Morgan: 57-43 to Labor (open thread)

Another poll with the Coalition down and One Nation up, plus a new survey on Australians’ attitudes to the US alliance.

Roy Morgan has its monthly poll on voting intention, showing Labor’s lead on respondent-allocated two-party preferred increasing from 55.5-44.5 to 57-43. Primary votes tell a familiar story of movement from the Coalition, who are down three to 27%, to One Nation, who are up two-and-a-half to 12%, while Labor and the Greens are both up a point, to 35% and 13% respectively. The two-party result using previous election preferences also moves from 55.5-44.5 in Labor’s favour to 57-43. The accompanying report has two-party breakdowns by state, gender and age cohort. The poll was conducted September 22 to October 19 from a sample of 4908.

Also of note is United States Studies Centre’s YouGov poll on attitudes to the United States conducted August 7 to 20 from a sample of 1070. It finds 16% rating that Trump’s second term as good for Australia, compared with 24% who felt it would be before the event. Since last year, there have been double-digit movements for the worse on both directions on questions including whether the United States is mostly helpful in Asia (25% yes, 33% no), and whether it makes Australia more secure (42% yes, 55% no). Despite that, the view that Australia should withdraw from the alliance is actually down nine points to 17%, with 54% wanting it to remain. The poll was conducted August 7 to 20 from a sample of 1070.

Nine Newspapers also had Resolve Strategic results on Monday that found 36% supportive and 30% opposed to hosting nuclear submarines at HMAS Stirling in Perth from 2027, and 32% supportive and 31% opposed to offering the US a special deal on mineral resource exports.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,204 comments on “Morgan: 57-43 to Labor (open thread)”

Comments Page 45 of 45
1 44 45
  1. Sarah Henderson rehashing ancient history with Kamala Harris regarding Joe Biden’s “dementia”. Jesus Christ, THIS IS FUCKING *OLD NEWS*.

    Henderson is talking over Harris, interrupting, scolding her for not answering questions properly. “Uhm-ing” and “Aah-ing” over her guest.

    WHAT THE FUCK does any of this matter, a year down the track? She is relentlessly demanding concessions and “honesty” (her word) from Harris, on HER terms.

    What a bloody loser Henderson is! A small fish in a small pond, desperate for relevance, and to get Harris to condemn the dying Joe Biden.

    A waste of time, and space.

  2. Seriously .. the Country Party is a total joke….

    “There’s been no predetermined position taken by the National Party. That will be determined by the party room tomorrow and what the next steps are,” Littleproud told journalists after Saturday’s vote. “And that should be very clear to everybody, that no one should take for granted what the National Party room will do. But this is the next phase in that process.

    No policy .. No idea about anything.. a perfect home for intellectual giants like Abbott & Scottie.

Comments Page 45 of 45
1 44 45

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *