260121-p5nvoy.html
Keeping women alive is everybody’s business. Here’s what we must do next. Jenna Price
https://www.smh.com.au/national/keeping-women-alive-is-everybody-s-business-here-s-what-we-must-do-next-20260126-p5nx5t.html
Through the heatwave haze, the hypocrisy of Australia’s fossil fuel policy shines bright. Adam Morton
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jan/27/through-the-heatwave-haze-the-hypocrisy-of-australias-fossil-fuel-policy-shines-bright
Where did southern Australia’s record-breaking heatwave come from?
https://theconversation.com/where-did-southern-australias-record-breaking-heatwave-come-from-274417
Explainer: What happens to the human body in 49C heat? Australians are finding out
Doctors warn there are biological limits to temperatures we can survive, and exposure to extreme heat can provoke a heart attack
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/jan/27/what-happens-to-the-human-body-in-49c-heat-australians-are-finding-out
$5b in incorrect age pension payments revealed as seniors left waiting.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/audit-exposes-5b-of-incorrect-age-pension-payments-as-seniors-left-waiting-20260127-p5nxfo.html
ICE at the Winter Olympics: Agents to support US security, stirring anger in Italy
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/ice-agents-to-support-security-at-winter-olympics-stirring-anger-in-italy-20260128-p5nxi2.html
‘A militia that kills’: uproar in Italy over ICE security role at Winter Olympics
Milan mayor says agents ‘not welcome’ in co-host city and Italy can take care of security itself
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/27/italy-ice-security-role-winter-olympics
SMH Editorial: Minneapolis shootings: Trump’s America lapses into authoritarianism
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/minneapolis-shootings-trump-s-america-lapses-into-authoritarianism-20260127-p5nxeo.html
Immigration was at the centre of Donald Trump’s 2024 win, but it’s now mired in controversy.
Laura Tingle
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-01-27/trumps-immigration-policy-mired-in-controversy/106273482
Masked thugs, sneering elites and terrified citizens: a picture of the US today. We used to have a name for this. Marina Hyde
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/jan/27/us-masked-thugs-sneering-elites-terrified-citizens-ice-donald-trump
Top Democrats tell Trump: either fire Kristi Noem or we will impeach her. Trump defends homeland security secretary but Hakeem Jeffries says: ‘We can do this the easy way or the hard way’.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/27/democrats-call-to-fire-kristi-noem
Tensions in Minnesota could send the US into another government shutdown — here’s why
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-01-27/us-politicians-response-minnesota-government-shutdown/106274236
Trump administration: Donald Trump backs Kristi Noem as calls mount to fire homeland security chief – live (He calls what she’s doing ‘a good job’!?!)
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2026/jan/27/gregory-bovino-tim-walz-donald-trump-minnesota-minneapolis-ice-alex-pretti-us-politics-live-news
Minnesota judge summons acting ICE director, warns of contempt over court defiance. Chief judge orders Todd Lyons to appear, saying patience is exhausted as migrants remain jailed despite rulings.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/27/ice-director-judge-minnesota
Biden condemns ‘our own government targeting’ US citizens in Minneapolis. Ex-president avoids naming Trump but says ‘Minnesotans have suffered enough at the hands of this administration’
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/27/biden-minnesota-minneapolis-ice-shooting-reaction
A person has been shot and is in critical condition after an incident involving the Border Patrol near the US-Mexico border, authorities in Arizona have said.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-01-28/shooting-involving-border-patrol-near-us-mexico-border/106276922
America has reached a tipping point on fascism – and on opposition to it. Robert Reich
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/jan/27/america-tipping-point-fascism-opposition
The US drew up a plan to invade Canada in 1930. Now Trump is reviving old fears.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jan/27/trump-canada-us-war-plan
Trump’s fixation on Greenland reveals how ego, deal-making bravado and hard-power geopolitics are reshaping U.S. foreign policy, writes Dr Norm Sanders.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/trumps-art-of-the-greenland-deal,20608
What if Trump doesn’t chicken out next time? Stephen Bartholomeusz
https://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/what-if-trump-doesn-t-chicken-out-next-time-20260127-p5nx87.html
US announces multi-day aerial military drills in the Middle East amid Iran tensions
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/27/us-announces-multi-day-aerial-military-drills-in-the-middle-east-amid-iran-tensions
Disappeared bodies, mass burials and ‘30,000 dead’: what is the truth of Iran’s death toll?
