Nine Newspapers has the final Resolve Strategic poll for the campaign, which credits Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47, in from 53.5-46.5 at the last poll two weeks ago. The primary votes are Labor 31% (steady), Coalition 35% (up one), Greens 14% (up one) and One Nation 7% (up one). As invariably occurs after the closure of nominations, when the response options reflect the ballot paper rather than generic categories, there has been a substantial drop for independents, down four to 8%. Anthony Albanese is up one on both approval and disapproval, to 46% and 44%, while Peter Dutton is down one to 33% and up four to 57%. The gap on preferred prime minister is unchanged, Albanese’s lead shifting from 46-30 to 47-31. The poll also found 30% holding that Donald Trump made them less likely to vote Coalition compared with 15% for more likely, compared with 21% apiece for Labor. It was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 2010 “using a combination of online and telephone polling of a representative sample of the broader voting public” — I believe the telephone component adds around 400 to its normal online sample of around 1600.
Elsewhere, the Financial Review leads today with a report that JWS Research seat polling shows right-wing minor party voters favouring the Coalition on preferences in far greater degree than usual, specifically by 90% in Whitlam and Werriwa and 85% in the rather different milieu of Ryan. Such numbers help explain the Coalition’s bullishness about “a certain demographic of seats — outer suburban, mortgage-belt electorates with blue-collar workforces, substantial commute times, high cost-of-living sensitivities, and, in some cases, high crime rates”, most notably Whitlam and Gorton, where the Liberals claim their polling recently had them slightly ahead. Right-wing minor parties are said to be “collectively polling above 10%” in such seats, a none too radical claim – at the last election, One Nation and the United Australia Party polled between 12.3% and 14.9% between them in Bruce, Holt, Gorton, Hawke, Whitlam and Werriwa.
Preference flows are another matter: across the six seats just mentioned, Labor received 45.0% of preferences from One Nation 41.7% from United Australia. Labor would lose around 3% from their margins if that were to drop to 20%, assuming a stable One Nation and United Australia vote. It may certainly be the case that factors are at play here specific to outer suburban demography, and One Nation preferences have certainly become stronger for the Coalition over time. However, the notion of a sudden seismic movement is discouraged by the findings of YouGov, which has been registering respondent-allocated preference flows as part of its massive MRP surveys and using them to project two-party preferred results from its regular national polling. On this basis, One Nation votes are being split 67-33 in the Coalition’s favour – only modestly wider than the 64.3-35.7 recorded at the 2022 election.
Today’s instalment of Chart of the Day is an update of last week’s effort tracking the volume of early voting in comparison with 2022. Impressive daily numbers have fuelled reportage of an historic upsurge, but this partly reflects the limitation of opportunities resulting from Easter Monday and Anzac Day. The third of these charts puts things in proper perspective by recording cumulative early voting as a share of enrolment, which stood at 19.2% as of the close of Monday, compared with 17.9% at the same point in 2022.
“Such numbers help explain the Coalition’s bullishness …”
… or is it ‘bullshit-ness’?
William you have transposed the last two Resolve figures, giving the previous poll as current result and vice-versa. Difference is very small.
May be worth noting the Resolve result from the start of campaign was 51/49. Also useful to note how they have calculated preferences. Thanks.
You are right, Damon. The problems are systemic, so systemic transformation is required. The failures of neoliberal economic policy cannot be solved by mindfulness and yoga. We need to smash the current political system to pieces and build something that is truly democratic, that is connected to the grassroots level of society, that meets everyone’s basic needs, and that gives us the freedom to enjoy leisure, culture, artistry, and community.
I hope to God that the benefits of artificial intelligence and robots will be democratised as much as possible – that individuals and communities will control it and use it to meet their needs. Corporate-controlled AI and robots would just extend the current malaise.
“JWS Research seat polling shows right-wing minor party voters favouring the Coalition on preferences in far greater degree than usual, specifically by 90% in Whitlam and Werriwa and 85% in the rather different milieu of Ryan.”
I’m not familiar with the milieu of Whitlam and Werriwa, but I do know my way around Ryan.
In 2022, rightwing minor parties scored 7% of the primary vote in Ryan, split across LibDems, PHON and UAP with 2-point-something each.
