Resolve Strategic: Coalition 39, Labor 32, Greens 11

Resolve Strategic continues to be the odd pollster out in suggesting a tight race on two-party preferred, with the Coalition if anything slightly in front.

The latest monthly Resolve Strategic federal poll for the Age/Herald marks a return to this series’ lean to the Coalition relative to other pollsters, with a two-point increase in their primary vote to 39% and a corresponding drop in Labor’s to 32%. The Greens, One Nation and other parties are steady at 11%, 3% and 5% respectively, with the low collective major party vote reflected in a likewise steady 9% for the pollster’s “independents” measure. The latter is a contentious feature of the poll, as it is unclear how or if the pollster deals with uncertainty as to where independents might run, as nothing is publicly known about how its questionnaire is structured.

Resolve Strategic doesn’t provide two-party preferred numbers, but I estimate a 51-49 break in favour of the Coalition on two-party preferred based on 2019 preference flows, reversing the result from last month. Breakdowns for the large states suggest the Coalition leads 53-47 in New South Wales, compared with 50-50 last time, and a swing of a bit over 1% in their favour compared with 2019; Labor leads 53-47 in Victoria, little changed on either the last poll or the 2019 election; and the Coalition leads 56-44 in Queensland, compared with 51-49 last time, for a swing to Labor of about 2.5%. Despite the voting intention numbers, the poll finds Scott Morrison has taken a solid hit on his personal ratings, consistent with the finding of other polls over the past month, with his approval rating down seven points to 40% and disapproval up to 49%. Anthony Albanese is respectively up one to 31% and four to 45%, and he has narrowed his deficit on preferred prime minister from to 44-26 to 40-29.

Full results from the poll, which was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1606, can be viewed here. Further results from the poll concerning the economic outlook (most expect it to improve) and immigration (most believe there should be less of it than pre-pandemic) can be viewed here. The pollster’s bi-monthly New South Wales state voting intention result will presumably be along this evening.

Also out yesterday was the regular fortnightly poll from Essential Research, which now comes with a flash new display, though I personally will miss the PDF that brought it all together in one easily stored file. This release features neither the monthly leadership ratings nor the quarterly dump of voting intention numbers. What it does include is the regular question on COVID-19 response by the federal government, whose good rating is down three to 45% with poor steady on 29%, and the state governments, with New South Wales’ good rating steady on 57%, Victoria’s down six to 50% and Queensland’s down two to 60%.

A question on best party to manage the economy does not follow the usual form for this issue in favouring the Coalition: instead, Labor and Liberal are tied on 34%. Furthermore, Labor leads 40-29 as the better party to “ensure the economy works in the interests of everyday Australians”, and 37-23 as best party to manage household expenses. Perhaps relatedly, fully 62% wanted the government to play a more active role in managing the economy, with only 16% wanting it to be less active and 22% thinking it has it about right. Further questions relate to government help for businesses to recover from the pandemic (respondents overwhelmingly in favour), an emissions target for 2030 (respondents believe it should be more ambitious) and freedom of speech (respondents actually aren’t all that keen on it). The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1095.

Finally, Sky News has a curious set of figures from a poll of 4010 respondents conducted way back in September by unheralded outfit Ergo Strategy, described as “News Corp’s final exclusive survey”, though I can’t find any record of anything earlier. No voting intention figures are provided, but we are told how voters for each party in 2019 intend to vote this time. Eleven per cent of Coalition voters said they were switching to Labor compared with 5% vice-versa, suggesting a shift of around 3% in favour of Labor.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,134 comments on “Resolve Strategic: Coalition 39, Labor 32, Greens 11”

Comments Page 1 of 23
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  1. Thanks William for the poll. Regardless of the overall balance in Resolve vs other polls, a two point lift in the LNP vote seems hard to understand.

  2. I think the Resolve poll should be a lesson to us all not to get too far ahead of ourselves again. There’s a reason the Liberals keep Scott Morrison in place, he will campaign every minute of every day and in every way…to pull the wool over the electorate’s eyes and so that his Crony Capitalist government can continue to hand over our money to his mates.

  3. David Crowe outlines a bit more about the way the Resolve poll works:

    Unlike others, Resolve does not have an “undecided” category because it asks voters to nominate their primary votes in the same way they fill in their ballot papers at an election. Unlike others, Resolve does not exclude the “uncommitted” group because there is no such cohort.

    Respondents have to choose an option. Rather than selecting Labor, some are giving their votes to the Greens, others and independents.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/trust-a-toxic-issue-as-morrison-fights-fire-with-fire-20211123-p59bfn.html

  4. I have put a further contribution in regard Aged Care on the previous thread and which I do not intend repeating on this thread – too much to do today!!

    But, to me at least, the contribution is central

    If I have the time – and the inclination – later I will repeat on this thread

  5. Good news.

    Tom McIlroy
    @TomMcIlroy

    Labor’s Don Farrell says if the Coalition’s voter ID laws pass Parliament, the first action of an Albanese Labor government will be to repeal the legislation

  6. Got me again, William!!!
    ________________

    Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    Looking at the latest Resolve poll, David Crowe writes that trust is turning into a toxic issue for Morrison and he has made a simple decision. The best form of defence is attack. Branded a liar on the international stage, he tells Australians they can trust him on the economy. Branded a liar in Parliament, he tells voters that Albanese is not being straight with them.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/trust-a-toxic-issue-as-morrison-fights-fire-with-fire-20211123-p59bfn.html
    Michelle Grattan says that, for a leader with something of a fetish about having things under control, Scott Morrison is in a painful place. Just now, it seems, very little is controllable. She describes the tough time he is getting from all directions.
    https://theconversation.com/view-from-the-hill-scott-morrison-warns-disorderly-troops-against-putting-a-smile-on-labors-face-172423
    Shane Wright and Jennifer Duke tell us that economists are warning falling commodity prices could deal a blow to repairing the budget and caution it could take a decade to unwind COVID-19’s fiscal damage.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/politically-fraught-but-budget-repair-needs-to-start-soon-economists-20211123-p59b8r.html
    David Crowe tries to work out what’s in the religious freedom bill. I am none the clearer and am interested in what is really the specified “statement of belief”.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/religious-australians-to-get-protection-to-make-statements-of-belief-20211123-p59bhz.html
    Luke Beck explains what has changed in the latest draft of the religious discrimination bill.
    https://theconversation.com/third-time-lucky-what-has-changed-in-the-latest-draft-of-the-religious-discrimination-bill-172386
    Chris Uhlmann reckons Morrison is trying to focus the election away from a contest with state premiers, where he fares badly, to one against Albanese.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/if-scott-morrison-could-pick-his-election-battles-there-s-one-he-would-prefer-20211123-p59b9h.html
    ‘Can-do capitalism’ is delivering less than it used to. Peter Martin gives us three reasons why this is so.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7522464/can-do-capitalism-is-delivering-less-heres-why/?cs=14264
    Michael Pascoe tells us why the GDP is almost a fetish and how it has a narrow business focus.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2021/11/24/michael-pascoe-gdp/
    With campaigns against pandemic mandates the need for a human rights act has never been greater, argues Greg Barns.
    https://johnmenadue.com/post-covid-the-need-for-a-human-rights-act-has-never-been-greater/
    Paul Sakkal writes that leading pandemic specialists Julie Leask, Catherine Bennett and Tony Blakely argue Victoria’s vaccination rate, on track to reach 95 per cent next month, is high enough to protect the state from any increased transmission that might happen if unvaccinated were given the same rights as those who’ve had their jabs.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/giving-vaccination-a-bad-name-experts-say-jab-lockouts-can-end-at-90-percent-20211122-p59b4t.html
    Peter Dutton says federal Labor won’t stand up for Australian values in the face of Chinese attacks and accused it of “crab-walking” away from the AUKUS defence agreement in the angriest dispute between the two major parties over foreign policy in years. Mr Dutton on Tuesday lashed Opposition foreign affairs spokeswoman Penny Wong for delivering a “very irresponsible” and “embarrassing” speech in which she argued the Defence Minister was hyping up the threat of war over Taiwan for domestic political advantage. Senator Wong hit back late on Tuesday to say Mr Dutton was lying about her speech and Labor backed the AUKUS deal.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/embarrassing-dutton-accuses-labor-of-walking-away-from-aukus-defence-pact-20211123-p59bfy.html
    The slow, roiling crisis of Australia-China relations reached a distinct new stage with China’s president, Xi Jinping, directly criticising Australia’s new AUKUS agreement for the first time, writes Greg Sheridan.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/his-masters-voice-amplifies-how-annoyed-xi-jinping-is/news-story/0d90b3459a1c7fa5f43e21f951ae8ff2
    “Steady on ranters, Victoria is not descending into totalitarianism”, says Jack Waterford.
    https://johnmenadue.com/steady-on-ranters-victoria-is-not-descending-into-totalitarianism/
    In this flippant contribution, Andrew P Street looks at Morrison’s electoral challenges.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/morrison-braves-the-nsw-electoral-labyrinth-of-doom,15776
    Matt Wade explores why Australian businesses are not taking advantage of the good relationship that governments of the last two decades have been building with India.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/the-nation-australian-businesses-need-to-embrace-20211123-p59b9j.html
    In this op-ed, Jacqui Lambie adds to her ripper of a speech on vaccinations.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/opinion/2021/11/24/jacqui-lambie-vaccination-freedom/
    Clearer boundaries for consensual sex have been enshrined in law after the NSW Parliament passed historic consent reforms to ensure more effective prosecutions of sexual offences.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/massively-satisfied-landmark-sexual-consent-laws-pass-nsw-parliament-20211123-p59bho.html
    Dana Daniel tells us that GPs have criticised the federal government over its coronavirus vaccine rollout, saying delayed information campaigns left a “vacuum” for anti-vaxxers to spread dangerous messages.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/we-lost-the-trust-and-faith-gps-blast-government-s-vaccine-rollout-20211123-p59bcm.html
    Coal plants are closing faster than expected, but governments can keep the exit orderly explains The Conversation.
    https://theconversation.com/coal-plants-are-closing-faster-than-expected-governments-can-keep-the-exit-orderly-172150
    A report prepared by an investigative journalist which summarised allegations and rumours about Ben Roberts-Smith will remain secret, after the Federal Court found it cannot be used in the former soldier’s defamation case because it is covered by legal privilege.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/journalist-s-report-to-remain-secret-in-roberts-smith-defamation-trial-20211123-p59bcb.html
    Scott Morrison is pitching to parts of the mainstream with his lines on freedom, writes a former Liberal party adviser, Pete Shmigel.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/scott-morrison-is-pitching-to-parts-of-the-mainstream-with-his-lines-on-freedom-20211122-p59b05.html
    The Coalition banks on the myth they are better economic managers than Labor, but facts are eroding the slogan, writes Peter Lewis.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/commentisfree/2021/nov/23/the-coalition-banks-on-the-myth-they-are-better-economic-managers-than-labor-but-facts-are-eroding-the-slogan
    Tom Rabe explains how the future construction of the multibillion-dollar Western Harbour Tunnel means the government is faced with the challenge of ensuring the new motorway’s tolling structure does not push motorists onto existing northbound crossings, which are free.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/split-harbour-bridge-toll-and-apply-it-each-way-an-option-for-nsw-government-20211123-p59bhq.html
    Premier Dominic Perrottet insists the Delta outbreak did not create a two-tiered Sydney, while the Minister for Western Sydney has railed against a “victim mentality” being imposed on areas worst hit by the lockdown.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/victim-mentality-has-got-to-stop-minister-says-no-such-thing-as-two-tiered-sydney-20211123-p59bc4.html
    Weakened labour markets in Australia and New Zealand have resulted in a significant slump in net migration of NZ citizens, writes Dr Abul Rizvi.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/australias-weak-labour-market-causes-nz-migration-slump,15780
    Tony Wright does not appear to be a fan of Barnaby Joyce. Here he describes his performance yesterday answering a question from Catherine King.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/barnaby-champions-his-hometown-mayor-condemning-labor-snobs-20211123-p59b9y.html
    Lucy Cormack says that Dominic Perrottet insists the Delta outbreak did not create a two-tiered Sydney, while the Minister for Western Sydney has railed against a “victim mentality” being imposed on areas worst hit by the lockdown. She refers to what the SMH had found out about CHO Kerry Chant’s advice at the time was.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/victim-mentality-has-got-to-stop-minister-says-no-such-thing-as-two-tiered-sydney-20211123-p59bc4.html
    Peter Hannam explains why some petrol prices are on the road to $2 a litre.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/nov/24/one-way-traffic-why-some-petrol-prices-are-on-the-road-to-2-a-litre
    Lisa Visentin reports that a government-backed Senate inquiry into the ABC and SBS’s complaints handling processes has been derailed by a Labor and Greens push to suspend it until the next term of Parliament.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/one-nation-s-bid-to-derail-senate-inquiry-into-the-abc-and-sbs-complaints-mechanism-20211123-p59bcq.html
    Dana Daniel explains how a royal commission has heard employers fear asking workers if they have a disability, making data collection on employment rates tricky as companies work to boost their diversity credentials.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/employers-anxious-about-asking-employees-to-disclose-disability-20211123-p59bco.html
    Jacqui Lambie, the Coalition and Labor have banded together to demand an apology from One Nation for sharing the independent Tasmanian senator’s personal mobile number on social media, leading to a torrent of abuse, reports Nick Bonyhady.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/one-nation-under-fire-for-sharing-lambie-s-phone-number-triggering-wave-of-abuse-20211123-p59bfj.html
    Vaccine mandate protests around the country are distracting politicians from the ongoing climate crisis that still requires urgent attention, writes Sue Arnold.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/protests-distract-government-from-climate-crisis,15774
    The AFR tells us that actuaries and academics are frantically working up plans to help “Middle Australians” get access to critical advice about retirement, which could replace the troubled financial advice industry with a software algorithm. UNSW law professor and former ASIC Commissioner Pamela Hanrahan is promoting a “standardised” tool that collects personal data about people transitioning to retirement and makes automated recommendations to buy products such as an annuity or account-based pension.
    https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/the-financial-advice-solution-that-cuts-out-advisers-20211123-p59bc0
    Karen Maley writes that a ham-fisted regulatory response has left average Australians struggling to pay for financial planning. Astute players in the financial planning industry have long warned that we are now in a situation where average Australians can’t afford the $5000 or so it costs to prepare a high-quality personalised investment plan for their superannuation savings.
    https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/why-it-will-be-harder-to-afford-quality-financial-advice-20211123-p59bcu
    The failures of Australia’s fragmented and ineffective housing policy are accumulating — governments should take heed or pay a political cost, urges Duncan McClennan.
    https://johnmenadue.com/why-housing-emergency-must-shift-australian-politics/
    Professors Ben White and Lindy Willmott are concerned that a last-minute pile on of amendments and extra “safeguards” put at risk the workability of the NSW addicted dying legislation.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/add-ons-to-assisted-dying-bill-may-render-it-unworkable-20211123-p59bd6.html
    John Collett writes that the property market might crack under higher interest rates, with some market watchers predicting a price slump of up to 10 per cent during 2023.
    https://www.smh.com.au/money/investing/house-prices-to-hit-skids-as-rates-rise-20211119-p59adi.html
    According to Lucy Carroll and Mary Ward, junior doctors are set to launch legal proceedings against the state government on Wednesday over unpaid wages as pressure mounts on NSW Health over its alleged treatment of trainee medics. I don’t think these practices are limited to NSW.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/nsw-health-facing-two-court-cases-over-junior-doctors-conditions-20211123-p59bcg.html
    Clancy Yeates tells us that the CBA has released data that it says shows customers who use buy now, pay later operators are more likely to overdraw their accounts and fall behind on repayments. This is hardly surprising, but BNPL is a consequence of these companies going for a serve of the usurious credit card business of the big banks.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/bnpl-customers-more-likely-to-fall-into-arrears-cba-20211123-p59be7.html
    Senator Gerard Rennick’s use of Facebook to push unverified stories about vaccine side-effects is potentially dangerous, a top health expert has warned, as fresh doubt is cast on the legitimacy of a story he helped promote.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/nov/24/liberal-mp-gerard-rennicks-facebook-reposts-on-covid-vaccines-could-be-dangerous-health-expert-says
    The acerbic John Crace writes that Boris Johnson is making a real pig’s ear of winning the Confederation of British Industry back over. He says that after telling business to eff off, the PM needed to impress. Instead, he went into bizarre meltdown.
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/nov/22/boris-johnson-makes-pig-ear-winning-the-cbi-back-over