Testimony from medics, morgue and graveyard staff reveals huge state effort to conceal systematic killing of protesters
https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/jan/27/iran-protests-death-toll-disappeared-bodies-mass-burials-30000-dead
‘Situation is dire’ for Sicily town teetering on cliff edge after landslide. 1,500 people evacuated from Niscemi after battering by Cyclone Harry triggers 4km-long chasm in hillside
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jan/27/niscemi-sicily-landslide-chasm-storm-cyclone-harry
‘Abdication’: Trump takes US out of Paris climate agreement for a second time. Experts are watching for how other countries will react as the ‘real economy’ shifts to cheaper, cleaner energy
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/27/trump-withdraws-paris-climate-agreement
‘The land will be left as ashes’: why Patagonia’s wildfires are almost impossible to stop.
https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/jan/27/argentina-patagonia-wildfires-javier-milei-mapuche-conspiracy-theories-cuts-climate-crisis-extreme-weather
Japan says goodbye to its last pandas as relations with Beijing deteriorate
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-01-27/china-panda-diplomacy-is-on-show-in-japan/106271088
Philip Glass withdraws world premiere of his Lincoln symphony from Kennedy Center. Composer says values of Trump-dominated Kennedy Center ‘are in direct conflict’ with symphony’s message
https://www.theguardian.com/music/2026/jan/27/philip-glass-withdraws-lincoln-symphony-kennedy-center
One in four adults in England do not drink alcohol, survey finds. Questionnaire completed by 10,000 people finds sobriety on rise, with women slightly more abstemious than men.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2026/jan/27/one-in-four-adults-in-england-do-not-drink-alcohol
Mexico’s president says cancellation of oil shipment to Cuba is ‘sovereign’ decision. Claudia Sheinbaum denied move was response to pressure from the US, after Trump said ‘zero’ oil would go to Cuba
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jan/27/mexico-cuba-trump-oil
5 years on from the junta’s coup, Myanmar’s flawed elections can’t unite a country at risk of breaking apart
https://theconversation.com/5-years-on-from-the-juntas-coup-myanmars-flawed-elections-cant-unite-a-country-at-risk-of-breaking-apart-272894
Polish ex-president lands role at US Project 2025 think tank. Andrzej Duda’s job at the influential Heritage Foundation underlines how nationalist right-wing politics have become international.
https://www.politico.eu/article/polish-ex-president-lands-role-us-project-2025-think-tank-andrzej-duda/
EU and India close ranks against Trump and Xi to seal trade deal. American tariff coercion and China’s export dominance push Brussels and New Delhi to wrap up elusive accord.
https://www.politico.eu/article/india-slashes-tariffs-on-eu-cars-and-wine-in-exchange-for-steel-climate-concessions/
France to ban officials from using US video tools including Zoom, Teams. The government wants staff to shun Silicon Valley and shift to its home-grown Visio platform instead.
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-ban-officials-us-video-tools-zoom-teams-visio/
Australian YouTuber Nathan Pope was one of 15 people named in a defamation lawsuit brought on by Andrew and Tristan Tate in March 2025. Mr Pope has won a bid to have the case dismissed, with a US judge ruling that since several of the defendants named in the suit do not live in Florida, the court therefore did not have legal jurisdiction over them.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-01-28/andrew-and-tristan-tate-lose-bid-to-sue-adelaide-youtuber/106119086
Neil Young gifts Greenland free access to his music and withdraws it from Amazon over Trump
The singer-songwriter has donated access to his music archive to ‘ease the unwarranted stress and threats’ Greenlanders have experienced from the US government
https://www.theguardian.com/music/2026/jan/27/neil-young-gifts-music-greenland-removes-from-amazon-over-trump
Ads I see online unashamedly lie. Doesn’t Australian consumer law require advertisers not to mislead us? But false claims on the internet are vast and regenerative.
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2026/jan/28/australian-online-advertising-false-claims-greenwashing-consumer-law
At Davos, tech CEOs laid out their vision for AI’s world domination.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jan/27/tech-ceos-ai-world-domination-davos
‘Wake up to the risks of AI, they are almost here,’ Anthropic boss warns. Dario Amodei questions if human systems are ready to handle the ‘almost unimaginable power’ that is ‘potentially imminent’.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jan/27/wake-up-to-the-risks-of-ai-they-are-almost-here-anthropic-boss-warns
The telecoms industry doesn’t need 6G — it needs a rethink. By Paul Budde
https://independentaustralia.net/business/business-display/the-telecoms-industry-doesnt-need-6g–it-needs-a-rethink,20610
Landlubber says:
Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 7:02 am
The combined ON and Coalition primary is now close to 50% meaning that….’
…You don’t understand Preferential Voting.
Without wishing to be too tacky or petty, does the taxpayer fork out for pollies to go to their mates’ funerals?
Or does a scheduled bookend party meeting make it taxpayer-fundable?
Thanks c@t
Regarding the DemosAU seat projections, I would take them with a big grain of salt. Their report (pg 4) states they were based on a uniform national swing from their Oct-Nov 25 MRP poll.
Firstly, basing any seat projection on polling data that is 3 months old, particularly in light of recent events (Bondi attack, Coalition split), just about makes it a fail right there.
Secondly, I have doubts about the reliability of their MRP model. A sample of 6,928 is relatively skinny to project results onto 150 electorates based on deriving a relationship between voting intention and demographics. This is why YouGov’s MRP used a sample of approx 35,000. Also, I note that DemosAU did not run a MRP seat projection for the last election.
‘meher baba says:
Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 7:13 am
Sceptic: “Asked on Tuesday if he had rescinded any of his remarks while speaking with Mr. Trump, Mr. Carney said “No.”
“To be absolutely clear, and I said this to the president, I meant what I said in Davos,” Mr. Carney told reporters, referring to the Swiss ski resort town where the gathering of billionaires, investors, executives and politicians was held last week.”
——————————————————————————–
That’s the beauty of the bureaucracy-speak that Carney used in his speech: all that third-person passive voice stuff now allows him to claim that the speech was consistent with just about any position he now chooses to take towards the US.
As I tried to explain at the time, Carney’s speech had a huge impact in terms of what people believed that they heard him saying at the time. But if one listened to it carefully the speech itself was deliberately ambiguous in its wording: it talked about all sorts of emerging threats to middle power democracies, but didn’t name them up. So now Carney can say to Trump something like “I wasn’t mainly talking about the US.”
I so despise bureaucratic doublespeak.’
=====================
This is political doublespeak, which is different from bureaucratic doublespeak as you should very well remember.
Carney has played clever here, bearing in mind that he is dealing with a progressively more disinhibited malignant narcissist. That said, his problem is that the middle powers will be nowhere near him when Trump inflicts the next bit of economic vengeance on Carney and, incidentally, on Canada.
Dirty Donny @ 13 is already inflicting fearful damage on Canada which has an unemployment rate of 6.8%. Add the deadening effect of investment by the Trump state of unpredictability, including the recently threatened 100% tariffs and…
All the brave bludgers wanting their political leaders to poke Trump in the eye with a burnt stick simply don’t get it.
For once Australia’s isolated geographical location, last stop before Antarctica, is in our favour. Demented Donny @ 13 would not know where it is on the map.
Albanese’s diplomatic approach with respect to the US has been, IMO, masterful.
Boerwar
100 percent Albo so far has handled the orange Mussolini perfectly
At a time when healing and reconciliation is very important, along come Morrison and Bragg.
Citizen
I guess we could ask Morrison and co who was responsible for the attack and killing of over 50 muslims in NZ by an Australian white male citizen.
I am so over these freaks. Go away
Thanks, c@t
‘…
Mental health checks for gun owners will be considered among reforms to be introduced to Queensland parliament when MPs return in a fortnight. “And if people harbour antisemitic thoughts, and if they’ve got links with terrorists and terrorist views, they shouldn’t have one gun, not two or three or four – they should have zero.”
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/queensland/gun-law-reforms-to-address-calls-for-mental-health-checks-minister-says-20260127-p5nxb4.html
…’
=========================
It is a start. AORTA check for misogyny so that all potential wife killers can’t get their hands on a single gun.
Thanks C@t.
Thanks, C@t.
The upgrade at RAAF Tindal is interesting. In addition to the $300m for the MQ-4C Triton UAVs, there is another $900m or so scheduled for upgrades there and at Darwin. That’s on top of US$300m coming from the US.
A little story from Naval Facilities Engineering Systems Command (NAVFAC) Pacific implies that the US DOD manages its construction work in Tindal/Darwin as part of Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam Hawaii. So it’s just a routine activity. https://www.navfac.navy.mil/Home/News-Detail/Article/3774854/navfac-pacific-awards-two-contracts-totaling-24-million-for-air-force-squadron/
We are still besties.
The trend will show
if there are any federal by-elections in liberal, National party held seats , whether one nation is gaining ground or the opinion polls companies are making assumptions about one nation vote and have not learn from pre 2025 federal election.
When the by-elections were contradicting the opinions polling companies which was claiming swing against Labor to the liberal party.
Which the actual real time voting showed the opposite , Labor was getting the swing to , and liberal party was getting the swing against.
Morrison and Bragg doing hate speech?
Put the fuckers in the slammer before they stir up any more massacres.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2026/01/27/virginia-redistricting-court-ruling/
Pauline Hanson can barely string two coherent words together.
Wtf is wrong with people. Are their brains cooked?
SL says:
Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 7:33 am
I agree with Canavan, here:
It’s not clear to me what the policies of One Nation are … Pauline
’s been in politics for a long time. What has she built. What has she ever done? What bill has she got through parliament?
It’s a bit odd this surge in support for ON. They’ve been around for yonks and done jackshit.
I told youse to be patient and wait for Matt Canavan to get fired up and come out against Barnaby Joyce and Pauline’s Nation. 🙂
On Liberal leadership.
It looks to be a three-way tie between Taylor, Hastie and Ley.
Hastie is disinhibited when it comes to power – he wants it all and he wants it now.
https://citynews.com.au/2026/liberal-leaders-allies-vow-support-amid-spill-frenzy/?utm_source=mailpoet&utm_medium=email&utm_source_platform=mailpoet&utm_campaign=canberra-daily-today-s-news-today_7801
Victoria @ 0833
Yes.
3AW aka 3 Angry White men radio
The Nazi Brandan Koschel who was arrested for antisemitic speech at the March for Australia has been denied bail.
Meanwhile perpetrators of domestic and sexual violence, including crimes carrying a penalty of up to 14 years imprisonment, remain eligible for bail in NSW, following Labor’s 2024 DV bail reforms.
The murders by the US Border Guards are reminiscent of the East German Border Guards who shot escapees with impunity – or so they thought – their leaders eventually faced charges and did time.
meher baba, 7.32,
I suspect that a large slab of the voters identify the “racist” aspect of ON as a huge positive.
Just as many “up unto now” Liberals have seen the “racist” aspect as a positive.
Immigration and the associated supposedly Housing conundrum will play a major part of the campaigns of both ON, the Nationals and Liberal Parties.
There are plenty of “silent” racists out there.
The 2028 election will include plenty of campaigning using the “whites” as the underdog factor.
How successful it is together with crime, police effectiveness and the use of the flag with the “jack” in the corner will play out over the next two years.
The polling for ON and “its supplements” that have stimulated this polling is still largely an unknown and will probably remain unknown till 2028.
The noticeable injection of a “Scott Morrison” factor of late is interesting as is the appearances of Howard, Abbott and a lesser extent Dutton.