The media persists in bracketing Ryan with the other two Greens seats in Brisbane as “inner city” — but the AEC classifies it as ‘Outer Suburban’. At its nearest, it’s 4 km from the GPO — and at its furthest, more than 40 km.
In the voter queues in Ryan you’ll see lots of hi-vis workwear interleaved with the blue-checked smart-casual shirts sported by Liberal-voting business types.
The Age website is desperately trying to spin Trump as a positive for Dutton this morning, with two headlines, one asserting that “Trump confirms” (lol) that Albanese has been trying to call him, and the other with a nonsensical spin on the Resolve poll- “Poll shows PM holds clear lead, until the question of Trump arises”
Presumably they don’t follow Canadian politics.
William gets a mention in this article by Annabell Crabbe..
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04-30/coalition-bus-whitlam-aged-care-soft-voters-peter-dutton/105228352
In that story posted by Dee it says Ben Britton was the Lib Candidate for Whitlam, he was disendorsed, but still running as an independent.
The Libs sent out official postal voting information and introductory letter about him rather than their replacment candidate.
I guess he is now counted as part of the 90% of preferences from right wing candidate going to the Liberal Party.
This high preference flow looks like the Libs trying to make something up to motivate the troops.
The coalition blew out to $8 on Betfair. I suppose we’re getting to the business end of it now.
Labor cabinet minister Clare O’Neil has been embroiled in an election-eve controversy over Chinese campaign volunteers, with confirmation 10 individuals linked to an organisation associated with Beijing’s foreign influence operation were being recruited to staff her polling booths on election day.
The Australian can reveal Chinese-Australian Labor Party member Chap Chow, who describes himself as a “friend” of the minister he’s been “helping out”, organised with the Hubei Association in the past week to recruit volunteers for her electorate of Hotham.
But in a sudden about-face, Mr Chow contacted Hubei Association president Ji Jianmin on Tuesday morning – after news of its volunteers being involved in teal MP Monique Ryan’s Kooyong campaign broke, prompting the Australian Electoral Commission to order a federal investigation – to cancel the 10 volunteers.
Mr Ji told The Australian that he was a supporter of Dr Ryan. “I think she represents our community quite well. I do like Monique Ryan. I feel like she’s a good community representative,” he said.
The Hubei Association has previously been accused of working with the United Front Department, a Chinese Communist Party agency tasked with spreading Beijing’s message overseas.
Labor has distanced itself from the plan to recruit the Hubei volunteers, describing it as an initiative from Mr Chow who operates as a link between Melbourne’s Chinese community and the ALP.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/election-2025-labor-minister-clare-oneil-rushes-to-axe-chinese-polling-booth-recruits/news-story/c705e13e66913ce86dd9df3c8709a611?amp
The JWS research outlined by William, and helpfully (desperately?) dropped to Phil Coorey leads the AFR 3 days out from election day.
How times have changed – the nativist One Nation and crackpot Clive Palmer are going to save the Liberal Party through preferences. The business community who read the AFR must be thinking WTF today.
And some more from p6 of the AFR..
Those swinging to such parties include disaffected Labor voters who are then directing preferences to the Liberal Party.
Consequently, between 80 per cent and 90 per cent of right-of-centre preferences are flowing to the Coalition, whereas the national average at the last election was about two thirds.
“The difference this time is the preference flow,” said a Liberal Party source, speaking on condition of anonymity. “Aunty Pauline
is now acceptable.”
Internal party research described to The Australian Financial Review had the Coalition ahead by a nose in Whitlam last week. Outgoing Assistant Treasurer Stephen Jones is the retiring Labor MP.
A poll in Whitlam conducted by JWS Research two weeks ago sampled 800 voters and used the name and party of each candidate to maximise accuracy, and asked voters how they would direct their preference. It found 13 per cent combined support for One Nation, Trumpet of Patriots and the Libertarian party candidates.
Of this 13 per cent, 90 per cent indicated they would preference the Liberal candidate Nathaniel Smith and 10 per cent nominated Labor’s Carol Berry.
Similarly, the south-western Sydney seat of Werriwa, once held by Labor leaders Gough Whitlam and Mark Latham, is also in the Coalition’s sights. Dutton held the Liberal Party campaign launch in the electorate.