    Cartoon Corner

    David Pope

    David Rowe

    Matt Golding


    Cathy Wilcox

    John Shakespeare

    Warren Brown

    Glen Le Lievre


    Mark David

    Mark Knight

    Andrew Dyson

    Leak

    From the US






  7. I think that this is the post reference by Observer @7:24.

    ”Observer says:
    Tuesday, November 23, 2021 at 11:13 pm
    ar

    Read the transcript of the submission of Counsel Assisting

    What Aspen (and others) were contracted by the Federal government to supply is detailed – including what the outcome SHOULD have been

    The Aged Care businesses where the tragic loss of life occurred were all businesses under Federal government oversight and audit

    The independent report into the business where over 30 deaths occurred recommended all Federally controlled Aged Care businesses be transferred to State government control, noting in their Report that the State had so acted (and the situations markedly improved accordingly – the State government regained control of an abject disaster)

    Then you get to the bit about the Aspen “surge staff” staying in a hotel and partying, spreading the virus

    Now, in the face of a once in 100 year Pandemic you do not expect for every response to be perfect

    There was no rule book

    But you don’t expect the outcomes we saw in bed licence holder businesses and from the likes of Aspen

    Aspen was a private contractor, promoted by Wooldridge to the Federal government to provide “surge staff” in times of a Pandemic

    A $1.4 trillion Contract

    And then reference to $45 million

    In furloughing staff because of the spread of the infection at a business premises (so direct contact with infected persons), the expectation would have been that the likes of the Contracted Aspen (and others) had the available “surge staff” to cover all resident care requirements

    That is what they were paid $1.4 trillion to provide – by the Federal government

    Where was the Federal government audit of the money going out the door?

    JOBkeeper?

    Can do capitalism – funded by taxpayers”

  8. Economic outlook data from the perspective of respondents to the poll:

    A relative majority expects that the situation will be better, but only in 6 months time…. I am afraid that for ScuMo that’s not quite good enough. The perception should revert by the beginning of the year, for ScuMo to have enough time to hope for a win…. Wait for endless articles in the Murdoch and 9-Network media, plus various TV channels, in addition to Liberal party pressure on ABC-SBS to emphasise the “great economic achievements” of this, the “mostest wonderful of all wonderfullest” government in the history of the Christian civilisation….

    Let’s see whether the current Voter De-Moronisation effort will finally pay off…. I can’t wait!… 🙂

  9. In the last 25 years only once did the lib/nats retain government with a combined primary vote under 40%

    That was the Howard government in 1998 , thanks to a big majority it won in 1996 where the Lib/nats could afford to lose more than 12 seats and still hold a majority government.

    Compare to the current Lib/nats they hold 76 seats with a combined primary vote of 42.5%

    There is no way the lib/nats will hold all their seats with a declining combined primary vote

  10. Alpo @ #NaN Wednesday, November 24th, 2021 – 8:05 am

    Ah, the Leak cartoon…. a woman ALP politician “sucking up” to bullies?…. How “subtle”!!!

    The funny thing is the average Tele ‘reader’ wouldn’t recognise the caricature, probably doesn’t know who Penny Wong is and would have absolutely no idea she gave a speech yesterday let alone know what it was about.

  11. “Finally, Sky News has a curious set of figures from a poll of 4010 respondents conducted way back in September by unheralded outfit Ergo Strategy, described as “News Corp’s final exclusive survey”, though I can’t find any record of anything earlier. No voting intention figures are provided, but we are told how voters for each party in 2019 intend to vote this time. Eleven per cent of Coalition voters said they were switching to Labor compared with 5% vice-versa, suggesting a shift of around 3% in favour of Labor.”….

    Is that a subtle-but-not-so-subtle message from Murdoch to ScuMo?….
    My dear ScuMo, do you remember the day when Trump lost the support of NewsCorpse during the last US presidential election?

