YouGov has conducted an MRP poll for moderate Liberal think thank the Blueprint Institute, a procedure well described in the accompanying release as “different from traditional polling because it uses polling data collected across Australia to model the results across each of the federal 150 electorates by matching the polling data to electorate level data”. Ample detail, and voluminous colour-coded maps, are featured in the accompanying report.
The poll is not concerned with voting intention, but whether respondents would so much as consider voting for each party. With the catch that the survey was conducted some time ago – July 10 to 29, from a sample of 5007 – it finds that only 33% would consider voting Coalition, whereas 58% reported doing so at some point in the past. The equivalent responses on the former question are 42% for Labor, 17% for the Greens and 12% for One Nation. Out of the four Australian Electoral Commission geographic classifications, only in “rural” were respondents more likely to consider voting Coalition than Labor, by a margin of 2.8%, with Labor leading by 8.5% in provincial, 14.8% in outer metropolitan and 17.1% in inner metropolitan.
Helpfully for the poll’s clients, who are presumably resisting a push within the party to abandon its net zero commitment, it finds 49% agreeing the target should be maintained and 30% that it should be dropped, with 51% agreeing they would “only consider a party ready to govern if they have credible policies to address climate change and its impacts”. Among other findings: 24% agreed and 52% disagreed that the Coalition was “in touch with modern Australia”; 33% agreed and 45% disagreed that the party was aligned with their personal values and priorities; and 33% agreed and 42% disagreed that that the Coalition’s values aligned with its own on access to affordable housing.
SL
To be fair to Abbott understood what Howard tried to do regarding immigration policy.
On the election night of his win in 2013, a Silk person was hanging around him, hugged him.
He tried to develop good rapport with Modi.
He even allowed Modi to address Australian parliament.
During COVID in 2020, at the behest of US administration (Trump 1.0), he raised a ruckus regarding origin of COVID. China got pissed off and banned all exports from Australia.
Australian farmers stock like Barley was about to rot. They went to Morrison and complained about that. Morrison immediately called Modi and requested him to buy Barley. Modi immediately bought $150 million worth of barley from Australia. Meanwhile, US sold its farm to China (what a great friend US is to Australia, isn’t it?)
During 2025 election campaign, Dutton concept of engaging with Indian diaspora was to go to a festival gathering of Sikhs.
Turnbull even went to India on official visit as PM when Modi was PM.
Gillard was the first PM to engage with Indian government on a friendly terms. She visited India as PM.
Engagement with India has improved considerably after Gillard government efforts.
Albanese met Modi atleast 11 times on national and international settings.
Whoopi, indeed (was in Cowper until the last redistribution and now on the border, there is also a significant Sikh population in Cowper).
My late 2nd cousin, Gary Nehl who was the member for Cowper produced HTV and election material in Punjabi, which always struck me as quite incongruous in Coffs Harbour.
Ven says:
Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 4:34 pm
Gillard was the first PM to engage with Indian government on a friendly terms. She visited India as PM.
Engagement with India has improved considerably after Gillard government efforts.
……..
Julia had to deal with the “Violence against Indians in Australia controversy”, and quickly.
Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Violence_against_Indians_in_Australia_controversy
I hope we’re not heading down that path again.
“They went to Morrison and complained about that. Morrison immediately called Modi and requested him to buy Barley. Modi immediately bought $150 million worth of barley from Australia. Meanwhile, US sold its farm to China (what a great friend US is to Australia, isn’t it?)”
This is totally fictional. India didn’t import anywhere near that much barley from Australia. The most it imported was $1.42 million dollars (USD) in 2022. Far less in 2020 and 21.
“India Imports from Australia of Barley was US$1.42 Million during 2022, according to the United Nations COMTRADE database on international trade. India Imports from Australia of Barley – data, historical chart and statistics – was last updated on September of 2025.”
https://tradingeconomics.com/india/imports/australia/barley
Why MAGA’s performative cruelty against immigrants, not just those in the country illegally? UK-based psychiatrist Russell Razzaque explains:
https://youtu.be/4T8jF8BEeCM?si=WhApUGJmYFkskBQw
Basically Whites’ fear of being dethroned from their dominant position, especially white men.
MABWM
Wow indeed.
The pp is no brownshirt. Or ICE. I picture him as the local snitch who informs on his neighbours. The curtain-twitching collaborator who tells the SA or ICE if he sees the ‘wrong’ sort of people.
Ven
Gillard as the first PM to engage with India?
Deakin spent a significant time in India and wrote two books on his experiences.
Irrigated India, an Australian view and
Temple and Tomb in India (a copy of which I have never been able to find)
Menzies also had a strong connection to India and while originally opposing independence eventually saw it as the future of the Commonwealth and British influence. He visited India in the early 50s
An interesting question is how Whoopi (Woolgoolga) became an isolated Sikh town in the middle of the White Australia Policy.
Woolgoolga was an early centre of Sikh migration to Australia. Sikhs had migrated to New South Wales and Queensland prior to the imposition of the prohibition of non-European migration under the White Australia Policy in 1901 and many of them then led a marginalised life on the north coast of New South Wales and in southeastern Queensland. Some Sikhs began to settle in Woolgoolga during World War II, because war-time labour shortages led to a relaxation of the previous prohibition of non-European labour in the banana industry. After the war they were able to acquire leasehold and freehold banana plantations. Woolgoolga had the largest regional Sikh/Punjabi population in Australia, and they are now said to own 90% of the banana farms and are also diversifying into blueberries.
https://kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/09/hare-clark-why-do-we-have-it-are-there.html
Hare-Clark! Why Do We Have It? Are There Any Alternative Approaches?
I respond to some nonsense in the Australian where the chief executive of the Tas Chamber of Commerce and Industry suggests disbanding or modifying Hare-Clark in Tasmania, in spite of the latter suggestion being previously debunked.
Here’s a thing
It is a truism that no team who have had 50+ points scored against them in a game have ever won the NRL and predecessors.
Dolphins have just scored 62 against the minor premiers, Canberra (admittedly resting most of their firsts)
No one in politics, be they in Parliament, in a political party or in a lobby group that has an interest in one side winning, ever recommends electoral reform unless they see themselves losing from the current system.
HH
I think there is more to it. Leniency towards the Sikhs under White Australia was also related to the Sikhs’ role in the World Wars and the treatment of all Indians as British subjects was a matter of discussion in the Menzies government with them eventually being enfranchised and allow pensions (which the Chinese weren’t).
Göbbels protected one of his mischlings by saying “I determine who is Jewish” and Australia determined who was white. Christian subjects of the Ottoman empire were often white but islamic subjects often weren’t. The Maltese varied between being white or black depending on Australia’s need for unskilled labour.
P.s. at one time I was one of the 10% of Coffs’ banana farm owners who wasn’t Sikh (but nice Mr Singh from down the lane did all the work)
In energy news:
+ “NSW Premier Chris Minns has said the fuel excise will likely be replaced by a road user charge to capture the increase in electric vehicles.”
https://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/nsw-premier-chris-minns-says-road-user-tax-needs-to-replace-the-fuel-excise-for-all-vehicles/news-story/145e1325b6123eb59a2a794fbd7161e2
The key word is ‘likely’. Any changes will need agreement from all jurisdictions.
+ “The Albanese Government’s Cheaper Home Batteries program has seen 50,000 batteries installed in homes, businesses and community groups across the country as of this weekend.”
https://minister.dcceew.gov.au/bowen/media-releases/joint-media-release-50000-cheaper-batteries-now-powering-australian-homes-businesses-and-community-groups
+ SA has become the first state with half of all households having roof top solar:
https://reneweconomy.com.au/half-of-all-homes-in-australias-most-advanced-renewable-grid-now-have-rooftop-solar/
+ In the last 24h, renewable energy has supplied 54.3% of the electricity on the NEM:
https://explore.openelectricity.org.au/energy/nem/?range=1d&interval=30m&view=discrete-time&group=Detailed
Steve777 @ #1755 Sunday, September 7th, 2025 – 4:53 pm
Interesting video and sadly it seems to be the case.
I wish there was a way in which we can solve this peacefully. It took World Wars to bring an end to fascism last time with tens of millions dead.
I’m gobsmacked (well, not really) that a week on the entire migration debate is STILL a matter of Indians vs non-Indians.
First of all, within my particular bugbear of low value international students (graduating and staying on below average pay in non-critical industries), India is just one of several counties where there is rampant rorting by dodgy migration agents – Nepal is massively overrepresented, along side Pakistan and Bhutan.
https://www.afr.com/policy/health-and-education/regulator-warns-unis-colleges-to-stop-poaching-overseas-students-20230814-p5dw8u
The “India” focus is once again the doing of fringe media like Macrobusiness (and yes, the author is also a Sky news contributior)
https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2025/09/india-to-build-1-million-homes-in-australia-for-indians/
Who in separate news their judgement on the economics is questionable
https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2025/09/us-jobs-to-rebound/
Our migration problem of the past few years is entirely an issue of numbers (of people, and the wages of arrivals) – this implied race ranking of migrants by both sides is shameful and divisive.
Greetings Bludgers! I’m back from a cheeky getaway up north to get away from the cold.
Have not been actively engaged with the news the past few days, so haven’t been in touch with what’s been happening. I’ve seen on social media the premier’s push for more housing in Woolhara has been met with the expected resistance from the well heeled.
I had to laugh though. Driving through Double Bay today I noticed the Aboriginal flag flying on the Golden Sheaf hotel is upside down. Oh, Woolhara. At least you tried.
We should be getting a Newspoll tonight, yes?
This is always about the federal governments willingness to use their own spending authority, honestly I think road usage charges only make sense in congested areas as a tool to discourage road use.
Australia looks to India as export woes escalate with China
As Australia’s relations with China deteriorate, it is now looking at India to find a home for Australian produce.
https://www.sbs.com.au/language/hindi/en/article/australia-looks-to-india-as-export-woes-escalate-with-china/7ralwnf8e
“Minister Littleproud said he hoped Australia to tap into this market and gain a fair proportion of it in 2021.
“The Indian malt market is estimated at 500,000 tonnes, worth over $100 million dollars, and it is anticipated Australia could gain a fair proportion of that market in 2021,” Minister Littleproud said.
“There has been growth in the consumption of beer in India and Australia is known worldwide for its high-quality malting barley. We are helping to position our farmers to tap into this huge export potential and play an important role in India’s food security.”
“
How much longer will Hungary’s Orban and Slovakia’s Fico stubbornly and malevolently persist in helping to finance Russia’s war machine by buying its oil?
“Ukrainian drones strike Druzhba oil pipeline again – video”
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/09/7/7529697/
Here’s an explainer for Fico: it’s called self-defence.
”
Oakeshott Countrysays:
Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 4:57 pm
Ven
Gillard as the first PM to engage with India?
Deakin spent a significant time in India and wrote two books on his experiences.
Irrigated India, an Australian view and
Temple and Tomb in India (a copy of which I have never been able to find)
Menzies also had a strong connection to India and while originally opposing independence eventually saw it as the future of the Commonwealth and British influence. He visited India in the early 50s
”
I was not born when Deakin and Menzies visited India. 🙂
An assistant to Donald Trump told him she had a fantastic dream last night.
There was a huge parade down Pennsylvania Avenue celebrating
Trump. Millions lined the parade route, cheering when the President went past. Bands were playing, children were throwing confetti in the air, there were balloons everywhere. It was absolutely the BIGGEST CELEBRATION WASHINGTON HAD EVER SEEN! Trump was very impressed and said, That’s really great!
By the way, how did I look in your dream?
Was my hair OK?
His assistant said,
I couldn’t tell, the casket was closed.
It would be good if they brought back the black cap for Judges when they gave out
“Life without Parole” judgements, especially for this heinous calculating murderous woman.
“Only one Australian woman has received life without parole. Is Erin Patterson about to become the second? If the mushroom cook is sentenced to life without parole on Monday, she will become Victoria’s longest-serving female inmate.”
https://www.smh.com.au/national/victoria/will-erin-patterson-become-victoria-s-longest-serving-female-inmate-only-one-person-can-decide-20250904-p5msjp.html
Vensays:
Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 6:38 pm
Australia looks to India as export woes escalate with China
As Australia’s relations with China deteriorate, it is now looking at India to find a home for Australian produce.
https://www.sbs.com.au/language/hindi/en/article/australia-looks-to-india-as-export-woes-escalate-with-china/7ralwnf8e
“Minister Littleproud said he hoped Australia to tap into this market and gain a fair proportion of it in 2021.
“The Indian malt market is estimated at 500,000 tonnes, worth over $100 million dollars, and it is anticipated Australia could gain a fair proportion of that market in 2021,” Minister Littleproud said.
——————————————————
It never happened though. Littleproud was talking out his arse in 2021. First India grows its own barley too. So the import market into India is only worth half what he says at most. Secondly they import bugger all barley from Australia and get it from Argentina and France mainly. All we exported to India was around $US1.5 million in 2022 which is a drop in the ocean compared to the US$1.2 billion we exported to China in 2024.
I was not born when Deakin and Menzies visited India
and therefore it didn’t happen
@Fastwheels –
“An assistant to Donald Trump told him she had a fantastic dream last night.
There was a huge parade down Pennsylvania Avenue celebrating
Trump. Millions lined the parade route, cheering when the President went past. Bands were playing, children were throwing confetti in the air, there were balloons everywhere. It was absolutely the BIGGEST CELEBRATION WASHINGTON HAD EVER SEEN! Trump was very impressed and said, That’s really great!
By the way, how did I look in your dream?
Was my hair OK?
His assistant said,
I couldn’t tell, the casket was closed. ”
Good joke.
Reminds me of the joke in Wicked where Elphaba is overjoyed to hear that one day there will be a celebration across the land (of Oz) that’s all to do with her. The audience is in on the joke that the celebration will actually be munchkins singing “ding dong, the witch is dead”….
‘Nick says:
Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 6:25 pm
“NSW Premier Chris Minns has said the fuel excise will likely be replaced by a road user charge to capture the increase in electric vehicles.”
This is always about the federal governments willingness to use their own spending authority, honestly I think road usage charges only make sense in congested areas as a tool to discourage road use.’
====================
Honestly, the more governments can nudge people into mass transit, the better.
”
Oakeshott Countrysays:
Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 7:01 pm
I was not born when Deakin and Menzies visited India
and therefore it didn’t happen
”
and therefore I didn’t know. 🙂
Ishiba commits political seppuku.
Footy fans savagely turn on Australian PM Anthony Albanese
Anthony Albanese was trying to enjoy a day out watching his AFL team in a final, but fans let the Prime Minister know how they truly felt.
https://www-news-com-au.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.news.com.au/sport/afl/footy-fans-savagely-turn-on-australian-pm-anthony-albanese/news-story/7336533dcd3e936af6dc290199f85329?amp=&_gsa=1&_js_v=a9&usqp=mq331AQGsAEggAID#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=17572309347643&csi=0&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&share=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.news.com.au%2Fsport%2Fafl%2Ffooty-fans-savagely-turn-on-australian-pm-anthony-albanese%2Fnews-story%2F7336533dcd3e936af6dc290199f85329
Russian military advance across Ukraine have completely run out of puff so far this month:
https://deepstatemap.live/en#6/49.4383200/32.0526800
79 sq km gained (31/08/2025 to 07/09/2025).
This is a mere 11.3 sq km per day. At this rate of advance, it would take Russia another 587 days – about 1 year, 7 months, 1 week – to conquer the rest of Donetsk Oblast.
6,010 casualties (about 1,502 dead) (30/08/2025 to 06/09/2025)
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/08/31/7528622/
This amounts to 859 casualties per day (about 215 killed) per day; it is about 76 casualties (about 19 killed) per sq km. At this rate of attrition, Russia would lose another 503,823 casualies (about 125,956 dead) conquering the rest of Donetsk Oblast.
