Three new polls, none of them terribly encouraging for a government no more than four months away from an election:
• Nine Newspapers bring us the first Resolve Strategic poll of the year, which more or less repeats its grim result for Labor from December – with the apparent addition of a two-party preferred measure, based on respondent-allocated preferences, which the pollster has traditionally eschewed such a thing. This has the Coalition leading 52-48, where a determination based on 2022 election preference flows would more likely be at 51-49. The primary votes are Labor 27% (steady), Coalition 38% (steady), Greens 13% (up one) and One Nation 7% (steady). Peter Dutton is credited with a 39-34 lead as preferred prime minister, which I believe he is the first time he has led by more than one point on this measure from any pollster, compared with 35-35 last time. Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings have improved, up two on approval to 33% and down two on disapproval to 55%, but Peter Dutton’s have improved more, up four to 44% and down four to 38%. The poll was conducted last Wednesday to Tuesday from a sample of 1616.
• The first Essential Research poll for the year has the Coalition up two on the primary vote to 37%, Labor steady on 30%, the Greens down one to 12% and One Nation up one to 7%, with a steady 5% undecided. The 2PP+ measure, which uses respondent-allocated preferences and does not distribute the undecided, is unchanged at 48% for the Coalition and 47% for Labor. The monthly leadership ratings find Anthony Albanese perking up with a six-point gain on approval to 45% and a five-point drop on disapproval, also to 45%, while Peter Dutton is down two on approval to 42% and up two on disapproval to 43%. The “national mood” is better than it’s been since May 2023, with a seven-point increase since last month in the feeling that the country is headed in the right direction, with “wrong track” down five to 46%. The poll also finds 42% feel the standard of living of Indigenous people has improved over the past decade, with 34% saying it has remained the same and 15% that it has got worse. Forty per cent oppose a separate day for Indigenous recognition, with 30% favouring one separate from Australia Day and 19% favouring one in place of Australia Day. Forty-two per cent expressed support for TikTok to be banned unless sold to a non-Chinese company, down three on last March, with 27% opposed, up two. The poll was conducted last Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1132.
• The weekly Roy Morgan poll has the Coalition leading 52-48 on both the respondent-allocated and previous-election preference flow measures, the former out from 51.5-48.5 last week, the latter from 50.5-49.5. The primary votes are Labor 28.5% (down one-and-a-half), Coalition 42% (up one-and-a-half), Greens 13% (up one) and One Nation 4% (down half). The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1564.
From previous thread
”
Wat Tylersays:
Wednesday, January 22, 2025 at 11:28 pm
I’m going to go out on a limb and say that, if Australia ever had a PM that somehow managed to manipulate the system and install a dictatorship (and I’m not saying that would actually happen under Dutton or anyone else), the King would actually do sweet fuck all about it.
”
It will not be the first time that a Australian PM is dismissed by British monarch if Dutton gets dismissed
If Whitlam can be dismissed, then so can Dutton be.
Lars Von Trier @ #6 Thursday, January 23rd, 2025 – 6:44 am
Yep. There seems little doubt that this is where we are going to end up. We can hope it happens this time rather than next, so that we don’t fritter away another three years.
c@t, citing Shaun Carney: “‘I would add to the victories fixing the MyGov app so it works and is no longer terrifying. A lot of what has been done by this government is the quiet stuff that actually helps instead of the culture wars bellowing of the other side. Actual governing. I am deathly tired of hearing about ‘woke’. It refers to being aware of the needs of others, especially the vulnerable in society, and caring about them, not this strange fantasy of the right, who seem to want to eliminate anyone who is not like them.’”
—————————————————————————–
I beg to differ. As I’ve posted before, the DEI/woke/anti-racism agenda – particularly as it has been pursued in America in recent years – is not just about caring for the vulnerable and needy. It has been a transformative agenda, looking to completely overturn long-existing precepts such as the predominant role of merit in the education sector and in recruitment in both the public and private sector and the idea that biological sex plays an important part in determining to which gender someone belongs.
At its most extreme, it is anti-law and order: eg, “defund the police” and its implicit preference for open borders.
The proponents of the woke/DEI/anti-racism agenda frequently claim to be trying to overturn existing norms and transform society. Apparently Shaun Carney thinks he knows what they are after better than they do.