    In any event, just focusing on this: “Eleven per cent of Coalition voters said they were switching to Labor compared with 5% vice-versa”…. 5% of ALP voters switching to the Coalition?… Worthy of some further study, after three federal elections I would suggest to get the aid of a psychiatrist to understand how the mind of those voters works…

  12. Leak has an “interesting” take on what”sucking up” means.

    Whether or not it would be a good idea for Australia to join the USA in a war over Taiwan at some future time is something that would have to be assessed by cool, clear heads at the time, with Australia’s national interest at that time paramount. It would be… what’s the word… ? That’s right, “stupid”… to signal our intentions in advance to a possible enemy in a hypothetical future war.

    Unless, of course, Dutton made his remarks for some other purpose not really related to a possible war in the medium to long term.

  13. I am still reacting with disgust at Morrison roaring with laughter at Barnaby’s clownish act, turning to share the fun with his front bench, while the partisan Speaker drops all sense of the decorum required from his role and laughs along like the backbencher he was.

    I wonder what Tony Smith was thinking.

  14. Should a war between the USA and China over Taiwan come to pass, I just hope and pray that it is Labor and not the Coalition who are in Government at the time. The Coalition will jump straight in, while Labor would at least think it through first. And we’ve seen the Coalition’s record on emergencies. Does anyone truly imagine that they would be any better at managing Australia’s participation in an actual war, as distinct from windy, bellicose rhetoric? Any better than they have proved in managing, say, a bushfire emergency, a pandemic vaccine rollout, quarantine or aged care?

  15. lizzie @ #NaN Wednesday, November 24th, 2021 – 8:30 am

    I am still reacting with disgust at Morrison roaring with laughter at Barnaby’s clownish act, turning to share the fun with is front bench, while the partisan Speaker drops all sense of the decorum required from his role and laughs along like the backbencher he was.

    I wonder what Tony Smith was thinking.

    I wonder what the voters who saw it on the telly were thinking……


  16. Chris Uhlmann reckons Morrison is trying to focus the election away from a contest with state premiers, where he fares badly, to one against Albanese.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/if-scott-morrison-could-pick-his-election-battles-there-s-one-he-would-prefer-20211123-p59b9h.html

    Is it the same Chris Uhlmann who reckoned that the Labor premiers lost the debate regarding measures on pandemic to Scott Morrison? Is it the same Uhlmann who thought the renewable energy resources of SA implemented by previous Labor government were no good?

  17. lizzie says:
    Wednesday, November 24, 2021 at 8:30 am
    I am still reacting with disgust at Morrison roaring with laughter at Barnaby’s clownish act, turning to share the fun with his front bench, while the partisan Speaker drops all sense of the decorum required from his role and laughs along like the backbencher he was.

    I wonder what Tony Smith was thinking.
    —————————————-

    By moving to the backbench instead of leaving parliament altogether , tony Smith would probably be thinking the same as the other Liberal/National Party members

  18. mundo at 8:11 am

    and would have absolutely no idea …………….. let alone know what it was about.

    Leak obviously doesn’t so why would the Daily Tellsmecrap ‘demographic’ bother with such details ?


  19. Alposays:
    Wednesday, November 24, 2021 at 8:01 am
    Economic outlook data from the perspective of respondents to the poll:

    A relative majority expects that the situation will be better, but only in 6 months time…. I am afraid that for ScuMo that’s not quite good enough. The perception should revert by the beginning of the year, for ScuMo to have enough time to hope for a win…. Wait for endless articles in the Murdoch and 9-Network media, plus various TV channels, in addition to Liberal party pressure on ABC-SBS to emphasise the “great economic achievements” of this, the “mostest wonderful of all wonderfullest” government in the history of the Christian civilisation….