And some want Ukraine to just give it away to Putin. Along with the tactical advantages Russia would receive, at no further military cost to them, from acquiring the ‘Fortress Belt’ of fortifications Ukraine has spend so much to build up there.
‘The Australian’ has an ‘exclusive’ article in which Ley opines that the culture of dependency has to stop.
Not to worry. The coming decline in the value of coal and iron ore exports will look after that.
But hey. Was there ever a less productive mob of dependent drones than the current crop of Liberal MPs and Senators?
Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has resigned
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-09-07/japanese-prime-minister-shigeru-ishibare-resigns/105745610
French president Macron briefs PM Modi on efforts to end Ukraine war
https://timesofindia-indiatimes-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/french-president-macron-briefs-pm-modi-on-efforts-to-end-ukraine-war/amp_articleshow/123741789.cms?amp_gsa=1&_js_v=a9&usqp=mq331AQIUAKwASCAAgM%3D#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=17572362770666&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&share=https%3A%2F%2Ftimesofindia.indiatimes.com%2Findia%2Ffrench-president-macron-briefs-pm-modi-on-efforts-to-end-ukraine-war%2Farticleshow%2F123741789.cms
PM Narendra Modi Saturday discussed ongoing efforts to end the Ukraine conflict with French President Emmanuel Macron, in what was their second conversation in the past few weeks. Macron briefed Modi about the Coalition of the Willing meeting in Paris this week that discussed security guarantees for Ukraine, including “reassurance forces” with support from the US.
Modi said on X the India-France Strategic Partnership will continue to play a key role in fostering global peace and stability. “Had a very good conversation with President Macron. We reviewed and positively assessed the progress in bilateral cooperation in various areas. Exchanged views on international and regional issues, including efforts for bringing an early end to the conflict in Ukraine,” said Modi. He reiterated India’s consistent support for peaceful resolution of the conflict and early restoration of peace and stability.
Macron said he discussed the outcome of “the work we carried out with President Zelensky and our partners of the Coalition of the Willing last Thursday in Paris”.
“
Yep, totally agree. And I’ve even seen news reports a few weeks ago with data showing how much Sydney commuters have embraced the Metro trains.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/09/07/shigeru-ishiba-japan-resignation/
Ven says:
Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 7:07 pm
Footy fans savagely turn on Australian PM Anthony Albanese
Anthony Albanese was trying to enjoy a day out watching his AFL team in a final, but fans let the Prime Minister know how they truly felt.
=============
Yes I saw/heard that too yesterday when the camera’s panned to the PM.
Booing is quite common for political leaders. He copped it at the Oz Open in 2024.
Doesn’t mean anything. BTW, I didn’t realise Albo was a Hawks supporter.
The Age
We’d gone out there to have a look, but we could see the guy was just not moving at all, and his hand was completely severed from his arm,” he said.
_____________________
OMG.
15 and 12 years of age.
I don’t think Albo knows the difference between a fisted behind and a mark but you have to look interested (Scomo’s faux love of the Sharks was sickening)
Oh, I thought Ishiba had already resigned. Well, I guess this announcement makes it formal.
Australia has front-row seats to Monday’s ‘blood moon’ lunar eclipse: here’s when and how to watch it
West Australians should get particularly good views, but the eclipse will be visible from the whole country given favourable weather
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2025/sep/05/blood-moon-australia-lunar-eclipse-time-when-where-how-to-watch-it
“What time is the blood moon in Australia?
About 2.27am AEST on Monday, the moon will begin to enter Earth’s shadow. By 3.30am it will be fully immersed in the darkest part, glowing a deep, burnished red. This phase, known as totality, will last until 4.42am, offering more than 70 minutes of surreal lunar beauty. The eclipse will conclude at 5.56am.”
Kirs:
Ishiba probably should’ve resigned before now, but in any case, as you say it’s now formal.
I’m not sure how much Albo understands, but he’s been to a lot of Hawks matches in recent years.
