Essential Research leadership ratings and end-of-year review

Scott Morrison’s personal ratings maintain a downward trend, as the government scores middling ratings for its overall performance for the year.

Essential Research has published its final fortnightly poll for the year, which includes its monthly leadership ratings. Scott Morrison is down two on approval to 46% and up two on disapproval to 44%, his weakest numbers since the onset of COVID-19 and a continuation of a downward trend since March. Anthony Albanese is steady on 40% approval and up one on disapproval to 36%. Essential’s numbers for both leaders are consistently more favourable than those for other pollsters. Morrison’s lead on preferred prime minister is down from 44-28 to 42-31, the narrowest it has been all term.

The federal government’s ratings for COVID-19 response have deteriorated after a three-month improving trend, down six on good to 41% and up seven on poor to 32%. The equivalent results for the states record a one point drop in the New South Wales government’s good rating to 54%, an eight point drop in the Victorian government’s rating to 43% and a three point drop for Queensland to 57%. The Western Australian government is up four to 78% and the South Australian government is down three to 57%, with due caution to the tiny sample sizes in these cases.

Respondents were asked about the Coalition’s performance on various matters since it came to power in 2013, and were interestingly given the opportunity to indicate whether the issue was important or unimportant to them in addition to evaluating the government’s performance. Its worst results came for handling sexual assault and misconduct, with 35% from the 50% who rated it poorly considering it an important issue, and handling of corruption allegations, rated likewise by 35% from 49%. However, the government now records neutral ratings on the vaccine rollout and is rated very favourably for the legalisation of same-sex marriage.

As it does at the end of each year, the pollster asked if had been a good or a bad year for various actors, with the federal government deemed to have had a good year by 34% and a poor year by 38%. Thirty-eight per cent considered it had been a good year for them and their family compared with 23% for poor; 37% rated their personal financial situation favourably compared with 30% for unfavourably. As usual, large companies and corporations were deemed to have done best of all, at 52% for good and 21% for poor. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of around 1000.

Another poll worth noting is a Western Australian survey for Painted Dog Research, published today in The West Australian, which found more respondents considering the state’s recently announced opening up date of February 5 to be too soon (36%) than too late (18%), with 46% deeming it right. Mark McGowan was credited with a 77% approval rating, down from 88% in a previous survey in February. The poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday from a sample of 811.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,431 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings and end-of-year review”

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  2. 48 hours and still waiting for my results re covid.

    I noticed on the news last night that they referred to the 6,000+ positives yesterday as coming from 150,000 odd tests on Friday.
    Given I was in that 150,000 the figure and presumably an unknown number of others, have they been revising those daily numbers as tests are eventually completed?

    Does it matter?

  4. ‘Passed’, also makes it sound like the person died with a whimper, gently and peacefully, when death is just about anything but.

  5. Aqualung says:
    Sunday, December 26, 2021 at 11:14 am

    48 hours and still waiting for my results re covid.

    I noticed on the news last night that they referred to the 6,000+ positives yesterday as coming from 150,000 odd tests on Friday.
    Given I was in that 150,000 the figure and presumably an unknown number of others, have they been revising those daily numbers as tests are eventually completed?

    Does it matter?
    —————
    As long as we end up comparing like to like and know the rules on which the numbers are based, not really. But apples and oranges could be a problem.

  6. “Does it matter?”

    The view from the Cave is that the eastern states are simply swamped or going to be.

    The testing regime simply cant handle the load of people testing because of exposure, AND, people trying to test on the right day so they can travel between states.

    Must be people wanting to travel, getting tested, but that test being out of date for travel by the time they get the result???

  7. My son needs to have a negative test 48 hours before he goes to England but if the tests are taking 48 hours+ to get back to people with results, what’s he to do!?!

