No polling on federal voting intention this week, but DemosAU has findings on the hot topic of Palestinian statehood. It finds 45% support for Australia “formally recognising a Palestinian state in the present circumstances”, up ten on the response to a similar question in May 2024, with 23% opposed, up one. Support is strongest among the 18-to-34 cohort; Labor supporters are strongly in favour, while Coalition supporters are evenly balanced. Respondents were also invited to briefly summarise the reasons for their view – as may be expected, a sampling of them from the accompanying report is characterised by a certain fuzziness about the factual particulars. The poll was conducted July 31 from a sample of 1079.
Everyone needs to watch this horrifying video from Washington DC:
https://youtube.com/shorts/cFX6q8tsIhY?si=7MxK1ewVTRSlfDck
I am well aware of what is going on over there.
A month in which nobody is paying attention.
It’s early days and she hasn’t really been challenged. Let’s see how she’s going in 6 months from now.
According to this article (which I linked this afternoon https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/posturing-over-peace-what-trump-and-putin-s-meeting-was-really-about-20250815-p5mnaq.html ), Summits between the US President and other major World leaders are normally months in planning and negotiating, with the agenda, security and optics tightly controlled. This one was thrown together in a couple of days.
For the moment she’s able to hide behind the policy review. But the day will come when she is going to have to explain to the electorate why the Liberals aren’t going to sign onto net zero, why they aren’t going to support renewable energy, why nuclear and/or coal fired power stations are the best option for the country, why they won’t support Labor’s reforms to increase productivity etc etc etc.
That’s when the hard stuff comes.
Looks like there is a new Newspoll.
Can someone jump in to the Oz pls.
Told ya WB. Gotta trust your old nadia88
The Liberals still do not have their climate policy Number Elebenty. Instead, Ley has a climate policy fight on her hands.
Attitude to Trump and the US and Netanyahu? All over the shop but generally not reading the room.
Ley faces rising real wages, record participation rates, inflation trending down, record employment, and falling interest rates. Tingling the hip pocket nerve is a challenge.
Dog whistling racism has been tried by Dutton and has failed. It turns out that voters with Chinese or Indian heritage don’t like being targets of dog whistling.
There are no culture war issues to hand. The Greens don’t want to play in the trans space. And after that, is that all there is?
That leaves two areas where Ley might make some progress: ‘crime’ and ‘small business’.
Kirsdarke, Steve777 or Leroy. Can you jump in and get the primaries pls
nadia88 says:
Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 6:46 pm
Just delving into these figures (sorry to bore the F out of everyone), the QLD ALP Federal primary has now “rocketed” to 39%.
This is a massive turn around from the the 21-Jan Resolve poll where the LNP recorded a primary of 42% and the ALP were languishing at 26%.
This is a decent size sample of a poll. Quite interesting.
Anyway, there should be some state based polling figures from Vic within a couple of days, which should show a major correction from their last poll on 30-Mar.
中华人民共和国
Thanks cobber. A good set up numbers. Albo bringing home the bacon.
Malcolm Turnbull couldn’t convince the “Liberals” to adopt a genuine climate policy, even a greatly watered down one like the NEG (in 2017). If he couldn’t so it, I don’t think that Sussan Ley has a chance, that is, assuming that she wants to.
Resolve sample is 1800.
Also has state breakdowns, NSW and Victoria in step with the national figures – but check this Bomba from the Canetoad State..
Resolve Queensland primaries
ALP 39
LNP 29
GRN 10
ONP 9
IND 8
OTH 5
Newspoll 56/44. Albo’s numbers vs Ley improved.
If the media were more competent, the Tories wouldn’t be able to get away with having no climate policy for a year*.
* That’s probably an understatement. It will take them a year to work out if they support net zero and then a year and a half to have vague policy positions.
Australians are more concerned about Donald Trump’s tariffs than the rising Chinese military threat, according to the latest Newspoll, which shows Anthony Albanese’s performance levels have returned to positive territory for the first time in two years.
The Newspoll conducted between Monday and Thursday last week reveals that for the first time since September 2023 – a month before the doomed Indigenous voice referendum – more people are satisfied with the Prime Minister’s performance than not.
The poll of 1283 Australians showed the primary votes of the Coalition (30 per cent) and One Nation (9 per cent) improving by one point since last month’s first post-election Newspoll, while Labor remained at 36 per cent.
Labor still holds a commanding two-party-preferred vote lead over the Coalition at 56 to 44 per cent, which is close to the 55.2 to 44.8 per cent result at the May 3 election that delivered Mr Albanese 94 seats.
As the Prime Minister scrambles to land an in-person meeting with Mr Trump since his return to the White House in January, the poll reveals greater anxiety among voters about the US President’s trade barriers than Xi Jinping’s military build-up in the Indo-Pacific region.
The Newspoll showed 42 per cent of voters were more worried about US tariffs, ahead of 37 per cent who nominated Beijing’s strategic threat as the greater concern and 21 per cent who were neutral.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/newspoll-voters-more-afraid-of-donald-trump-tariffs-than-xi-jinping-military-threat/news-story/05307ed9415181683badf6257ca144ef?amp
Resolve 2PP
ALP 59
LNP 41
NewsPoll
ALP 56
LNP 44
On a two-party preferred basis, Labor has widened its lead over the Coalition to 59-41, its strongest result since April 2023 and a 4-point increase on May.
Resolve: If the result were repeated nationally at an election, Labor would enjoy an increase on the record 94 seats it won at the federal election, taking Coalition-held electorates such as Longman in Queensland, La Trobe in Victoria and Forrest in Western Australia.
I have to say nadia88, you are absolutely on fire and all over polling in Australia. You seem to sense a poll or two a fucking mile away. Well done. You’ll do WB out of a job one day.
I’m sure abandoning net zero and rescinding recognition of Palestine will restore the Coalition’s popularity.
Mr Albanese now boasts a net approval rating of plus-3, with 49 per cent of voters satisfied with his performance and 46 per cent dissatisfied.
The last time Mr Albanese was in positive territory was in September 2023, when he recorded 47 per cent and 44 per cent satisfaction and dissatisfaction ratings. The 49 per cent satisfaction rating is his highest level since July 2023, when 52 per cent of voters rated his performance positively.
In contrast, Sussan Ley’s performance ratings dropped from last month’s Newspoll as she continues to rebuild a decimated Coalition and reassesses the policy direction of the Liberals and Nationals.
After recording a net approval rating of minus-7 in her first Newspoll, which was similar to Peter Dutton’s levels immediately following the 2022 election, the gap has widened to minus-9.
As Australians get to know the Opposition Leader, more voters (21 per cent) are uncommitted on her performance compared with Mr Albanese, with 35 per cent satisfied and 44 per cent dissatisfied. Compared to the last Newspoll, 2 per cent of the uncommitted pile shifted into Ms Ley’s dissatisfied column.
There was no tangible movement since last month’s Newspoll on who voters believe is the better prime minister, with 51 per cent backing Mr Albanese, 31 per cent endorsing Ms Ley and 18 per cent uncommitted.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/newspoll-voters-more-afraid-of-donald-trump-tariffs-than-xi-jinping-military-threat/news-story/05307ed9415181683badf6257ca144ef?amp
Stoogey Lurker @ #1562 Sunday, August 17th, 2025 – 7:08 pm
The problem is the Liberals are being wagged by the Nationals. If Ley was serious she’d propose the parties separate in opposition like they do in WA.
QLDers dealing with a LNP state government again, means your average punter paying more taxes in place of the tax cuts given to the fossil fuel industry and the red tape being slapped on renewables.
But atleast they got the feds given them some energy independence with lower cost battery’s.
