The Poll Bludger’s long-awaited federal election guide is now in action. It’s outwardly similar to this site’s past such guides but, in very real if not immediately apparent ways, better. A beginner’s guide:
• There is a page for each of the 150 lower house electorates, featuring overviews of their history and demographic profiles, candidate lists that are as up-to-date as I can make it (an ongoing task) with write-ups for those deemed competitive, an interactive map display with booth results from the 2022 election (which opens if you click the “activate” button at the bottom of the post, chart and tabular table of the 2022 results, historical charts showing party votes going back to 2001, and a number of charts recording the electorate’s demographic indicators. The historical vote charts now include primary as well as two-party preferred, which took some doing. One of the ways you can get all this is through a map-based landing page which also contains what could loosely be described as a pendulum.
• Margins and party vote shares are based on my own determinations where redistributions have been held, namely New South Wales, Victoria, Western Australia and the Northern Territory, and will thus differ from those of the ABC and the AEC. To follow on from this rather arcane earlier post discussing the various approaches taken by practitioners of electoral science in estimating support for independent members in areas where they weren’t on the ballot paper last time, some further explanation is warranted for the margins shown in five seats where independents made the final counts in 2022 and where the boundaries have changed: Fowler, Wentworth, Goldstein, Kooyong and Wannon. I have implemented a new method of estimating latent independent support to add to those described in the earlier post (by the AEC, Antony Green, Ben Raue, and me on my first go), in which statistical models have been developed to predict teal vote share based on the Indigenous Voice yes vote and various demographic variables. We seem to be in fairly close accord in most cases, but are all over the shop with Wentworth (UPDATE: Which turns out to be a tabulation error on my parts, which I’ve now corrected).
• There is also Senate guide featuring an overview page and individual pages for the six states and two territories, along similar lines to the aforementioned lower house seat pages.
• An overview page reviews the 2022 result, explains a few of the basics, considers where the election might be won, lost or fought to a draw, and has chart and table displays of results from last time and election past.
• The BludgerTrack poll aggregate now has a home under the roof of the federal election guide.
This seems to amount to around 80,000 words on top of all the coding and data aggregation that was required, and much of it constitutes preliminary work for the live results that will feature on this site on election night and beyond, which I humbly submit will put all its rivals in the shade. To this point, all I have to show for all this is satisfaction with a job well done: if you think something more is deserved, donations are gratefully received through the “become a supporter” button at the top of the site and at the bottom of each post.
While we’re here, some polling loose ends:
• The weekly Roy Morgan poll has the Coalition with an unchanged 52-48 lead on respondent-allocated preferences, but in from 52-48 to 51-49 based on 2022 election preference flows. The primary votes are Labor 29.5% (up one), Coalition 40.5% (down one-and-a-half), Greens 11.5% (down one-and-a-half) and One Nation 6% (up two). The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1567.
• Further results from last week’s Resolve Strategic poll show 61% support for keeping January 26 as the date for Australia Day, substantially up from 47% when the same question was asked two years ago, with opposition down from 39% to 24%. There remains a marked generational effect, with respective numbers of 35% and 42% for those 18-to-34 and 79% and 12% for 55-plus. Fifty-two per cent expressed support for Peter Dutton’s proposal to enshrine the date in law, with 24% opposed.
For obvious reasons information about the caravan full of explosives is scant. I wonder if that would be the case if “people of middle eastern appearance” had been involved. It’s starting to look like extreme right wingers are involved.
It’s a bit hard to tell from SA but it appears NSWs privatisation of the mental health system is going better than expected.
I haven’t seen any catastrophes. Yet.
Powerful perspective on Palestine from a native American.
https://www.facebook.com/reel/1754600111751454
Granny Anny says:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 11:02 am
For obvious reasons information about the caravan full of explosives is scant. I wonder if that would be the case if “people of middle eastern appearance” had been involved. It’s starting to look like extreme right wingers are involved.