    Let’s see whether the current Voter De-Moronisation effort will finally pay off…. I can’t wait!…

    You have point regarding “Wait for endless articles in the Murdoch and 9-Network media, plus various TV channels, in addition to Liberal party pressure on ABC-SBS to emphasise the “great economic achievements” of this, the “mostest wonderful of all wonderfullest” government in the history of the Christian civilisation….”
    because
    Last year they portrayed Morrison as the reincarnation of Moses after COVID first wave was kept under control successfully. 🙂

  20. Ian Mannix
    @sedvitae
    ·
    19m
    Dear stupid Govt. it is an article of faith in many religions, including Islam, that countries should be governed by religious leaders. It would spell end of our Westminster system. But you are legislating for it. #auspol

  21. I see that C@t and Boer have scored part time jobs writing material for our Sontaran Defence Minister.

    Re: Steve777

    “ Should a war between the USA and China over Taiwan come to pass, I just hope and pray that it is Labor and not the Coalition who are in Government at the time. The Coalition will jump straight in, while Labor would at least think it through first.”

    Labor has to grub out it’s Wolverine faction before even I could accept your conclusions about how a future Labor government may act. A lot of Labor’s nonesense comes out of its Victorian branch. It’s a grouper redux.

  22. Be interesting today
    Tony Smith if he had any integrity for the speakers role , should had a word with the new speaker blunders from yesterday

    Pointing out the ruling that Barnaby Joyce was relevant to a question , where Joyce himself knew he was not being relevant to the question asked

    Was a disgraceful decision by the speaker

  23. Andrew_Earlwood at 8:49 am
    They have a touch of Jack Ripper about them.

    I can no longer sit back and allow Communist infiltration, Communist indoctrination, Communist subversion and the international Communist conspiracy to sap and impurify all of our precious bodily fluids.

    But seriously though do the, for want of a better term, ‘Santa’s Little Helpers’ and the ‘De Bruyns’ hold much of a grip in Victoria ?

  24. Just listened to an interview with the new Human Rights Commissioner (a ‘captain’s pick’ by Michaelia Cash, who apparently didn’t bother with the tedious process of looking at possible applicants).

    Dolores Umbridge brought to life. A lot of wtte of “Whilst my personal beliefs on this issue are still the same, I will bear in mind the legislative frameworks laid down by other administrations, and endeavour to balance the conflicting views of all sides to the question, in order to ultimately reach a resolution which…”

  25. Melissa Clarke
    @Clarke_Melissa
    ·
    54m
    On the religious discrimination bill, one Bishop (Anglican) said to me, “Everyone should just go to the beach. Take a break. And maybe politicians should take a vow of silence for a few weeks.”

  26. zoomster @ #34 Wednesday, November 24th, 2021 – 8:54 am

    Just listened to an interview with the new Human Rights Commissioner (a ‘captain’s pick’ by Michaelia Cash, who apparently didn’t bother with the tedious process of looking at possible applicants).

    Dolores Umbridge brought to life. A lot of wtte of “Whilst my personal beliefs on this issue are still the same, I will bear in mind the legislative frameworks laid down by other administrations, and endeavour to balance the conflicting views of all sides to the question, in order to ultimately reach a resolution which…”

    But, but, but…She’s a Woman with the Right Views, you know – just like her predecessor, Little Timmy Wilson (BA (IPA) (failed)), who was, you know, one of Those People, but also had the Right Views. Why are the peasants so revolting?

  27. ‘Andrew_Earlwood says:
    Wednesday, November 24, 2021 at 8:49 am

    I see that C@t and Boer have scored part time jobs writing material for our Sontaran Defence Minister. ‘
    ————————————–
    Deflection.

  28. Steve777 says:
    Wednesday, November 24, 2021 at 8:30 am

    Should a war between the USA and China over Taiwan come to pass, I just hope and pray that it is Labor and not the Coalition who are in Government at the time.
    ….’
    —————————————-
    The problem is that Labor does not have a policy of armed neutrality.

    The spy bases, marines positioned in Darwin, US defence materiel prepositioned in Darwin, the cultural cringe, the ever-increasing equipment reliance on the US, the hapless reliance on foreign states to save us from ourselves, are much the same in Labor as they are in the Liberals.

    Labor also has problems with peeps like A-E who, despite their total reliance on realpolitik, have NFI about where China’s current bout of imperial expansion will halt itself. When it comes to excoriating the bad behaviour of the US, Saudi Arabia, India, Israel, etc, etc, etc they don’t hold back. When it comes to excoriating even worse behaviour by China, they want STFU.

