Two major new federal opinion polls:
• The Australian brings us the first Newspoll result in four weeks, which has Labor with a two-party lead of 56-44, in from 57-43 last time. The primary votes are Labor 36% (steady), Coalition 30% (up one), Greens 12% (steady) and One Nation 9% (up one). Anthony Albanese is up two on approval to 49% and down one on disapproval to 46%, while Sussan Ley is steady at 35% approval and up two on disapproval to 44%. Albanese leads 51-31 on preferred prime minister, shifting from 52-32 last time. The poll was conducted Monday to Thursday from a sample of 1283.
• The monthly Resolve Strategic poll from Nine Newspapers has Labor’s lead at 59-41, out from 56-44 last time, though the primary votes are similar to Newspoll’s: Labor up two to 37%, the Coalition steady on 29%, the Greens steady on 12% and One Nation up one to 9%. Anthony Albanese has nonetheless slipped on his personal ratings, his combined very good and good score down two to 43% with poor and very poor up three to 45%. Sussan Ley is unchanged at 38% and 29% respectively, while Albanese’s lead on preferred prime minister shifts from 40-25 to 41-26. The poll also has “likeability” ratings for various political figures – Albanese has a net result of plus three and Ley plus ten, but beyond that I would want to see what the uncommitted results are, name recognition being an important feature of such findings. The sample was 1800: field work dates are not provided, but last time it was over a seven-day period from Saturday to Friday.
Boerwar @ #2288 Monday, August 25th, 2025 – 7:29 pm
BW:
Sorry, but that article is just OTs trying to get access to more funding for OTs (like the “unrecognised” iron deficiency article was a bid for research funding for a minor technical process fluffed up with feels). The OT definition of Long COVID is the nebulous post-infectious fatigue syndrome (which exists but is not responsive to any treatment, much less “therapy” much to the chagrin of the Oxford-based Cochrane studies that defined their own endpoints) not the Long COVID defined by biological parameters of autonomic function or mitochondrial dysfunction. The estimated numbers are bullshit.
Earlier today (8:57), I posted:
“The National Climate Risk Assessment …. has been delayed for political purposes. It is going to be released prior to the announcement of the 2035 target, in order to buttress support for whatever that target might be.”
_______________________________________________________
Minister Bowen confirmed this on Afternoon Briefing:
“Well, there’s two documents. The National Climate Risk Assessment, the National Adaptation Plan. They are linked. They will be released together because the National Climate Risk Assessment informs the National Adaptation Plan. Why are we having this conversation, PK? It’s just worth saying again, legitimate question, but because we initiated this process, the Labor Party, the government. Not because the Greens or anyone else said we should do this. The Albanese Government said we’re going to have a National Risk Assessment and a National Adaptation Plan again during September.”
“Well, because what we’ll be doing is laying out very methodically, not all on one day, but, you know, very methodically. What we have is, as I said, a lot of moving parts at the moment. There’s a National Risk Assessment, National Adaptation Plan, 2035 target, National Net Zero Plan, six sector plans, the COP bid, all leading up to the COP30 in Brazil, as you pointed out. September will be a very, very busy month for those interested in climate, particularly me, and particularly those of you who want to talk to me about those things.”
https://minister.dcceew.gov.au/bowen/transcripts/interview-patricia-karvelas-abc-afternoon-briefing
The ABC and GA live blogs need to do a better job. I shouldn’t have to read the transcript to find this out.
Thought experiment:
Pesutto, having finally wiped his name clear of the moronic debt he was inflicted on by a stupid judge, quits the Liberal Party after the conservatives roll Battin. Unlike the usual standard in Australia, he takes the UK style where it’s expected someone who leaves their party to resign and call a by-election.
He stands as an independent with the by-election in 3 or 4 weeks.
Does he win? Does Labor?
Pegasussays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 7:20 pm
Amy Remeikis
Australia’s capital class remains too focused on profit to truly address productivity
https://www.crikey.com.au/2025/08/22/economic-roundtable-tax-reform-jim-chalmers-amy-remekis/
“A key problem with the economic roundtable is many of those hauled in to fix Australia’s productivity black hole have spent the past 25 years gunning for more privatisation”
______________________
Except that there have been fewer privatisations over the past 25 years compared to before that, at least at the Commonwealth level. Only one of note was Medibank Private, more than offset by the creation of a state owned communications infrastructure company (NBNCo) and the effective nationalization of parcel delivery (AusPost acquisition of StarTrack Express).