_________________________________________________
Certainly it would be the same. There are many, many people in this country who could qualify as being of middle eastern appearance, even if they have not an ounce of that ancestry in their bodies. A descriptor like this would be utterly useless in tracking down the offender/s. These descriptors tend to be used when the police have a very clear idea of who they are looking for and may help in tracking the specific people down (like the couple who were murdered near Sydney airport).
The Government (state and commonwealth) have no interest in creating more division, particularly when Dutton is so keen to promote division. It seems to me that these attacks are definitely aimed at creating community conflict, as well as creating or reigniting fear of people who look like Muslims in the public eye.
Stephen Jones pulls the plug.
No way someone of his ability wants to spend 10 years in opposition.
There’ll be few more who see the writing on the wall I imagine.
Media economics 101. If you can’t recite the latest monthly economic figures. The media will vilify you. If you, as treasury spokesperson, have not the faintest idea how the economy works and believes deflation would be good for the economy. The media will run cover for you instead.
“It was a tougher task for Angus Taylor, who tried to emphasise the negatives but got himself a little stuck when he complained prices “weren’t coming down”. That’s called deflation and it’s a disaster for economies, often associated with recession. Which might be why he tried to backtrack when asked again.”
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-01-29/federal-politics-blog-january-29/104870084#live-blog-post-149609
Quote: “Fantastic. Great move. Well done Angus.”
pied piper says:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 9:57 am
…………..
Big trouble for Albo last thing he would want and he would not of agreed to nature positive parliamentary action next week as it torch’s his WA vote ,Cook went beserk yesterday at labor feds in media.Damaging.
Tanya has decided via her staffers to get revenge on Albo for him throwing her under the bus more than once and backbenchers may also be playing a role worried they are out of a seat soon.
Next week will be ugly if Albo does not shut this down but can he though ?
Uncle Phil and AFR sniffs this and have it front page treatment.
As usual with this government own goals and one step forward two steps back.
———————————
Certainly many own goals with the Albanese government. Including the weak response from a weak leader, Albanese, backing down on the Labor 2022 election promise of an improved Environment Protection Australia (EPA), the Nature Positive Laws.
The EPA is an election commitment and a long held Labor platform position- since 2018 when over 500 branches from across Australia, moved a motion calling for new environment laws and EPA.
Numbers supporting will have grown since 2018.
We can see the Mining Council has more influence on Cook, and Albanese than voters. Who may not want to lose them as donors. Wealthier people and big business drives Labor decision making.
As we know in Labor political decisions donors buy policy. And Labor also crumble to what they believe the Murdoch media want.
Too bad about the large number of WA voters, Labor MPs, Labor members, Labor supporters and general community members who want better protection for our remaining habitats and native animals, birds, plants – flora and fauna.
And this EPA was one piece of legislation, a very important one, Albanese failed to pass. AE made a big mistake saying all passed.
As we know global warming due to increased burning of fossil fuels, as well as reducing CO2 absorbing forests by refusing to stop land clearing, both are the Albanese Labor government policies, are not the direction voters want.
With Climate 200 and other Independents and The Greens ready to pick up once Labor supporters.
From 43.3% in 2007 to 30% or less in 2025 now supporting Labor shows how they are failing a majority of Australian voters.
How much further will voter support fall over the next 10 years? With these Labor polices ignoring the environment? Especially while insurance premiums keep rising, from more extreme weather events, adding to cost-of -living pressures. And some will be denied insurance cover. Full stop.
Could be one of the main reasons voter support is dropping due to Albanese’s priority support for the big end of town.
Mundosays:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 11:16 am
Stephen Jones pulls the plug.
No way someone of his ability wants to spend 10 years in opposition.
There’ll be few more who see the writing on the wall I imagine.
_____________________________________________
at least 2 more to come before Der Untergang.
My money is on Penny Wong and Dreyfuss to tap the matt.
That would make 20% turn over. At least Andrew Giles is staying for the healing and rebuilding by the looks of it.