    The Greens are 100% negligent on Defence and would gut the ADF of everything that is useful and fill order ADFA to teach peace studies and nothing else.

    We need a strongly armed neutrality.

    As for Dutton, total bloody disaster!

  29. mundo: “The funny thing is the average Tele ‘reader’ wouldn’t recognise the caricature, probably doesn’t know who Penny Wong is and would have absolutely no idea she gave a speech yesterday let alone know what it was about.”

    Fair point. But you assume the average Tele reader can actually read.

  30. I saw a comment earlier that an opinion poll showed that most Australians want a reduced level of migration, and therefore they are racist. What a load of crap! It’s absolutely legitimate to debate what level of migration is appropriate for Australia. Australia does not have an immigration policy based on ethnicity-just look at the faces in the street around you! It’s perfectly reasonable to argue that a lower level of migration would have potential benefits such as reduced congestion in cities, reduced pressure on house prices, reduced pressure on consumption of natural resources, and higher wages due to less competition for jobs. This is exactly the kind of reflexive hostility to mainstream Australians which alienates voters from left-wing politics.

  31. So interest rates are at record lows, people have record mortgages and are feeling chuffed with the asset price inflation otherwise known as house prices.

    Labor has a zero target strategy – which paradoxically the Liberals will fill in the details for during a campaign.

    Underneath it all – that may be the ultimate reason( ie fear and greed) ScoMo sneaks a win.

    Maybe resolve (Labor primary 32%) is an outlier, maybe news poll (Labor Primary 38%) is an outlier.

    Neither Albo nor ScoMo is popular ( I think both are net negatives now). Doesn’t seem to be a lot in it either way. I still think Albo is about a 30% chance of winning atm.

  32. Parramatta Moderate says:
    Wednesday, November 24, 2021 at 9:16 am

    I saw a comment earlier that an opinion poll showed that most Australians want a reduced level of migration, and therefore they are racist.
    …’
    ———————————
    The Far Right are now busy conflating being green with being anti-migration.
    The Greens policies have always been extremely pro migration.
    It is barely possible to have a policy discussion about Australian population levels, their impact on the environment and their impact on wages, without being called racist.

  33. Will Morrison last until Christmas?
    Will Dutton stab him in the back and then take us to war with China?
    With revolts in the House and in the Senate will the Morrison Government actually do anything at all?
    So many questions, so few answers.

  34. Lars Von Trier says:
    Wednesday, November 24, 2021 at 9:23 am

    So interest rates are at record lows, people have record mortgages and are feeling chuffed with the asset price inflation otherwise known as house prices.

    Go suck something Lars.

    House Prices are up, Mortgage debt are up, wages are low, job security is low.

    The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) states that of all new residential mortgages funded through the June 2021 quarter, 21.9% had a debt-to-income ratio equal or greater than 6x. That figure was 16% in the June 2020 quarter, and as low as 14.6% in the June 2019 quarter.

  35. You have point regarding “Wait for endless articles in the Murdoch and 9-Network media, plus various TV channels…

    Most of the articles are of the “What Morrison has to do to win is…” variety.

    The assumption being that any win by Labor is somehow illegitimate, or perhaps even against the natural order of things.

    Morrison and Dutton were insinuating this yesterday, claiming that Labor doesn’t care about the American Alliance, when it was Labor that sought and commenced it, while Menzies sat his great fat arse on an Imperial War Cabinet seat in London, expecting Mother England to save us.

    If Joyce was happy to bring up Chifley, then introducing Curtin’s diplomatic masterstroke should be permissible too.

    The Liberals got us into Korea (where there is still no official end to the war), Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan – all notable quagmires that end with us scurrying away with our tail between our legs.

  36. From the article linked above by Boerwar about the Animal Justice Party candidate:

    “The move has angered the farming community, Victorian Farmers Federation President Emma Germano said.

    “Is there any wonder that Australian’s are getting so totally sick of politics in this country when you hear people like that are running,” Ms Germano said.”

    ___________________________________________

    I have no truck with the AJP but if after Pauline Hanson, Clive Palmer, various crazy religious groups (including the ACL) it takes an AJP person running for the Senate for a peak body representative to spit the dummy, Australia is really fucked.

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