Plus, non-market (gov + gov funded) jobs have driven more than half of all jobs in the last 5 years, and government spending is its highest as share of the economy since WW2 (save for a single quarter in 2020).
Crikey is poorly served by cutting costs and sourcing cheap content from the disreputable Australia Institute.
Ghost Of Whitlam @ #2303 Monday, August 25th, 2025 – 8:00 pm
I think that would depend on what both Labor and Melissa Lowe do (she was the Teal Independent candidate for 2022 and got 20% of the vote, trailing Labor’s 22.1%).
If Labor stays out and Lowe runs, she’d probably win over Pesutto and the presumptive Liberal candidate (Amelia Hamer or Moira Deeming).
If Labor and Lowe runs, either of them could win, but not Pesutto or the Liberal candidate.
If Lowe doesn’t run and it’s a Liberal-Labor-Pesutto contest, that’s the trickiest scenario to figure out. Presumably Pesutto would come third and his preferences would decide the matter.
Nadia88
All roads lead to Kooyong. Frydenberg is supported by the conservative faction but Hamer wants another run so Frydenberg’s people are hoping Pesutto steps aside for Hamer.
‘rhwombat says:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 7:49 pm
Boerwar @ #2288 Monday, August 25th, 2025 – 7:29 pm
Long covid. Is it a thing? If it is a thing, what is it?
https://citynews.com.au/2025/long-covids-impact-like-a-stroke-or-parkinsons-says-research/?utm_source=mailpoet&utm_medium=email&utm_source_platform=mailpoet&utm_campaign=canberra-daily-today-s-news-today_7801
BW:
Sorry, but that article is just OTs trying to get access to more funding for OTs (like the “unrecognised” iron deficiency article was a bid for research funding for a minor technical process fluffed up with feels). The OT definition of Long COVID is the nebulous post-infectious fatigue syndrome (which exists but is not responsive to any treatment, much less “therapy” much to the chagrin of the Oxford-based Cochrane studies that defined their own endpoints) not the Long COVID defined by biological parameters of autonomic function or mitochondrial dysfunction. The estimated numbers are bullshit.’
=====================
Thank you.
You can’t criticize the Victorian Liberals for not being innovative.
https://www.pollbludger.net/2025/08/17/newspoll-56-44-to-labor-resolve-strategic-59-41-open-thread/comment-page-47/#comment-4589427
Even their ABC, full of transplants, seems confused
And I don’t really care where the idea came from to do a risk assessment, may be a review, even a plan, smart pollyTICs will latch on to ideas, but don’t vote for me if you disagree Bowen isn’t one of those
Trial balloon, draft paper, consultation, proposed paper, consultation, draft legislation and so on
I do care that there is not even a summary or redacted version of a public safety and national security assessment done which hasn’t been released, poor form given the presumed importance, and it was taxpayers that forked out the dollars for it
Though it is amazing how threatened the major parties are by cross benchers, though I guess given the situation in Tasmania where the 35 seat assembly has gone GRN 5, LAB 10, IND 5, LIB 14, SFF 1, may be they are honoring the threat (crossbenchers combined have more than LAB), 🙁
To them, rather than you, https://theconversation.com/no-room-for-the-timid-setting-australias-2035-emissions-target-is-a-daring-tightrope-act-263802, these lobbyists, courtiers, acolytes for merchant kings and warlords
Progress/ advance Australia, fair
Bystander says:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 12:57 pm
Entropy posted
“P1 preferenced Andrew Constance and hence wanted a Dutton Government over a Labor one. Which tells you all you need to know about P1’s commitment to climate action. It is just a convenient topic to use for his anti-Labor bile.”
I think that’s a little unfair Entropy. P1 has shown over a long period of time that she (I believe it is she not he, but could be wrong) is very committed to addressing climate change and has been very critical of both major parties for not going going far enough with their climate policies, which has got up quite a few noses here at times. I also seem to recall that fairly recently she said when pressed on the issue that if she had to make a choice at the moment she would prefer Labor.
_____________
You may just be mistaken, Bystander. Check out Player One’s comments yesterday.