These “yesterday” Liberals are displaying a self awareness void.
The “coalition” as we knew it, is clearly damaged with the long term ramifications still largely unknown.
Are Pauline and Barnaby perceived by many Australians as the new “Barry McKenzie, Norman Gunston, Strop from Paul Hogan, Molly Meldrum or Con the Fruiterer ?
The appeal of the ON characters is certainly difficult to measure other than they are “the flavour of the month” or is it something more?
No elected members or Senators as such, no policies beside “hate”, fear and humour!
The PM, Mr Albanese certainly seems to be playing the “straight man” in the comedy that is the contemporary political sideshow.
As Australia navigates a very rapidly changing worldwide environment and the many manifestations of these changes, Australia, it could be argued is “holding up well”.
“former Coalition parties” is a big ooofff.
And of course, they only have themselves to blame. Disarray would be an understatement.
Can’t govern yourselves, can’t govern the country. Not that they were likely to anyway.
The best One nation party can do in federal Lib/nats seats is likely get 3-5 seats, if the opinion polling is accurate
One nation will still be the smaller party out of Liberal and national party in the house of reps.
Scott says:
Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 9:17 am
The best One nation party can do in federal Lib/nats seats is likely get 3-5 seats, if the opinion polling is accurate
One nation will still be the smaller party out of Liberal and national party in the house of reps.
Yep. 20-22% of people’s PV votes doesn’t get you much in a Preferential Voting system. And that’s not taking into account how poorly ON will do in the city and multiculti seats.
Re Confessions @8:38.
According to Jim Hacker, funerals provide a great opportunity for meetings to sort out business. Short clip from “A Working Funeral”:
https://youtu.be/TeW3FltKvGM?si=Jy73b27g9UEL207k (< 2 mins)
I think that the PPs, LLs, JJs and ‘out of sorts’ of this world know that ICE is Gestapo of Trump regime.
Posting a paragraph from Confessions @8:43am
““If you still support Trump/ICE even slightly, you’re not welcome in this sub,” wrote the moderator, known online by his username “8_guy.” “We can no longer tolerate the people who are supporting or making excuses for this.”
Not sure if this Age story is the same as any on the SMH, but I can see this one: https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/not-even-in-with-a-look-nationals-face-senate-wipeout-if-liberal-split-continues-20260127-p5nxdp.html?
It says that Bridgett McKenzie and Ross Cadell will be hard-pressed to get a quota unless the coalition reforms.
Boerwar says:
Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 9:06 am
=========================
It is a start. AORTA check for misogyny so that all potential wife killers can’t get their hands on a single gun.
—————————————————-
It is actually stupid and will not happen. Could you imagine a farmer out at Quilpie having to find a psychiatrist to begin with? it is a totally unworkable idea. Nah the people who have an irrational case of gunphobia never seem to actually think.
We do not have mental health checks for drivers licences or even the biggest killer in society… Alcohol which is unrestricted.
Jolly Jumbuck no problem, we’ll just take their guns in that case. Quite workable really.
Removing illegals is democracy in action.Democrats have a problem with that.
Vance will enjoy his four years after Trump.
Trump derangement syndrome is a sickness.
Ley on 16% and expects to be kept as leader.
Hmmmmm ……….
A prediction on the gold price.
It will tank massively and China etc will pay a huge price by piling into it.
It also does not pay dividends as a investment.
So obese people shouldn’t be given food without having visited their dietitian for a physical check to make sure eating food won’t kill them?
From last thread …
Charles @ #3175 Tuesday, January 27th, 2026 – 10:48 pm
Yes, succinct and well-argued. Makes you uncomfortable, but has the ring of truth. America (and in particular, White Christian America) is indeed sicker than we thought.
Luigi Smith @ #3196 Wednesday, January 28th, 2026 – 7:45 am
The Teals best chance would be a new “COALition of the Uglies” from which they can stand apart as moderates.
And it looks like this could well happen.
Alan Moir
I miss nadia now as there is a deluge of polling and she is not around.