  13. On ISPs. I’ve been with TPG since I could send optus to the sin bin on connection to fttp.
    Optus customer service is beyond appalling and I made that very clear to some customer service bigwig in Adelaide after my umpteenth problem made worse by support staff that apparently spoke a version of English where everything I said was reinterpreted into some meaningless nonsense.
    Haven’t had 1 problem with TPG in the 5+ years I’ve been with them.
    Earlier this year I was temporarily upgraded to 200mbs for a period of 6 months gratis.
    Unfortunately I never got close to 200mbs. The highest I ever saw was in the 90s.
    Mostly it bounced around high 40s to 70ish. I’m on the 50mbs plan.
    I thought the problem was my modem but it is supposed to be capable of 300mbs.
    It’s the original modem supplied by tpg so I guess it may need replacing by now.

  14. Boerwar at 10:55 am
    It is also huge for Europe. With all the faffing about, at Americas request, over gas from Russia the advent of Power of Siberia 1 + 2 will leave Europe looking a bit of an expendable energy customer. They got a taste of what might happen this year with the crazy gas prices. Price that were another European own goal. Deciding short term contracts was the clever way to go rather than signing long term contracts turned out to be not so clever. The ‘Chermans’ should have been sitting pretty but after resisting heavy US pressure re Nord Stream 2 they decided to play silly buggers right at the end . So no NSII gas right when they needed it.

  18. An acquaintance who left Sydney Airport overseas last week found the airport Histopath chokkers, and they were shuttling people to their Arncliffe premises for the test.

  20. laughtong @ #1990 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 11:27 am

    C@tmomma @ #1964 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 11:22 am

    My son needs to have a negative test 48 hours before he goes to England but if the tests are taking 48 hours+ to get back to people with results, what’s he to do!?!

    Melbourne Airport had a special (paid) testing clinic. Now only for international travellers.
    Not sure if Sydney has the same.

    Yes, Sydney too but I think it’s a RAT only.
    We have a collection centre in the local area but the problem is with how long the results are taking to come back. I saw a couple at the airport yesterday who were still waiting on their test results and couldn’t board their flight! 😯

  21. “An acquaintance who left Sydney Airport overseas last week found the airport Histopath chokkers, and they were shuttling people to their Arncliffe premises for the test.”

    so dont be running late fer yah flight then. 🙂

  24. Hazzard: “Everyone in Australia will get omicron”.
    Me: SPEAK FOR YOURSELF ?

    But I have “Viraleze” Anti Covid19 Nasal spray ! by Starpharma
    Deactivates Alph-Beta-Gamma-Delta-Gamma-Kappa- variants and proberly kills Omicron
    No Snide remarks from Sceptic!
    Get your finger OUT TGA!

  28. poroti says:
    Sunday, December 26, 2021 at 11:31 am

    ‘Boerwar at 10:55 am
    It is also huge for Europe. With all the faffing about, at Americas request, over gas from Russia the advent of Power of Siberia 1 + 2 will leave Europe looking a bit of an expendable energy customer. They got a taste of what might happen this year with the crazy gas prices. Price that were another European own goal. Deciding short term contracts was the clever way to go rather than signing long term contracts turned out to be not so clever. The ‘Chermans’ should have been sitting pretty but after resisting heavy US pressure re Nord Stream 2 they decided to play silly buggers right at the end . So no NSII gas right when they needed it.’
    ——————————-
    Putin enjoyed his short-n-curlies moment as well.

  30. Interesting Kia ad.
    It’s probably been on before but first time I’ve seen it.
    Plugging the car into the house and powering the Christmas lights.
    How dare they steal the weekend.

  32. lizzie @ #2116 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 11:31 am

    We used to say “passed away” which at least has some grammatical sense. “Passed over” is getting a bit spiritual.

    As per Alexander McCall Smith’s delightful N0 1 Ladies Detective Agency series, the Botswanan custom is to refer to death (which was particularly common in Botswana due to HIV) was “being Late” (as in “My father is Late” not merely my Late Father) – which can be charming if not misconstrued.

    Most Pall Care clinicians of my acquaintance (including my wife) are fairly militant about using the terms death and dying (particularly in relation to the process of active dying, and the still much misunderstood pathophysiology of dying) – though perhaps less so than a few years ago when I was retraining in it.