I posted earlier about the records broken today, by the Waratah Super Battery as part of its testing (commissioning) process. What I didn’t realise at the time was that made it the nation’s third largest generating unit, behind two coal units. When fully commissioned it will be the largest. “But what is more interesting about the Waratah battery is the scale of its flexibility – it can change from being the biggest supplier in the grid, to becoming one of, if not the biggest, load – all in a matter of seconds if required.”
https://reneweconomy.com.au/super-shock-absorber-battery-smashes-records-again-as-it-charges-and-discharges-at-unseen-levels/
Griff
While I don’t share Player One’s politics I have observed her posts over a lengthy period of time and I can assure you there is nothing at all wrong with her/his (take your pick) level of intelligence, as some here are alleging and I think it is a very low form of argument to go down that road..
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/as-ley-tried-to-tear-strips-off-chalmers-more-than-half-her-mps-weren-t-even-listening-20250825-p5mpoh.html
As Ley tried to tear strips off Chalmers, more than half her MPs weren’t even listening
Opposition Leader Sussan Ley and Treasurer Jim Chalmers in question time on Monday.
A remarkable 22 Coalition politicians – more than half of all opposition MPs – were on a phone or laptop as Treasurer Jim Chalmers was on his feet in question time.
“If frontbencher Tim Wilson raised his eyes above his iPad, it wasn’t for long. Angus Taylor was also fixated on a tablet. Nine others, including MPs Tony Pasin and Zoe McKenzie, were glued to laptops.
Last term, under Peter Dutton, laptops and tablets were never seen on the opposition frontbench. This time, a remarkable 22 Coalition politicians, more than half of the whole team, were on a device as Treasurer Jim Chalmers was on his feet talking about his economic record.”
________________________________
How could you ever vote for Timmy over Zoe people of Goldstein???
Stoogey Lurker @ #2311 Monday, August 25th, 2025 – 8:30 pm
(from the perspective of anti-renewable energy people)
“But that’s not faaaiir! How could it be that this woke sunshine and rainbows energy production be actually working over our dirty manly hard-yakka fossil fuels industry! It makes our dicks feel small!”
Don’t talk about Hard Yakka, Kirs, you’ll trigger nath.
Bystander says:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 8:34 pm
Griff
While I don’t share Player One’s politics I have observed her posts over a lengthy period of time and I can assure you there is nothing at all wrong with her/his (take your pick) level of intelligence, as some here are alleging and I think it is a very low form of argument to go down that road..
_________
I was merely pointing out that Player One let the preference of Constance over Phillips slip in discussion this weekend just gone.
As for arguments over how intelligent another one’s protagonist is, I don’t find that very sporting either. Hypocrisy, on the other hand, is fair game 🙂
Stoogey Lurker @ #2315 Monday, August 25th, 2025 – 8:48 pm
Oh I hope so.
Landlord of the Year says:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 8:10 pm
All roads lead to Kooyong. Frydenberg is supported by the conservative faction but Hamer wants another run so Frydenberg’s people are hoping Pesutto steps aside for Hamer.
=============
Sounds like quite a cunning little plot unfolding, which could backfire spectacularly.
Thks, makes a lot of sense of the situation.
I thought I’d check out the wikipedia page of this conservative monster Andew Constance and it turns out he’s been quite the champion for euthanasia and abortion rights.
There’s been plenty of people in Labor who you can’t say that of.
kirsdarke, you don’t really want to trigger me son. I’ve gone easy on you boy.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/government-poised-to-betray-creators-in-ai-copyright-grab,20088
Sigh, no wonder there was a trial balloon on productivity, still can’t seem to figure out how to get beyond blowing up humanity, clearing land, climate disruption resources?
Diversify the economy.
Banana republic.
Arrest the resources curse?
Unreal diversity trash of Asia.
Move up the value network.
Bystandersays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 8:34 pm
Griff
While I don’t share Player One’s politics I have observed her posts over a lengthy period of time and I can assure you there is nothing at all wrong with her/his (take your pick) level of intelligence, as some here are alleging and I think it is a very low form of argument to go down that road..
———————————————————
The intelligence quip was only a return of serve by me. It was P1 that started that line of attack (see below). My original post against P1 which you questioned earlier today. Is based on P1 recent post on preferring Andrew Constance over the Labor candidate. As Griff rightly points out. As it was in a recent exchange between Griff and P1 that it came out.
Player Onesays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 6:21 pm
Entropy @ #2255 Monday, August 25th, 2025 – 6:19 pm
If that was a requirement. Would you be able to post at all?