“As the Prime Minister scrambles to land an in-person meeting with Mr Trump since his return to the White House in January.” [Thanks, Upnorth]
> I can’t believe the media is still banging on about this, especially after what happened in Alaska.
This is all I can read in the Australian. I don’t have, never have had and never will have a subscription:
“Newspoll: Tariff threats trump China anxieties as PM’s popularity hits pre-voice levels
Australians fear Donald Trump’s trade barriers more than China’s military build-up, as Anthony Albanese’s approval rating turns positive for the first time since 2023.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/
Something’s crook in Tallarook…
From the Resolve poll write-up.
“But the Resolve Political Monitor shows the situation has not worsened for Liberal leader Sussan Ley. Voters have ranked her the most likeable of any MP, while her deputy, Ted O’Brien, is quickly proving to be an asset for the Coalition.”
What as? Comedy relief?
“The problem is the Liberals are being wagged by the Nationals. If Ley was serious she’d propose the parties separate in opposition like they do in WA.”
> Plus Hastie and overly cooked Angus.
Edit: Big Ted could be their next leader.
Thanks BK & Upnorth for digging up the numbers.
I should get myself paywall access to the Oz. I thought a poll (or 2) might turn up tonight.
I guess we’ll have a new thread soon. Bit of meat on the bones with polling this evening…finally.
BK
You have to admit Ted O’Brien is an upgrade on Angus Taylor.
What a talentless collection on the LNP front bench
Vlad says:
Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 7:11 pm
I have to say nadia88, you are absolutely on fire and all over polling in Australia. You seem to sense a poll or two a fucking mile away. Well done. You’ll do WB out of a job one day.
——————————
Oh no, I doubt it. I might end up as his “DEI Hire” one day though!
I thought Newspoll might bob up after Demos AU ran a poll midweek on the Palestinian recognition.
Having said that, it looks like Newspoll hasn’t polled on that, or at least no one has reported that here as yet. I might grab a copy of the Oz tomorrow & check it all out.
nadia88says:
Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 7:17 pm
Thanks BK & Upnorth for digging up the numbers.
I should get myself paywall access to the Oz. I thought a poll (or 2) might turn up tonight.
I guess we’ll have a new thread soon. Bit of meat on the bones with polling this evening…finally.
中华人民共和国
No wuckers mate. Where is the Pied Piper when you need him?
In a post that will interest few, the question remains as to how, after a deficit of 15 at half-time, did the Wallabies prevail. Johannesburg’s altitude is 1,753 m, which is relatively high but I don’t think high enough to substantially affect elite athletic performance, though this has more often than not been argued in rugby circles for the Wallabies’ poor record in Jo’burg. Did they have hyperbaric oxygen therapy? Or were they just too good on the day? I hope Schmidt remains as coach following this historic victory, lest the coach with the second-best record – Alan Jones – might be recalled once he answers those scurrilous (?) allegations against him.
Pumping the tires of Temu ScoMo?
Desperate times call for desperate measures for our pollster class it seems.
“ As the Prime Minister scrambles to land an in-person meeting with Mr Trump since his return to the White House in January.”
———————————————-
After seeing Trump’s behavior vs Zelensky in the White House, deference to Putin in Alaska, US officials berating Australia for recognising Palestine, and harassment of all allies including Australia for trade deals and more military spending, how many Australians actually want Albo to meet Trump?
Personally I am ambivalent. Trump is so random that there is just as much risk of harm from Albo meeting him as there is a chance of any good.
Tony Barry on his podcast on Saturday was extolling the virtues of O’Brien. Apparently he’s hired a quality chief of staff (forget his name), and is starting to make sense.
Can’t see it myself, but he seems to be a hit with Liberals.
I think Ted O’Brien could best be described as a “rabbit”. A unique Australianism that adequately sums some people up.
Will Dear Leader reveal Bludgertrack tonight?
If Albo met with Trump and was given the Zelensky treatment, would that result in a net positive for the PM back home?
