The Guardian reports the fortnightly Essential Research poll includes the pollster’s quarterly-or-so dump of voting intention numbers, and that it will henceforth abandon its practice of holding them back and publish them promptly every fortnight. The latest set of numbers is a fair bit better for the Coalition than its recent form from other pollsters, with primary votes of Coalition 37%, Labor 35%, Greens 9%, One Nation 4%, United Australia Party 2%, independents 5% and 8% undecided.
If the undecided are removed and preference flows from the 2019 election applied, this gives Labor a two-party preferred lead a shade higher than 51-49. Essential Research instead gives us its “2PP+” measure which does not exclude the undecided, and comes out with Labor on 47%, the Coalition on 46% and undecided on 8%. The pollster’s website includes three further sets of hitherto unpublished results going back to the start of December, which show these latest results to be stronger for the Coalition than last fortnight’s, which had them on 36% of the primary vote to Labor’s 37%, with the Greens on 8% and One Nation and the United Australia Party on 3% each.
The poll also finds the Coalition with better ratings for COVID-19 management than a fortnight ago, its good rating up five to 40% and poor down four to 34%. It also finds 57% believe the definition of fully vaccinated should be three shots, compared with 31% who would settle for two. Positive ratings for the state governments, with the usual caveat that sample sizes are small in all cases but especially so for the smaller states, have New South Wales up seven to 44%, Victoria down five to 42%, Queensland up ten to 56%, Western Australia down two to 64% and South Australia up ten to 53%. These too can be found already on the Essential Research website, with the rest of the report to follow later today. The poll had a sample of 1069 and was conducted, presumably, from Thursday to Sunday.
Roy Morgan also eventually came good on the federal poll that it teased in its newsletter last week, from which the two-party headline had Labor’s lead edging out to 56.5-43.5 from 56-44 a fortnight ago. The primary votes are Coalition 33% (down one-and-a-half points), Labor 37.5% (up half), Greens 11.5% (down half), One Nation 3.5% (up half) and United Australia Party 2% (up one-and-a-half). The state two-party breakdowns have Labor leading 54-46 in New South Wales (down from 58-42 a fortnight ago for a swing of about 6%), 59-41 in Victoria (steady, swing of about 6%), 51.5-48.5 in Queensland (a reversal of last time for a swing of about 10%), 55.5-44.5 in Western Australia (compared with 51-49 last time for a swing of about 11%), 64-36 in South Australia (61.5-38.5 last time for a swing of about 13%) and 61.5-38.5 from the very small Tasmanian sample.
The poll was conducted from Monday, January 17 to Sunday, January 30, suggesting the pollster has abandoned its past practice of polling on weekends, online and by telephone from a sample of 2783.
Asha,
It was on the internet. It must be true!
Wil Pucovski has had another knock to the head.
It’s sad, but he’s going to have to give it away.
Andrew_Earlwood at 3:40 pm
Could you give us a bit of a timeline and events that led to that crap situation. Most things when it come to the public service decay and decline seem to start with The Rodent , same again or a different tale ?
Desert Qlder
“ Keating gave a glimpse of his family to the Australian public shortly after becoming PM. Early in the program he made it clear this would be the only time and the family would then go back to a deserved private existence.”
Thanks. I made my comment on principle without seeing the video. If that was Keating’s approach I am relieved and glad to hear it.
I think we are agreed that Morrison’s repeated use of his wife and daughter’s as political props is not OK.
And the Greens are willing to revisit their vomit to keep the climate wedge rolling, should the Liberals try this one on for size again:
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/feb/12/at-the-prospect-of-ending-a-decade-of-climate-bollocks-the-pm-donned-a-dusty-abbott-onesie-and-zipped-up
Disagree.
Don’t do it once is my preferred outcome.
Ven at 2:32pm.
A google search will reveal that the Gulf of Tonkin incident was not an attack by the North Vietnamese on US destroyers. Although there was confusion at the time of the incident it was soon realised that there was no attack but the war hawks siezed the opportunity anyway to escalate the war.
I note that war monger Steely hasn’t responded to my post. I hope that my views are similar to those of the majority, if Dutton says China is to be feared then they should not be. If the yanks and conservatives elsewhere say that Russia is about to invade Ukraine, they probably won’t.
Conservatives everywhere thrive on bullshit and distractions.
Kakuru says:
Saturday, February 12, 2022 at 1:38 pm
ItzaDream
“But I think learning *about* religions has a lot of merit.”
The only really interesting questions about religion are never asked. Why is it, for example, that humans are so susceptible to believing in fictional supernatural beings? What is the neurological explanation for what is obviously a heritable flaw in our cognitive functioning? What is the explanation for the delusions?
“Earlswood’s a fighter”
Saw that Goll.
Bloody thing knocked me out of the first leg of the quaddie at Caulfield.
Should of thrown it in considering.
I am loving the “pink eye” outbreak in the Canberra anti vax protest camp due to people not using the provided toilets and the “thiefts” ….omg. I so want to stereotype this mob as …..but I will desist.
I have helped raise two kids, I make sure they got a wide exposure to the bible. I think it is a much better strategy than leaving it to selective quoting by god bothers. When they are teenagers there is always a risk.
It worked well, when my daughter was exposed to Hill Song by a friend she was appalled by the ignorance shown when it came to the content of and structure of the bible.
If your really interested in the shit fight I Strongly recommend Karen Armstrong’s books.
‘Elmer_Fudd says:
Saturday, February 12, 2022 at 4:25 pm
I am loving the “pink eye” outbreak in the Canberra anti vax protest camp due to people not using the provided toilets and the “thiefts” ….omg. I so want to stereotype this mob as …..but I will desist.’
——————————————————
I hate to think of the bill but it must be enormous.
Apart from that LifeLine has had to stop one of its main fundraisers. Dozens of small business people missed out on their farmers market. Individual businesses have been attacked and financially harassed.
No need to stereotype them at all. The are mob rule thugs.
Elmer_Fudd @ #3161 Saturday, February 12th, 2022 – 4:25 pm
Brownshirts Without Borders bested by the Pink Peril.
ABC:
Thousands of demonstrators have once again taken to the streets of Canberra to protest against a number of issues, including COVID-19 vaccine mandates.
Key points:
The protesters have caused disruption at the EPIC showground, where the Lifeline book fair was scheduled to take place
About 100 protesters also breached the fence on the lawns of Parliament House
Police are investigating an alleged assault that took place at EPIC on Thursday
Protesters have been in the ACT since late January. However, overnight there was a “significant influx” of people at the Exhibition Park in Canberra (EPIC) showgrounds, police said
That’s it
arrests these terrorists now
It WOULD be patronising if that is the way SHE sees it. But it’s a bit presumptuous to just assume that is the case. She may be the type of woman who values loyalty to her husband very highly and is happy to help out where ever she can. I’ll be having a look tomorrow night and making my own judgement about that.
Whatever she says though, I hope it has no beneficial effect at all for him come the election. The sooner he is gone the better as far as I’m concerned.
Bakunin. Thanks for posting both. I’ll pin the 2nd one for later. From the first few minutes it sounds other worldly, things hidden. Bridging, as you say.
c@tmomma, I wasn’t familiar with it but I enjoyed it, which probably says something about the musical gaps in my youth. It reminded me of a short early evening stroll along a busy beach, background waves, people making sounds.
As for forests, Das Wort für Welt ist Wald, Le Guin.
Go for it! 😀
We don’t arrest protestors. We laugh at them!
Seeing that Dickson Woollies which is closest to the Moronvoy Camp has been ‘forced’ to drop Anti-Covid measures as the sheer weight of numbers overwhelms the staff. Woollies playing the ‘straight corporate bat’ sprouting their standard line on protecting the customers and vowing to investigate.
Me…’hoping that the staff don’t have to put up with management shitting on them because they couldn’t enforce the measures…where was management?’
Looking at aerial shots of the carpark at EPIC this morning it was obvious there were not millions of protesters as the carparks when used to capacity for visitors to the show will only hold probably 40,000 people at most and these guys are spread out camping and not simply parking.
Shots of Woodstock didn’t last long online before being ‘fact checked’.
What won’t need fact checking is the amount of excrement that is probably going to spread about as the toilet facilities are not going to be up to handling that many campers and are a fair walk from many of the campsites. F#@kwits!
rhwombat says:
‘…
Brownshirts Without Borders bested by the Pink Peril.’
————————————
love it!
Exclusive: PM planned not to deliver abuse apology
Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s apology to abuse victims in Parliament House this week was not supposed to happen.
Until just hours before the parliamentary apology was delivered, the prime minister intended for it to come from the presiding officers alone.
In the speech on Tuesday morning, Morrison apologised to all former parliamentary staff and others who had experienced bullying, harassment and sexual assault. He directly addressed former government staffer Brittany Higgins, who was watching from the public gallery and whose alleged rape by a former colleague in a ministerial office in 2019 prompted an overhaul of procedures and a national reckoning on attitudes to women, as well as the apology itself. Her former colleague, Bruce Lehrmann, has pleaded not guilty to rape.
Morrison said he was personally sorry for “the terrible things that happened here”. He also abandoned his practice of referring to Higgins only by her first name, this time calling her “Ms Higgins”.
But The Saturday Paper has confirmed that Morrison’s speech – and the one that followed from Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese – was only added to the proceedings hours before it was made. It appears Morrison decided to speak to avoid Albanese upstaging him.
https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2022/02/12/exclusive-pm-planned-not-deliver-abuse-apology/164458440013310#mtr
Morrison is so disrespectful, backwards and tone-deaf.
I was in a chemist shop with mostly elderly clients. Some were getting a booster. Some were getting their free RATs. Some were linking to the chemical manufacturing industries.
Three of the thugs barged in, one waving a flag.
They did go and lurk at the eye drops section…
Socrates says:
Saturday, February 12, 2022 at 2:16 pm
LR/Kakuru
“ So do I. And mythology too. Greek mythology is fascinating.”
I agree. Studying Greek mythology and Greek philosophy enables you to see what every subsequent western religion evolved from.
The Hellenic system certainly demanded sacrifices, as did the practices of the Israelites. Sometimes the hecatombs were animals. Sometimes they were human. The idea of bloody human sacrifice – of ritualised, public murder – lies at the centre of Christianity. At its thoroughly degraded heart, there is a truly astonishingly bizarre idea – a living human should be put to death satisfy the imagined wishes of a non-existent deity or deities.
This is the essential depravity of what is euphemistically described as an organised religion. This is appeasement paid in blood. It is the celebration of death, all told. How is it possible that so many have fallen for such debauchery for so long?
I live in Watson (about 500m from the McDonalds on the Federal Highway). Please stereotype them, I can assure you they a living up to your worst expections.
Ooh… The “Convoy* of Incompetence” just tooted me.
* Not a convoy.
Popping in a toilet is just what THE MAN wants you to do!
Firefox says:
Saturday, February 12, 2022 at 4:33 pm
He might be reactionary. He might be tone deaf. He might be a shockingly bad PM.
Nevertheless the Greens will agitate furiously for his re-election.
If you want a government that discourages thugs, Vote 1 Labor.
If you want to live with the thugs, Vote 1 Liberals. Morrison was encouraging them today.
If you want an undemocratic pandemonium, vote for the random shower of wannabes who want to thug a possible BOP: the endless list of shouters, screamers, schemers and dreamers.
Summernats unhinged.
The thugs shat in their own nest. But they had good reason.
It is will known that the agents of the Morrison dictatorship have secretly been collecting DNA from toilet seats.
When the Canberra thugs get bored is when they’ll become dangerous. I’m not watching it closely, so maybe I’m off base and overreacting, but distance is your best defence. Stay safe.
Elmer_Fudd @ #3161 Saturday, February 12th, 2022 – 4:25 pm
“Pink eye” is (usually) caused by adenovirus*, but occasionally more serious parasites are responsible – eg Hanson’s disease . “Ploize explayn?”
(* which you can catch off toilet seats!)
Making an animal sacrifice as part of festivities is perfectly sensible.
Peasant farmers tend to either eat the young animals (veal, lamb) which there isn’t much point raising, or the older animals who are basically past their prime.
The latter provide more food (particularly in the days prior to refrigeration) than one family can eat before it goes off.
Sacrificing it to your Gods gives the whole community a reason to then share in eating it.
Related to the Canberra thugs, is there anything in the “unrest” that Dutton might use to promote his cause? “Canberra Gangs” doesn’t sound right. But he could go after a “weak Labor/Greens government” that can’t protect it’s people.
Re Ven at 2.32 pm and Gulf of Tonkin fraud
Completely proven (and known to be at the time). A clear summary of what really occurred is at:
https://allthatsinteresting.com/gulf-of-tonkin
One of the US pilots involved, Commander Stockdale, later said: “We were about to launch a war under false pretenses, in the face of the on-scene military commander’s advice to the contrary.”
Tapes revealed as part of documents released in 2005 record Johnson saying: “Hell, those damn, stupid sailors were just shooting at flying fish.”
The summary points out: “Although the Johnson administration knew that the Gulf of Tonkin incident was, in fact, no incident at all, they still made the executive decision to distort the events in their favor”, as a spurious justification for a senseless war.
Johnson won the election 3 months later by a greater margin than any President since 1820, because of jingoism based on a lie.
By analogy, if the USA was a witness in a trial (an unlikely prospect, admittedly) they would not have a shred of credibility.
zoomster
Priests soon got on to that gravy train. Sacrifice to the gods and give it to or leave at the temple so they can ensure delivery, special delivery , with added prayers 😆 Worked a treat.
These plonkers aren’t protesters.
They’re public menaces.
I’m tipping community patience is about to run out and it’s going to get messy if something isn’t done to settle this down.
@DrDoolittle … they’re almost all white and they’ll need their votes.
Bludging says:
Saturday, February 12, 2022 at 4:36 pm
…
This is the essential depravity of what is euphemistically described as an organised religion. This is appeasement paid in blood. It is the celebration of death, all told. How is it possible that so many have fallen for such debauchery for so long?
..
Do you get that bit in church. Hell there is a large slab of the new testament they won’t go near.
It is amazing that a book so chock full of pornography and Genocide in the name of god could last so long without being read.
Firefox @ #3178 Saturday, February 12th, 2022 – 4:33 pm
A prime example of a reactionary totally unqualified to be a leader.
The Libs really sh*t the bed allowing this bloke the keys to the Lodge.
Rexxy,
You seem triggered by alternative opinions.
Time for you to go back to your Otis elevator, eh?
Kevin Rudd@MrKRudd·6mWhat an abdication of national leadership! When the vast bulk of covid deaths come from those not fully vaccinated, this is the pathetic grovelling we see from Morrison for the Hanson vote. Ignore the science. Pander to ignorance. And just let people die.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/feb/12/scott-morrison-says-he-understands-canberra-antivax-protesters-amid-clashes-with-police?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
Anyone debating whether to ink Zoe Daniel as a gain for the teals in Goldstein can stop.
Tim Wilson is gorn.
Greensborough Growler @ #3198 Saturday, February 12th, 2022 – 4:59 pm
I get triggered by plonkers. I admit it.
Rexxy,
LOL
So, you trigger yourself?
100%.
The Libs have to go last on the ballot.
You can safely put the scammers, racists and far right nutters above them as they can’t win.
Vaccinations are the Coalition’s Adani.
Asha @ #3204 Saturday, February 12th, 2022 – 5:10 pm
Yeah, but the aged care neglect is even worse for them.
I know what I might infer, but what is Laura Tingle implying?