US pollster Morning Consult, which conducts monthly international polling on world leaders’ domestic personal ratings, has found Anthony Albanese with an approval rating of 51% and a disapproval rating of 25%. Its final result for Scott Morrison was 40% approval and 54% disapproval. The poll was conducted May 23 to 31 from a sample of 3770.
Essential Research published its usual fortnightly poll this week, which had nothing to offer on voting intention or leadership ratings, although it did find that 23% rated themselves more likely to vote Coalition with Peter Dutton as leader compared with 27% less likely. Questions on attitudes to Labor policies found 70% support for increasing the minimum wage and 69% support for a federal Independent Commission Against Corruption, with only 9% opposed in each case. Fifty-two per cent felt Labor should “look for opportunities to rebuild relations” with China, with only 19% favouring a more confrontational position and 12% favouring the current set of policies. Support for the Uluru statement was found to have increased significantly since November 2017, with 53% supporting an indigenous voice to parliament in the constitution.
Some notable state news that got lost in the federal election rush:
• A by-election will be held on June 18 for the Queensland state seat of Callide after its Liberal National Party member, Colin Boyce, moved to federal politics as the Nationals member for Flynn. This is a very safe rural conservative seat, but Labor has nonetheless endorsed Bronwyn Dendle to run against Bryson Head of the LNP, a 26-year-old mining industry geologist. Also in the field are candidates of One Nation, Katter’s Australian Party, Legalise Cannabis and Animal Justice.
• The by-election to replace Vickie Chapman in the safe Liberal seat of Bragg in South Australia has been set for July 2. The ABC reports four nominees for the Liberal preselection: Jack Batty, adviser to the Australian High Commissioner in London; Sandy Biar, national director of the Australian Republic Movement and public affairs officer with the army; and Melissa Jones, a law firm director; and Cara Miller, former co-owner of a radiology business.
• Tasmanian Premier Jeremy Rockliff has announced he will introduce legislation this year to increase the size of the state’s House of Assembly from 25 seats to 35, reversing a change made in 1998. The move has the support of the Liberals, Labor and the Greens.
‘Freya Stark says:
Friday, June 3, 2022 at 8:30 am
When is the shadow ministry being announced?….’
======================
They are doing the line ups as we post.
‘Christopher Knaus reports that key crossbenchers are urging the attorney general, Mark Dreyfus, to immediately intervene to end the previous government’s pursuit of Bernard Collaery by withdrawing commonwealth consent to the prosecution.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/jun/03/crossbenchers-urge-new-attorney-general-to-end-prosecution-of-bernard-collaery‘
=================================
Noise machine alert. They MUST know that Dreyfus has asked for a briefing on the case.
The Liberal Deputy gets choice of portfolios
I’m certain Susssan Ley will select Treasury for herself. And Dutton will agree.
If the Greens try to block the Voice to Parliament against the will of most Indigenous groups it will be like the Democrats GST moment but in reverse. The party will likely split and become dysfunctional. Bandt would probably lose his seat as well. Labor should run an Indigenous candidate against him who backs the Voice in such circumstances.
On that Morning Consult piece, “… a three-seat majority in Parliament.“
It reads like the author attended Mel Uni?
PB’s results summary shows 77 Libs lite seats, AEC same, ABC same (and show a house 76 to win, even on its graph).
Oh dear.
The Greens are not blocking it. Lidia Thorpe is mindful of how politics works between different Aboriginal mobs, in that you can’t speak on behalf of other mobs. If people can understand this, there may be less angst here.
Our new Shadow Treasurer has a colourful past…. But her qualifications are perfect for the job, being an ex-ATO Director..
Former health minister Sussan Ley was considered one of the Coalition’s better performers until an expenses scandal forced her resignation from cabinet.
One of five women in the Coalition cabinet room, the Nigerian-born pilot was elected to Parliament in the New South Wales seat of Farrer by a narrow margin of 206 votes.
As the daughter of British intelligence agent, Ms Ley spent a large portion of her childhood in the Middle East before graduating in Australia with postgraduate degrees in taxation and accountancy.
She has described herself as a recovering punk rocker, telling Fairfax Media in 2014 that she used to wear spikey long hair and a dog collar studying at a Canberra high school.
The mother of three acquired her pilot licence when she was 20 years old and worked briefly as an air traffic controller and pilot before becoming a director at the Australian Tax Office in Albury.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-01-13/sussan-leys-time-in-the-office/8180824
https://morningconsult.com/2022/04/27/senate-democrats-biden-approval-ratings/
Vulnerable Senate Democrats Aren’t as Toxic With Voters as Biden. But That Might Not Save Them in November
Thanks as always BK.
Boerwar @ #51 Friday, June 3rd, 2022 – 8:30 am
Who is Keyser Söze?
The grand dame of the Canberra Press Gallery left Victoria when Fraser came to power but she hasn’t lost her Young Liberal roots and quite frankly she has lost her connections to Victoria.
No serious commentator can envisage the Liberals winning in Victoria with 4 Liberal held state seats of Brighton, Bulleen, Caulfield, ? being targetted and 1 upper house seat
“If the Perrottet government, which is progressive on issues such as climate and tax, were returned, it would likely be anxious to co-operate with the Albanese government on a reform agenda. If there were a new government in Victoria, that state would likely be less co-operative.”
https://theconversation.com/grattan-on-friday-albanese-government-mugged-by-gas-crisis-as-it-faces-challenge-of-managing-expectations-184326
Liberal Party shadow Cabinet lineup…
There is a three seat majority for the Conservative Party because they have 77 seats, and there are 74 seats won by candidates not from that party. 77-74=3 hence a majority of three.
Those 74 seats contain 12 varying independents (counting Katter and Sharkie), 58 from the Ultra-Reactionary coalition and 4 from the Moderate Party.
Wow, Jacinta Price is a shocker:
https://theaimn.com/meet-sky-after-darks-voice-to-parliament/
Salvage The Future @ #45 Friday, June 3rd, 2022 – 6:26 am
So we should just discount The Statement from the Heart because a minority view within their community?
Remember The Statement from the Heart is a document created by A&TI communities as a consensus on how to progress.
As a non-A&TI, I think it is disrespectful to support anything other than this consensus view.
I must say that the Waleed Aly piece in BK’s dawn patrol is very shallow.
And the Government Gazette has seamlessly morphed into the Opposition Orifice, eg
National security fears over AFP shift
National security experts have warned stripping the Australian Federal Police from Home Affairs will be ‘disruptive’.
Dismantling the Dutton Home Affairs monstrosity will take time…
Freya Stark @ #63 Friday, June 3rd, 2022 – 8:57 am
Bullshit. You love just making absolute crap up to make it seem like the Coalition are breathing down the neck of Labor.
How good is Penny Wong? Already done more in Foreign Relations than the whole last term of government.
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #65 Friday, June 3rd, 2022 – 8:58 am
Agreed.
Not to mention that Salvage the Future probably doesn’t believe that Jacinta Price has a valid perspective because she doesn’t subscribe to the Uluru Statement from the Heart at all. Thus exposing the hypocrisy of StF’s pov.
nath @ #68 Friday, June 3rd, 2022 – 9:02 am
And the one before and the one before that.
Remember The Statement from the Heart is a document created by A&TI communities as a consensus on how to progress.
As a non-A&TI, I think it is disrespectful to support anything other than this consensus view.
***********************************
Last time I checked, I thought that to have a consensus one had to have, well, a consensus.
If there is not general agreement across the cohort you don’t have a consensus.
C@tmomma says:
Friday, June 3, 2022 at 9:03 am
nath @ #68 Friday, June 3rd, 2022 – 9:02 am
How good is Penny Wong? Already done more in Foreign Relations than the whole last term of government.
And the one before and the one before that.
_______
Julie Bishop was a good Foreign Minister.
Freya Stark @ #49 Friday, June 3rd, 2022 – 6:30 am
It’s not easy when they have so much “talent” to work with.
nath @ #72 Friday, June 3rd, 2022 – 9:07 am
No she wasn’t. She was the spearhead of cutting foreign aid and look where it’s gotten us today.
Morning all. Thanks for the roundup BK. Some good decisions happening on infrastructure and government machinery by Labor (not being corrupt makes it easier).
Puffy and Chinda
i’d love to have another pollbludger catch up in South Australia.
C@tmomma says:
And the one before and the one before that.
_______
Julie Bishop was a good Foreign Minister.
No she wasn’t. She was the spearhead of cutting foreign aid and look where it’s gotten us today.
______________________
She wasn’t the spearhead. She didn’t want to do it. Despite the cuts she was universally acknowledged as highly competent.
It’s easy to achieve consensus when those with dissenting views are locked out of the room, which apppears to be the contention made on Q&A.
e.g.w. @ #71 Friday, June 3rd, 2022 – 7:05 am
The consensus was achieved amongst the representatives present at Uluru.
StF
I certainly do recognise there are diverse voices – as there are in any community.
There was a consultative process, however, which clearly outlined the wishes of the majority.
The dissenters had their chance to put their point of view then.
Failing to support the consensus view will most likely result in no one getting what they want.
Majority decision making and consensus are not the same thing.
Were Bob Carr and Kevin Rudd good foreign ministers?
The only good I see with Jacinta Price is helping knock left-wing group identity victimhood.
Left-wing™ parties (Socialist Alliance, Resistance etc.) have all involved grouping individuals together, seeing they have been oppressed, and supporting their release from oppression. Which is a great start. However, as most would know, they believe that ALL gay people are/should be left-wing, all indigenous = left etc…
If Price starts talking like a Qanon idiot and very brazen about it (and hopefully have no ability to wield that power), it will let down a lot of idealistic left-wingers. They’ll probably excuse it saying she’s “she denies her oppression, doesn’t affect my” etc, but I am thinking that if it wasn’t for the invaders, and Australia stayed under majority indigenous stewardship through the years, we’d see a lot of conservative/traditional/right wing thinkers. She maybe not so out of step with her community….
On the energy crisis, I hope Labor highlights that it is the intersection of three separate crises.
There is a lack of new renewable power because Angus Taylor blocked its construction.
There is a lack of cheap gas because Angus Taylor permitted it all to be exported with inadequate reserves for domestic consumption and virtually no taxes.
There is a lack of generating capacity because old coal plants that owners wanted to retire and replace were kept online too long at Angus Taylor’s orders and now they are breaking down without enough replacements.
Angus Taylor may have given us the gas-led recession.
ltep says:
Friday, June 3, 2022 at 9:17 am
Were Bob Carr and Kevin Rudd good foreign ministers?
___
I would say so.
Can I come join the Sydney PB mob gathering?
Q : Julie Bishop was a good Foreign Minister.
Gillard established annual ministerial level meetings with the Chinese, a first. Bishop went round shooting her mouth off about Taiwan, and relations were cut off.
She was hopeless.
Marise Payne’s term was no doubt impact by the pandemic and not having a good relationship with Morrison. Things might have been different otherwise.
”
nathsays:
Friday, June 3, 2022 at 9:02 am
How good is Penny Wong? Already done more in Foreign Relations than the whole last term of government.
”
This is the first time IMO that Australian Foreign Minister is running around Pacific Islands ( Fiji, Samoa, Tonga) as soon as their party came to power trying to assure them that Australia will do the right thing for them.
This could be very amusing for Pacific Island countries who were neglected earlier by both parties when they were in power.
nath says:
Friday, June 3, 2022 at 9:02 am
“How good is Penny Wong? Already done more in Foreign Relations than the whole last term of government.”
It’s amazing the difference actual engagement with our Pacific neighbours makes. It’s just commonsense, it works a treat and Wong is exactly the person for the job.
zoomster @ #40 Friday, June 3rd, 2022 – 7:44 am
There is a lot to discuss on this but I will focus on one thing. The problem isnt dissenting voices, it is a media landscape that blows it out of proportion for very shameful and devious purposes.
I refer to the ABC local radio interview she did last year. It was long and she didnt not get challenged nor were her political allegiances made clear. The reason? Because she was there to balance the prevailing memes that are, apparently, overwhelmingly left wing. This was actually a large part of the interview – why people like her dont get more air time. What BS. She is on RW media all the time, gets to publish IPA documents and… FFS, got that cushy interview. She gets WAAAAYYYY more coverage than the arguments she represents deserve.
My point being that we shouldnt point the finger at her. I felt similarly when Pearson was lauded by the RW and then occasionally trashed by the left. Indigenous people should never be expected to have no differences. That should never be a demand. And the dissenters should be listened to and given the coverage their arguments deserve. Sometimes they have important things to say.
On Rex Patrick missing out on a Senate spot in SA I am also sorry to see him go. He was honest and competent and not afraid to criticise the previous government. With the untimely deaths of both Alex Gallacher and Kimberley Kitching he is one of the few remaining members of the Senate inquiry into naval shipbuilding that wrote the majority report.
If Richard Marles ever wanted impartial and informed advice on defence over spends in his new Ministry he could do a lot worse than ask Rex.
torchbearer says:
Friday, June 3, 2022 at 9:22 am
Q : Julie Bishop was a good Foreign Minister.
Gillard established annual ministerial level meetings with the Chinese, a first. Bishop went round shooting her mouth off about Taiwan, and relations were cut off.
She was hopeless.
___________
Everyone is entitled to their opinion!
Socrates @ #83 Friday, June 3rd, 2022 – 9:20 am
All true. But Labor has the power to resolve the problem, almost literally by just pulling a trigger. Why won’t they do so? Even just threatening to do so would probably be enough. But Labor ruled it out almost immediately. Why?
Could it possibly be because the largely artificial gas crisis (The biggest exporter of gas in the world is suddenly and unexpectedly short on gas … because winter? … Seriously?) is providing an excellent excuse for increasingly strident calls for urgent expansion of coal and gas extraction by the fossil fuel cartel?
Ohio is poised to allow teachers and other school employees to forgo hundreds of hours of training normally needed to carry a gun at work under a bill awaiting the governor’s signature.
____________
What could POSSIBLY go wrong?
The Morrison/Dutton/Payne period has been dreadful for Australia’s standing in our region.
Sucking up to Trump, ignoring and insulting the Pacific, megaphone diplomacy with China, being outcast at COP and undermining action on Climate Change, pissing off the French over submarines….
Socrates says:
Friday, June 3, 2022 at 9:20 am
“On the energy crisis, I hope Labor highlights that it is the intersection of three separate crises.
There is a lack of new renewable power because Angus Taylor blocked its construction.
There is a lack of cheap gas because Angus Taylor permitted it all to be exported with inadequate reserves for domestic consumption and virtually no taxes.
There is a lack of generating capacity because old coal plants that owners wanted to retire and replace were kept online too long at Angus Taylor’s orders and now they are breaking down without enough replacements.
Angus Taylor may have given us the gas-led recession.”
+ 1. Taylor has a lot to answer for, his actions knowingly and severely detrimentally impacted our nation and he should be held to account.
sprocket_ @ #95 Friday, June 3rd, 2022 – 9:30 am
Indeed. Who could forget this …
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/donald-trump-awards-scott-morrison-with-one-of-the-highest-military-honours-20201222-p56pmb.html
I reckon we might see it for sale on eBay shortly.
Thanks, BK .
Is BB still posting on Gilligan’s Island? I’m having problems logging in , despite new password and downloading the WordPress app.
Cheers.
Surely Dutton will honour his Deputy’s right to the Shadow Treasury, and dismiss out of hand the failed energy minister Angus Taylor’s claim for the job?
An early test for Dutton’s leadership ..