The Newspoll conducted between Monday and Thursday last week reveals that for the first time since September 2023 – a month before the doomed Indigenous voice referendum – more people are satisfied with the Prime Minister’s performance than not.
The poll of 1283 Australians showed the primary votes of the Coalition (30 per cent) and One Nation (9 per cent) improving by one point since last month’s first post-election Newspoll, while Labor remained at 36 per cent.
Labor still holds a commanding two-party-preferred vote lead over the Coalition at 56 to 44 per cent, which is close to the 55.2 to 44.8 per cent result at the May 3 election that delivered Mr Albanese 94 seats. In contrast, Sussan Ley’s performance ratings dropped from last month’s Newspoll as she continues to rebuild a decimated Coalition and reassesses the policy direction of the Liberals and Nationals.
After recording a net approval rating of minus-7 in her first Newspoll, which was similar to Peter Dutton’s levels immediately following the 2022 election, the gap has widened to minus-9.
As Australians get to know the Opposition Leader, more voters (21 per cent) are uncommitted on her performance compared with Mr Albanese, with 35 per cent satisfied and 44 per cent dissatisfied. Compared to the last Newspoll, 2 per cent of the uncommitted pile shifted into Ms Ley’s dissatisfied column.
There was no tangible movement since last month’s Newspoll on who voters believe is the better prime minister, with 51 per cent backing Mr Albanese, 31 per cent endorsing Ms Ley and 18 per cent uncommitted.
After Labor secured 34.6 per cent of the primary vote at the May 3 election, the first post-election Newspoll had the ALP at 36 per cent compared with the Coalition on 29 per cent, which was the worst result for the Liberal/Nationals parties since Newspoll first compared primary vote levels in November 1985.
Over the past month, Labor stayed at the same level ahead of the Coalition, which picked up one point to 30 per cent. Support for the opposition remains below the 31.8 per cent primary vote won by Mr Dutton’s Coalition in May.
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation rose a point to 9 per cent, with the Greens steady at 12 per cent and the others, including independents and minor parties, falling from 15 to 13 per cent.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/newspoll-voters-more-afraid-of-donald-trump-tariffs-than-xi-jinping-military-threat/news-story/05307ed9415181683badf6257ca144ef?amp
New thread.
Big Ted is more ferret than rabbit.
I wonder if Albanese should invite Trump for a meeting in Australia. The meeting won’t happen. Then Trump will be the no show. Problem avoided?
Not many Australians are interested in Trumps views other than stop playing games with tariffs.
Frank Pangallo ex Xenophon then Independent MLC joining the Liberals in SA is a rare case of a rat getting on board a sinking ship.
I doubt whether Albo would be meek and mild. I think he would laugh in Trump’s face, in such a way that Trump had no idea he was being laughed at.
”
Steve777says:
Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 6:53 pm
According to this article (which I linked this afternoon https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/posturing-over-peace-what-trump-and-putin-s-meeting-was-really-about-20250815-p5mnaq.html ), Summits between the US President and other major World leaders are normally months in planning and negotiating, with the agenda, security and optics tightly controlled. This one was thrown together in a couple of days.
”
Steve777
True.
They no longer call any meet between US and any other country a ‘summit’. The word was only used for US and Soviet Union meet.
It was called a Summit because US and Soviet Union were considered ‘Super powers’.
The world and world Press are not yet ready to give that Super power status to China.
Currently, only US is a Super power. But Trump is trying his level best to run it into ground.
I am not a history buff and don’t know much about Roman Empire. For me Indian history in High school was sufficient ( but that is another story)
But the point is that Some say Trump is the Caligula of modern Roman Empire. (Remember Paul Wolfowitz called that US is the rightful heir of Roman Empire, but that is another story).
So, we will see American empire last as long as Roman Empire or will it be a fast forward version of Roman Empire?
When are the BRICs going to step in and stop Russia’s invasion of Ukraine?