The Guardian reports the fortnightly Essential Research survey includes the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings, which find significant improvement in both leaders’ ratings. Scott Morrison is up four on approval to 54% and down three on disapproval to 37%, while Anthony Albanese is up four to 41% and down two to 34%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is 45-29, down from 47-26.
The poll also finds 78% would support a federal anti-corruption body, with only 11% opposed. Contrary to suggestions Gladys Berejiklian’s resignation would sap enthusiasm for the idea, 47% said it had made them more supportive, compared with 21% for less supportive.
Other questions focus on carbon emissions targets and climate change, including a finding that 68% support of a more ambitious target for 2030 and net zero by 2050, compared with 13% who did not favour targets and 19% who were unsure. Fifty-nine per cent agreed climate change was caused by human activity while 30% favoured the alternative of a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate, which in both cases is up three since June (Essential asks this question on a semi-regular basis), presumably reflecting a drop in an uncommitted response. Forty-two per cent said Australia was not doing enough (down three) compared with 31% for enough (up one) and 15% for too much (up three).
The Guardian’s report relates further results on climate change, and the poll presumably included the regular questions on federal and state government COVID-19 management. All will be laid out neatly in Essential Research’s report later today.
UPDATE: Full release here.
From above:
So more Australians than not are now convinced that our inaction is action, mainly based on the same dodgy accounting of the “Australia clause” from Kyoto.
One suspects some of the Nats might even be sincere. One day they looked at the dodgy emissions reduction graphs the Libs were using to con the rest of us, saw the large proportion attributed to land use in the regions (most land in Australia is regional :P) and suddenly discovered they had been doing the heavy lifting all along. Who knew.
As for Murdoch, as suspected there’s been no real change of heart. He’s just getting on board with running propaganda for the Coalition’s con job.
And for some reason Ninefax have been running propaganda to convince us of Newscorp’s change of heart. There is a serious triple-layered con-job going on.
Former Senior Pentagon Official Says China ‘Has Won’ AI Battle. Nicolas Chaillan, the Pentagon’s first chief software officer says that China has already won the battle for dominance for Artificial Intelligence and that Beijing is set to dominate all areas of advanced technologies in 10-15 years. In an interview with the Financial Times, Chaillan, who resigned in September in protest against the slow pace of development at the Pentagon says of the competition between Beijing and Washington that ‘it is already over in my opinion’. Chaillan says that cyber defenses at some US government agencies are at a ‘kindergarten level’ and has criticized the Pentagon for putting military officials in charge of cyber for which they lacked experience.
AstraZeneca antibody cocktail succeeds in late-stage study to treat COVID-19
The drug, a cocktail of two antibodies called AZD7442, reduced the risk of severe COVID-19 or death by 50 per cent in non-hospitalised patients who have had symptoms for seven days or less, meeting the main goal of the study.
AstraZeneca’s therapy, delivered via injection, is the first of its kind to show promise both as a preventative medicine and as a treatment for COVID-19 following multiple trials. It is designed to protect people who do not have a strong enough immune response to vaccines.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/astrazeneca-antibody-cocktail-succeeds-in-late-stage-study-to-treat-covid-19-company-says-20211011-p58z44.html
Interesting numbers. Good to see a little lift in Albanese’s PPM.
Now that we are moving into a post-Covid political world, at least in NSW, Labor really needs to ramp up its messaging on other issues. Few in NSW are going to worry about slow vaccine rollout or quarantine cock-ups now, that’s in the past. The strong support in the community for tougher net emissions targets surely means that Labor can be a little bolder on climate now. I still think it’s an issue where most people accept that change is needed, but want somebody else to do the changing, not themselves. But if people feel that a vote for Labor is a vote for stronger climate action which does not threaten them personally, with higher cost of living or loss of employment, that’s got to be an electoral plus.