“Why 85% of Indian Australians voted Labor
At the same time, younger Australians, including those from migrant families, are moving away from traditional voting habits. Samaras notes that “approximately 50% of Gen Z did not vote for a major party at the last federal election. Approximately 30% voted for the Greens, irrespective of geographic location. Labor’s Gen Z, 2PP vote is well over 65%. Millennials over 60%. The LNP’s primary is below 20%.”
Gen Z, he added, is “Australia’s most diverse generation. Around 45% either speak a language other than English at home or were born overseas. They are also the most highly educated generation in history, especially women.” That means Indian Australians, who already boast the highest university attainment of any migrant group, are deeply entwined with the generational shift now reshaping the political map.
The political weight of the community is likely to grow. The rise of Indian voters has already forced both major parties to rethink campaign strategy. While the Liberals tried and failed to make inroads, Labor’s dominance has left open questions about whether the pattern will hold across generations. Samaras points out that Italian and Greek voters once backed Labor overwhelmingly, only for their children and grandchildren to drift towards the Liberals. Indian Australians may follow the same path—or they may not.
What is clear is that in electorates with heavy Indian populations, the numbers are now impossible to ignore. Whether in Harris Park in Sydney’s west or Tarneit in Melbourne’s West, the diaspora is reshaping not just the demographics of local schools and businesses, but the political balance of whole electorates.”
Source: The Indian Sun
* Tried posting with link but post does not appear.
I have not see anything like recent years when political leaders are falling by the way side like nine pins.
It looks like people are very unhappy.
I think Albo has gotten right into the AFL and lost interest in the Pacific Islander Rugby League competition.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/07/world/asia/south-korea-trump-hyundai-lg.html
There goes 300 less workers in a US factory. Where does Trump think he will find replacement US citzens for these jobs?
And the broader question is where do MAGA think they will find replacement workers for the jobs that have been overall hit by ICE? The childcare workers, the aged care workers,, the construction workers, the hospitality workers? Even the bloody Door Dash drivers?
Or do the Stephen Millers of the world think the US can just Hillbilly Elegy the white trash birth rate up to the rates needed to meet the country’s essential workforce requirements? Because that isn’t happening, nor will it happen. Exhibit A: Australia.
I think their oil donors are quite happy to hobble a battery plant. However, the diplomatic fallout with Korea, given their poor relations with almost every other country is significant.
Edit: Mind you, Hyundai don’t have a great track record with labor in the US. They have been known to (illegally) employ child labor, so they’re probably happy employing skilled illegal immigrants rather than stupid americans.
Ven @ #1795 Sunday, September 7th, 2025 – 7:39 pm
It’s pretty common in Japan for Prime Ministers to resign quickly if they get into political strife. It’s more of a rarity for long term ones.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_prime_ministers_of_Japan#Timeline
The only recent ones that served more than five years are Junichiro Koizumi (2001-2006) and Shinzo Abe (2012-2020).
Further to my posts at https://www.pollbludger.net/2025/09/02/yougov-blueprint-institute-mrp-poll-open-thread/comment-page-3/#comment-4593064 and https://www.pollbludger.net/2025/09/02/yougov-blueprint-institute-mrp-poll-open-thread/comment-page-36/#comment-4594867 , the cost in time and casualties one would project from the daily August rates of advance and casualties have become somewhat worse for them in this first week of September:
Daily rate of advance during August: 15.0 sq km
Daily rate of advance so far in September: 11.3 sq km
Casualties per sq km August: 62 total (about 15 killed)
Casualties per sq km so far in Septembert: 76 total (about 19 killed)
That is, the time and cost for Russia to conquer the rest of Donetsk have both gone UP this past week. Last week, the rate of advance indicated Russia completing the conquest of Donetsk Oblast by 17 October 2026. Now, it indicates 17 April 2027. Last week, the casualty rate per sq km indicated Russia would lose another 383,036 casualties (about 95,760 dead) completing the conquest of Donetsk Oblast. Now, it indicates Russia would lose another 503,823 casualties (about 125,956 dead).
The military situation is actually shifting, right now, in a direction unfavourable to Russia.