JWS Research also polled Werriwa and found an 18 per cent primary vote for the right-of-centre parties, with 90 per cent of preferences again flowing to the Liberal candidate.
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/coalition-counts-on-one-nation-preferences-to-narrow-gap-20250428-p5lun8
Thanks William. Your views on ONP preferences answers my questions of a couple of weeks ago. I thought about a 2% uplift for the Coalition resulting from the preference deal. Of course it all depends on the extent to which people follow HTV cards. I’ve heard some say it’s only about a third of voters now.
‘Aunty Pauline’?
Thanks William!
“JWS Research seat polling shows right-wing minor party voters favouring the Coalition on preferences in far greater degree than usual, specifically by 90% in Whitlam and Werriwa and 85% in the rather different milieu of Ryan.”
Unbelievable. As in, I don’t believe it.
Spent yesterday evening working out how we are going to keep voters out of the school Fete (Sunday) setup site. Don’t want to see any of the punters crushed under the vomitron – it might affecting the P&C’s revenue raising.
It’s interesting that JWS Research has done zero public polling this election AFAIK. Yet 3 days out, are prompted to drop this nugget to Phil Coorey..
JWS Research director John Scales said the trend was reminiscent of 1996 when John Howard swept up Labor seats populated by the so-called “Howard battlers”.
Scales said it would be a mistake, as some pollsters are doing, to apply 2022 preference flows to 2025 polls because the preference ratios have likely changed.
“The preference ratio for the right-of-centre minors this time looks more like 80-20 or even 90-10 favouring the LNP,” he said.
It’s the vibe, or the spin more likely, rather than hard numbers.
I doubt that Labor will be attacking Phil Coorey or AFR for the headline and story about One Nation might rescue Dutton.
Highlighting the Liberal One Nation preference arrangement seems an obvious plus for both Labor and Greens.
Liberal stuff ups in Whitlam. You have to wonder who’s running the NSW Liberals.
…
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04-30/coalition-bus-whitlam-aged-care-soft-voters-peter-dutton/105228352
World Politics & News Patrol:
Amazon says displaying tariff cost ‘not going to happen’ after White House blow: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/29/amazon-considers-displaying-tariff-surcharge-on-low-cost-haul-products.html
Trump Boasts About Bullying Bezos Into Ditching Tariff Warning: https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-boasts-about-bullying-bezos-into-ditching-tariff-warning/
Most Americans see Trump as “dangerous dictator,” poll says: https://www.axios.com/2025/04/29/prri-poll-most-americans-trump-dangerous-dictator
Trump Orders Hegseth, Bondi to Send Military Assets to State, Local Police ‘to Prevent Crime’ in Latest Executive Order: https://www.latintimes.com/trump-orders-hegseth-bondi-send-military-assets-state-local-police-prevent-crime-latest-581925
Trump Issues Executive Order Ramping Up American Police State: https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/trump-executive-order-law-enforcement-1235327251/
The ‘f*** your feelings’ crowd is suddenly getting really upset over Democrats cussing: https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/democrat-language-cursing-fox-reaction-b2741621.html
Union Workers Turn on Trump Tariffs: ‘Direct Attack on the Working Class’: https://www.newsweek.com/union-workers-turn-trump-tariffs-2065456
Angry Florida voters hold ‘empty chair’ town halls for absent Republicans: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/apr/29/empty-chair-town-hall-republicans-florida
UPS announces 20,000 job cuts, 73 facility closures amid fewer Amazon shipments: https://www.denver7.com/politics/economy/ups-announces-job-cuts-and-facility-closures-as-amazon-reduces-volume
Russia Returned Ukrainian Journalist Viktoria Roshchyna’s Body Without Internal Organs: https://united24media.com/latest-news/russia-returned-ukrainian-journalist-viktoria-roshchynas-body-without-internal-organs-7968
‘Our old relationship of integration with US is now over’: Canadian PM: https://www.business-standard.com/world-news/our-old-relationship-of-integration-with-us-is-now-over-canadian-pm-125042900567_1.html
Canada’s conservative leader Pierre Poilievre loses his own seat in election collapse: https://www.politico.eu/article/pierre-poilievre-mark-carney-canada-election-conservative-liberal/
Russia rejects Trump’s proposed peace deal: https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-demands-permanent-ceasefire-170842539.html
Tusk declares new “national doctrine” to ensure Poland has “strongest army and economy in region”: https://notesfrompoland.com/2025/04/26/tusk-declares-new-national-doctrine-to-ensure-poland-has-strongest-army-and-economy-in-region/
Putin’s proposal for “three-day truce” is absurd, says Trump’s Ukraine envoy Kellogg: https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/04/29/7509756/
The shocking protest groups that claim grooming gang trials are ‘racist’ and call victims ‘dirty b******’: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14655407/shocking-protest-groups-claim-grooming-gang-trials-racist.html
Scottish FA banning transgender women from playing in women’s football: https://news.sky.com/story/scottish-fa-banning-transgender-women-from-playing-in-womens-football-13358216
If you compared the AFR readership in Wentworth to Werriwa, I’d guess that it is 90/10.
The obvious risk of promoting “Auntie Pauline” as being acceptable to the wealthy residents of Sydney has undoubtedly been factored in by the brains trust (sic) running the Liberal campaign.
bug1 @ #7 Wednesday, April 30th, 2025 – 5:55 am
It looks like the Liberals taking off the sheep’s mask and exposing themselves to the electorate as the Far Right Wing misogynistic Trumpist wolves in wolves clothing that they are now.
Yes, but the preference flows!
It took Clive Palmer just four weeks to assemble nearly 100 candidates to represent the Trumpet of Patriots party.
So it may have slipped the attention of the vetting team that they include a convicted conman who was extradited from Canada in 2011 and spent three years in jail, a fake psychologist who calls himself “professor” though he bought his qualifications online, a man facing stalking charges, and at least two former bankrupts.
However, in what must be considered a coup, they have managed to convince His Royal Highness Prince Todd Charles Juchau, a self-proclaimed direct descendant of Charlemagne, to fly the banner for the Trumpet in New England, northern NSW.
Juchau is a security guard from Murrurundi, who told a tribunal in a failed compensation claim in 2020 that he spent most of the day watching television.
“The reason I am running is because I want to step into my ancestral roots,” he told the New England Times after drawing sixth place on the ballot earlier this month. (A better known commoner, Barnaby Joyce, drew first spot.)
Juchau was knocked back by the Registry of Births, Deaths and Marriages in a bid to change his first name to “Prince” in 2011, but maintains the subtitles “Protector of the Faithful” and “Defender of the Kingdom” and will be hoping to add to them with the suffix “MP”.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/the-prince-the-pauper-perp-and-other-patriots-in-the-trumpet-20250429-p5lv3u.html
William, if you are about. The Yougov analysis to which you linked your introduction is dated mid-February. Do you have a view on whether the ONP / Coalition preference deal would have a material effect on the Yougov analysis?
Another Dutton like flip flop:
US President Donald Trump has signed an order to ease the impact of new tariffs on the auto industry, which had sparked warnings about higher prices and the potential for significant hits to sales and production. The change will allow carmakers with US factories to reduce the amount they pay in import taxes on foreign parts, using a formula tied to how many cars they sell and the price.
The provision is intended to provide relief to businesses for two years as they rework their supply chains, White House officials said. They also said that parts made in Canada and Mexico that follow North America free trade rules would not face tariffs, an exemption previously described as temporary.
It came as Trump visited Michigan on Tuesday for a rally to mark his first 100 days in office.
The state is home to the so-called Detroit Three carmakers – Ford, General Motors (GM) and Stellantis – and a network of more than 1,000 major suppliers to the industry.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c70zy5w983go
Hi guys, C@t here. I think I picked up a bug at Pre Poll the other day and I now have a cough and feel dreadful, so I slept in. Never fear I will plug on now with the News Roundup, which sounds like the media are at the point of trying to put a spoke in Labor’s wheels to stymie their momentum. Never fear, you will see the Roundup, just a bit later than usual. 🙂
With just four days till the counting begins for the 2025 Federal election, and nearly three years since the Dutton LNP announced it was in campaign mode for this election, the “edge” has been maintained by a steady stream of polling, commentary and scuttlebutt.
The disengaged, the politically unwashed, the integrity of politics and the media’s thirst for content keep a small subsection of us, the politically addicted, entertained for much of three years.
And the three years hasn’t disappointed!
Some of Mr Trump and Maga, the shambolic post Boris unUnited Kingdom, the Middle East, a belligerent Russia, the shadow that is China, the emerging India and an ambitious Indonesia have all contributed to a tumultuous three years.
Mr Albanese has had a bountiful international plate and a surprisingly nuclear Mr Dutton to test any political digestive system.
The public’s assessment of the Albanese Labor government will conclude on Saturday.
If Labor is successful on Saturday it will bring to an end many years of high turnover “takeaway” politics, you desire it, devour it and still feel hungry.
The majority/minority thingie adds further enticing presentation and would be a godsend for a flailing ever ambitious media pack.
Can “the lucky country” , against the odds drop the ball?
You’d hope not.
https://theshot.net.au/uncategorized/sorry-not-sorry-welcome-not-welcome/, it isn’t easy being Peter, especially having risen to Peter’s level of incompetence, nothing positive from the unrock, ever; the nation would have progressed/ advanced
further with a decent opp, let’s see how crossbenchers go
It is not as if other regular pollsters are not checking the respondent preferences against last election preferences.
Clearly where there has been a sizeable shift of LNP voters to ON there is likely to be a higher rate of preference returns. As Kevin Bonham and others have been indicating.
But there would also be some Labor voters heading to ON because of the big increase in immigration and overseas students come low paid workers.
80 to 90 % ON preferences to LNP seems about as believable as the Dutton cuddly makeover.
Leaked ‘internal party polling’ = BS.
Always.
So, of about 100 people in Whitlam who said they would be voting for RW minor, about 90 of them said they would be preferencing the libs.
Not sure what the MOE is on that…….also I am guessing another factor with low information voter preference flows is a higher propensity to soft donkey vote (I.e. 1 in the PV box and then donkey the rest) or some other random approach.
Definitely looks like copium being dispensed
Dr Bonham has an opinion on the touted One Nation preference flows..
It’s JWS who have put out some weird seat polls and these samples of minor right voters wouldn’t be large. Have been thinking the coziness of ON/LNP might further boost the ON preference flow but 80+% across the board I doubt, parties with low primaries always have spray
I don’t see it makes a big difference by itself because the status quo from 2022 was ON recommending prefs to them almost everywhere (a handful of seats where they recommended Labor, mostly to try to get rid of L-NP moderates.)
If there’s a big shift in ON flow that matters.
The impacts of following L-NP how to vote cards are actually a way bigger deal in the Senate where votes really can flow (in some cases likely) across whole states from excluded 3rd L-NP candidates to One Nation and Family First.
Look at how the Liberals are trying to spin Pauline Hanson’s Racist Nation as now completely acceptable, with the endearing ‘Aunty’. They should hang their heads in shame and be driven out of town with a bullwhip, IMO.
The process that began under John Howard of expunging the moderates has reached its apotheosis under Peter Dutton and others. The party now pins it’s hopes on bigoted yobboes and muddled minded patriots. John Howards famous Broadchurch has just become a church full of right wing Christians and his famous dog whistle ( he was such a virtuoso on this instrument that
the ABC could have advertised a record of his greatest hits to buy mum for Xmas) has turned into a Trump – et or vuvuzela under Dutton . It’s no wonder the moderates are now independents and women as the LNP has very litte room for either. Whatever happens on the weekend this is where the Liberal party now finds itself .
……The failures of neoliberal economic policy cannot be solved by mindfulness and yoga. We need to smash the current political system to pieces and build something that is truly democratic…….
—————————————-
Well, it’s not going to be solved by Democrat Senators talking endlessly. Endless jibber jabber partly got them into this.
But smashing existing systems to pieces creates chaos – so you can’t predict what happens next. In chaos, little things can create drastic changes in the course of events.
“The temptation,
To take the precious things we have apart
To see how they work
Must be resisted for they never fit together again.”