It would be interesting to see the support for a Federal ICAC by state. Is support in NSW weaker than elsewhere? But it’s another issue where Labor can differentiate their brand from the LNP in a positive way, by unequivocal support for a tough federal ICAC. It might also help insulate Federal Labor a little from the stench of Adem Somyurek’s antics emanating from the Victorian ALP.
Yep, saw the Ch9 news last night with reportage of the Murdoch tabloid front pages across the country.
The shift is on in order to give the coalition the media boost it needs to about-face on supporting AGW mitigation efforts. So transparent!
Sceptic:
That’s great news for AZ, which I’ve come to regard as the best performing Covid vaccine.
Now that Australia is starting to add boosters into the mix, I understand these will be either Pfizer or Moderna, which is even better news because evidence suggests that the booster should be a different vaccine to what you had for your first two shots. This should give greater protection to vulnerable older people and others who had AZ for their first doses.
It seems as though the pivot Albanese has undergone towards seeming more ‘Prime Ministerial’ (losing weight, getting the right sort of photos taken, putting out columns in the media, and choosing the hills he wants to fight on), are paying dividends at just the right time. I hope he’s smart enough to keep that momentum going.
Few in NSW are going to worry about slow vaccine rollout or quarantine cock-ups now, that’s in the past.
So Labor just have to broaden out the scope and say that every job Scott Morrison has had to do, he’s failed at.
Have I got this right?
The Country Party wants to impose a retrospective Carbon Tax via the state government’s because they opposed a Carbon Tax on carbon emissions for the last 20 years.
David Littleproud says states should compensate farmers for past emissions reductions.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/oct/12/david-littleproud-says-states-should-compensate-farmers-for-past-emissions-reductions
LNP.. promise anything deliver nothing… except Pork.
Morning all.
Indeed…..
From van badam
Wow, what a complete and total coincidence that a far right group in Italy has just attacked s trade union office, just like a far right group in Australia did two weeks ago, I mean, it’s almost as if these dudes are sharing tactics internationally, uncanny.
#auspol
I watched The Drum yesterday. Ellen Fanning was hosting.
I was quite surprised by the muted response of the guests regarding NSW lifting many restrictions.
They weren’t as optimistic as the rest of the media.
Rotting Red Sea oil tanker could leave 8m people without water
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/oct/11/rotting-red-sea-oil-tanker-could-leave-8m-people-without-water
Bill Shorten was on Ch 9 just now getting quizzed on corruption viz the Vic branch stacking. His theme was Labor was acting and “Federal ICAC”.
The shot showed him in a mall with neon shop signs Dan Dans and Porters over each shoulder. Subtle and I doubt it was accidental.
Why it’s high time to move on from ‘just-in-time’ supply chains
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/oct/11/just-in-time-supply-chains-logistical-capitalism
Victoria @ #12 Tuesday, October 12th, 2021 – 7:15 am
Honest people in the media. Who let them in!?! 😆
There’s nothing as dry as Upper Class English humour/derision:
Bevan Shields
@BevanShields
Told Scott Morrison was concerned about quarantining for another two weeks upon return to Australia if he attended the COP26 summit, Charles stopped walking, looked at the interviewer and replied: “Is that what he says, is it?”
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/prince-charles-urges-scott-morrison-to-attend-climate-summit-to-help-avoid-global-catastrophe-20211011-p58z4f.html
Victoria @ #NaN Tuesday, October 12th, 2021 – 7:15 am
The man (whose name I forget) actually said he’d rather be in Victoria than NSW right now!
Fess
Stephen Duckett. Heath Director at Grattan Institute.
‘Jaeger says:
Tuesday, October 12, 2021 at 7:28 am
Why it’s high time to move on from ‘just-in-time’ supply chains
This logistical model is the engine of breakneck capitalism. But its fragility is now being exposed
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/oct/11/just-in-time-supply-chains-logistical-capitalism‘
———————————————–
A very interesting article, even if it is a gish gallop. It seems to me to lack some critical elements.
The world’s population has more than doubled since 1980. While I am not sure, I would guess that the global per capita consumption of goods has much more than doubled since 1980. The physical implication is that you would expect a quadrupling of infrastructure to move all the stuff.