This is the industry I worked in. Basically we a bunch of social misfits. Too much Sci fi. Some see Brave New World as a map for the future, not a warning. Unfortunately the Liberal party is suffering the same problem.
Democracy does not fit into the idea that the pigs should be running the farm ( another warning).
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/ng-interactive/2025/jan/29/silicon-valley-rightwing-technofascism
Mundo says:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 11:16 am
Stephen Jones pulls the plug.
No way someone of his ability wants to spend 10 years in opposition.
There’ll be few more who see the writing on the wall I imagine.
———————————-
Yes. Likely why Bill Shorten resigned. Another lengthy period in Opposition wouldn’t suit him. He likes to be influential in Labor policy, as he has guided Labor from 2010.
Internal polling for Labor showing dire predictions,
Has always supported wealthy business and wealthy voters needs over the majority of Australians.
Once he spoke on Q&A how the media needed gambling advertising for income, a month later he advertised his retirement. A push from other MPs too?
Diogenes says:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 11:09 am
It’s a bit hard to tell from SA but it appears NSWs privatisation of the mental health system is going better than expected.
I haven’t seen any catastrophes. Yet.
You have to admit, by resigning on mass the psychiatrists made it pretty easy.
Having stumbled upon a caravan loaded with explosives (but not detonators) and other suspicious material, the police and other authorities immediately embarked on a major investigation resulting in multiple arrests.
But what do we get? A massive pile-on over the public not being immediately notified of the find. If it was announced immediately all clear air for investigation would have vanished.
Cheap shots and cheap journalism IMHO.
frednksays:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 11:29 am
Diogenes says:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 11:09 am
It’s a bit hard to tell from SA but it appears NSWs privatisation of the mental health system is going better than expected.
I haven’t seen any catastrophes. Yet.
You have to admit, by resigning on mass the physicists made it pretty easy.
___________________________
Minister Park’s version of juche ?
Yes, no way Stephen Jones would be retiring if he thought Labor was going to win, no doubt the replacement candidate in Whitlam will be another union hack.
Irene and PP says: …
When the right complains the ALP is doing too much for the environment, and the left complains they are not doing enough, the policy settings are probably right for the broader electorate at large.
Irene says:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 11:28 am
Mundo says:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 11:16 am
Stephen Jones pulls the plug.
No way someone of his ability wants to spend 10 years in opposition.
There’ll be few more who see the writing on the wall I imagine.
———————————-
Yes. Likely why Bill Shorten resigned. Another lengthy period in Opposition wouldn’t suit him. He likes to be influential in Labor policy, as he has guided Labor from 2010.
Internal polling for Labor showing dire predictions,
———————
There are probably about the same number of federal Lib/nats are retiring before or at the 2025 federal election
Does that mean
internal polling for federal lib/nats are not showing much improvement from the 2022 federal election
Does that mean Paul Fletcher , Keith Pitt and others in the federal lib/nats, know they will be in opposition for the remainder of the the 2020’s?
Hubris watch bulletin:
Hubris levels have reached new highs amongst Dutton and his deranged supporters. The Lodge Drapes index is reaching nearly 100% drape coverage. With only the Garden Shed not currently being measured. Could this be peak hubris for Dutton and his deranged mates?
Quote: “Pride cometh before the fall”
paul Asays:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 12:53 am
PM in trouble now in W.A. – Nature Positive Laws. He’s like a dog returning to it’s vomit.
He can’t keep away from the woke crap. What is it with him. Is he woke?
Now we have this cuddle-puff piece.
https://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/relationships/family-friends/prime-minister-anthony-albanese-opens-up-about-how-mother-considered-putting-him-up-for-adoption-as-child/news-story/5a9e1b01812956ae402879f7dd17d767
Poor little Albo’s adoption story. Polling is shit, so now we are at this stage – poor little Albo.
Pathetic.
Like the ear-ring too Albo. Yeah, great photo to use. Add in the “looney eyes” photo. Great pic.
Clueless media department in your office. Who’se the idiot you hired from the Guardian???
Bye bye Albo. You won’t be missed.
Oncer.
===================================================
ScromoIIsays:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 10:09 am
Those of you who think that one measly interest rate reduction is going to make any impact on Albanese’s fortunes are sure to be bitterly disappointed.
It will merely slow the rate of further decline – would an election be held now it would probably result in a Dutton majority government (or very nearly so). Remember that we had 14 interest rate rises during this term where very, very little substantive policy change was passed.
The best that Albanese can do now is call an election as soon as possible and fall on his sword.
The age of wokery and “welcomes-to-country” is OVER!
==================================================
Taylormadesays:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 10:36 am
ScromoIIsays:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 10:09 am
Those of you who think that one measly interest rate reduction is going to make any impact on Albanese’s fortunes are sure to be bitterly disappointed
_____________________
Agree.
Who could ever forget Earlwood wanking on for days about Labor passing all the backed up legislation at the end of last year.
Bragged about it being a massive game changer.
Yet KB’s tracker has the Coalition + .3 since the start of the year.
================================================
pied pipersays:
Wednesday, January 29, 2025 at 7:33 pm
Australia is paying a high price as the federal Labor government has sold out to Hamas due to trying to hang onto western Sydney votes.
Ironically these Zealots will turn on Fed labor when voting starts just like Grace Tame as they know Albanese is weak.
The public rate Dutton in poll after poll better than albanese.Polls also showing primary fed labor vote sinking to 20s.
Democracy Sausage says: ‘Yes, no way Stephen Jones would be retiring if he thought Labor was going to win, no doubt the replacement candidate in Whitlam will be another union hack.’
I had similar thoughts about the coalition in 2019 when Christopher Pyne retired.
To call out Nuckleer Pete and his uncontested lies
There is a Jewish faith complex in near proximity to us – and on the course of my morning walk
There have been armed guards beyond the fencing for 45 years
At other sites there is signage “Free Palestine” and “stop the Jews from killing children”
For every action there is a reaction
Posters on the right are pretty agro this morning… Must be rattled! Bex and a good lie down chaps…
The psychiatrists are now claiming they resigned for noble causes.
As a psychiatrists takes years to train, what exactly was their solution to the problem? Clearly a wage rise was not a short term solution. Might help in the long term. Given the rise of the therapist (greater supply, lower cost) what made them think their roles would not change?
I suspect a little too much arrogance and not enough thought as to how the industry is changing.
Irenesays:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 11:20 am
pied piper says:
==================================================
Irene and Pied Piper a match made in far right heaven. Did they come together bonding over their shared beliefs in their saviour Elon?
Granny Anny @ #50 Thursday, January 30th, 2025 – 11:02 am
It’s an interesting theory, especially when the Premier of NSW put it this way:
“Badly motivated, bad ideologies, bad morals, bad ethics, bad people, they’re intent on doing harm to others in their community, people they’ve never met before, purely on the basis of their religion. It’s hateful, it’s an ideology that we need to stamp out.”
Also, the explosive they were going to use came from a mine site.
Golf Foxtrot Yankee says:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 11:34 am
Irene and PP says: …
When the right complains the ALP is doing too much for the environment, and the left complains they are not doing enough, the policy settings are probably right for the broader electorate at large.
———————————-
We will see. But loss of Labor support by over 70% of the electorate since 2007, when Labor support was over 43% says there are many polices from Labor voters are not happy with.
From David Pocock, ACT Senator:
Despite 78% of West Australians wanting stronger enviro laws, a Labor Premier & Labor PM prioritise fossil fuel companies over Nature and protecting this incredible place for future generations? ♂️
We’ve got state capture of the major parties in
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/wa-premier-warns-east-coast-latte-sippers-over-nature-positive-laws-20250129-p5l83v
Says it all why Labor is failing. They are not interested in what voters want.
Suspect obeying what the Murdoch media and other pro business media want is Labor’s problem.
frednk @ #70 Thursday, January 30th, 2025 – 11:44 am
As I outlined yesterday, in the ED Department at my local hospital a new triage system has been implemented which assesses your most pertinent treatment need and the nurse directs you to that professional individual. So I immediately saw a Physiotherapist instead of a doctor. In and out in a little over an hour. Happy customer.
So I’m sure that a lot of the Mental Health cases could be triaged similarly. Not everyone needs to see a psychiatrist. For example, a Dietician and a Psychologist would be better off dealing with someone who has Anorexia or Bulimia. Psychiatrists should be happy to have their caseloads lightened in this way. Though territorial disputes are a big thing in Medicine.
Golf Foxtrot Yankee @ #69 Thursday, January 30th, 2025 – 11:43 am
Damned inflation figures! 😆
Irene says: ‘We will see. But loss of Labor support by over 70% of the electorate since 2007, when Labor support was over 43% says there are many polices from Labor voters are not happy with.’
Quite right… We will see. But the ALP can win a federal election with a 32.9 % pv these days, such is the nature of preferential voting. They are not far off that.
Meanwhile the NASDAQ drops again. Angus Taylor speaking on behalf of Donald Trump. Says it is good thing that shares are getting cheaper and we need a long sustainable decline in share prices to tackle inflation. He also indicated that, cheaper shares, means more people will be able to afford them for dinner. Which is a good thing, as under Trump, USA egg prices have skyrocketed.
Angus Taylor’s economic beliefs is: When you have no idea wing-it.
If I could direct Scotts attention to the tracker just over to the right here, they will note that the labor primary is very much not ‘steady’. Unless we’re talking long term trends, in which case the labor primary is very much still not steady.
Peter Dutton calling a few days back for Albo to fully disclose what was going on seemed hamfisted at the time. And so it was.
Investigation into Dural caravan ‘compromised’ after public disclosure, commissioner says
The NSW police commissioner, Karen Webb, said the investigation into the caravan laden with explosives found in Sydney has been compromised as it is now in the public domain.
She was speaking at the NSW premier and police press conference earlier this morning, stressing the point that the investigation was “covert”, requiring police to “go about our business without compromising” the investigation.
The fact this information is now in the public domain has compromised our investigation and has been detrimental to some of the strategies we may have used.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2025/jan/30/australia-news-live-caravan-attack-explosives-dural-antisemitism-leeser-chris-minns-anthony-albanese-peter-dutton-ntwnfb
Dutton is a complete dickhead.
banquo911 says:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 12:05 pm
If I could direct Scotts attention to the tracker just over to the right here, they will note that the labor primary is very much not ‘steady’. Unless we’re talking long term trends, in which case the labor primary is very much still not steady.
———————-
Labor primary vote has not change much since sept 7th 2013, it been around 32/33%
And looking at poll bludger tracker 1 % or so difference
The federal lib/nats combined primary vote fell 9.8%
Which most of the voters in 2pp gave swing to Labor
Have we reached Peak Dutton yet?
I’d say not. But bark is being scraped off every day as people focus on what’s being offered..
9.04am
Dutton accuses Albanese of ‘two card trick’ on WA mining
ByOlivia Ireland
Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has accused Prime Minister Anthony Albanese of being deceitful with the people of Western Australia, as he accuses federal Labor of putting a stop to mining.
Speaking from Alice Springs, Dutton told reporters that Albanese has been playing a “two card trick”.
“The fact is that the prime minister, I think, is being deceitful with the population in WA. WA and its economy thrives on mining and agriculture, and we now find out that there is a secret deal been signed between the Greens and the Labor party about introducing a bill which will stop mining in its tracks in WA, which would destroy the WA economy, not to mention the national economy,” he said.
“So if the prime minister is trying to stitch up a secret deal before the election he should release those details so that people know about it before they vote at the election. We need to get our country back on track. We need more mining and more support for the agricultural set.”
WA today the other WA news feed.
Cannot have this going on feds need to shut it down fast east coast a voter mess this is the subject if it drags on will create a even bigger mess state and feds labor in WA.
Me thinks PM was blindsided by Tanyas staff -payback?
Albo about to give a presser in Victoria with dud Vic premier.
Stephen Jones going is a plus for fed labor.
It seems the 500 people turn out for Dutton in WA, made him upset that Anthony Albanese had a bigger turn out in WA
Flyby piper going through the toilet papers for his LNP talking points.
Despite the trademark snark and disingenuous imputation from some, Stephen Jones says why he’s leaving after 15 years in Parliament.. and what he will do next.
I don’t know what that is yet … I am going to do something different.
And I am confident the Labor party will select a candidate who will run in the election and uphold the values and stand for, the things that people in this region needs, whether it is … better infrastructure, a future for our steel industry, rebuilding Medicare.
I left school in 1983 in this region. Some of you might remember, I remember what it was like when people are leaving school and couldn’t get a job and didn’t have hope for their future. People will criticise the decisions we have made, but they were right, because it means Australians, particularly young Australians, are in jobs today and I’m proud of that … We’ve got full employment, something they haven’t seen in my adult lifetime.
And as a minister I’ve been really proud to prioritise consumer protections, new right and new methods for consumers to ensure that whether it is at the supermarket or online their rights are protected and their money is kept safe.
We still mine coal but as a region we are much more. We have a world-class university which is on a yearly basis graduating thousands of students, many of whom are the first in the generation to go to university and it is giving them a great opportunity in life.
It is of great pride to me that we are prioritising Tafe and to ensure, whether you go to university or take up a trade, you have a path in life which is going to give you a secure and decent job. There’s new infrastructure for new suburbs … Investing in social housing, there are kids down the road living in social and supported housing because of the investments we have put into this region. We have connected every house and business to the NBN.
Scott,
Comparing Labor’s vote at the 2013 and 2022 elections is not doing apples for apples.
One was when Labor was thrown out of government, so should be a natural trough. The other was when they came into government, so should be a peak.
The fact their vote share in 2022 was even lower than the last time they got thrashed, even a bit lower, should be worrying the hell out of them.
Edit : Oh, and the same thing for the Coalition in reverse. Of course their vote was lower in 2022 when they lost, than it was in 2013 when they won.
So, share prices drop and people lose money from out of their share portfolios…but that’s okay because vultures are able to swoop in and buy their shares at a loss…or noobs are encouraged by Taylor to enter a very volatile market and maybe lose all their money too.
Um, oooooookkkkkkkk. 😐
pied piper says:
‘9.04am
Dutton accuses Albanese of ‘two card trick’ on WA mining
ByOlivia Ireland
Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has accused Prime Minister Anthony Albanese of being deceitful with the people of Western Australia, as he accuses federal Labor of putting a stop to mining.
Speaking from Alice Springs, Dutton told reporters that Albanese has been playing a “two card trick”.
“The fact is that the prime minister, I think, is being deceitful with the population in WA. WA and its economy thrives on mining and agriculture, and we now find out that there is a secret deal been signed between the Greens and the Labor party about introducing a bill which will stop mining in its tracks in WA, which would destroy the WA economy, not to mention the national economy,” he said.
“So if the prime minister is trying to stitch up a secret deal before the election he should release those details so that people know about it before they vote at the election. We need to get our country back on track. We need more mining and more support for the agricultural set.”
WA today the other WA news feed.
Cannot have this going on feds need to shut it down fast east coast a voter mess this is the subject if it drags on will create a even bigger mess state and feds labor in WA.
Me thinks PM was blindsided by Tanyas staff -payback?
Albo about to give a presser in Victoria with dud Vic premier.’
Secret deal with the greens to shut down mining???!!! Two card trick???!!! Oh no!
MarktheBallot (real name Prof Bryan Palmer), has updated his tracker, dated 24-Jan.
Once again, this is not a new poll, it’s an aggregation, similar to what KB, WB, the Guardian & the AEF Nowcast, simulate on.
Link: https://marktheballot.blogspot.com/
His preferred mathematical measure is the “Gaussian Random Walk”.
