DemosAU: 66-34 to Labor in South Australia

Another poll finding Labor heading for a win of historic proportions in South Australia, including yet more evidence for a rising One Nation tide.

A DemosAU/Ace Strategies poll for InDaily on South Australian state voting intention all but matches the last published poll from the state in crediting Labor with a 66-34 lead on two-party preferred, from primary votes of Labor 47%, Liberal 21% and Greens 13%. This compares with 2022 election results of 54.4-45.6 in favour of Labor on two-party preferred, and primary votes of Labor 40.0%, Liberal 35.7% and Greens 9.1%. The poll finds Peter Malinauskas leading Vincent Tarzia for preferred premier by 58-19. Malinauskas is rated positively by 49%, neutrally by 37% and negatively by 14%, while Vincent Tarzia scores 15% positive, 55% neutral and 30% negative. Ratings are also provided for Labor members Kyam Maher and Chris Picton, and Liberals Ashton Hurn and Ben Hood.

The full report also features a Legislative Council voting intention result that has something the main result lacks in the shape of a result for One Nation, who are on a striking 12%, shading the Greens on 11%, with Labor on 37% and Liberal on 17%. Barely registering are former One Nation member Sarah Game and former Liberal member Jing Lee, whose Fair Go for Australians and Better Community parties are respectively 1% and statistically insignificant. The poll was conducted October 6 to 15 from a sample of 1006.

Some further Labor preselection news to relate since the last post here on South Australia a month ago:

• The previous episode related the surprise retirement announcements of Deputy Premier Susan Close and Treasurer Stephen Mullighan, respectively creating Labor preselection vacancies in Port Adelaide and Lee. The party has wasted little time in anointing their successors: the new candidate for Lee is David Wilkins, Port Adelaide Enfield councillor and chief-of-staff to Health Minister Chris Picton, while Port Adelaide will be contested by Cheyne Rich, deputy chief-of-staff to Peter Malinauskas.

• Labor wasted even less time preselecting new candidates for Elizabeth and Torrens, whose respective members Lee Odenwalder and Dana Wortley both announced their retirements a fortnight ago. Elizabeth will be contested by Ella Shaw, a campaign organiser at Labor’s head office; Torrens by Meagan Spencer, chief-of-staff to Primary Industries Minister Clare Scriven.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

56 comments on “DemosAU: 66-34 to Labor in South Australia”

Comments Page 2 of 2
1 2
  1. The Advertiser in South Australia is a newscorp subsidiary. Since the 50’s. Its editor, Gemma Jones, is formerly of the Daily Telegraph and The Australian. Trying to insinuate otherwise is asinine.

  2. Read the last comments in the previous page. Apparently the Advertiser might as well be the press secretary for Malinauskas. Reading skillz are important.

  3. Corleone

    There is a niche “independent” InDaily website which is a bit classier but it’s very middle class and is part funded by the government.
    It’s not very influential but has some good in depth articles.

Comments Page 2 of 2
1 2

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *