Anthony Albanese will today conduct Labor’s campaign launch today, a fact that I wouldn’t normally consider worth mentioning, such has been the decline of the ritual’s significance over the last few decades. However, Labor has increased the chances of the event being noticed by holding it in Perth, which will at least give his profile a badly needed boost in that city, where Labor is counting on picking up two or possibly three seats.
Elsewhere:
• The second leaders’ debate of the campaign will be hosted by the Nine Network next Sunday and moderated by Sarah Abo of Nine’s 60 Minutes, with questions posed to the leaders by Chris Uhlmann, David Crowe and Deb Knight, respectively of Nine’s television, print and radio arms.
• Labor’s how-to-vote cards can now be found on the candidate pages on its website. The Greens are second on all Senate tickets except Tasmania, where they are behind the Jacqui Lambie Network, presumably in the hope that the party will deprive a right-wing minor party of a place (or, less likely, third-placed Liberal Eric Abetz) while Labor and the Greens win three seats between them as before. As far as I can tell, Labor has the United Australia Party second last and One Nation last in every lower house seat with the curious exception of Dawson, where the United Australia Party is third behind Katter’s Australian Party and ahead of the Greens, which as far as I can see stands no chance of accomplishing anything other than compromising Labor’s national anti-Palmer message.
• Having spoken with “15 Liberal MPs in and outside the Morrison cabinet who are familiar with the Coalition’s election strategy and internal polling and who have campaigned in these seats”, James Massola and Anthony Galloway of the Age/Herald report the party is “increasingly nervous” that it will lose Kooyong, Goldstein, North Sydney and Wentworth to teal independents. After spending the earlier part of the campaign in marginal seats in both Sydney and Melbourne, Josh Frydenberg will spend the remainder of it defending his own seat of Kooyong.
• Mark Ludlow of the Financial Review quotes Peter Beattie saying Labor has “lowered its expectations” in Queensland, and says Labor is “now working to ensure there is no net loss of seats in the state”. Labor nonetheless remains hopeful in Brisbane and Longman. Similarly, the previously noted Age/Herald report relates that “strategists on both sides now believe it’s possible no seats will change hands in Queensland”, and further offers that the Liberals are targeting Labor-held Blair, though perhaps in hope more than expectation.
• Liberal attacks ads portraying Anthony Albanese as a puppet of Dan Andrews reportedly reflect hopes that hostility towards the Andrews government over COVID lockdowns has damaged Labor enough in outer suburbia to put McEwen, Corangamite and Dunkley in play. Paul Sakkal in the Sunday Age reports that “internal Liberal Party research in seats stretching from Frankston in the east to Geelong in the west shows Andrews’ net favourability rating is between negative 10 and negative 20”. However, the report relates the view of Redbridge Group pollster Kos Samaras that the Liberals are “barking up the wrong tree because his polling suggests state Labor’s vote is, on average, 7% higher than federal Labor’s in seats with geographical overlap”.
• Josh Zimmerman of the Sunday Times reports that “internal polling” credits Labor with a “slight lead” in the key Perth seat of Pearce.
Henry says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 2:45 pm
“Whilst I don’t disagree with you Rex, I don’t think the average punter is too concerned with international relations right now”
Really? Two words. China, Solomons
In a nutshell. Albo not doing as well in vic as Dan Andrews.
So linking them together as a negative, is probably not going to work. Lol
The thing to remember about the Andrews government is it holds seats like Bentleigh and Frankston by big margins when they are normally marginal seats and the ALP holds Hawthorn and has turned Brighton into a marginal.
For the record, I don’t mind Andrews and he’s going to win in November without even breaking a sweat because the Vic Libs are such a car crash.
But don’t underestimate how serious the hatred for him got in a not insignificant minority of the population who did not start out as Nazis (they may well have started out as methheads). And they’re quite committed to this and actively spread it around, so it’s a real point of agitation to watch out for more than anything else the Libs have gone with.
ltep, from your own link.
“The poll found the Coalition’s primary vote edged up to 33 per cent, from 31 per cent in the last poll. That is still below the 35 per cent the Coalition achieved at the last election, when it won only 27 seats.”
Less support now than when they were overwhelmingly thumped at the previous election.
Commentariat uprising
Hatred for keeping covid at bay until enough people were vaccinated?
As i said, this is now a pandemic of the stupid.
Mexicanbeemer @ #721 Sunday, May 1st, 2022 – 3:00 pm
Resolve Political Monitor Poll, for The Age, published 3/4/2022
“The poll found the Coalition’s primary vote edged up to 33 per cent, from 31 per cent in the last poll. That is still below the 35 per cent the Coalition achieved at the last election, when it won only 27 seats.”
Tell us about that deterioration, please do. Labor’s primary was exactly the same as it was last July. No deterioration at all.
Your posts lack sincerity and believability, MB. A bit like Lars and nath.
Commentariat Uprising, if you stand up to be counted with LITERAL nazis, don’t get upset when people call you a nazi. cough cough avi cough cough.
Commentariat Uprising @ #754 Sunday, May 1st, 2022 – 3:18 pm
And would any of that nit insignificant minority have ever voted for Andrews anyway? He’s not losing their votes if he never had them in the first place.
I have coped with having a corrupt and pathetic federal govt all these years. Reason being having an Andrews Labor govt.
Victoria is a much better place than 8 years ago as a result.
Commentariat Uprising @ #747 Sunday, May 1st, 2022 – 3:18 pm
Dis-engage from those hate groups for your own good.
Yabba
Most governments start to deteriorate around the middle to end of their second term and that is the stage the Andrews government is in. The health system is one area where the government is under pressure and lengthening hospital waiting lists are becoming a political problem.
A_E and MB
On the Greens plan to build a million homes. They have stated not to worry about where they’ll be built as State Governments have lots of land, and the cash strapped State Governments wil be falling over themselves to sell the land to the Federal Government to build houses.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.thechainsaw.com/greens-affordable-homes-policy/amp
Who would’ve thought that wholesale privatising of public assets was a Greens policy though…..
The vic libs, fed libs and media have been the enemy of victoria from the very start of the pandemic.
Absolutely pathetic.
Firefox @ #703 Sunday, May 1st, 2022 – 2:41 pm
Let’s tax everyone to the eyeballs to pay $300 billion for the Greens Housing fantasy. Can we start calling the Fairy Party?
Mexicanbeemer @ #762 Sunday, May 1st, 2022 – 3:25 pm
Partially caused by the Federal Libs not funding the various agreements to the level requested. 45/55 instead of 50/50. All states are struggling on health.
Mexicanbeemer
The health system is under severe pressure in every state. In fact, NSW have had ongoing industrial action as a result.
MB,
You spend too much time listening to the HS and Liberal Party talking points.
that will always addle you.
Victoria
“Hatred for keeping covid at bay until enough people were vaccinated?”
Frankly, yes. Because what that entailed was unprecedented restrictions (including literally the first curfew the city has ever had) and a more threatening police presence, especially in lower income areas.
I don’t know if you saw the inside of public housing at the time, but it was absolutely apocalyptic. The post stopped working, residents weren’t getting essential medicines sent in, there was screaming and banging on the walls 24/7. It’s easy to blame comfortable suburban middle class people for radicalizing over having to sit inside for a bit, but that’s not really taking into account what a lot of people actually had to go through.
If it hasn’t been done already, someone needs to pair Scomo’s ‘just buy a house’ line with Labor’s new housing policy
Commentariat … where are you getting your “most hated politician behind Morrison” guff from?
Last I saw Victorians overwhelmingly approved of him. And many outside Vic also approved of him.
Commentariat Uprising is a cooker!
Zeh says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 3:28 pm
If it hasn’t been done already, someone needs to pair Scomo’s ‘just buy a house’ line with Labor’s new housing policy
===============
Or this……
‘I don’t accept it’: John Howard dismisses housing crisis
laughtong GG and Victoria
No doubt the pandemic and the federal government has contributed but when there are 90000 people on waiting lists it does become a political issue.
Tom says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 3:27 pm
Firefox @ #703 Sunday, May 1st, 2022 – 2:41 pm
This is the most stupid policy ever.. 100% public ownership means building dense dedicated housing.. which by its very nature is socially stigmatised.. much better to co-invest in affordable housing chosen by those that will live in them where they want to live.. Owner occupier/ Government/ Developer joint venture.
Under Labor policy you would have no idea who is a supported owner which is how it should be.
This is reheated Greens policy.. a social disaster ..
Commentariat uprising
Oh dear.
24/7?
Maybe for the first day or so. But after that, the residents thought all their xmases had come at once. Kids given ipads, toys, endless supply of foods and required medicines.
And ultimately grateful for the protections, as many succumbed to the illness. Without the intervention, it would have been so much worse.
MB,
Only if you aren’t dealing with the problem.
he probably is 2nd most hated politician…..many QLDers may vote against Palaczuskkxz or however u spell it, but I dont hear “hatred”…..Marshall wasnt “hated”, but Andrews I think is hated by the people who will vote against him…its just that they are very far from a majority. Andrews is a polarizing figure with no middle ground
The Vic LNP continually attempting to focus on Andrews instead of actually trying to develop alternate government, or in the case of the LNP federally actual government, is why they are looking at another hiding.
But hey, the LNP looks like it has the meth head vote sewn up. Or at least their preferences. Maybe.
GG
Yep. First class cooker.
“Commentariat … where are you getting your “most hated politician behind Morrison” guff from?”
Specifically what I said is most hated in non-political people, and I get that from the fact that people who have never paid attention to politics know who Morrison is and hate him, and know who Andrews is and hate him. He’s polarizing and so also very popular, but the people who intensely do not like him left the state and also tell everyone what a bad person he is. They are loud agitators, and they are amplified by foreign loud agitators online where the vast majority of people are now spending their time and where Labor’s campaign is focused.
It’s very stupid to ignore this on the grounds that his policies were good and people in Vic generally quite like him, true as that may be.
GG
They better get a move on because people tend to see their medical issue as urgent.
That’s nice.
But EV’s are unaffordable for most and unavailable anyway.
Mexcianbeemer
Even ACA did a segment other day on the hospital crises throughout Australia
The blame was put all on the feds due to system failure.
Victoria
In three weeks time Morrison will be gone then attention turns to Andrews.
MB,
Says you!
I reckon the Andrews Government will do what they need to do when they need to do it.
This is why I vote Labor. Damned proud of my Party cobbers. 131 years old and still the Party of big ideas, that can actually be delivered.
“Mr Albanese said that Australians deserve a “better future” than that being promised by Mr Morrison, vowing to fix aged care and childcare.
“Whenever Australia needs a solution, he offers only smirk and mirrors,” Mr Albanese said of his opponent.
Mr Albanese said that his time in Covid isolation made him briefly feel “sympathy” for the PM.
“You see, I know I can count on Penny (Wong) and Richard (Marles), Katy (Gallagher) and Jim (Chalmers) and so many others to make the arguments for Labor,” he said.
In his speech, Mr Albanese said the price of prescription drugs will be slashed by $12.50 under a Labor government — $2.50 more per script than the government’s pledge—making the maximum price of a script under the Pharmaceutical Benefit Scheme to $30.
In a major cash injection set to benefit resource states—including Queensland and Western Australia — Labor would pump $1bn to develop manufacturing facilities for turning critical minerals like lithium and nickel into valued products like batteries.
On top of Labor’s landmark proposal to cut the cost of buying property by up to 40 per cent for 10,000 Australians, Mr Albanese announced a tri-level housing body would be established to bring state and local governments into the conversation.
Dubbed the “National Housing Supply and Affordability Council”, the body would fix land supply with planning to help “improve housing affordability and boost economic growth”.
https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/national/federal-election/labor-still-unable-to-outline-cost-of-living-plan-on-election-trail/news-story/33c7a1f5396d0cacb44ab94deededa06?amp
Mexicanbeemer
Hopefully then Albo and co will fund the hospital system adequately
Overall very happy with the Labor campaign launch. Going to Perth was a good call. All the Labor speakers spoke well, and Albo was clear and energised. No gaffes. This was one of his best speeches as leader.
Also pleasantly surprised with ABC compares Greg Jennett and Andrew Probyn in their comments afterwards. I have often perceived Probyn as pro-Liberal on Insiders, but in this they were both fair and complimented Albo.
I am now wondering if Probyn caves in to Speers influence on Insiders.
Mexicanbeemer @ #778 Sunday, May 1st, 2022 – 3:43 pm
He’ll deal with it in the usual way.
GG
Jeff ignored hospital waiting lists.
MB,
Is that a bad thing?
Victoria
Most likely after the state election.
Jim Chambers floated the idea of a late year budget.
MB,
Yes he did.
Your point?
This is gold from Twitter. Not sure if link is correct. Cover of next issue of Sycophants Weekly
Believe me – I know of the issues in health here.
I have a friend who has been left legally blind due the Eye and Ear Hospital not looking after her in the appropriate time frames.
Another young friend who had a motor bike crash in 2019.
He was left needing surgery on his ankle to tidy fragments that were left. Still waiting!!
He now has nerve pain in the ankle and due to his young age they are reluctant to give him the only medication that has helped. He is now in danger of permanent disability if something is not done soon.
He was an apprentice motor mechanic and is a lovely young man. I wish I had ideas to help him.
GG
The point is the government can’t just wing it but needs to put work into the problem.
Socrates says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 3:48 pm
This is gold from Twitter. Not sure if link is correct. Cover of next issue of Sycophants Weekly
======================
It will be a sell out…….just like the journos.
For all the Bludgers pessimising about Labor not winning ANY seats in QLD, I just wanna give you some stats real quick
1943: Amount of QLD Labor seats won – 60% (6/10 seats) No change
1972: Amount of QLD Labor seats won – 44.44% (8/18 seats) +1 seat
1983: Amount of QLD Labor seats won – 52.63% (10/19 seats) +5 seats
2007: Amount of QLD Labor seats won – 51.72% (15/29 seats) +9 seats
According to the BludgerTracker, Labor at this stage would win 50% of QLD seats (15/30 seats) by picking up 9 seats (Longman, Leichhardt, Brisbane, Dickson, Ryan, Bonner, Herbert, Petrie and Forde). With this type of track record whenever they win office, IMO I think that Labor winning a TPP of 50.2% is not a fantasy, but maybe a reality.
But who knows? We’ll just find out on Election Day.
Albo did well, played to his strengths.
Jason Clare did the perfect warmup, Mark McGowan showed why he rules WA.
So even Jennett and Probyn had to be grudgingly positive?