Wolf + Smith: 57-43 to Labor (open thread)

A new federal poll records similar results to others of Labor’s post-election honeymoon, and finds predictably little appetite for a broadened GST base.

In an otherwise quiet week for federal polling, the Financial Review reports a Wolf + Smith poll of 5000 respondents conducted from July 18 to 30 has Labor with a 57-43 lead on two-party preferred. All we are told of the primary vote is that Labor leads the Coalition 36% to 30%: I will hopefully be able to offer more information later today. Anthony Albanese is credited with a fairly modest lead over Sussan Ley on preferred prime minister of 45-35. The poll also finds 18% support and 47% oppose broadening the base of the GST. Respondents were seemingly also given options on how cuts in income tax should be funded, with 56% favouring higher company taxes. Wolf & Smith is associated with Yaron Finkelstein, a former principal private secretary to Scott Morrison and Crosby Textor strategist, which was last heard from through a similarly large-sample poll in August last year.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,415 comments on “Wolf + Smith: 57-43 to Labor (open thread)”

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  2. nadia88says:
    Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 10:03 pm
    Entropy,

    I haven’t seen that poster on the site before, or at least since I returned in late July.
    Is there some sort of “thing” between you and “Sollydisa”.
    10 minutes and you’ve got his/her posting history tucked away somewhere.

    What have I walked into, as it seemed a fairly innocuous post by the poster regarding Darwin.
    ———————————————–

    No history, it is just my trust issue. When someone posts using an anagram of “disloyal” i worry.

    Quote:” Just because you’re paranoid doesn’t mean they aren’t after you.”

  5. Bushfire Billsays:
    Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 10:13 pm
    Yeah… but it’s not an anagram of “disloyal”.
    ———————————————–

    So I was paranoid over nothing then but is that missing “S” the one Paul A claimed was in the rear view mirror of that Russian tank last night?

  6. Entropy says:
    Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 10:05 pm
    nadia88 says:
    Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 10:03 pm
    Entropy,

    I haven’t seen that poster on the site before, or at least since I returned in late July.
    Is there some sort of “thing” between you and “Sollydisa”.
    10 minutes and you’ve got his/her posting history tucked away somewhere.

    What have I walked into, as it seemed a fairly innocuous post by the poster regarding Darwin.
    ———————————————–

    No history, it is just my trust issue. When someone posts using an anagram of “disloyal” i worry.
    —————————
    No worries Entropy. I think you may be spending a bit too much time on the blog.
    You take care. Catch up tomorrow/later in the week maybe.

  7. sollydisasays:
    Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 10:16 pm
    didn’t realise until you pointed that out
    —————————————————

    Don’t worry some of us can be a bit silly at night. We call it pollbludger after dark. Though I’m sure some wag will tell you some of us are silly all the time.

  9. Shogun

    Seriously, I would rather stick pins in my eyes than watch LIV.

    What if you had pins stuck in your eyes to force you to watch LIV(or any other form of golf), as penance for past transgressions, like Alex in Clockwork Orange? That’s a cruel and unusual torment, worthy of Bosch (Hieronymus, not GmbH)

  10. Granny Anny

    These days the grin is forced, look at Putin’s eyes, he’s not enjoying himself like he was in 2014, careworn, even sad(I have no sympathy). He gambled his life on defrosting the frozen conflict without at first realising. It was supposed to end with a glorious parade thru Kyiv after a week or less, instead he has put Russia’s future through the mincer. Ukraine’s population is 1/3 of Russia’s, perfect ratio for an ugly stalemate, given an attacker needs at least 3 times the soldiers to prevail.

    EDIT: And he is an economic moron, chief of a militaristic quarry, that licenses tech from abroad

  12. North American Cartoons plus David Pope!

    David Pope

    Ann Telnaes

    Daniel Boris
    “Happy Taco Tuesday.
    Trump postponed China tariffs. Again. ”

    Matt Wuerker

    Theo Moudakis

    Pat Bagley

    Nick Anderson

    Clay Bennett

    Matt Davies

    Joe Heller

    Clay Jones

    Chris Britt

    Dennis Goris

    Toonerman

    “True Story”

  13. Arky @ #2389 Tuesday, August 12th, 2025 – 9:28 pm

    ““Intense and scary”. Why are we not being told this?”

    Leaving aside that you and I should both already know how scary the endgame of climate change could get, the answer is literally in the bit you quoted:

    “The government is expected to release them within weeks – the 2035 target is due by September – but dates have not been confirmed.”

    Except the government has known this for literally years, not weeks or months. And also that many people who voted for their inadequate climate policies were – and still are – being kept deliberately unaware of the consequences of their vote.

    But hey – that’s how duopoly politics rolls, right?

  14. From yesterday:

    “ pied piper says:
    Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 4:58 pm
    Troops are out in Washington the sweet sound of gun butts into the heads of lefties/Dems will be heard.”

    ______

    Pretty much confirmation that pooper is the sort of human that both my grandfathers were shooting to kill between 1939-45. The rise of the general shitfuckery in the west over the past decade or so makes me fear that my grandchildren’s generation are going to have to shoot to kill these sort of fuckers again sometime in the not too distant future.

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