As per polling
Average PVs
ALP low 30s%
Libs is low 20s %
Nats 2-3%
ON low 20s%
Greens 11-12%
Others rest.
Did Australia sign FTA with EU?
pied piper @ #82 Wednesday, January 28th, 2026 – 8:32 am
On face value I don’t have a problem with integration laws being enforced, but you really want to be able to assess each case individually and on its merit.
The volume of people living in the US illegally, and how integrated they are in American society makes it a bit problematic to remove them all at once though.
America as it is is built by immigration (and dispossession). It would be more straightforward, and presumably better for the American economy to create pathways for undocumented migrants to become legal residents and citizens – not to mention the human rights abuses this approach would also avoid.
Some interesting data from last years election re ON preferences. If ON was eliminated with Lib/ALP/Grn candidates left, as occurred in the majority of metro seats, the preference split was 60/20/20- a surprise for me with Greens doing decently here.
If there was an Independent and a Lib left it was close to a 50/50 split. When there was a National left, they generally gained around 70% of ON preferences although this was somewhat diluted if an Independent remained.
Trump Dickhead Apologist Syndrome on display again from one-eyed piper:
Removing illegals is democracy in action.Democrats have a problem with that.
The Democrats’ position is more nuanced than that.
They are 100% in support of removing any illegal immigrants who have been convicted of a crime. However, they are realistic enough to realise that the American economy relies on undocumented migrants doing jobs that native-born Americans refuse to do. Also that they are law-abiding and many on a path to legal citizenship.
Which is exactly what American democracy is all about…’Give me your poor, your tired, your huddled masses, yearning to be free.’
The perversion that Stephen Miller is channelling through Donald Trump is not democracy, it’s Autocracy and White Nationalism.
Charlie
It may be better for the economy in that it increases economic output, but the US government’s first obligation is to its citizens, and by deporting illegals there is an upward pressure on wages, directly benefiting those who have previously contributed to the US as a nation.
BOJO and Morrison have signed the most stupid FTA between Britain and Australia.
In exchange to sell Nuclear Subs to Australia, BOJO gave carte blanche to Morrison to sell anything else to Britain.
In exchange to sell anything to Britain, Morrison has compromised Australian defence and security by signing up AUKUS. Why?
With Britain in downward spiral and US ruled by mad people, there is no guarantee that Nuclear subs will ever be built for Australia and sold to them.
Omar Comin’ says:
Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 9:28 am
Jolly Jumbuck no problem, we’ll just take their guns in that case. Quite workable really.
———————
ahh so you want to inflict cruelty on animals and help destroy the environment?
You should prepare for unforeseen consequences with your opinion before typing it.
Ven says:
Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 9:35 am
Did Australia sign FTA with EU?
Not yet. Don Farrell said that he wants to stick around parliament to get it done.
C@t
“the American economy relies on undocumented migrants doing jobs that native-born Americans refuse to do.”
Evidence being?
The ones who inflict cruelty on animals with their guns are hunters.
Jolly Jumbuck how do you know it wasn’t my intent to harm animals and destroy the environment? Are you googling me?
”
March for Australia claims its Gold Coast organiser was bashed by a group of Middle Eastern men the day before Australia Day. The posts fuelled hateful comments directed towards those of Middle Eastern descent on the organisation’s social media. But Queensland Police say none of those involved in the altercation were of Middle Eastern descent.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-01-28/vfy-march-for-australia-bashing-claim-alternates/106275558
”
OMG!
Imagine this. Someone goes and bashes neo-nazis, knowing that Middle eastern people will be blamed for that.
How can we have social cohesion from that.
BTW, please note that the QLD police under LNP government said that middle eastern people did not bash March for Australia claims its Gold Coast organiser
Whenever anyone says the U.S. economy relies on undocumented migrants to do “jobs that native-born Americans refuse to do”, what they mean is native-born Americans refuse to do them for the wages on offer. Undocumented migrants work for a pittance because they have little choice.
Some U.S. employers (especially farmers) are now discovering what it’s like to have to pay proper wages with proper protections. And they aint happy.