I think I’m going to stop responding to your posts. Trying to lower my IQ to a level you might understand is becoming too difficult.
nathsays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 9:08 pm
kirsdarke, you don’t really want to trigger me son. I’ve gone easy on you boy.
——————————————————
You wouldn’t like me when I’m angry.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VFQkQ1-D2g4
@nath
You gonna do the Navy Seal Copypasta on me?
https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/navy-seal-copypasta
nathsays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 9:07 pm
I thought I’d check out the wikipedia page of this conservative monster Andew Constance and it turns out he’s been quite the champion for euthanasia and abortion rights.
There’s been plenty of people in Labor who you can’t say that of.
——————————————————-
Still a vote for Andrew Constance would have been a vote for a Dutton Government. With everything that stood for.
Kirsdarkesays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 9:15 pm
@nath
You gonna do the Navy Seal Copypasta on me?
https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/navy-seal-copypasta
___________________
Ha. I like that one. But when I was an interior decorator I did kill 16 Czechoslovakians.
Entropysays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 9:16 pm
nathsays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 9:07 pm
I thought I’d check out the wikipedia page of this conservative monster Andew Constance and it turns out he’s been quite the champion for euthanasia and abortion rights.
There’s been plenty of people in Labor who you can’t say that of.
——————————————————-
Still a vote for Andrew Constance would have been a vote for a Dutton Government. With everything that stood for.
______________________
Still, I’d vote for Constance over an SDA operative any day.
“Still, I’d vote for Constance over an SDA operative any day.”
Which is irrelevant for the seat Gilmore. As Fiona Phillips the Labor candidate was formerly a TAFE teacher in Business studies.
‘Business studies’? hmmm. Sounds suspiciously Liberalish to me.
Senior Industrial Relations Officer for Retail Banking at Westpac Banking Corporation from 1991 to 1995.
Human Resources Officer for Shoalhaven City Council, Nowra (NSW) from 1996 to 1997.
Work Placement Coordinator for the Shoalhaven Schools Workplace Learning Program, Nowra (NSW) from 1997 to 2002.
TAFE Teacher, Nowra (NSW) from 2002 to 2017.
Commerce Tutor at the University of Wollongong (Shoalhaven Campus), Nowra (NSW) from 2002 to 2015.
Business Operations Manager in the Navy Aviation Systems Program Office at HMAS Albatross, Nowra (NSW) from 2007 to 2009.
Electorate Officer for S Jones, MP from 2016 to 2017.
https://www.aph.gov.au/Senators_and_Members/Parliamentarian?MPID=147140
Education, IR = Labor
Stoogey Lurker @ #2302 Monday, August 25th, 2025 – 7:54 pm
Indeed. You should just be able to read the memo.
nathsays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 9:32 pm
‘Business studies’? hmmm. Sounds suspiciously Liberalish to me.
—————————————————–
I checked up, she attends the Uniting Church. So there is no way she can be in the SDA. As she is not Roman Catholic.
There are no memos on the mean streets of Gilmore.
nadia88says:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 8:59 pm
Landlord of the Year says:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 8:10 pm
All roads lead to Kooyong. Frydenberg is supported by the conservative faction but Hamer wants another run so Frydenberg’s people are hoping Pesutto steps aside for Hamer.
=============
Sounds like quite a cunning little plot unfolding, which could backfire spectacularly.
Thks, makes a lot of sense of the situation.
=============
From what I’ve heard Hamer has no interest in running against Pesutto, and only a few weeks ago told her local Rotary branch about her intentions to contest Kooyong.
Frydenberg would face a backlash if he rolls a women in a winnable seat, and in a nightmare scenario for the Liberals, if Ryan chooses to retire and backs Hamer against Frydenberg.
Stoogey Lurker @ #2333 Monday, August 25th, 2025 – 9:39 pm
Indeed there are not. But there should have been.
Entropysays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 9:35 pm
nathsays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 9:32 pm
‘Business studies’? hmmm. Sounds suspiciously Liberalish to me.
—————————————————–
I checked up, she attends the Uniting Church. So there is no way she can be in the SDA. As she is not Roman Catholic.
___________
Ah the Uniting Church. So she believes in the Godhead of Jesus, the Resurrection and the eventual Second Coming and the Apocalypse of the Book of Revelation. Cool.
nathsays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 9:42 pm
Entropysays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 9:35 pm
nathsays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 9:32 pm
‘Business studies’? hmmm. Sounds suspiciously Liberalish to me.