In its worst manifestations such as “Black Lives Matter” or the most extreme parts of the transgender movement, the woke/DEI/anti-racism agenda is extremely threatening to ordinary people, even many of the constituencies whose interests it purports to represent. Hence the major electoral reaction that we are seeing around the world, most recently in the US Presidential election. Smart commentators like James Carville are well aware of this. Carney clearly isn’t, which is consistent with his general lack of insight.
UK Cartoons and other miscellany
Andy Bunday
Morten Morland #HeathrowExpansion
Matt #EdMiliband #NetZero
Patrick Blower
Dave Brown
Ben Jennings
Nick Anderson
Graeme Keyes
Martyn Turner
Private Eye
Guy Venables
Tom Gauld
”
Scottsays:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 7:35 am
Lars Von Trier says:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 6:44 am
The reality is teal led minority govt, which will be great for the country.
—————————————-
That is not reality , the teals are mainly going after federal lib/nats seats , why on current polling it will be hard for the federal lib/nats to do better than the 58 seats at the 2022 federal election, and struggle to get over 55 seats
”
Scott
Can please stop the above nonsense. If these numbers are repeated on election night, we will have Dutton majority government
Don’t become like Lars, Paul A, PP of Left.
In the context of my last post, I would expect that Trump’s decision to reinstate Mt McKinley as the name for the mountain currently known as Denali will be quite popular with most Americans, but the decision to rename the Gulf of Mexico will only appeal to the rusted-on MAGAs. Conservative people don’t like change, and the Gulf of Mexico is a name that they grew up with and features in many songs.
For instance, Up on Cripple Creek by The Band. Imagine trying to sing this:
“When I get off of this mountain
You know where I want to go
Straight down the Mississippi River
To the Gulf of America”
It neither rhymes nor scans. No wonder Garth Hudson, the last living member of The Band, passed away the day after Trump’s inauguration. I personally blame Trump for this tragedy.
Meher, I think the extracts are comments on Carney’s article – not Carneys words.
Carney is not launching a defence of “woke” in his article.
LVT: “Meher, I think the extracts are comments on Carney’s article – not Carneys words.
Carney is not launching a defence of “woke” in his article.”
—————————————————————————-
OK, I get it. My apologies to Carney: while I’m not a huge fan, I was a little surprised to see him repeat this silly mantra which seems to hold sway with many lefties ATM.
I haven’t looked at the article, but I’m assuming you are quoting him accurately as praising the appointment of Nikki Savva to the OPH board? 🙂
meher baba:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 9:59 am
This is all really disagreeable. There is nothing threatening about either black lives matter, nor trans people. The people that woke, dei, and anti-racism are advocating for are ordinary people.
That you choose to lump them all in together is in itself wrongheaded – but the transformation sought, broadly are simply to uphold the principals that western countries have always purported to uphold – irrespective of its impact on prosperity – namely truth, justice, and liberty.
Carla Wilshire concisely and comprehensively dumps on the argument against in Crikey
https://www.crikey.com.au/2025/01/21/donald-trump-inauguration-equality-capitalism-prosperity/
”
C@tmommasays:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 8:58 am
Great comment from the Shaun Carney article:
‘Mr Dutton asks, are we better off, and the answer is YES we are.
The current Government, under Mr Albanese’s leadership, have achieved dramatic budget and inflation turnarounds based on the precarious situation left by Mr Morrison and his Government. They have achieved this while delivering significant cost of living relief, back-to-back surpluses (something the previous LNP Government could not achieve) and personal tax cuts for everyone. Also, when the ALP came to Government in May 2022, the inflation rate had a six in front of it; it now has a two in front of it. Yet Mr Dutton and the MSM still push the myth that the LNP are better financial managers. Sorry folks, the facts do not support that line of thinking.
”
60% of Australians don’t care about facts as demonstrated by Voice referendum.
C@tmomma
As you I campained vigorously for Yes vote for Voice referendum on PB. And I agonised for a long time after.
What did Albanese gain for his principle stand on Voice.
Defeat, lower poll numbers, lower PPM numbers and Dutton lies.
Albanese government was flying in Resolve poll till Voice referendum.
Then someone told Resolve poll to change their internal settings
The rest we know is history.
Ven: “Scott
Can please stop the above nonsense. If these numbers are repeated on election night, we will have Dutton majority government”
—————————————————————————–
Well, at 52-48 2pp to the Coalition we will certainly could see up to 14 seats swing away from Labor and perhaps some Teal and Green seats regained by the Libs. There wouldn’t certainly be an outright Coalition majority, but it would be disturbingly close to one.
Just how Scott comes up with his alternative assessments is a mystery to us all. But it’s clear that he’s sticking to them.
“I beg to differ. As I’ve posted before, the DEI/woke/anti-racism agenda – particularly as it has been pursued in America in recent years – is not just about caring for the vulnerable and needy. It has been a transformative agenda, looking to completely overturn long-existing precepts such as the predominant role of merit in the education sector and in recruitment in both the public and private sector”
Lmao, ‘role of merit’? Is that how America ended up with President Trump and shadow-president Musk?
Bonza @ #62 Thursday, January 23rd, 2025 – 9:20 am
Indeed, most systems in Australia and overseas are completely unmeritorious – with the primary contributing factors as to whether you own a house, go to a certain school, have a well paying job, or the converse – is whether your parents did. There is no ‘merit’ in that.
The Wombat says:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 4:49 am
Whoa, just going through the details of the Resolve data on “issues”, the Coalition is ahead on both education and health! I hadn’t looked at that data in the last Resolve poll, it may have been there then, but I have never, ever seen that in any polling in Australia. If the ALP really is behind on education and health, then the government is cactus. It’s that simple.
————————
Of course Labor are behind on Education. Minister Jason Clare is fighting most State governments, not sure about WA, to keep Federal funding for public schools less than that for religious schools ( including Jewish and Islamic) and Independent schools.
And many poor children, disadvantaged children attend those public schools. Figures show it could be close to 30% of children have low reading levels, achievement.
So many job possibilities throughout life are not available to them.
But, since Gillard was imposed as PM in 2010, this has been Labor policy. She insisted very soon after her elevation, that non public schools will continue to receive that very generous funding. Decided on by the Howard government.
Labor supports wealthier Australian children. Not the 64% of Children attending public schools.
As for health. Rudd went into the 2007 election promising more support for public hospitals, wanted to increase Federal funding to 60%, to stop the funding wars between State and Federal government.
There were some issues here with the states giving up some of their GST revenue, but with the GFC and with the removal of Rudd by the Labor Faceless men on June 24, 2010, this policy was not continued by Gillard.
Shorten and Treasurer Swan were desperate for a budget surplus to show they were good economic managers. As the Abbott Liberals told them they need a surplus.
Don’t think the Chalmers/Albanese surplus in the last 2 budgets has improved Labor’s popularity. People don’t care. Tricked by the Liberals. As they are often. Note AUKUS, which is very unpopular with many Australians.
And the low Medicare rebate leaves many paying a growing gap. While bulk billing doctors are falling.
Including those with private hospital insurance. The gap between what a doctor charges in a private hospital and the Medicare rebate can be in the $thousands.
But Labor don’t care. Not interested. They are the government now. But doing nothing about it.
On critical policies, what many would think should be Labor priorities, Labor are failing lower income, working class Australians.
Why vote for them?
Well, we fired our guns and the British kept a comin’
There wasn’t nigh as many as there was a while ago
We fired once more and they began a running
On down the Mississippi to the Gulf of Mexico, yeah
Gulf of America doesn’t work here either.
banquo911: “This is all really disagreeable. There is nothing threatening about either black lives matter, nor trans people. The people that woke, dei, and anti-racism are advocating for are ordinary people.”
—————————————————————————–
That’s a totally specious comment. Black Lives Matter and the extremist trans agenda are definitely not the only way of advocating for the interests of black and trans people. In fact, they are the worst possible ways of doing this, as they end up alienating a lot of ordinary people.
The real tragedy is that some left of centre political parties have been captured by these BS agendas and have implemented them to some extent. Which is the definition of a pyrrhic victory for the advocates, because the more these agendas get implemented, the bigger the eventual electoral backlash.
What future is there for the transgender movement in the US under Trump? They’ll be lucky if they don’t end up in a worse place than when they started their hardline advocacy a decade or two back. And, apart from a diehard core of activists, who gives a stuff about the BLM agenda any more? Certainly not Kamala Harris in the recent election campaign.
Irene,
Who’re you gonna put 2nd last, Labor or Liberal? 😐
C@tmomma @ #67 Thursday, January 23rd, 2025 – 9:27 am
I honestly think that’s a really distasteful question. Like I get thathat you’re coming to it from a point of practicality -but if someone has expressed disappointment with both majors, you should respect that – and frankly its not really your business.
C@tmomma @ #67 Thursday, January 23rd, 2025 – 10:27 am
Tough choice. Depends on the candidates.
I wonder if we will get a comment from the LNP leadership about the crossbench request for urgent action on truth in advertising.
Vensays:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 10:16 am
What did Albanese gain for his principle stand on Voice.
Defeat, lower poll numbers, lower PPM numbers and Dutton lies.
Albanese government was flying in Resolve poll till Voice referendum.
Then someone told Resolve poll to change their internal settings
The rest we know is history.
________________________
I don’t understand this comment. I have some pretty big criticisms of Albo personally (well, any detached parliamentary lifer), but what would have been the counterfactual?
The Uluru Statement from the Heart was a pretty big deal, a “coming together” of indigenous people and probably the biggest untied statement in decades.
What if Labor ignored it or come along with a half arsed “recognition” clause? 18 months of media sniping as “betraying indigenous people”, furious bitching from the Greens and Teils, certainly no kudos from the right wing media, and indigenous campaigners themselves making a huge amount of noise.
Would that have been better than what actually happened? I doubt it, it would have probably been far worse.
People keep pretending on a range of policy issues that the alternative would have been some perfect world where everyone agrees and holding hands and singing kumbaya.
Labor has done a lot of things I agree with, quite a few I don’t agree with. But I don’t pretend that if you flipped the script on every one of those actions then there wouldn’t have been the same media misreporting, grandstanding from crossbenchers, outright lies from the opposite, and people generally finding reasons to complain.
New project kickoff. I’ll see you all around. Hopefully I’ll be back for the WA state election.
“ Irene,
Who’re you gonna put 2nd last, Labor or Liberal? ”
______
She’s already made it perfectly clear she wants the government thrown out and is prepared to accept a Dutton government as a consequence.
So, what do you think?
Irene Said !
And many poor children, disadvantaged children attend those schools. Figures show it could be close to 30% of children have low reading levels, achievement.
Then perhaps the parents should take some responsibility for that Irene !.
meher baba @ #66 Thursday, January 23rd, 2025 – 9:26 am
Disappointing to see you using “extremist” in the context of a persecuted minority group advocating for their own liberties. There is no BS agenda, there is no extremism, these groups aren’t seeking preferential treatment.
You’re welcome to argue my point is specious, but it doesn’t make it so.
There are legitimate grievances people have wrt the shape of the Australian economy and society, but that is not at the feet of black people, trans people, gay people, women, refugees, or children. Its at the feet of the systems in place and the politicians that enable them.
A thoughtful article by Jenna Price:
https://www.smh.com.au/national/more-laws-won-t-stop-hate-speech-but-there-s-something-else-we-can-do-20250122-p5l6bb.html ($)
meher baba says:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 10:18 am
Just how Scott comes up with his alternative assessments is a mystery to us all. But it’s clear that he’s sticking to them.
————————–
N o mystery at all, the federal election is decided on every electorate , and if the federal liberal party candidate struggles to win a seat with a primary vote of 42/43% in a liberal party held seat, due to weak 2pp flow , the federal liberal party candidate has less of a chance in a non liberal party held seat with primary vote of less than 43%
Example
Josh Frydenberg had a primary vote of 42.7% in a liberal party held seat and lost on 2pp flow comfortably
Peter Dutton struggled to retain his QLD seat of Dickson with. a primary vote of 42.1%
Labor party candidate primary vote was 31.7%
2pp
LNP 51.7%
Labor 48.3%
It would not happen in a Labor held seat where labor candidate primary vote of 42.1% would not struggle in the 2pp flow to retain their seat, when a Liberal party candidate on 31.7%
Scott – not true. See figures from Bruce in 2022.
If there was a swing of 6% in Bruce from Labor to Liberal based on these figures the LIB would be close to being elected with a primary of under 37%
2022 Australian federal election: Bruce
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Julian Hill 39,516 41.47 −6.57
Liberal James Moody 28,837 30.26 −5.43
Greens Matthew Kirwan 9,273 9.73 +2.10
United Australia Matt Babet 8,299 8.71 +4.61
Liberal Democrats Christine Skrobo 4,821 5.06 +5.06
One Nation Hayley Deans 4,544 4.77 +3.75
Total formal votes 95,290 95.66 +0.76
Informal votes 4,321 4.34 −0.76
Turnout 99,611 88.34 −3.67
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Julian Hill 53,920 56.59 −0.69
Liberal James Moody 41,370 43.41 +0.69
Labor hold Swing −0.69
Anthony Albanese has launched a major pre-election sandbagging operation to protect vulnerable seats, as Peter Dutton wages an almost exclusive offensive campaign targeting Labor, Greens and teals electorates.
Analysis by The Australian reveals the Prime Minister visited or held events in at least 25 electorates since December 1, including multiple stops in key seats, and has conducted more than 28 radio, television and podcast interviews in a summer blitz.
Amid plunging support for his government in the polls, Mr Albanese is locked in a trench warfare battle with the Opposition Leader to win seats in NSW, Victoria, Tasmania, Western Australia, Northern Territory, South Australia and Queensland that will decide the election.
In contrast, Mr Dutton has visited 24 electorates since December 1, including the crucial central Tasmanian seat of Lyons three times. Mr Dutton, who has quietly shifted the Coalition into official campaign mode, has conducted more than 18 media interviews over summer and camped himself in rival territory during the shadow election campaign.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/anthony-albanese-plays-defence-peter-dutton-goes-for-jugular-in-summer-election-blitz/news-story/810f548e1abd0b29c48b9fd2e9c984b1?amp
Victoria there is no Palmer united party candidate
In a Labor or other non lib/nats held seat
The liberal party candidate which gets to 38% in the primary vote , would likely to have taken primary votes off leaning Liberal party minor parties such as united palmer primary votes, and also lose 2pp from united palmer party
Reason why the federal liberal party candidate will unlikely win many victorian seats , If Labor lost primary votes they have likely gone to other non lib/nats aligned candidates , which 2pp flow would go back to Labor
Or if Labor candidate does not get 2nd or 3rd , then the non lib/nats candidate would get the seat over Liberal party candidate
The federal government will become the principal creditor of Rex Airlines by acquiring $50m of debt from PAG Asia Capital in a move aimed at ensuring the future of regional flights.
A statement from Transport Minister Catherine King and Finance Minister Katy Gallagher said the acquisition was “an important step to prevent an adverse outcome for regional communities, such as liquidation”. It comes six months after Rex was taken into administration with more than $500m of debts, and major city operations flown by Boeing 737s were grounded.
Since that time, administrators EY have sold off parts of Rex including aeromedical charter business Pel-Air and National Jet Express but have not been able to find a buyer for the regional airline which relies on a fleet of ageing Saab 340s. Of the 57 aircraft, with an average age of 30.7 years, 29 are parked, with Rex believed to be using them for parts to keep the rest of the fleet flying.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/aviation/albanese-government-to-spend-50m-acquiring-rex-debt-to-keep-regional-airline-flying/news-story/03248bdfefe9ddbede01533e882a1e84?amp
From a trusted source:
(The dob in email is really nasty stuff)
Lars Von Trier says:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 10:45 am
Scott – not true. See figures from Bruce in 2022.
——————-
Lars Von Trier
2pp
Labor Party 56.6%
Liberal Party 43.4%
There is no more palmer united party in Victoria , The liberal party candidate may pick up the primary votes , but will lose in the 2pp
Herald Sun 23/01
City traders are bracing for a mass Australia Day protest that risks shutting down Melbourne’s CBD and disrupting the men’s singles final at the Australian Open.
Business owners say they have been told to take steps to secure venues and staff, amid concerns more than 30,000 people could take to the streets.
Police are planning for a convergence of anti-Australia Day and pro-Palestinian protesters they expect will march through the city to Melbourne Park on Sunday.
_____________________
This will probably turn into a riot.
I hope Vic Police have stocked up on the pepper spray.
Holdenhillbilly @ #79 Thursday, January 23rd, 2025 – 10:46 am
It seems to have dawned on Albo that he’s not as popular as he thought he was. But I bet he still doesn’t understand why.
Scottsays:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 10:55 am
Lars Von Trier says:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 10:45 am
Scott – not true. See figures from Bruce in 2022.
——————-
Lars Von Trier
2pp
Labor Party 56.6%
Liberal Party 43.4%
There is no more palmer united party in Victoria , The liberal party candidate may pick up the primary votes , but will lose in the 2pp
__________________
According to Bludgertrack there is a forecast 5.3% swing in VIC.
If you applied that figure it would mean Bruce would be:
ALP 51.3%
LNP 48.7%
That would be off a Liberal primary of 36%
Of course the swing may be more or less in Bruce in practice.
The firing of female and black employees from NASA (and all other US Federal government agencies) because someone has ticked a box on an employment contract saying that someone is a member of a minority group (and hence can be seen as a DEI hire), is very reminiscent of the 7th April 1933 “Law for the Restoration of the Professional Civil Service” by the Nazi’s, when Hitler had been chancellor less than 12 weeks.
By this law, anyone with a Jewish background was sacked from the civil service, and imcluding teaching and research.
Physicist Hans Bethe (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hans_Bethe) was sacked under this law, because his mother was born into a Jewish family. Luckily for Bethe, he found employment in the US, and in one of the greatest own goals in history (by Hitler and the Nazi regime), worked with other axis-power émigré physicists, engineers and chemists, to develop the atomic bomb.
Edit: one of the comments about the NASA memo, from Bluesky” “Didn’t take long to get to the “inform on your colleagues” stage of fascism.”
D&M, really disgusting and disturbing stuff. That nasa circular was gross – you hope to see a voluntary mass exodus, but dunno if its all that likely. Definitely cause for strike action.
I see the Australian Institute and Greg Jericho came out in support of Labor’s proposed superannuation changes.
Funny thought, neither specified WHO is blocking the changes? Anyone care to enlighten? They must be really evil whoever they are.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2025/jan/23/misleading-fear-campaigns-may-kill-labors-superannuation-changes-but-here-are-the-real-numbers-ntwnfb
Lars Von Trier says:
According to Bludgertrack there is a forecast 5.3% swing in VIC.
If you applied that figure it would mean Bruce would be:
ALP 51.3%
LNP 48.7%
That would be off a Liberal primary of 36%
Of course the swing may be more or less in Bruce in practice.
—————
There would be no United Palmer preferences which would add to that in 2025
2022 federal election
United Party primary vote 8.7% – which Majority of the 2pp flow would go to the liberal party
Scott @ #83 Thursday, January 23rd, 2025 – 10:55 am
From the Palmer ads I am seeing, I am speculating that he may relaunch the party.
He is laying the groundwork for something.
Scott, let us assume there is No Palmer in Vic – its reasonable to assume those votes would flow in the same proportions as 2022.
The fallacy in your argument is assuming that a 2022 Labor vote cannot become a 2025 Liberal Vote.
The 5.3% swing in Bludgertrack has to mean some votes (either primary or preference will do exactly that).
People forget that when it comes to forming the next Government, Labor doesn’t really go into the election with 78 seats – it’s more like 82 or 83.
Even if Labor itself is as low as 70 seats and only has a couple of Teals signed up to provide confidence and supply immediately after the results are clear, the PM can advise the GG to allow Parliament to sit and test the numbers via the Opposition putting forward a vote of No Confidence. None of the Greens, nor Willkie, will support such a motion.
And their might only be two Greens in the conversation anyway, as Labor is a good chance to pick up two seats in Brisbane.
Trump’s inauguration is a ratings bust
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/1/22/2298475/-Trump-s-inauguration-is-a-ratings-bust?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=top_news_slot_4&pm_medium=web
“Trump’s inauguration rating dipped 27% from Biden’s 2021 viewership and 20% from his first inauguration in 2017, which must be devastating to the president, who loves to harp about his crowd sizes.
According to The Wrap, a combined total of 24.59 million viewers tuned in to cable and network news. Fox News, for obvious reasons, received the highest ratings, making up nearly half of the total viewership, with an average of 10.3 million viewers from 11:30 AM to 1:00 PM ET.
CNN averaged 1.7 million viewers during the same period, MSNBC had 848,000 viewers, ABC had 4.7 million viewers, CBS had 4.1 million viewers, NBC had 4.4 million viewers, and there is no immediate information on audience ratings for streaming platforms.x
That fraudster/rapist Trump has threatened Russians will be hit with “hard” taxes, tariffs and sanctions if the war was not ended, another example of the president’s peace through strength technique. (From the West Australian)
In reality, as the article says, Russia is the most sanctioned country on earth so what new sanctions can be applied that would have a significant impact?
In reality this bullshit is just cover for his ridiculous statement that he would end the war on day one.
”
Scottsays:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 11:24 am
Lars Von Trier says:
According to Bludgertrack there is a forecast 5.3% swing in VIC.
If you applied that figure it would mean Bruce would be:
ALP 51.3%
LNP 48.7%
That would be off a Liberal primary of 36%
Of course the swing may be more or less in Bruce in practice.
—————
There would be no United Palmer preferences which would add to that in 2025
2022 federal election
United Party primary vote 8.7% – which Majority of the 2pp flow would go to the liberal party
”
The only federal parliametarian of United Australia is from Victoria, which shows UA has support in Victoria.
Don’t give technical nonsense that UAP doesn’t exist anymore. Ralph Babbet got elected on Palmer’s money. Whom do you think he will listen to if Palmer wants to start a new party?
Lars Von Trier says:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 11:29 am
Scott, let us assume there is No Palmer in Vic – its reasonable to assume those votes would flow in the same proportions as 2022.
The fallacy in your argument is assuming that a 2022 Labor vote cannot become a 2025 Liberal Vote.
—————-
There may be some Labor votes go to the liberal party
Doubt it will help the Federal liberal party 2pp flow enough
Ven says:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 11:42 am
The only federal parliametarian of United Australia is from Victoria, which shows UA has support in Victoria.
Don’t give technical nonsense that UAP doesn’t exist anymore. Ralph Babbet got elected on. Palmer’s money. Whom do you think he will listen to if Palmer wants to start a new party?
————–
Ralph Babbet office is in Canberra , despite being elected as a Victorian Senator ,
High Streetsays:
Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 11:34 am
People forget that when it comes to forming the next Government, Labor doesn’t really go into the election with 78 seats – it’s more like 82 or 83.
Even if Labor itself is as low as 70 seats and only has a couple of Teals signed up to provide confidence and supply immediately after the results are clear, the PM can advise the GG to allow Parliament to sit and test the numbers via the Opposition putting forward a vote of No Confidence. None of the Greens, nor Willkie, will support such a motion.
And their might only be two Greens in the conversation anyway, as Labor is a good chance to pick up two seats in Brisbane
_______________________
Moving from the theoretical to the practical, should Labor agree to the following to retain government?
– reduce worker protections for those working in small businesses.
– increase GST and put GST on food.
– not raise taxes on high superannuation balances.
Both are Teals policies. People could dismiss this as smart arse, but those could very much be demands.
Kirsdarke, BW, C@tmomma
Egg prices skyrocket and Trump appears not to give a cluck
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/1/22/2298447/-Egg-prices-skyrocket-and-Trump-appears-not-to-give-a-cluck?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=top_news_slot_5&pm_medium=web
“On the campaign trail, Donald Trump said he’d lower the cost of eggs. But now that he’s president, he’s walking back that promise.
Egg prices have surged to an all time high in the new year. As Donald Trump and his billionaire cabal enter the White House, the increasing grocery prices highlights how disingenuous the hand-wringing was during the Biden administration.
To be clear, the surge in egg costs is out of Trump’s tiny hands. The avian flu, which has been ravaging farms across the country since this summer, has created massive shortages, increasing the price of eggs to more than $7 per dozen in some places.
Meanwhile, fast-food chains like Blake’s Lottaburger in Albuquerque, New Mexico, are reportedly planning on adding a $1 surcharge to meals that include eggs starting on Thursday.
But President Joe Biden wasn’t offered that bit of grace during the initial surge in egg costs in 2023 when it was revealed that a large swatch of inflationary costs were due to corporate malfeasance, specifically collusion between the two largest egg producers in the country.”
Meanwhile, Trump’s flock of quacks occupying the U.S. government includes raw milk purveyor Robert F. Kennedy Jr., his pick to run the Department of Health and Human Services. There is very little reason to think that Kennedy—or TV doctor Mehmet Oz—has any answers related to public health, let alone a surging avian flu crisis.”