It seems to me to be a certainty that if you store, say, six months worth of stuff in order to avoid supply chain disruptions, then the global storage space required would be enormous.
I am not sure that screwing the workers is a necessarily driven by just in time supply chains, per se. It is what capitalists will always do, regardless of the circumstances. What has changed since 1980 is the balance of power between labour and capital. I can’t see storing six months worth of goods changing that in any fundamental way.
A small, but relevant digression. During tight times in WW2, the RAF tried address a problem. Why were the factories making many, many more parts than there were planes in the air? The answer was that ground crews were rewarded for keeping planes airworthy at all times. The maintenance sheds were jam packed with spare parts sitting on shelves. Just in case.
Charles would be doing that with Boris’ backing: global Britain and all that.
Last night I saw the Farmers Federation on 7.30 and I frankly couldn’t understand what they want. First it’s recognition of their sacrifices, apparently, but maybe it’s money instead so that they can continue to produce food. She talks very fast and I felt a bit ‘gaslighted’.
‘applied discretion’
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-10-12/sydney-news-dominic-perrottet-avoids-covid-fine-after-beer/100530910
EVERY.SINGLE.THING.THEY.TOUCH.
lizzie
They want city taxpayers to pay a carbon tax to subsidize farmers.
Boerwar
Charles’ position on AGW is longstanding. Boris not so much.
@Confessions says:
Tuesday, October 12, 2021 at 7:02 am
According to a radio interview I heard. Coles and woolworths are the ones pushing for their suppliers(including where they advertise) to go carbon neutral.
This is forcing the newspaper and tv which flows onto the government.
Boerwar
Oh yes, it’s about money, doubtless.
Warehouse workers are some of the most exploited in First World countries. I don’t see how bulking up warehouses with more goods will change that.
I see, that once again, some people are getting excited about polls showing majority support for decisive action on Climate Change. This is has been so for many years. Yet those same polled voters seem to be afflicted with Climate Change amnesia as soon as they walk towards an actual polling booth.
Voters seem to be massively supportive until they work out that they might have to bear some responsibility or cost in the process and that tax cut would be handy right now….
I know we will be told, “This time it’s different because……..” by all the usual suspects. But, all I see is another LNP boondoggle being conjured up with extra dollops of smoke and mirrors and even a Murdoch Greenwash of their image. Murdoch Media has always been in favour of Climate Change action don’t you know?
Morrison is smart enough to understand that too much policy on Climate Change Policy is a good way for him to end up in the political knackery. So, we’ll get lot’s of announcements, without real targets, bribes for the Nats and an apology (of sorts) in a few years. Rinse aand repeat!
Catprog @ #26 Tuesday, October 12th, 2021 – 7:53 am
And the BCA, which has a seat at the Morrison table.
Catprog:
Business have supported carbon reduction for a few years now.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers
Bevan Shields tells us that Prince Charles has used a rare foray into domestic politics to urge Scott Morrison to attend the Glasgow climate summit, warning the talks are a “last chance saloon” to avoid global “catastrophe”.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/prince-charles-urges-scott-morrison-to-attend-climate-summit-to-help-avoid-global-catastrophe-20211011-p58z4f.html
Paul Bongiorno reckons hot air and slogans are masking a government that is falling apart.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/10/12/paul-bongiorno-climate-government-split/
Katherine Murphy looks at the latest Essential poll that shows most Australians want Morrison to set a higher emissions reduction target.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/oct/12/guardian-essential-poll-most-australians-want-morrison-to-set-a-higher-emissions-reduction-target
Retired judge, Stephen Charles, argues that a strong federal integrity commission requires public hearings.
https://johnmenadue.com/a-strong-federal-integrity-commission-requires-public-hearings/
Nationals leader Barnaby Joyce has cleared the way for a deal on climate change after a party room meeting backed his stance in talks with Prime Minister Scott Morrison on whether to cut carbon emissions to net zero by 2050, reports David Crowe.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/barnaby-joyce-preparing-to-back-net-zero-with-conditions-20211011-p58z27.html
And Crowe says that Rupert Murdoch’s critics were savage after his newspapers staged a spectacular backflip on climate change, but while for some it ignited fury, it is vindication.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/news-corp-s-climate-campaign-is-a-political-development-with-impact-20211011-p58z21.html
Scott Morrison has expressed confidence he will reach agreement with the Nationals on climate change policy amid growing speculation a healthy majority of members of the junior Coalition party are open to a deal, says Phil Coorey.
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/coalition-climate-deal-looms-as-labor-ups-the-ante-on-net-zero-20211011-p58yv6
Katina Curtis writes that Barnaby Joyce says he doesn’t care if the latest round of a regional grants program that disproportionately funnelled money to Coalition seats is labelled pork-barrelling. He has also boosted the amount of taxpayer money going to community organisations and regional councils, announcing $300 million of grants rather than the $207 million budgeted a year ago.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/i-don-t-care-what-they-call-it-joyce-will-push-on-with-regional-cash-splashes-20211011-p58yxr.html
Unrepentant, the Coalition pork barrel rolls on with Building Better Regions Fund, writes Michael Pascoe.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2021/10/12/michael-pascoe-coalition-pork-barrel-building-better-regions-fund/
The federal agriculture minister, David Littleproud, has rejected demands from farmers for compensation for emissions reductions agreed more than two decades ago, saying the states should be responsible for compensating farmers over land clearing laws.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/oct/12/david-littleproud-says-states-should-compensate-farmers-for-past-emissions-reductions
Paul Sakkal writes that yesterday’s ministerial scalp won’t stop Andrews’ IBAC headache.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/ministerial-scalp-won-t-stop-andrews-ibac-headache-20211011-p58z0d.html
Peter Hartcher explains how Australia has shaped up to Xi’s aggression.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/how-australia-has-shaped-up-to-xi-s-aggression-20211011-p58yw8.html
Australia needs an explosive post-World War II-style immigration surge that could bring in 2 million people over five years to rebuild the economy and address worsening labour shortages, according to NSW government advice to new Premier Dominic Perrottet.
https://www.afr.com/politics/australia-needs-explosive-surge-of-2-million-migrants-20211011-p58z0n
Catherine Bennett writes that there are good reasons to believe COVID cases may not skyrocket as NSW opens up.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/good-reasons-to-believe-covid-cases-may-not-skyrocket-as-nsw-opens-up-20211011-p58ywb.html
“The big lie”, effectively used by former President Donald Trump the Republican Party, now casts a shadow over Coalition federal and state government announcements, says Sue Arnold.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/australia-must-be-wary-of-trumps-big-lie-infiltrating-our-politics,15615
Nick McKenzie and Joel Tozer continue their exposé on Str Casino.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/star-s-high-roller-manager-was-close-to-accused-corporate-crook-now-fugitive-20211011-p58yzk.html
Revelations of suspected money laundering, organised crime, fraud and foreign interference at Star Entertainment casinos demand the same level of public scrutiny that Crown Resorts has faced, urges the SMH editorial.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/public-inquiry-needed-to-get-to-truth-of-casino-regulation-failures-20211011-p58yxd.html
Featureless glass towers, blank car parks at street level and poor-quality developments will be targeted by a group of experts appointed to safeguard Melbourne’s architectural integrity, reports Cara Waters.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/design-panels-to-tackle-melbourne-s-crap-buildings-20211011-p58yvw.html
The backdrop to the Glasgow summit and the lead up to Christmas could hardly be worse as the world’s energy crisis and supply chain disruptions deepen and the post-pandemic bounce in the global economy is threatened, says Stephen Bartholomeusz.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/an-economic-storm-is-hovering-ahead-of-glasgow-and-christmas-20211011-p58yxo.html
Australia faces pressure on gas prices as a global crunch spreads to the nation’s energy sector in a move that could further strain manufacturers and heavy industry, top industry executives have warned.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/australia-at-risk-from-global-energy-crunch/news-story/4fde70c2a19785f6faca3661e45f8e52
Kim Moody argues why it’s high time to move on from ‘just-in-time’ supply chains.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/oct/11/just-in-time-supply-chains-logistical-capitalism
An expert in data security says Victoria’s vaccine passport system is too easy to forge, as bar and restaurant owners ready themselves for confrontations with customers when the system opens in Melbourne.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/vaccine-passport-too-easy-to-forge-says-academic-as-bar-operators-brace-for-conflict-20211011-p58yuy.html
Referring to a recent study commissioned by the SDAEA, Jewell Topsfield explains why panic buyers and shoppers reluctant to wear masks or check in are not the only difficulties faced by Australia’s retail workers.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/retail-workers-detail-the-difficulties-of-their-job-20211011-p58yw6.html
Keeping workers COVID-safe requires more than just following public health orders, explains Stephen Duckett.
https://theconversation.com/keeping-workers-covid-safe-requires-more-than-just-following-public-health-orders-169617
Bad for patients, bad for paramedics: ambulance ramping is a symptom of a health system in distress, argues Malcolm Boyle.
https://theconversation.com/bad-for-patients-bad-for-paramedics-ambulance-ramping-is-a-symptom-of-a-health-system-in-distress-169528
Buyers of apartments in two 22-storey Parramatta towers found to have serious defects say they are trapped in a nightmare, with some no longer able to get loans from banks to settle on their purchases. Matt O’Sullivan reports on the plight of the buyers of apartments off the plan in the Imperial complex in Parramatta’s CBD was detailed during a NSW parliamentary inquiry on Monday into the regulation of building standards.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/no-trust-buyers-of-defective-units-in-parramatta-vent-their-anger-20211011-p58yvp.html
Former prime minister Tony Abbott’s poorly judged speech in Taiwan last week was inept diplomacy. The question is: who put him up to it, writes Bruce Haigh.
https://johnmenadue.com/tony-abbott-in-a-china-shop-former-pms-ham-fisted-taiwan-intervention/
China can easily manage a property crash, and that’s a problem, explains Adam Triggs.
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7464249/china-can-easily-manage-a-property-crash-thats-a-problem/?cs=14264
A group of lawyers who claimed $19 million in fees and commissions from elderly investors in a civil action against a collapsed financial lender have been referred to Victoria’s public prosecutor to investigate possible criminal offending. They qualify for nomination for “Arseholes of the Week”, I’d say.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/judge-lashes-lawyers-in-banksia-securities-case-refers-conduct-to-prosecutors-20211011-p58ywp.html
Cartoon Corner
David Rowe
David Pope
Cathy Wilcox
Alan Moir
Peter Broelman
Matt Golding
John Shakespeare
Fiona Katauskas
Mark Knight
John Spooner
Andrew Dyson
Dione Gain
Warren Brown
From the US
Morning all. No wonder we can’t stop climate change. We still can’t even regulate smoking adequately decades after the harm was known. Vaping sidesteps the regulations, and there is no enthusiasm to re-regulate.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-10-11/chemicals-found-in-vaping-liquids/100525148
Socrates
Overlap that argument with a recent decision by the ACT to trial drug testing at events.
The reality seems to be that capitalism will exploit drug taking and that very large numbers of humans will get hooked and damaged as a result.
The non-hooked ones will then end up cross-subsidizing the habits of the hooked ones.
Here we go again…
Beware the asterisks! They will provide ‘Bonza’ hidden profits.
Socrates @ #33 Tuesday, October 12th, 2021 – 8:02 am
Oh noes, Soc! You’ll wake up the Vaping Crusader! 😆
Just remember one thing. When the Coalition sets a target it does set itself the target of meeting that target. Targets are strictly aspirational until political self-interest gets in the way.
Ley will sign the Kunming declaration at a time when the Coalition withdrew 200 endangered species recovery plans and when it announced the extinction of 13 species. The Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison governments have systematically reduced the federal environment effort at every single turn.