—————————————————–
I checked up, she attends the Uniting Church. So there is no way she can be in the SDA. As she is not Roman Catholic.
___________
Ah the Uniting Church. So she believes in the Godhead of Jesus, the Resurrection and the eventual Second Coming and the Apocalypse of the Book of Revelation. Cool.
———————————————————–
Its the Uniting Church, they believe in saving whales.
They don’t even believe that Jesus turned water into wine.
https://www.nswlaborleft.com/federal-mps
Israel massacres journalists and emergency workers in a double hit strike on a Gazan hospital. They waited till the emergency workers and journalists got to the scene of their first crime and then sent a second missile to murder them too.
“Khan Younis, Gaza Strip: Israeli strikes on southern Gaza’s main hospital on Monday killed 19 people, including four journalists, Palestinian health officials said.
Gaza’s health ministry and witnesses said the victims on the fourth floor of Nasser Hospital were killed in a double-tap strike – one missile hitting first, then another after rescue workers, journalists and others had rushed to the site of the initial attack.”
https://www.theage.com.au/world/middle-east/israeli-airstrikes-hit-gaza-hospital-killing-at-least-15-including-journalists-20250825-p5mpqf.html
I’d rather have the SDA than no unions any day. And that is an aim that the Coalition will work towards every day of the week when they are in power. No unions.
Netanyahu is doing himself no favours. Especially as the UN General Assembly in September nears.
C@tmommasays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 10:18 pm
Netanyahu is doing himself no favours. Especially as the UN General Assembly in September nears.
——————————————————
Yet our LNP opposition will still back him to the roof. They will say nothing about this latest horrendous atrocity I bet.
Hamas lies.
pied pipersays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 10:33 pm
Hamas lies.
——————————————
Hamas are not the ones currently murdering journalists to try and hide the reporting of their atrocities though.
The ones currently trying very hard to stop the truth from being reported is not Hamas.
Entropy, I can assure you that, as a member of the Uniting Church, I have no problems with the concept of Jesus turning water into wine. However, for me what is more important is the relationship which Jesus had with the most marginal and vulnerable members of society. Not only do many members of the Uniting Church believe in saving whales, they also believe in being there for the downtrodden, ostracized and those impacted by injustice. Certainly, I have met some in the Uniting Church where these issues are not a priority, and indeed, they are openly antagonistic toward them, however, in this respect I would encourage you to have a look at the Uniting Church Assembly Website and in particular the videos of the current President Rev. Charissa Suli, for a clearer picture of where the Uniting Church stands on social issues.
https://uniting.church/ and
https://uniting.church/meet-our-president/
Ronzysays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 10:36 pm
Entropy, I can assure you that, as a member of the Uniting Church, I have no problems with the concept of Jesus turning water into wine.
==============================================
Obviously not from the Methodist side of the unification.
Though my post was more a flippant reply to Nath’s post. Which had the Uniting Church as big believers of end of days theology.
Why would anyone who believes in an omnipotent God have difficulty believing in any miracle?
newy boysays:
Monday, August 25, 2025 at 10:51 pm
Why would anyone who believes in an omnipotent God have difficulty believing in any miracle?
———————————————–
Methodist don’t like the idea that Jesus turned water into wine as they believe alcohol is evil. So when the Uniting church was formed. The Methodists insisted at the communion grape juice or cordial is used and not fortified spirit. So as that would cause the spread of disease if done in a shared cup. They have individual little cups at their communion.
Entropy, Monday, August 25, 2025 at 10:56 pm:
Entropy, I never knew that! So, the idea isn’t that God couldn’t have turned water into wine, but that he wouldn’t have. I guess John 2 doesn’t get read often in Uniting churches with lots of former Methodists?
BTW, in at least some Catholic dioceses, since COVID, communion is only taken under the species of bread and not of wine, for similar public health reasons.
Entropy,
With respect to being “big believers in end of days theology”, from my experience, unlike the Seventh Day Adventist church, there is very little focus on end times theology amongst Uniting Church theologians. Indeed, it is almost as if they avoid preaching from the book of Revelation if at all possible. I recently delivered a message as part of a church service, where I encouraged the members of the congregation not to focus on the ramifications of the possibility that we are entering into the “last days”, what is important is how we live our lives today, regardless of whether Jesus’s “second coming” was next week or in a thousand years time.