Billy Bragg
835k pre-polls Monday according to Antony: https://antonygreen.com.au/fed2025-tracking-the-early-vote/
Let’s hope we follow Canada’s lead and elect a minority government. Although I was hoping they’d get within 1 and could rely on the Green
Will the trend in the final polls continue with less than 2/3rds of the primary vote for the majors and the Greens in the teens? It’s almost like they are herding so far
Bring on #25in25
The federal liberal party candidates are not gaining seats in non Lib/nats held seats with primary votes in 20’s, 30’s % , no matter how much 2pp preferences aligned lib/nats minor party candidates give them
Liberal party candidates need 43% or more to be confident
And Kos Samaras also has an opinion on One Nation preferences saving the day for that nice man from Queensland…
@KosSamaras
·
9h
We are in the realm of relying on wonder weapons and magic potions.
Repeat after me: A One Nation voter is, overwhelmingly, a former Coalition voter – not a former Labor voter.
A former Labor voter in Sydney’s or Melbourne’s outer suburbs is more likely to be a diverse Australian and they are certainly not fans of a political party mainly supported by Australians over the age of 65 – otherwise known as One Nation.
One Nation did not win Fowler. An example.
“I doubt that Labor will be attacking Phil Coorey or AFR for the headline and story about One Nation might rescue Dutton.
Highlighting the Liberal One Nation preference arrangement seems an obvious plus for both Labor and Greens.”
@Spence
I will say though Labor hasn’t seem to run hard on the One Nation preference deal that Queensland Labor premiers Peter Beattie did in elections 1998 and 2001. And Annastacia Palaszczuk did in 2017. There must be reason for this. I’m wondering they don’t want to alienate outer suburb and regional voters voting One Nation but considering giving there preference to Labor.
Scott raises a valid point. We don’t have the remaining primaries for this JWS Research data. We don’t know the extent to which this increased support for ‘right-of-centre’ parties has cannibalised the LNP primary vote.
EDIT: as has Kos via sprocket_
Hard Being Green. Having thought about the Senate. Any review of your earlier suggestion that not expressing a choice between Labor, Liberal/National, One Nation and Trumpets after preferencing Greens and progressive/somewhat progressive minors is good advice to voters now and long term.
CPI figures at 11:30 might push an economic narrative today.
Libs have gotten an easy pass from the media on economics and their lack of costings, i wonder if they will get asked questions today.
The most interesting thing for me is who wrote this piece. Phil Cleary I can understand. But to see ‘ADDITIONAL REPORTING: PAUL KARP’ at the end of the article was personally disappointing.
Labor cabinet minister Clare O’Neil has been embroiled in an election-eve controversy over Chinese campaign volunteers, with confirmation 10 individuals linked to an organisation associated with Beijing’s foreign influence operation were being recruited to staff her polling booths on election day.
_____________________
She has had a poor 3 years in Govt.
Has just been one stuff up after another.
https://interestingengineering.com/military/china-deploys-200-ton-attack-boats, present
… hmmm, Achilles/ Ajax/ Exeter (Withdrew to Port Stanley)/ Cumberland v Graf Spee (Scuttled), past?
One more for BW, given special forces, space, platform, missiles, drones, civil defence, AI, future
Griff:
“We don’t know the extent to which this increased support for ‘right-of-centre’ parties has cannibalised the LNP primary vote.”
That, and the combined LNP and PHON primary has gone down (if Resolve is to be believed).
Interesting take on the JWS Research. Apparently Dutton may have the whip hand to form minority government. All based on the seat polling and analysis of preference flows.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04-30/final-campaign-dash-kicks-off-election/105147796?utm_source=abc_news_app&utm_medium=content_shared&utm_campaign=abc_news_app&utm_content=link
Meanwhile SA currently getting 1/6 of power from batteries. What an example of how the power grid has changed.
“CPI figures at 11:30 might push an economic narrative today.
Libs have gotten an easy pass from the media on economics and their lack of costings, i wonder if they will get asked questions today.”
@bug1
Absolutely. Liberals driving around with a Labor debt truck when they delivered 9 deficits. And delivered a debt five times the amount of the previous Labor government is opportunitic, hypocritical, and shows they stand for nothing but empty rhetoric.
Good Morning Spence
It’s not advice on how to vote in the Senate, it’s my personal preference.
I posted some numbers last night on where things should likely land i.e. The Greens and Labor combined on at least 37 seats and many paths to getting legislation through
Just need both to give a little ground and find suitable compromise positions for some strong progressive outcomes
Get well soon Cat! Love your work.