  33. Boerwar at 11:38 am
    I saw video of him explaining that Russia was actually fulfilling each and every contract , there was a cat looking very much like the one that got the cream.

  36. ‘poroti says:
    Sunday, December 26, 2021 at 11:49 am

    Boerwar at 11:38 am
    I saw video of him explaining that Russia was actually fulfilling each and every contract , there was a cat looking very much like the one that got the cream.’
    —————————————–
    There is a bad thing about it. Putin feels he personally has to ‘fix’ the Ukraine. He is as time limited as other mere mortals. The gas choke has to be a consideration.

  37. Boerwar @ #2126 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 10:38 am

    Putin enjoyed his short-n-curlies moment as well.

    Maybe. But a shortage of fossil fuel is always a good thing. And it’s primarily their own fault for not moving onto sustainable energy more quickly. Putin can’t control that. Developed nations have no excuses anymore.

    National security demands sustainable energy. 🙂

  38. From the West Australian website:

    Mark McGowan has upped the stakes in the upcoming Federal Election by claiming that Anthony Albanese can win four additional seats here in WA – including that of Scott Morrison’s trusted advisor Ben Morton.

    Ben Morton is the Member for Tangney.

    Now we cave dwellers know that Magic Mark can walk on water if he wanted to, so his prediction can be relied on. This means that not only has Magic delivered the nations best performing economy and the best COVID management, but now we cave dwellers will do the heavy lifting in getting rid of the worst Federal Government the nation has ever had.

  40. a r says:
    Sunday, December 26, 2021 at 11:52 am

    ‘Boerwar @ #2126 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 10:38 am

    Putin enjoyed his short-n-curlies moment as well.

    Maybe. But a shortage of fossil fuel is always a good thing. And it’s primarily their own fault for not moving onto sustainable energy more quickly. Putin can’t control that. Developed nations have no excuses anymore.

    National security demands sustainable energy. ‘
    ——————————-
    Not always, IMO. In this case it may encourage Putin to invade the Ukraine.

  41. @BB and @Rossmcg, you both described terrible service from your ISP and great service from NBN Co. As soon as the fault was logged with NBN Co they promptly scheduled a technician and the technician promptly fixed the ancient copper wiring (thanks TA and MT!). It would not have mattered who your ISP was.

    Just a note on ISPs that iinet, TPG, InterNode and Vodafone are all brands of the one company.

    Personally I use TPG and NBN fibre-to-the-node. I had continual dropouts recently and after a single call to TPG, I had a rapid succession of NBN Co contractors come out. After replacing just about every imaginable connection, street cable and node port, the sixth tech (no exaggeration) finally identified and fixed the fault. It was in my wiring, at an old connection that I did not remember existed, where the cable looped down to an old Telecom phone point now hidden behind skirting. Both TPG and NBN Co gave perfect service, keeping me informed at every point and persisting until the fault was resolved.

  42. On internet services, which are important to the point of being critical for OH, we indulge a lot of time and dare I say, money.

    In the city, iinet have so far been good, delivering via cable (once was foxtel).

    In the country, pretty remote, things are a challenge. We are now at the stage of wanting to run things remotely, and reliably, like watering systems during a fire. And we are now juggling three systems, still in the search for best case.

    The old ADSL2+ copper Telstra connection is still intact, with a stable 3.5 Mbps unless there has been some heavy rain, where it gets flakey, presumably some connection getting damp and wobbly (technical term for not working properly).

    4G transmission has improved, new tower, new whatever else they do (you can tell by now how savvy I am) and we pick that up with a roof aerial and coaxial it into a router for a variable 20-30Mbps with Optus after abandoning Telstra when they resorted to texting not answering calls.

    But, just lately, we have embraced Musk’s Starlink satellite services. It’s not cheap. DishyMacFlat face has had a few moves, and now discretely scans the southern skies, connected by ethernet cable (POE) into Ubiquity (fail over) router, giving 120 – 300Mbps. It’s fabulous. But. But the dropouts are a problem. We get dropouts from obstruction (trees), and when it changes satellites; they are in constant movement. It’s not a show stopper. If you are streaming, there’s enough data stored for the buffer to carry the stream, and nothing is lost. If you are zooming and conference calling, it freezes, then restarts, a delay of seconds only, but problemo. Occasionally, you have to reboot the page or system you are in, or disconnect and restart the internet connection at the ‘wifi’ connection. Overall, the speed justifies the clunks. We have just installed a switching system such that when Dishy drops out, it defaults to either 4G Optus or ADSL2+ Telstra — this is a work in progress. And, we are now exploring relocating the dish on a 5 metre pole 200 metres away with less trees around, and wireless 5G connection to the house, and within the house, a Ubiquity Mesh wi-fi set up.

    OH enjoys all the experimentation, and the technology, and we are blessed all up with a good to often brilliant service, which once was intolerably crap.

  46. 1) Re go for it Scotty. He took a bit of flak, not least from some of the Tasmanians involved, for the way he pushed and shoved his way to the front of that absolute tragedy. The number of people commenting on his absence from the other recent absolute tragedy where the four Sudanese kids died might have had the ghouls in his office scratching their heads. What would he do in Brisbane in the next days? There was an absolute tragedy there as well with a couple of kids, and some adults, killed in a plane crash. They seemed to tick a few Morrison boxes so would he go there, splashing tears? No. There was a pickup cricket game a couple of kilometres away. A game of cricket WITH cameras. No brainer for Morrison.

    2) Re NBN. Ours crashed again for the second time in a year and a bit. Last time it was a bit of rust on the co-ax out the front. All the lights, along with drop-outs, seemed to suggest the same problem. I tried to explain this to Telstra but they at least agreed to send someone out. The NBN guy turned up on time and advised us that the NBN modem was lightning damaged. OK. Who am I to argue? He replaced it and for good measure, tidied up the Foxtel box where the shared cable comes in. All lights green. All good. For an hour. All the problems came back. On to Telstra again and this time they would get Mr NBN to check the lead-in cable in the pit. This he did and, of course, the co-ax had picked up some more rust, so it was repaired. That was Thursday and we haven’t had any problems since. The moral of the story is that if we had fibre to the premises, as originally designed, none of this would have happened. This is going to repeat periodically until we either get Albanese to follow through or we move. I think it will be the latter.

  47. C@tmomma @ #2143 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 11:09 am

    None of this would be an issue if we had had Fibre To The Premises. 😐

    Maybe. Though FTTP still employs a “modem” with lights on it that can refuse to light up if something is wrong.

    Although it’s owned/operated by NBNCo rather than supplied by each individual RSP and/or end-user. So there’s more consistency and less ability for a provider to say “well we don’t support that model, so you figure it out”.

  48. Derek

    No sure I agree with your assessment. iiNet indentified my recent fault quickly and organised repair. Tick to them and NBN co. The fault was in the old Telstra copper in the pit outside my house.

    I was camped in a sort of out of the way place in WA’s south a few weeks ago where even Telstra mobile reception was marginal. We were on the edge of coverage area.

    Fellow campers got to talking about it and one big noter small business type was bleating how bad Optus was in his area of Perth. How he couldnt get in touch with his workers on road etc …

    Why not change? They’re thousands a year cheaper than Telstra.

    I moved on.

  49. Boerwar
    Why the fluck would he do that over them going ‘Green’ when the Power of Siberia I + II makes Europe so much more irrelevant to their energy exports, outside of Germany virtually totally. The 2014 PofS 1 contract was a US$400 Billion deal , number two is even bigger. The Russkiys have been pretty blunt of late when it comes to what they think of doing business with Europe and a turn towards their East away from the West.
    Using the gas to replace coal is a major aim of the exercise on China’s part . So bad news for local coal producers and their ‘bright’ future. At least as far as exports to China go.

  50. @caitecassidy
    ·
    1h
    Brad Hazzard urging NSW residents to “think carefully” before calling an ambulance or heading to hospital is a disturbing indictment on the pressure that is already on the health system. 2,000 staff currently furloughed.

    I thought it fair enough when he detailed some of the silly little things that ambulances are called for, though.

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