The Guardian reports the fortnightly Essential Research survey includes the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings, which find significant improvement in both leaders’ ratings. Scott Morrison is up four on approval to 54% and down three on disapproval to 37%, while Anthony Albanese is up four to 41% and down two to 34%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is 45-29, down from 47-26.
The poll also finds 78% would support a federal anti-corruption body, with only 11% opposed. Contrary to suggestions Gladys Berejiklian’s resignation would sap enthusiasm for the idea, 47% said it had made them more supportive, compared with 21% for less supportive.
Other questions focus on carbon emissions targets and climate change, including a finding that 68% support of a more ambitious target for 2030 and net zero by 2050, compared with 13% who did not favour targets and 19% who were unsure. Fifty-nine per cent agreed climate change was caused by human activity while 30% favoured the alternative of a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate, which in both cases is up three since June (Essential asks this question on a semi-regular basis), presumably reflecting a drop in an uncommitted response. Forty-two per cent said Australia was not doing enough (down three) compared with 31% for enough (up one) and 15% for too much (up three).
The Guardian’s report relates further results on climate change, and the poll presumably included the regular questions on federal and state government COVID-19 management. All will be laid out neatly in Essential Research’s report later today.
UPDATE: Full release here.
1,105 comments on “Essential Research: leadership ratings, ICAC, emissions targets”
I don’t mind if people consider it a hypothesis put forward for consideration :P.
That said, if the reaction involves a lot of judgemental bullshit (not referring to you, C@t) then be prepared for lengthy exposition. If my critics can’t comment on anything of substance, they’ll find I’m occasionally a nice person who likes to help them along by providing lots of material (sorry Mavis) in which they can poke holes to their heart’s content :).
So much Clive love in WA
WA’s Attorney-General has threatened to confiscate the mining magnate’s jet — and send him back to Queensland by train — if the billionaire does not pay up for legal fees owed to the State.
Imagine if Labor had enthusiastic supporters on social media, who instead of bad-mouthing them every day, encouraged them to slay the Coalition dragons?
Not going to happen here amongst this bunch of sorry sad sacks (not you Display Name), who just lay down in front of Crosby Textor, or Topham Guerin, or Isaac Levido, and say, ‘Do it to me one more time!’
Influenza lineage extinction during the COVID-19 pandemic?
I work by the premise that it’s futile to take the bait.
The Flu must really be cursing that Covid upstart who came along and spoiled the Flu’s softly-softly approach.
That’s because you’re a sensible person. Applying your standards to the rest of us will only lead to heartache :P.
Fair enough and no offence. I generally enjoy your posts.
poroti @ #1053 Wednesday, October 13th, 2021 – 9:59 pm
Do it! Do it! Alert the TV news crews like the Coalition does to Labor!
Can I just say that whatever influenza virus was around last Winter in Australia, it was a doozy.
Liberal govt in Tasmania can do it.
Discussion of the Overton Window shifting purely in context of political policy, without consideration of mass media? Hmm…
“I’m serious, if that plane comes into WA, I’m going to ask the sheriff to seize it,” he said.
Maybe get a court order first.
A valid point.
Can I ask you a very personal question, far from the madding crowd? I’ve been intrigued by “:P”. What does this mean, if you will?
What eating the rich did for Japan
Eye watering…. 10 months!
Melbourne Demons fans jailed over trip to WA for AFL grand final
He sentenced the men to be immediately imprisoned for three months, with the remaining seven months of their 10-month sentences suspended.
shellbell @ #1064 Wednesday, October 13th, 2021 – 10:19 pm
He’s just won a case in the High Court. I think he’ll remember the court order.
Looked at sideways it’s a face with a tongue sticking out. Possibly the amount it sticks out is commensurate with my cheekiness.
Sceptic @ #1068 Wednesday, October 13th, 2021 – 10:23 pm
I saw that on the news. I thought the men looked wealthy enough that a fine wouldn’t have bothered them. Jail time on the other hand. That will hurt.
DisplayName @ #1070 Wednesday, October 13th, 2021 – 10:24 pm
It reminds me of Miley Cyrus. 😀
Poliovirus, OTOH, is grateful for the distraction… We came so close to eliminating it in 2016. :-/
“Eye watering…. 10 months!
Melbourne Demons fans jailed over trip to WA for AFL grand final”
Good, and apparently when they finish that they are going to have to answer charges in the NT. Cunning plan that has gone all BlackAdder on them. 🙂
This comment by a neighbour of theirs was telling:
Wednesday, October 13, 2021 at 10:24 pm
[‘Possibly the amount it sticks out is commensurate with my cheekiness.’]
Thanks. I think I’ve got it – we all have our idiosyncrasies. And it’s goodnight from him save for:
76.5% fully vaccinated; 91.1% first dose
64.4% fully vaccinated; 83.3% first dose
Of the estimated population aged 16 and over
Australia has some truly evil individuals within its borders:
It’s been done before; he’ll just get another one.
Liquidators holding Palmer jet hostage (2016)
I’m not sure if the two Mineralogy MD-82 jets are still rotting at Brisbane airport; they had clocked up over $100k in parking fees in 2019, and hadn’t flown in ten years?
Including the nose makes it easier to identify emoticons, especially with non-monospace fonts.
This is a handy reference:
A new one arrived today. Heard before, but came down for a drink.
Olive backed Oriole. Also a pair of white headed pigeons. Handsome birds
Sitting governments have the advantage come elections because they can “pork barrel” in promotion of sitting MP’s, something an Opposition cannot do because they do not control the Treasury purse
Further, the very title of prime minister and Minister carry an authority opposition MP’s do not carry (look at preferred pm polling – because the other person is not the pm)
If you are in office you can do things – and set the agenda
Such as yet further tax cuts
Then, in regard the LNP, there is the Australian media and its bias, media being the business cohort the LNP represents
Hence the old story, governments lose elections, oppositions do not win elections
That said, a danger to government is the “its time” factor – so they have been in office for a period of time which introduces “stale” to the conversation
The government only has to hold onto the seats it holds – and they will throw every resource at those seats
Where does “stale” intersect and put (some) seats at risk?
Are the mistakes of this government enough to have the “stale” label applied to them – costing them enough seats to lose government?
So will the management of the pandemic from the economic support package to the vaccine roll out impact – and if it does impact those opinions are already entrenched I would suggest (so polling at 53/47 at worst will maintain until Election Day)
The word being “entrenched”
And will “Freedom Day” and the Federal Government promoting the opening of the economy offset any entrenched opinions?
Where does the health issue intersect with the economic issue?
Which is the more important among voters (noting the age demographic of the electorate continually changes because old people die replaced by younger people)?
What part does religion play – because it is important with the growth in Bible Groups?
I am led to the words of Morrison, that they need to win seats in NSW to offset losses elsewhere including in Queensland which is at a high water mark for the Coalition (Labor holds how many seats there compared to – noting Palmer, Hanson and Katter, so the Regions are different)?
Noting also this government has a razor thin margin in the Lower House (and where will the Independents holding former Liberal seats put their support given the LNP are in minority? Because there may be even more Independents)
Labor has to hold its seats – including in NSW
So sitting members have to be very, very active in the communities they represent, out and about every day from today, putting stuff in letter boxes for recognition purposes and more
Then Labor need credible polling such that their on the ground campaign can target LNP seats at most risk The number of seats should narrowly exceed the number needing to be won to change the government (so don’t go after everything. Marshall your resources for maximum effect)
So Queensland – if there are 3 or 4 seats their polling identifies – and it really has to
NSW – hold
Victoria – target 1
Tasmania – hold
SA – hold
ACT – hold
NT – hold
WA – target 2 (surely Porter has to be at risk, for starters?)
That would give 6/7 seats
Making Labor the major party on the floor of the House and an argument for the Independents to support them if required
Plus hope “stale” and the impact of mistakes features
So pump the Grattan Institute and their word “botched” in regard the vaccine roll out
A hell of a lot will fall to Albanese including because of the promotional persona of Morrison and his sheer babbling – so Hewson and a marketeer out of his depth is important in terms of entrenching that view in the minds of enough
And have a couple of very proficient head kickers very active and very focused – so pound “botched” and “marketeer”
This government, under 3 leaders, would have been there for 3 terms, so also hit “stale”
Hawke and Keating lasted 11 years
Howard lasted 11 years
Can this government be got before it gets to 11 years?
Flat wages growth has endured for 8 years – so quote the RBA Governor because this issue may be a sleeper
State that it is not the position of the RBA to generate (any) economic performance – and that the Cash Rate is where it is at because of the failure of government in promoting economic activity – and it has been at accomodating settings since the GFC
So am I
Very nice, Yabba!
I think a very good summary of the situation. It is about small margins, not some bold Green policy.
Pakman (not the video game) makes some good points in this short video. It’s about the importance of branding a political idea, and turning it into a message. An example he used was the term “pro-virus” as a label for the anti-vax crowd. His main point was that it’s not enough to have a good idea, you need to brand it well too.
And for anyone who watched tonight’s Gruen report, Dee Madigan made the complementary (‘e’ not ‘i’) point that all purchases are based on emotion, and had me thinking of Morrison’s negatives again. There’s lots of material to work with.
“Liberal govt in Tasmania can do it.’
Tas has quite a large natural advantage.
Have been REALLY enjoying watching the Holy Koolaid YouTube channel.
A recovering Happy Clapper himself, he enjoys debunking everything from claims they’ve unearthed Sodom and Gomorrah, to speaking in tongues, to The Rapture, to televangelist “prophets” (better spelt “p.r.o.f.i.t.s”), to whether Jesus actually lived, to the Exodus, to psychic charlatans. And much, much more.
Thanks Bushfire Bill.
Holy Koolaid should be on the curriculum.
Just started watching and am amazed how well he explains his points.
Going to share this big time.
May even have the tablet on hand to show to the doorknockers before they get their spiel in.
Some of the god botherers here should have a peek.
Would be uncomfortable viewing for them.
Bushfire Bill @ #1086 Wednesday, October 13th, 2021 – 10:36 pm
Thanks for that. I’ve started watching a few. He’s a passionate guy. He’s still recovering. A brave soul to open himself up like he has. “Who is Thomas Westbrook?”, “Inside the mind of an evangelical”
“ If the Nationals are now a party for the poor, I guess at the cabinet meeting today they’ll trade their support for a climate change policy in return for an increase in welfare benefits, more affordable housing and putting shingles medication back on the PBS for the over-70s.”
– Shaun Micallef
Late Riser @ #1088 Wednesday, October 13th, 2021 – 11:12 pm
And is it too cheeky to say that he looks a bit like a Hollywood Jesus…
Andrew’s and Albo – look at all the action they’ve taken in the Vic ALP but couldn’t possibly comment or take action now against Byrne?
It scares me how right I am and usually a week or two before the media.
I hope the nsw liberal government will fall
Thursday, October 14, 2021 at 2:07 am
The ABC has been hijacked.
It was nsw former premier who suggested that we should live with covid and along with liberals
Observer @ #1080 Wednesday, October 13th, 2021 – 11:01 pm
Hawke / Keating was 13 years.
steve davis @ #1061 Wednesday, October 13th, 2021 – 10:17 pm
Labor and the Greens are fast becoming irrelevant down here under this Gutwein fellow.
Observer@11.01 “Hawke and Keating lasted 11 years”
13 years actually, and from my recollection in that unusual historical bubble there was a vibe for a while of the ALP being the default party of federal government and the LNP being in perpetual opposition. There were a couple of close elections and 93, the sweetest victory of all, was a surprise in a good way – the mirror image of 2019, being a surprise in a bad way.
The policy priorities of progressive political parties both here and in the US generally rate as highly popular. Mass communications of those policies clearly and credibly seems to be the challenge. Also overcoming the sense that conservatives are naturally better and more trustworthy financial managers – a trope that seems difficult to dislodge, despite the absence of supporting evidence.
Am quite impressed by Julian Hill :
Thursday, October 14, 2021 at 6:43 am
Labor and the Greens are fast becoming irrelevant down here under this Gutwein fellow.
What mundo doesnt realise federally lib/nats are against Climate change
So the lib/nats states making Labor very relevant and even vindicating the greens
what mundo should be saying
The Tasmanian state government is making the federal Lib/nats irrelevant , and if you want action on climate change do not vote federal Lib/nats
Nick McKenzie gives a good explanation of why calls for Andrews to front IBAC at this stage are not valid and that the parallel with Gladys being pushed by the right wing media and the Vic Libs is baseless. I guess in a way it’s stating the obvious: there is no evidence, at least at this stage, linking Andrews to the misappropriation of public funds alleged against Somyurek and other Vic ALP warlords – though Andrews and his government may ultimately be destroyed as a result.