What used to be a separate cabinet department has now been tucked into the resource ministry.
Hunt, Frydenberg, Price and Ley have been the worst environment ministers since Federation.
Ley will sign the Kunming Declaration but that means fuck all.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/oct/12/double-standards-report-finds-australia-is-failing-to-protect-its-ecosystems-while-backing-global-diversity-target
FMD. Bonza, the Bogan Express.
In NSW the Police show discretion for the Premier
Imagine if the Police had shown similar discretion to the Victorian Premier
And, in regards the reported questioning of Shorten
Branch stacking is not illegal
Branch stacking is against ALP rules
In essence, everything is stacked including Boards of Directors you are invited to join
So branch stacking per se is not the issue
It is only an issue for the ALP
I note that inflationary pressures courtesy of energy costs are impacting Indices because those energy cost increases will impact discretionary spending by consumers
So impacting on the economy
Particularly the Services Sector of the economy which is the dominant Sector (and the driver of the USA economy)
So when “we will open the economy” is uttered by politicians what they are saying is that they want you to spend your money (or borrow to spend)
Hence accomodating interest rates, which have persisted since the GFC of 2008 (so 13 years and counting)
The next thing is people feeling safe in going to where they go to to spend the money in their pocket (or the very great majority of us)
Given they have spending money in their pocket (which a cohort does because of where data tells us the savings rate is – but never judge others by self because there are statistics, statistics and plain lies)
The First Global Oil Shock anyone, then the Stock Exchange crash of 1974?
It won’t get to that, but ……..
There are lessons from the past – always
Then airlines – and competition is always good (I think!!)
Was given an airline to bank once upon a time (from another Manager). Your first loss was always your best loss and the rest was history!!!
No surprises here that the NSW police will not fine Perrottet for disobeying the health directions.
No political pressure on the police, eh?
Mrs Shellbell and our son flew Buddha airlines in Nepal. Said it felt like you were getting closer to Buddha.
I wonder what IBAC will bring us today. Apparently it’s just ministerial staffers, electorate officers for the rest of the week. But I will be watching closely and will comment on relevant matters raised throughout the day.
I do hope some bright sociology student will use the first activities of “Freedom Day” to analyse the activities that Sydneysiders regard as the most important things in life.
”
lizziesays:
Tuesday, October 12, 2021 at 7:48 am
Last night I saw the Farmers Federation on 7.30 and I frankly couldn’t understand what they want. First it’s recognition of their sacrifices, apparently, but maybe it’s money instead so that they can continue to produce food. She talks very fast and I felt a bit ‘gaslighted’.
”
What I got from her is that since farmers made sacrifices during Kyoto protocol implementation, people should not expect much from farmers and they should be compensated for their sacrifices they already made.
The thing is Australia is the driest Continent on the planet. She must have witnessed the devastating effects on the land like intense fires & floods, increased dry spells, long droughts, heavy rain falls, which are effecting farm produce and it just the start of Climate change fury. So I don’t thing she is in a bargaining position to demand much. Every body in Australia needs to forgo something now for their future.
Farmers, and regional people generally are notorious whingers. They are having their best year on record and still it never ends.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/sep/15/australias-farmers-set-for-record-70bn-year-but-labour-shortages-and-covid-rules-threaten-harvest
Catchy tune!
https://twitter.com/i/status/1446299879660154885
“Farmers, and regional people generally are notorious whingers” – what a window into your mind that statement is.
lizzie @ #44 Tuesday, October 12th, 2021 – 8:24 am
Going to KMart and getting a haircut, in my neck of the woods. 🙂
Lurkersays:
Tuesday, October 12, 2021 at 8:23 am
I wonder what IBAC will bring us today. Apparently it’s just ministerial staffers, electorate officers for the rest of the week. But I will be watching closely and will comment on relevant matters raised throughout the day.
________________
Good work. Please keep the blog updated.
I will be checking in throughout the day.