His numbers are as follows:
* ALP 30.67%
* LNP 39.39%
* GRN 12.40%
* Others/Indies (incl. PHON) 17.53%
His 2PP comes in at 48.82% to the ALP.
This 2PP is a bit more brutal than what KB & WB have calculated, and less so compared to the Guardian or AEF Nowcast trackers.
Anyway, over to those interested & thanks to all who compiled the DP and morning news round up. Very interesting read.
Mundo @ #55 Thursday, January 30th, 2025 – 11:16 am
JFC, mundo! Just change your nom to Mr Buzz Kill. There is NOTHING that anyone in Labor can do that you won’t find a mundo mopo negative to spin out of it.
I don’t remember you spinning the Liberal departures of Paul Fletcher and Simon Birmingham as portents of electoral doom, though.
Oh, that’s right, you’re just another Labor Concern Troll.
Ante Meridian says:
Thursday, January 30, 2025 at 12:20 pm
Scott,
Comparing Labor’s vote at the 2013 and 2022 elections is not doing apples for apples.
One was when Labor was thrown out of government, so should be a natural trough. The other was when they came into government, so should be a peak.
————————
Yes Labor primary vote could be higher, what matters to be in government is the number of seats in the house of reps
Labor has currently 78 seats in government
Secret deal with the greens to shut down mining???!!! Two card trick???!!! Oh no!
Which is why the Prime Minister has given money to WA for…checks notes…new Mining ventures…and even some to one of Big Gina’s mining companies, located in WA. 😐
Thank goodness we can fact check these outright lies here about Labor, unlike on fakebook who just doesn’t give a toss anymore. And various of the WA media.
steve davis @ #86 Thursday, January 30th, 2025 – 12:18 pm
Standard operating procedure.
A bot could do a better job.
Maybe he is a bot. He never replies.
sprocket_ @ #80 Thursday, January 30th, 2025 – 12:06 pm
A supporter in the NSW Police must have leaked it to Pete the former Plod.
The point what can not be ignored which does effect the Labor primary vote is , where voters know Labor has no chance in a Liberal party or National party seat, but the non lib/nats independent / minor party does.
Those labor voters are likely to put 2 next to the Labor party member
Interesting comment on the Chip Le Grand article linked earlier re polls. Not buying into arguments about this but it makes some sense
——————————————————————————-
A resolve poll, again. I actually contribute to them and the questions are basically biased. Bald statements with no background and skewed to sensationalist headlines and triviality. I continue to do them to try to be the voice of reason.
However, this is a wake up call to Allen to try to get her message out there. As much as I detest social media it needs to be done that way because the main stream press are so incredibly biased. A bunch of infrastructure is already out there and more is coming but the press will largely ignore it.
Look at the Victorian rabble in the LNP and their emphasis on culture wars. They haven’t got any policies or a clue on how to govern. Like all rightwingers they seem to be obsessed by other people’s sexuality. Maybe because they are ensnared by the conservative religious groups. Women should be particularly concerned by their actions, they are itching to remove your reproductive rights. When NeoNazis are turning up to support multiple of their rallies, including for the current leader, then there is something deeply flawed in their thinking.
The big build has achieved a massive amount already. A lot more will come online this year. The ALP is building for the future. The LNP wants to drag us back to a repressive past. I remember before the city loop was installed. I remember before West Gate was built. I have no idea what the bills were but they ran considerably over budget. Some pain now for gravy in the future. Think before voting.
Democracy Sausage @ #64 Thursday, January 30th, 2025 – 11:34 am
And which Right Wing site did you cop this line from, Democracy Sausage? It seems to be the line du jour today from the RW goons on this blog.
Also, noted that you are Anti Union. Not very democratic of you, but then you admit to being a sausage, so your comprehension of the value of unions is minimal as a result. 😐
“Look at the Victorian rabble in the LNP and their emphasis on culture wars. They haven’t got any policies or a clue on how to govern.”
This is how Dutton is going to try and win the fed election.